UCF at South Florida - 2022 Matchup Preview
UCF logo   UCF Knights at South Florida Bulls  South Florida logo
Saturday, November 26th 2022 (7:00 PM EST)
UCF -20 (67.5)
UCF 46 - South Florida: 39  (American Athletic)

 
Knights (9 - 5) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (9 - 4)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (13 - 35 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USF is playing their 5th straight game
UCF is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -11  (SP+ UCF -27.5)
Projected Score: UCF: 19 - USF: 37 (56)
UCF Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
UCF Travel: 91 miles
Bulls (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bob Shoop (3 - 18)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
UCF's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 UCF vs South Carolina State-43.558.5W 56 - 10OY
Fri 9/9 UCF vs Louisville-5.562.0L 14 - 20UN
Sat 9/17 UCF at Florida Atlantic-7.561.5W 40 - 14UY
Sat 9/24 UCF vs Georgia Tech-21.056.5W 27 - 10UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/5 UCF vs SMU-3.065.0W 41 - 19UY
Thu 10/13 UCF vs Temple-23.546.5W 70 - 13OY
Sat 10/22 UCF at East Carolina-5.563.0L 13 - 34UN
Sat 10/29 UCF vs Cincinnati-1.555.5W 25 - 21UY
Sat 11/5 UCF at Memphis-3.060.5W 35 - 28OY
Sat 11/12 UCF at Tulane+1.054.5W 38 - 31OY
Sat 11/19 UCF vs Navy-14.553.0L 14 - 17UN
Sat 11/26 UCF at South Florida-20.067.5W 46 - 39ON
Sat 12/3 UCF at Tulane+3.557.5L 28 - 45ON
Wed 12/28 UCF vs Duke+3.563.0L 13 - 30UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
South Florida's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 South Florida vs BYU+11.058.5L 21 - 50ON
Sat 9/10 South Florida vs Howard-39.561.5W 42 - 20ON
Sat 9/17 South Florida at Florida+23.558.0L 28 - 31OY
Sat 9/24 South Florida at Louisville+15.563.5L 3 - 41UN
Sat 10/1 South Florida vs East Carolina+10.055.5L 28 - 48ON
Sat 10/8 South Florida at Cincinnati+27.058.5L 24 - 28UY
Sat 10/15 South Florida vs Tulane+12.055.0L 31 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 South Florida at Houston+17.059.0L 27 - 42OY
Sat 11/5 South Florida at Temple-3.549.0L 28 - 54ON
Sat 11/12 South Florida vs SMU+17.572.5L 23 - 41UN
Fri 11/18 South Florida at Tulsa+14.057.5L 42 - 48OY
Sat 11/26 South Florida vs UCF+20.067.5L 39 - 46OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF.2343%24.346%3.1919640%2064.44.1640%23.643%38%3.5153.51.21.8
USF.1542%40.546%2.9115838%1923.42.3349%23.447%51%4.1945.71.81.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1324.312.842.9%4.441.2204021962065.451%49%46%40%16%.23
USF Defense1223.414.348.9%4.191.5 - - - - - 51%49%47%51%12%.33
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Defense1323.634.640.4%3.511.8 - - - - - 47%53%43%38%19%.16
USF Offense1240.55142.2%3.421.8203511581923.955%45%46%38%16%.15

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UCF1328:3519.937%79%6.253.51.21.86.82.8031.2
South Florida1230:2920.334%53%545.71.81.54.10.8427.9
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1351%46%36.6196.35.427.263.1975%11%1.14
USF Defense1251%47% - - - - .33.1578%8%1.17
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Defense1347%43% - - - - .22.9666%11%1.13
USF Offense1255%46%40.6158.23.925.142.9167%12%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1349%40%19.430206.26.910.6299.191.632%33%.465%2.2
USF Defense1249%51% - - - - - - 10.381.429%31%.285%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Defense1353%38% - - - - - - 11.131.433%30%.328%2
USF Offense1245%38%15.929.5192.46.512.1612.171.532%31%.335%1.9

UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
UCF's 2022 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #55
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3  #32

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UCF:    South Florida: -6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCF: 10.3   South Florida: -17.0




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: -6 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2022 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.0  #120
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #38
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 50.3  #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.8
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.6

UCF's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 37
UCF 19

Projected Total Points: 56
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/26South Florida39UCF46UCF -20South Florida67.5Over
202111/26UCF17South Florida13UCF -17South Florida62.0Under
202011/27South Florida46UCF58UCF -26.0South Florida70.5Over
201911/29UCF34South Florida7UCF -24UCF61.5Under
201811/23South Florida10UCF38UCF -16.5UCF70.0Under
201711/24UCF49South Florida42UCF -10South Florida64.5Over
201611/26South Florida48UCF31South Florida -9.5South Florida66.0Over
201511/26UCF3South Florida44South Florida -22.5South Florida53.5Under
201411/28South Florida0UCF16UCF -9.5UCF0
201311/29UCF23South Florida20UCF -26South Florida0
200809/06UCF24South Florida31
200710/13South Florida64UCF12
200609/16UCF17South Florida24
200509/17South Florida31UCF14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida674 Overs
UCF834 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 74 - 62 - 32 - 3
Road Teams7 - 76 - 43 - 23 - 2

(#) UCF at (#) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUCFUSF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #120
Perf GradeGrade #40 #115
OffenseOff #22 #66
DefenseDef #80 #134
Spec TeamsST #59 #34
TalentTal #53 #69
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #22 #134
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #55 #133
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSF Def
Run GameRun #59 #131
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #20 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #113
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffUSF Def
Pass GamePass #32 #133
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #3 #132
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCatUSF OffUCF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #66 #80
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #38 #32
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffUCF Def
Run GameRun #38 #67
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #85 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #92
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatUSF OffUCF Def
Pass GamePass #67 #79
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #37 #104
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

UCF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'22 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 13
UCF 20.0 (67.5)
UCF won at South Florida this year (46-39)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UCF's OC Chip Lindsey (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC David Gibbs (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USF's OC Travis Trickett (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Bob Shoop (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD