SMU at South Florida - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 12th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
SMU -17.5 (72.5)
SMU 41 - South Florida: 23 (American Athletic)

Mustangs (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Rhett Lashlee (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (30 - 22 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

SMU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -8.5 (SP+ SMU -21.5)
Projected Score: SMU: 25 - USF: 34 (59)
SMU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
SMU Travel: 914 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bulls (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bob Shoop (3 - 18)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SMU Players
USF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

SMU's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	SMU at North Texas	-9.5	67.5	W 48 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/10	SMU vs Lamar	-48.5	66.0	W 45 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/17	SMU at Maryland	+3.0	74.0	L 27 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/24	SMU vs TCU	+2.5	72.0	L 34 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5	SMU at UCF	+3.0	65.0	L 19 - 41	U	N
Fri 10/14	SMU vs Navy	-12.5	59.0	W 40 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/22	SMU vs Cincinnati	+3.5	59.5	L 27 - 29	U	Y
Sat 10/29	SMU at Tulsa	-1.0	63.5	W 45 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/5	SMU vs Houston	-3.5	66.0	W 77 - 63	O	Y
Sat 11/12	SMU at South Florida	-17.5	72.5	W 41 - 23	U	Y
Thu 11/17	SMU at Tulane	+3.5	65.0	L 24 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/26	SMU vs Memphis	-4.5	69.0	W 34 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/17	SMU vs BYU	-4.5	65.0	L 23 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for SMU's Schedule

South Florida's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	South Florida vs BYU	+11.0	58.5	L 21 - 50	O	N
Sat 9/10	South Florida vs Howard	-39.5	61.5	W 42 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/17	South Florida at Florida	+23.5	58.0	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/24	South Florida at Louisville	+15.5	63.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/1	South Florida vs East Carolina	+10.0	55.5	L 28 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/8	South Florida at Cincinnati	+27.0	58.5	L 24 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/15	South Florida vs Tulane	+12.0	55.0	L 31 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	South Florida at Houston	+17.0	59.0	L 27 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/5	South Florida at Temple	-3.5	49.0	L 28 - 54	O	N
Sat 11/12	South Florida vs SMU	+17.5	72.5	L 23 - 41	U	N
Fri 11/18	South Florida at Tulsa	+14.0	57.5	L 42 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/26	South Florida vs UCF	+20.0	67.5	L 39 - 46	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SMU	.35	48%	32.2	48%	3.1	161	48%	305	4.41	.26	39%	20.5	34%	45%	4.21	52.3	1.5	1.3
USF	.15	42%	40.5	46%	2.91	158	38%	192	3.42	.33	49%	23.4	47%	51%	4.19	45.7	1.8	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SMU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SMU Offense	12	32.2	29.8	47.6%	4.41	1.5	25	466	161	305	4.6	44%	56%	48%	48%	15%	.35
USF Defense	12	23.4	14.3	48.9%	4.19	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	47%	51%	12%	.33

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SMU Defense	12	20.5	22.2	39.3%	4.21	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	34%	45%	16%	.26
USF Offense	12	40.5	51	42.2%	3.42	1.8	20	351	158	192	3.9	55%	45%	46%	38%	16%	.15

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
SMU	12	29:13	24.8	43%	67%	5.6	52.3	1.5	1.3	5.6	2.3	2	32.2
South Florida	12	30:29	20.3	34%	53%	5	45.7	1.8	1.5	4.1	0.8	4	27.9

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SMU Offense	12	44%	48%	35.2	161.4	4.6	20	.17	3.1	76%	9%	0.91
USF Defense	12	51%	47%	-	-	-	-	.3	3.15	78%	8%	1.17

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SMU Defense	12	48%	34%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.79	62%	10%	1.08
USF Offense	12	55%	46%	40.6	158.2	3.9	25	.14	2.91	67%	12%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SMU Offense	12	56%	48%	26.1	39	304.5	7.8	11.7	39	12	.52	1.7	30%	40%	.67	5%	2.2
USF Defense	12	49%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.38	1.4	29%	31%	.28	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SMU Defense	12	51%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.46	1.7	35%	30%	.4	6%	2.2
USF Offense	12	45%	38%	15.9	29.5	192.4	6.5	12.1	6	12	.17	1.5	32%	31%	.33	5%	1.9

SMU's Power Ratings
SMU's Power Rating: NR
SMU's Offense Rating: NR
SMU's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
SMU's 2022 Expected Record: -
SMU's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.7 #56
SMU's Offense SP+ Rating: 42.0 #10
SMU's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #116

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
SMU: South Florida: -6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
SMU: 4.7 South Florida: -17.0

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: -6 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2022 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.0 #120
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #38
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 50.3 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

SMU Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

SMU's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 34
SMU 25

Projected Total Points: 59

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	11/12	South Florida	23	SMU	41	SMU -17.5	SMU	72.5	Under
2021	10/02	SMU	41	South Florida	17	SMU -21.5	SMU	68.5	Under
2019	09/28	South Florida	21	SMU	48	SMU -7	SMU	62.0	Over
2016	11/19	SMU	27	South Florida	35	South Florida -12.5	SMU	73.0	Under
2015	10/24	South Florida	38	SMU	14	South Florida -13	South Florida	62.0	Under
2014	11/15	SMU	13	South Florida	14	South Florida -12	SMU	0
2013	11/23	South Florida	6	SMU	16	SMU -5.5	SMU	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Florida	3	1	1 Overs
SMU	4	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 5	4 - 3	2 - 0	2 - 3
Road Teams	5 - 2	3 - 4	3 - 2	0 - 2

(#) SMU at (#) USF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SMU	USF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#120
Perf GradeGrade	#67	#115
OffenseOff	#28	#66
DefenseDef	#126	#134
Spec TeamsST	#51	#34
TalentTal	#63	#69
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

SMU Injury Report

South Florida Injury Report

SMU on Offense


CategoryCat	SMU Off	USF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#28	#134
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#10	#133
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

SMU Run Game


CategoryCat	SMU Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	#122	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#32	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#113

SMU Pass Game


CategoryCat	SMU Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	#22	#133
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#9	#132
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	SMU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#66	#126
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#38	#116
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	SMU Def
Run GameRun	#38	#124
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#85	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#127

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	SMU Def
Pass GamePass	#67	#100
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#37	#120
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

SMU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
SMU 17.5 (72.5)
SMU won at South Florida this year (41-23)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

SMU's OC Casey Woods (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View SMU's Full Roster

SMU's DC Scott Symons (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USF's OC Travis Trickett (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Bob Shoop (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD