South Florida at UAB - 2023 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo South Florida Bulls at UAB BlazersUAB logo
Saturday, October 7th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
South Florida -3.5 (68.5) (-166)  Open: -2.5
UAB 56 - South Florida: 35  (American Athletic)

 
Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 32 - 32 (33 - 43 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 7.1 (#76)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USF 2nd straight Road Game
UAB is playing their 6th straight game
USF is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: South Florida -0.5   (SP+ USF -5.5)

Projected Score: USF: 34 - UAB: 34 (68)
USF Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
USF Travel: 460 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Blazers (4 - 8) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Trent Dilfer (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 30 - 37 (35 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Florida's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 South Florida at Western Kentucky+13.571.5L 24 - 41UN
Sat 9/9 South Florida vs Florida A&M-20.063.0W 38 - 24UN
Sat 9/16 South Florida vs Alabama+34.061.0L 3 - 17UY
Sat 9/23 South Florida vs Rice+2.556.5W 42 - 29OY
Sat 9/30 South Florida at Navy+4.054.0W 44 - 30OY
Sat 10/7 South Florida at UAB-3.568.5L 35 - 56ON
Sat 10/14 South Florida vs Florida Atlantic-3.061.0L 14 - 56ON
Sat 10/21 South Florida at UConn+1.057.0W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 South Florida at Memphis+13.568.5L 50 - 59OY
Sat 11/11 South Florida vs Temple-7.570.5W 27 - 23UN
Fri 11/17 South Florida at UTSA+14.565.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 11/25 South Florida vs Charlotte-7.556.5W 48 - 14OY
Thu 12/21 South Florida vs Syracuse+3.056.0W 45 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
UAB's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/31 UAB vs North Carolina A&T-24.546.5W 35 - 6UY
Sat 9/9 UAB at Georgia Southern+7.063.0L 35 - 49ON
Sat 9/16 UAB vs Louisiana-2.060.0L 21 - 41ON
Sat 9/23 UAB at Georgia+40.056.0L 21 - 49OY
Sat 9/30 UAB at Tulane+22.559.5L 23 - 35UY
Sat 10/7 UAB vs South Florida+3.568.5W 56 - 35OY
Sat 10/14 UAB at UTSA+9.067.0L 20 - 41UN
Sat 10/21 UAB vs Memphis+7.561.5L 21 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 UAB vs Florida Atlantic-1.059.5W 45 - 42OY
Sat 11/11 UAB at Navy-3.552.5L 6 - 31UN
Sat 11/18 UAB vs Temple-8.061.5W 34 - 24UY
Sat 11/25 UAB at North Texas+3.072.5L 42 - 45OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#79 (.17)39% (106)31.939% (112)2.99 (92)18340% (82)2693.63 (89)#97 (.23)40% (41)32.240% (44)40% (47)3.7 (60)65.51.61.9
UAB#12 (.32)49% (10)29.951% (11)3.7 (3)16148% (18)2893.84 (76)#119 (.28)48% (129)36.953% (132)43% (89)4.45 (122)56.31.71.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)47% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)52% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1331.93339.2%3.631.6234521832694.152%47%39%40%16%.17
UAB Defense1236.932.247.8%4.451.7 - - - - - 50%49%53%43%16%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1332.242.739.8%3.71.9 - - - - - 45%54%40%40%19%.23
UAB Offense1229.935.348.5%3.841.7244501612894.547%51%51%48%18%.32

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1328:3523.138%43%7.565.51.61.97.51.8129.9
UAB1229:1423.740%48%6.756.31.71.74.12.3127.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1352% (49)39% (112)44.6182.84.123 (46).15 (68)2.99 (92)81% (12)11% (92)1.16 (8)
UAB Defense1250% (73)53% (132) - - - - .36 (133)3.55 (131)83% (116)9% (107)1.09 (109)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1345% (16)40% (44) - - - - .11 (44)2.73 (16)69% (44)12% (15)1.19 (125)
UAB Offense1247% (91)51% (11)35.5161.14.524 (41).32 (4)3.7 (3)77% (42)13% (124)1.06 (34)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1347% (87)40% (82)22.134.4268.87.812.227 (25)11 (68).26 (73)1.6 (64)36% (121)27% (95).31 (76)5% (39)2.3 (15)
UAB Defense1249% (64)43% (89) - - - - - - 10 (67).26 (58)1.5 (46)30% (109)36% (124).46 (121)7% (30)2 (67)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1354% (117)40% (47) - - - - - - 14 (21).37 (112)1.8 (128)35% (33)29% (56).37 (96)7% (46)2.3 (126)
UAB Offense1251% (47)48% (18)25.535.6288.98.111.322 (61)13 (97).37 (34)1.5 (103)28% (13)33% (48).48 (21)5% (43)2.1 (43)

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: -5.66 #95
South Florida's Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
South Florida's Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
South Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10
South Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -5.66   UAB: -8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -9.5   UAB: -15.2




UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -8 #96
UAB's Offense Rating: 23.13 #18
UAB's Defense Rating: 17.37 #126
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UAB's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
UAB's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 33
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.7

South Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 34
UAB 34


Total Points: 68

UAB Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 36.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.2

UAB's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19South Florida35UAB25South FloridaSouth Florida -14UAB55.5Over
202310/07UAB56South Florida35UABSouth Florida -3.5UAB68.5Over
200411/03UAB20South Florida45South Florida
200311/22South Florida19UAB22UAB
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UAB222 Overs
South Florida200 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#95) South Florida Info
Power Rating: -5.66 #95
Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10


South Florida has won 2 straight
South Florida has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

South Florida Highlights
South Florida offense is explosive (#14)
South Florida Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#38)
South Florida Defensive Line is very good (#111)
South Florida Front 7 is disruptive (#94)
South Florida defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

South Florida Deficiencies
South Florida Fumbles a Lot (#42)
South Florida Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
South Florida offense is really bad (#129)
South Florida run game is really bad (#134)
South Florida Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
South Florida gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#36)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUABUSF
OverallOver#71#84
OffenseOff#53#91
DefenseDef#78#60
Special TeamsST#107#63
PassingPass#67#60
RushingRush#14#40
Run BlockRBLK#51#98
Pass BlockPBLK#41#81
Route RunningWR Rt#49#78
TacklingTkl#59#94
Run DefenseR Def#92#47
Pass Rush DefPRush#28#41
Coverage DefCov#84#83

Rematch from Week 6
South Florida 3.5 (68.5)
UAB won vs South Florida this year (56-35)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat UAB last year (35-25)
UAB beat South Florida in 2023 (56-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USF | UAB
Depth Chart: USF | UAB
Rosters: USF | UAB
(#96) UAB Info
Power Rating: -8 #96
Offense Rating: 23.13 #18
Defense Rating: 17.37 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #132
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60


UAB has lost 4 straight
UAB has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

UAB Highlights
UAB offense is efficent (#16)
UAB has a top Offensive Line (#25)
UAB does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#33)

UAB Secondary is very good (#134)

UAB Deficiencies
UAB Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UAB Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
UAB has a bad defense (#135)
UAB Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
UAB has a bad defensive line (#128)
UAB has a bad red zone defense (#120)


  
South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Byrum Brown27642665%329226117.7
Bryce Archie (Tr)71547%53003.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Byrum Brown203809114.060
Nay'Quan Wright (Tr)18079784.447
Michel Dukes6335025.630
K'Wan Powell6121513.527
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Sean Atkins921054711.588
Naiem Simmons (Tr)39637516.353
Khafre Brown27435516.184
Mike Brown-Stephens (Tr)27350213.038

View South Florida's Full Roster
South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhalyn Shuler979235
Daquan Evans6414457
Jaelen Stokes615211
James Gordon Iv589442
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daquan Evans6414457
James Gordon Iv589442
Jhalyn Shuler979235
Jonathan Ross477221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tavin Ward383008
Daquan Evans6414457
Jhalyn Shuler979235

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jacob Zeno27937974%31262098.2
Landy Lyddy142264%121135.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jermaine Brown Jr.158803125.140
Lee Beebe5236046.966
Isaiah Jacobs5524934.526
Jacob Zeno9116841.844
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tejhaun Palmer47858718.380
Amare Thomas5343738.249
Jermaine Brown Jr.41416110.155
Fred Farrier II18266114.867

View UAB's Full Roster
UAB's DC Sione Ta'ufo'ou
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Keondre Swoopes720001
Jackson Bratton705231
Michael Moore626131
Ike Rowell540013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desmond Little308632
Kevin Penn435440
Michael Fairbanks II235430
Nikia Eason Jr.264462
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brian Mayes4110010
Colby Dempsey371009
Mac McWilliams522008