Charlotte at South Florida Game Matchup
Charlotte logo Charlotte 49ers at South Florida BullsSouth Florida logo
Friday, October 3rd 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL  (American Athletic)

 
49ers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tim Albin (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 35 (23 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.5 - 9.5 (#134)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 7)
CHAR coming off BYE
USF coming off BYE
Our Line: South Florida -23.5   (SP+ USF -16)
Projected Score: CHAR: 19 - USF: 42 (61)
USF Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
CHAR Travel: 517 miles
Bulls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#46)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
 
Charlotte's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Charlotte vs App State+8.50.0
Sat 9/6 Charlotte vs North Carolina+19.5
Sat 9/13 Charlotte vs Monmouth-3
Thu 9/18 Charlotte vs Rice+1
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 Charlotte at South Florida+23.5
Sat 10/11 Charlotte at Army+19.5
Sat 10/18 Charlotte vs Temple-0.5
Fri 10/24 Charlotte vs North Texas+10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Charlotte at East Carolina+15.5
Sat 11/15 Charlotte vs UTSA+18.5
Sat 11/22 Charlotte at Georgia+50.5
Sat 11/29 Charlotte at Tulane+26.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
South Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 South Florida vs Boise State+9.50.0
Sat 9/6 South Florida at Florida+21.5
Sat 9/13 South Florida at Miami+22
Sat 9/20 South Florida vs South Carolina State-24
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 South Florida vs Charlotte-23.5
Fri 10/10 South Florida at North Texas-6
Sat 10/18 South Florida vs Florida Atlantic-17
Sat 10/25 South Florida at Memphis+4
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 South Florida vs UTSA-2.5
Sat 11/15 South Florida at Navy-3
Sat 11/22 South Florida at UAB-12.5
Sat 11/29 South Florida vs Rice-19.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR#116 (.1)37% (122)23.739% (110)2.75 (113)11935% (120)2243.9 (70)#113 (.25)45% (107)35.148% (111)42% (83)3.87 (81)65.31.81
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)32.239% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)29.838% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Offense1223.723.237.1%3.91.8173431192243.747%52%39%35%17%.1
USF Defense1329.827.239.2%42.1 - - - - - 49%51%38%40%20%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Defense1235.136.845.3%3.871 - - - - - 56%44%48%42%15%.25
USF Offense1332.233.638.3%3.881.4204081812274.848%52%39%38%15%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Charlotte1228:3717.330%42%7.865.31.814.91.2126.1
South Florida1325:1020.439%56%8.170.91.42.18.12.5230.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense1247% (88)39% (110)32.3118.73.716 (90).09 (93)2.75 (113)68% (105)11% (106)1.1 (24)
USF Defense1349% (46)38% (17) - - - - .04 (26)2.63 (18)70% (48)13% (11)1.13 (121)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense1256% (118)48% (111) - - - - .19 (104)3.27 (106)68% (35)8% (114)0.96 (57)
USF Offense1348% (82)39% (112)37.8180.84.834 (10).2 (32)3.06 (60)66% (114)10% (62)1.26 (3)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense1252% (46)35% (120)14.829.4224.17.615.216 (87)14 (115).12 (120)1.9 (6)35% (123)29% (96).23 (103)6% (57)2.3 (3)
USF Defense1351% (91)40% (69) - - - - - - 13 (31).28 (89)1.6 (78)34% (32)32% (87).3 (64)7% (46)1.9 (32)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense1244% (18)42% (83) - - - - - - 10 (66).34 (112)1.8 (122)31% (92)33% (107).57 (132)6% (51)2.4 (133)
USF Offense1352% (51)38% (106)20.234.1227.56.711.316 (87)10 (63).13 (113)1.5 (109)34% (114)25% (121).22 (105)6% (68)2.2 (21)

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: -21.18 #129
Charlotte's Offense Rating: 1.99 #130
Charlotte's Defense Rating: 23.17 #110
2025 Talent Rating: 454.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #62
Charlotte's 2025 Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5
Charlotte's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.4 #133
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #120
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #128

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -21.18   South Florida: 3.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -19.4   South Florida: -3.5




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 3.07 #53
South Florida's Offense Rating: 16.82 #49
South Florida's Defense Rating: 12.18 #55
2025 Talent Rating: 850.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
South Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
South Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #77
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #44
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 35.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.8

Charlotte's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 42
Charlotte 19

Projected Total Points: 61
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

South Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Charlotte24South Florida59South FloridaCharlotte -1.5South Florida53.5Over
202311/25South Florida48Charlotte14South FloridaSouth Florida -7.5South Florida56.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida222 Overs
Charlotte000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#129) Charlotte Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -21.18 #129
Offense Rating: 1.99 #130
Defense Rating: 23.17 #110
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.4 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.5 #128
Talent Rating: 454.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #62
Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.9 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Charlotte Notes
(3/24) QB Connor Harrell (NC) or G Loftis (Duke)
(3/24) RB rebuild. Chaney (Lou) added, depth?
(3/24) WR complete rebuild. 5 portals.
(3/24) OL rebuild 1/5 back. Only 1 portal add?
Charlotte     Ratings Matchup     South Florida
Power #129
#53
Off #130
#49
Def #110
#55
Talent #117
#32
SP+ #133
#77
SP+ Off #120
#44
SP+ Def #128
#107

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat Charlotte last year (59-24)
South Florida beat Charlotte in 2023 (48-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CHAR | USF
Depth Chart: CHAR | USF
Rosters: CHAR | USF
(#53) South Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.07 #53
Offense Rating: 16.82 #49
Defense Rating: 12.18 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107
Talent Rating: 850.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 38%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


South Florida Notes
(5/11) OL top 10 exp, 78% returning, 22% via portal
(3/23) QB Brown vs Archie, both inconsistent LY
(3/23) RB rebuild. Norton (Char) added, some depth
(3/23) WR lost #1, Nimrod (Tenn)/Singleton good
(3/23) OL returns 4/5. 3 more with exp, 2 portals
(3/23) Def bad LY, return a lot. 3 DL portals added
(3/23) OL improve? QB settle? Could be really good
(3/23) HC Golesh former OC. Big year for staff


  
Charlotte's OC Todd Fitch
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Conner Harrell (Tr)213757%282217.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Donald Chaney Jr. (Tr)5017833.627
Henry Rutledge117206.533
Conner Harrell (Tr)165513.416
Rod Gainey Jr.103403.411
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Henry Rutledge108218.228
Miles Burris264032.048
Donald Chaney Jr. (Tr)76208.919
Justin Olson235017.525

View Charlotte's Full Roster
Charlotte's DC Nate Faanes
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shay Taylor (Tr)7411434
Reid Williford746222
Al-Ma'Hi Ali451037
Treyveon McGee332001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shay Taylor (Tr)7411434
Reid Williford746222
Donovan Spellman32100
Ja'Qurious Conley262110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Al-Ma'Hi Ali451037
Shay Taylor (Tr)7411434
Thailand Baldwin (Tr)233003

South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Archie17229059%19149106.6
Byrum Brown7813259%836206.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cartevious Norton (Tr)12952574.162
Byrum Brown6826934.042
Bryce Archie6813722.035
Sam Franklin (Tr)1813207.334
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keshaun Singleton27428315.967
Joshua Porter2421008.832
Wyatt Sullivan (Tr)13155211.938
Chas Nimrod (Tr)10121012.127

View South Florida's Full Roster
South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Tavin Ward612003
Rocco Nicholl (Tr)611032
Jhalyn Shuler607441
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Chavez Brown (Tr)498410
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Ira Singleton123310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
De'Shawn Rucker412007
Ben Knox221106
Izaiah Guy (Tr)300005