Marshall at South Florida - 2018 Matchup Preview

Marshall Thundering Herd at South Florida Bulls

Thursday, December 20th 2018 (8:00 PM EST)
Marshall -3.5 (51.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Marshall 38 - South Florida: 20 (BAD BOY MOWERS GASPARILLA BOWL)

Thundering Herd (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (30 - 36 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ MRSH -2)
Projected Score: MRSH: 25 - USF: 39 (64)
MRSH Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MRSH Travel: 722 miles

Bulls (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
MRSH Players
USF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Marshall's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Marshall at Miami (OH)	+1.0	51.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/8	Marshall vs Eastern Kentucky	-32.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	Marshall vs NC State	+6.0	56.0	L 20 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/29	Marshall at Western Kentucky	-3.5	52.0	W 20 - 17	U	N
Fri 10/5	Marshall vs Middle Tennessee	-3.0	50.5	L 24 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/13	Marshall at Old Dominion	-3.5	57.0	W 42 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/20	Marshall vs Florida Atlantic	+2.5	59.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/3	Marshall at Southern Miss	-3.0	47.5	L 24 - 26	O	N
Sat 11/10	Marshall vs Charlotte	-13.0	42.0	W 30 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/17	Marshall vs UTSA	-27.5	48.0	W 23 - 0	U	N
Sat 11/24	Marshall at Florida International	-3.5	52.5	W 28 - 25	O	N
Sat 12/1	Marshall at Virginia Tech	+3.5	51.5	L 20 - 41	O	N
Thu 12/20	Marshall at South Florida	-3.5	51.0	W 38 - 20	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule

South Florida's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	South Florida vs Elon	-27.0	56.5	W 34 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/8	South Florida vs Georgia Tech	+3.0	61.0	W 49 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/15	South Florida vs Illinois	-14.0	59.0	W 25 - 19	U	N
Sat 9/22	South Florida vs East Carolina	-20.5	67.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/6	South Florida at Massachusetts	-15.0	71.5	W 58 - 42	O	Y
Fri 10/12	South Florida at Tulsa	-10.0	60.5	W 25 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/20	South Florida vs UConn	-33.0	67.5	W 38 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/27	South Florida at Houston	+10.0	76.0	L 36 - 57	O	N
Sat 11/3	South Florida vs Tulane	-6.0	60.5	L 15 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/10	South Florida at Cincinnati	+14.0	53.0	L 23 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/17	South Florida at Temple	+14.0	63.0	L 17 - 27	U	Y
Fri 11/23	South Florida vs UCF	+16.5	70.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Thu 12/20	South Florida vs Marshall	+3.5	51.0	L 20 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MRSH	.13	40%	30.8	34%	2.46	140	44%	240	3.15	.07	38%	30.3	35%	39%	3.13	59.8	1.8	1.2
USF	.22	43%	40.5	43%	2.95	264	40%	249	3.79	.04	35%	23.4	35%	35%	3.3	87.3	1.2	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MRSH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MRSH Offense	13	30.8	30.2	39.8%	3.15	1.8	20	380	140	240	4	48%	51%	34%	44%	15%	.13
USF Defense	12	23.4	14.3	35.3%	3.3	2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	35%	35%	20%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MRSH Defense	13	30.3	35.8	37.9%	3.13	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	35%	39%	18%	.07
USF Offense	12	40.5	51	43%	3.79	1.2	26	513	264	249	5	60%	38%	43%	40%	13%	.22

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Marshall	13	31:01	20.4	44%	43%	6.5	59.8	1.8	1.2	7.2	2.5	5	31.6
South Florida	12	30:29	25.8	44%	60%	9.3	87.3	1.2	2	8.4	3	2	32.9

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MRSH Offense	13	48%	34%	35	140.2	4	14	-.04	2.46	72%	9%	1.05
USF Defense	12	47%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.06	2.28	52%	12%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MRSH Defense	13	49%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.03	2.35	70%	12%	0.94
USF Offense	12	60%	43%	52.8	264.1	5	30	.16	2.95	66%	9%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MRSH Offense	13	51%	44%	20.5	34.1	239.6	7	11.7	25	14	.29	1.6	35%	33%	.28	6%	1.9
USF Defense	12	52%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.14	1.8	37%	33%	.35	8%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MRSH Defense	13	50%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.18	1.6	37%	31%	.2	6%	1.8
USF Offense	12	38%	40%	16.3	30.6	248.9	8.1	15.2	25	6	.35	1.9	33%	37%	.45	4%	2

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: NR
Marshall's Offense Rating: NR
Marshall's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Marshall's 2018 Expected Record: -
Marshall's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 #73
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #111
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #22

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Marshall: South Florida: 1.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Marshall: 1.0 South Florida: -1.2

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 1.9 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2018 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2 #83
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1 #69
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #80

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Marshall Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Marshall's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 39
Marshall 25

Projected Total Points: 64

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	12/20	South Florida	20	Marshall	38	Marshall -3.5	Marshall	51.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Florida	0	0	1 Overs
Marshall	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

Marshall Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2018	Gasparilla Bowl	Marshall vs South Florida	-3.5	51.0	W 38 - 20
2017	Mexico Bowl	Marshall vs Colorado State	+3.0	58.5	W 31 - 28
2015	Petersburg Bowl	Marshall vs UConn	-4.5		W 16 - 10
2014	Raton Bowl	Marshall vs Northern Illinois	-8.0	67.0	W 52 - 23
2013	Military Bowl	Marshall vs Maryland	-2.5	65.0	W 31 - 20

South Florida Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2018	Gasparilla Bowl	South Florida vs Marshall	+3.5	51.0	L 20 - 38
2017	Birmingham Bowl	South Florida vs Texas Tech	-2.0	66.0	W 38 - 34
2016	N/A	South Florida vs South Carolina	-11.0	58.0	W 46 - 39
2015	Beach Bowl	South Florida vs Western Kentucky	+3.0		L 35 - 45

(#) MRSH at (#) USF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MRSH	USF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#73	#83
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#82	#62
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Marshall Injury Report

South Florida Injury Report

Marshall on Offense


CategoryCat	MRSH Off	USF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#111	#80
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Marshall Run Game


CategoryCat	MRSH Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Marshall Pass Game


CategoryCat	MRSH Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	MRSH Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#69	#22
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	MRSH Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	MRSH Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average G5

MRSH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Marshall 3.5 (51.0)
Marshall won at South Florida this year (38-20)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MRSH's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD