Tulsa at South Florida - 2021 Matchup Preview
Tulsa logo   Tulsa Golden Hurricane at South Florida Bulls  South Florida logo
Saturday, October 16th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Tulsa -7.5 (56.0)
Tulsa 32 - South Florida: 31  (American Athletic)

 
Golden Hurricane (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Philip Montgomery (31 - 43)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (19 - 31 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USF coming off BYE
TLSA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ TLSA -18)
Projected Score: TLSA: 20 - USF: 38 (58)
TLSA Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
TLSA Travel: 967 miles, 1 hrs behind
Bulls (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Charlie Weis Jr. (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulsa's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Tulsa vs UC Davis-22.054.5L 17 - 19UN
Sat 9/11 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+11.551.0L 23 - 28UY
Sat 9/18 Tulsa at Ohio State+24.560.5L 20 - 41OY
Sat 9/25 Tulsa vs Arkansas State-14.565.0W 41 - 34ON
Fri 10/1 Tulsa vs Houston-3.054.0L 10 - 45ON
Sat 10/9 Tulsa vs Memphis-3.060.5W 35 - 29OY
Sat 10/16 Tulsa at South Florida-7.556.0W 32 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/29 Tulsa vs Navy-11.046.0L 17 - 20UN
Sat 11/6 Tulsa at Cincinnati+22.556.0L 20 - 28UY
Sat 11/13 Tulsa at Tulane-3.055.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 11/20 Tulsa vs Temple-22.050.5W 44 - 10OY
Sat 11/27 Tulsa at SMU+6.063.0W 34 - 31OY
Mon 12/20 Tulsa vs Old Dominion-7.555.0W 30 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule
South Florida's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 South Florida at NC State+20.058.0L 0 - 45UN
Sat 9/11 South Florida vs Florida+29.057.0L 20 - 42OY
Sat 9/18 South Florida vs Florida A&M-22.550.0W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/25 South Florida at BYU+23.554.5L 27 - 35OY
Sat 10/2 South Florida at SMU+21.568.5L 17 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 South Florida vs Tulsa+7.556.0L 31 - 32OY
Sat 10/23 South Florida vs Temple-1.554.5W 34 - 14UY
Thu 10/28 South Florida at East Carolina+9.555.5L 14 - 29UN
Sat 11/6 South Florida vs Houston+13.553.0L 42 - 54OY
Fri 11/12 South Florida vs Cincinnati+24.558.5L 28 - 45OY
Sat 11/20 South Florida at Tulane+5.559.5L 14 - 45UN
Fri 11/26 South Florida at UCF+17.062.0L 13 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA.1241%23.242%2.9415840%2533.34.0336%28.936%36%2.7781.821.8
USF.0840%40.540%2.8314941%2172.29.2247%23.446%48%4.2948.91.91.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TLSA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Offense923.21940.9%3.34222410158253450%49%42%40%17%.12
USF Defense923.414.346.6%4.291.4 - - - - - 56%44%46%48%13%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TLSA Defense928.930.736%2.771.8 - - - - - 53%47%36%36%19%.03
USF Offense940.55140.3%2.291.921365149217448%51%40%41%20%.08

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulsa928:2222.141%53%981.821.87.42.4230.1
South Florida928:272131%29%5.348.91.91.44.80.8328.5
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Offense950%42%39.4157.6413.032.9463%10%0.89
USF Defense956%46% - - - - .132.9479%8%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TLSA Defense953%36% - - - - -.042.769%13%0.86
USF Offense948%40%37.4148.8411.072.8372%14%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Offense949%40%19.234252.77.413.11511.211.732%33%.387%2.2
USF Defense944%48% - - - - - - 10.341.629%34%.464%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TLSA Defense947%36% - - - - - - 6.111.434%24%.076%1.9
USF Offense951%41%20.834.7216.66.310.4126.091.434%25%.096%2

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: NR
Tulsa's Offense Rating: NR
Tulsa's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #84
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tulsa's 2021 Expected Record: -
Tulsa's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.8  #61
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7  #67
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #48

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulsa:    South Florida: -3.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulsa: 5.8   South Florida: -12.1




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: -3.55 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2021 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1  #111
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #96
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2  #118

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Tulsa's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 38
Tulsa 20

Projected Total Points: 58
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23South Florida63Tulsa30South Florida -17.5South Florida60.0Over
202211/18Tulsa48South Florida42Tulsa -14South Florida57.5Over
202110/16South Florida31Tulsa32Tulsa -7.5South Florida56.0Over
202010/23South Florida13Tulsa42Tulsa -11.5Tulsa51.5Over
201810/12Tulsa24South Florida25South Florida -10Tulsa60.5Under
201711/16South Florida27Tulsa20South Florida -23.5Tulsa65.5Under
201410/18Tulsa30South Florida38South Florida -2South Florida51.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida445 Overs
Tulsa332 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 43 - 41 - 22 - 2
Road Teams4 - 34 - 32 - 22 - 1

(#) TLSA at (#) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTLSAUSF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #61 #111
Perf GradeGrade #47 #114
OffenseOff #63 #111
DefenseDef #23 #118
Spec TeamsST #136 #29
TalentTal #84 #73
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tulsa on Offense
CategoryCat
TLSA OffUSF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #63 #118
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #118
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulsa Run Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffUSF Def
Run GameRun #63 #117
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #39 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #135
Tulsa Pass Game
CategoryCat
TLSA OffUSF Def
Pass GamePass #65 #111
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #40 #124
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCatUSF OffTLSA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #111 #23
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #96 #48
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffTLSA Def
Run GameRun #87 #16
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #113 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #24
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatUSF OffTLSA Def
Pass GamePass #124 #59
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #51 #28
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

TLSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Tulsa 7.5 (56.0)
Tulsa won at South Florida this year (32-31)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat Tulsa in 2024 (63-30)

  
TLSA's OC Philip Montgomery (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Joseph Gillespie (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USF's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Glenn Spencer (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD