South Florida at UAB Game Matchup

Saturday, October 7th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
South Florida -3.5 (68.5) (-166) Open: -2.5
UAB 56 - South Florida: 35 (American Athletic)

Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 7.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 13.8 MPH
USF 2nd straight Road Game
UAB is playing their 6th straight game
USF is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: South Florida -0.5 (SP+ USF -5.5)
Projected Score: USF: 33 - UAB: 33 (61)
USF Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
USF Travel: 460 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Blazers (4 - 8) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Trent Dilfer (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (34 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USF Players
UAB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Florida's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	South Florida at Western Kentucky	+13.5	71.5	L 24 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/9	South Florida vs Florida A&M	-20.0	63.0	W 38 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/16	South Florida vs Alabama	+34.0	61.0	L 3 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/23	South Florida vs Rice	+2.5	56.5	W 42 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/30	South Florida at Navy	+4.0	54.0	W 44 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/7	South Florida at UAB	-3.5	68.5	L 35 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/14	South Florida vs Florida Atlantic	-3.0	61.0	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/21	South Florida at UConn	+1.0	57.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	South Florida at Memphis	+13.5	68.5	L 50 - 59	O	Y
Sat 11/11	South Florida vs Temple	-7.5	70.5	W 27 - 23	U	N
Fri 11/17	South Florida at UTSA	+14.5	65.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/25	South Florida vs Charlotte	-7.5	56.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Thu 12/21	South Florida vs Syracuse	+3.0	56.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

UAB's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	UAB vs North Carolina A&T	-24.5	46.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UAB at Georgia Southern	+7.0	63.0	L 35 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/16	UAB vs Louisiana	-2.0	60.0	L 21 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	UAB at Georgia	+40.0	56.0	L 21 - 49	O	Y
Sat 9/30	UAB at Tulane	+22.5	59.5	L 23 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/7	UAB vs South Florida	+3.5	68.5	W 56 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/14	UAB at UTSA	+9.0	67.0	L 20 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/21	UAB vs Memphis	+7.5	61.5	L 21 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	UAB vs Florida Atlantic	-1.0	59.5	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/11	UAB at Navy	-3.5	52.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/18	UAB vs Temple	-8.0	61.5	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UAB at North Texas	+3.0	72.5	L 42 - 45	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	.27	44%	32.2	46%	3.54	197	42%	193	4.12	.39	51%	29.8	52%	51%	4.56	36.9	1.7	1.7
UAB	.32	46%	26.2	48%	3.33	235	44%	203	4.05	.17	43%	34.3	48%	40%	3.25	60.5	1.4	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UAB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Offense	12	32.2	34.3	44%	4.12	1.7	19	390	197	193	5.3	56%	43%	46%	42%	16%	.27
UAB Defense	13	34.3	30.2	43.4%	3.25	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	48%	40%	17%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Defense	12	29.8	31.8	51.1%	4.56	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	52%	51%	14%	.39
UAB Offense	13	26.2	33.5	46%	4.05	1.4	21	438	235	203	5.8	60%	40%	48%	44%	16%	.32

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Florida	12	29:28	19.3	39%	45%	4.6	36.9	1.7	1.7	5.2	1.2	1	29.9
UAB	13	31:55	21.2	45%	48%	7	60.5	1.4	1.5	4.7	1.9	3	29.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Offense	12	56%	46%	36.8	196.8	5.3	25	.33	3.54	79%	11%	1.2
UAB Defense	13	49%	48%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.31	78%	9%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Defense	12	54%	52%	-	-	-	-	.41	3.52	70%	10%	1.25
UAB Offense	13	60%	48%	40.6	235.1	5.8	32	.3	3.33	73%	11%	1.15

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Offense	12	43%	42%	15.7	27.2	192.9	7.1	12.3	18	9	.24	1.6	31%	28%	.33	5%	2.3
UAB Defense	13	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.12	1.5	30%	29%	.14	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Defense	12	45%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.43	1.5	26%	38%	.5	4%	1.9
UAB Offense	13	40%	44%	14.9	24.7	203.2	8.2	13.6	15	7	.41	1.8	31%	35%	.45	4%	2.3

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: -5.66 #95
South Florida's Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
South Florida's Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
2023 Talent Rating: 484.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
South Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10
South Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -5.66 UAB: -8

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -9.5 UAB: -15.2

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -8 #96
UAB's Offense Rating: 23.13 #18
UAB's Defense Rating: 17.37 #126
2023 Talent Rating: 362.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
UAB's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
UAB's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

South Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 33
UAB 33

Projected Total Points: 61

UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.2

UAB's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	South Florida	35	UAB	25	South Florida	South Florida -14	UAB	55.5	Over
2023	10/07	UAB	56	South Florida	35	UAB	South Florida -3.5	UAB	68.5	Over
2004	11/03	UAB	20	South Florida	45	South Florida
2003	11/22	South Florida	19	UAB	22	UAB

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UAB	2	2	2 Overs
South Florida	2	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1	1 - 0

(#95) South Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.66 #95
Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123
Talent Rating: 484.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10

Team Profile

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South Florida Ratings Matchup UAB

Power #95

#96

Off #94

#18

Def #92

#126

Talent #97

#120

SP+ #102

#118

SP+ Off #61

#65

SP+ Def #123

#132

Rematch from Week 6
South Florida 3.5 (68.5)
UAB won vs South Florida this year (56-35)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat UAB last year (35-25)
UAB beat South Florida in 2023 (56-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 71° - Wind: 14 mph

Team Information
Injuries: USF | UAB
Depth Chart: USF | UAB
Rosters: USF | UAB

(#96) UAB Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -8 #96
Offense Rating: 23.13 #18
Defense Rating: 17.37 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #132
Talent Rating: 362.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60

Team Profile

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South Florida's OC Joel Gordon

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Gerry Bohannon	3	4	75%	27	0	1	6.8
Sean Atkins	1	3	33%	12	1	0	4.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kelley Joiner Jr.	121	799	12	6.6	54
Nay'Quan Wright (Tr)	109	510	8	4.7	64
Michel Dukes	63	365	2	5.8	35
Yasias Young	16	56	0	3.5	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sean Atkins	80	799	2	10.0	52
Michel Dukes	43	354	3	8.2	26
Mike Brown-Stephens (Tr)	28	350	4	12.5	32
Nay'Quan Wright (Tr)	22	149	0	6.8	44

View South Florida's Full Roster

South Florida's DC Todd Orlando

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamie Pettway	56	7	2	2	2
Will Jones II	44	4	1	0	3
James Gordon Iv	29	1	1	2	0
Jason Vaughn	22	4	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tramel Logan Jr.	20	6	4	2	0
Jamie Pettway	56	7	2	2	2
Jason Vaughn	22	4	1	0	0
Will Jones II	44	4	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Will Jones II	44	4	1	0	3
Jamie Pettway	56	7	2	2	2
Logan Berryhill	18	1	0	0	1

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lee Witherspoon	35	166	0	4.7	15
Taven Curry	32	153	0	4.8	15
Samario Rudolph	2	13	0	6.5	10
Terrell McDonald	5	9	1	1.8	5

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malachi Holt-Bennett (Tr)	16	241	1	15.1	71
Terrell McDonald	15	202	0	13.5	67
Fred Farrier II	13	126	0	9.7	20
Samario Rudolph	6	54	0	9.0	22

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Sione Ta'ufo'ou

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sirad Bryant	59	1	0	0	0
Carl Fauntroy Jr.	49	1	0	1	4
Desmond Little	40	10	6	7	3
Mac McWilliams	32	7	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Desmond Little	40	10	6	7	3
Tyler Thomas	19	4	3	0	0
Kendall Johnson	18	4	2	2	0
Mac McWilliams	32	7	1	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Colby Dempsey	22	2	0	11
Brian Mayes	27	0	0	5
Carl Fauntroy Jr.	49	1	1	4