UAB at South Florida - 2026 Matchup Preview
UAB logo   UAB Blazers at South Florida Bulls  South Florida logo
Saturday, October 31st 2026 (12:00 PM EDT)
Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL  (American Athletic)

 
Blazers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Alex Mortensen (2 - 4)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (25 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.2 - 8.8 (#86)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 6)
UAB coming off BYE
USF coming off BYE
Our Line: South Florida -25.5  (SP+ USF -27)
Projected Score: UAB: 19 - USF: 45 (64)
USF Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
UAB Travel: 460 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Brian Hartline (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 2.1 (#9)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
 
UAB's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 UAB at Illinois+31
Sat 9/12 UAB vs UL Monroe-5
Sat 9/19 UAB at Louisiana+11.5
Fri 9/25 UAB vs Navy+13.5
Sat 10/3 UAB vs Samford-8
Sat 10/10 UAB at Memphis+24
Thu 10/15 UAB vs East Carolina+16
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 UAB at South Florida+25.5
Sat 11/7 UAB vs Charlotte-7.5
Sat 11/14 UAB at Temple+13
Sat 11/21 UAB vs UTSA+13.5
Sat 11/28 UAB at North Texas+22

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule
South Florida's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 South Florida vs Florida International-19
Sat 9/12 South Florida at Army-7.5
Sat 9/19 South Florida vs Delaware State-31
Sat 9/26 South Florida at Bowling Green-19.5
Sat 10/3 South Florida vs Temple-15
Thu 10/8 South Florida at UTSA-5
Sat 10/17 South Florida vs Kent State-27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 South Florida vs UAB-25.5
Fri 11/6 South Florida at East Carolina-2
Thu 11/12 South Florida vs Memphis-4.5
Sat 11/21 South Florida at Florida Atlantic-13.5
Fri 11/27 South Florida vs Tulane-8.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB#52 (.19)42% (65)26.444% (61)3.12 (36)13942% (61)2663.63 (76)#135 (.34)49% (132)38.350% (131)48% (125)4.71 (135)61.21.80.8
USF#12 (.31)46% (21)40.547% (26)3.33 (13)21246% (28)2764.45 (17)#20 (.07)38% (21)23.438% (14)38% (37)3.15 (28)611.51.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UAB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Offense1226.424.742.4%3.631.8224041392664.245%53%44%42%15%.19
USF Defense1323.414.337.8%3.151.9 - - - - - 48%51%38%38%16%.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UAB Defense1238.338.848.9%4.710.8 - - - - - 61%38%50%48%12%.34
USF Offense1340.55146.5%4.451.5244882122765.551%48%47%46%14%.31

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
UAB1231:182246%47%7.461.21.80.84.11.4128.9
South Florida1325:2423.846%62%6.6611.51.96.52.5329.5
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Offense1245% (109)44% (61)32.9138.84.220 (49).17 (42)3.12 (36)71% (79)9% (67)1.09 (24)
USF Defense1348% (47)38% (14) - - - - .02 (22)2.63 (20)79% (120)11% (42)1.06 (112)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UAB Defense1261% (136)50% (131) - - - - .22 (127)3.35 (131)83% (129)8% (115)0.91 (42)
USF Offense1351% (55)47% (26)38.8212.25.529 (30).18 (38)3.33 (13)81% (9)8% (23)0.98 (60)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Offense1253% (32)42% (61)23.936.5265.67.311.120 (42)16 (88).27 (59)1.5 (72)31% (66)33% (30).36 (48)6% (65)2.1 (39)
USF Defense1351% (94)38% (37) - - - - - - 14 (6).17 (33)1.6 (67)37% (5)27% (34).23 (43)6% (81)2 (49)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UAB Defense1238% (1)48% (125) - - - - - - 4 (100).52 (136)1.9 (135)27% (131)32% (93).41 (115)4% (130)2.1 (106)
USF Offense1348% (80)46% (28)20.731.2275.68.913.333 (8)11 (60).48 (6)1.7 (14)29% (24)30% (75).43 (25)6% (81)2.3 (4)

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -15.40  #126
UAB's Offense Rating: 6.71  #102
UAB's Defense Rating: 27.11  #135
2026 Talent Rating: 530.00  #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #64
UAB's 2026 Expected Record: 3.2 - 8.8
UAB's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8  #125
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5  #80
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8  #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.93
Average FBS Talent: 728.81

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.40   South Florida: 10.12

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.8   South Florida: 11.6




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 10.12  #61
South Florida's Offense Rating: 15.90  #43
South Florida's Defense Rating: 17.26  #78
2026 Talent Rating: 840.00  #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #87
South Florida's 2026 Expected Record: 9.9 - 2.1
South Florida's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.6  #29
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.7  #12
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3  #62

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 576.71
Average Power Five Talent: 912.93
Average FBS Talent: 728.81


UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

UAB's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 45
UAB 19

Projected Total Points: 64
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22UAB18South Florida48South Florida -21.5South Florida68.5Under
202410/19South Florida35UAB25South Florida -14UAB55.5Over
202310/07UAB56South Florida35South Florida -3.5UAB68.5Over
200411/03UAB20South Florida45
200311/22South Florida19UAB22
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida312 Overs
UAB221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 31 - 20 - 11 - 1
Road Teams3 - 22 - 11 - 11 - 0

(#126) UAB at (#61) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUABUSF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #126 #61
SP+SP+ #125 #29
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #113 #51
Blue ChipsBC% #64 #87
UAB Notes
(2/24) New HC Mortensen a bad hire from LY bad staff
UAB Injury Report
South Florida Notes
(2/26) Vibes: Unclear, but will step back from LY
(2/26) QB Van Buren is most exp'd of 4 portal adds
(2/26) RB Isaac back, 2 prod FCS adds. Some depth
(2/26) WR Odom (UTEP)/Reuben decent duo, have depth
(2/26) OL has 7 w starting exp, 6 are portals. Have depth
(2/26) Def F7 very light on exp/prod. Big pass rush ?
(2/26) DBs have exp but grade out poorly. 9 portal adds
(2/26) 41 portals, 16 croots = 57 new on roster
(2/24) New era w Hartline. First time outside Columbus
(2/12) What does a Hartline Off look like w/o Day (OSU)
South Florida Injury Report
UAB on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UAB OffUSF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #65 #21
ExplosiveExp #29 #107
PPAPPA #52 #20
PowerPwr #102 #78
SP+SP+ #80 #62
Pts POPPO #76 #28
HavocHav #64 #59
UAB Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UAB OffUSF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #61 #14
Run ExplRExp #24 #112
PPAExp #42 #22
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #36 #20
Stuff RateStuff #54 #17
TackleTak - NR
UAB Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UAB OffUSF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #61 #37
Pass ExplPExl #72 #67
PPAExp #59 #33
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #67 #42
DB HavocDB #65 #81
South Florida on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatUSF OffUAB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #21 #132
ExplosiveExp #28 #91
PPAPPA #12 #135
PowerPwr #43 #135
SP+SP+ #12 #132
Pts POPPO #17 #135
HavocHav #45 #130
South Florida Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
USF OffUAB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #26 #131
Run ExplRExp #60 #42
PPAExp #38 #127
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #13 #131
Stuff RateStuff #10 #130
TackleTak - NR
South Florida Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatUSF OffUAB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #28 #125
Pass ExplPExl #14 #135
PPAExp #6 #136
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #23 #115
DB HavocDB #81 #130
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'26 Profile: Up to Average P4

UAB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'26 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
South Florida beat UAB last year (48-18)
South Florida beat UAB in 2024 (35-25)
UAB beat South Florida in 2023 (56-35)

  
UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryder Burton629863%708757.2
Nate Rogers1250%0000.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)12461435.074
Ja'Vin Simpkins (Tr)12559024.746
Nate Rogers138426.515
Roderick Robinson II (Tr)62203.710
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaleb Brown17255215.061
Antonio Ferguson10115011.521
Braylon McReynolds (Tr)158015.314
Ja'Vin Simpkins (Tr)177404.421

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Todd Grantham (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Muaaz Byard (Tr)374112
Shaun Myers (Tr)375101
Darrell Sweeting (Tr)371100
Chris Burge325470
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eli Hall (Tr)115413
Chris Burge325470
J'Quan Mason91100
Kyle Mosley101110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremiah Jordan (Tr)192106
Delvon Gulley191013
Eli Hall (Tr)115413

USF's OC Tim Beck* (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
KJ Cooper (Tr)15124462%14971156.1
Michael Van Buren Jr. (Tr)9415162%1010826.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
D.J. Crowther (Tr)191929104.967
Jason Collins Jr. (Tr)9436353.923
Alvon Isaac7335004.849
KJ Cooper (Tr)7224333.423
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kenny Odom (Tr)6258269.474
Mudia Reuben36495513.860
Armani Winfield (Tr)22276212.549
Arhmad Branch (Tr)14212215.149

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Josh Aldridge (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ayden Jackson (Tr)744013
Tavin Ward602002
Za'Quan Bryan (Tr)371013
Zavier Hamilton373000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shamar Meikle (Tr)286240
Marshon Oxley (Tr)155211
Michael Williams II192110
Ryan Jenkins121100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ayden Jackson (Tr)744013
Za'Quan Bryan (Tr)371013
Tavin Ward602002