South Florida Bulls at Rice Owls
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (2:00 PM EST)
South Florida -5.5 (53.5) (-215) Open: -4.5 | 53.5
Rice 35 - South Florida: 28 (American Athletic)
Bulls (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (7 - 6)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
USF is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: South Florida -6.5 (SP+ USF -9)
Projected Score: USF: 31 - RICE: 24 (55)
USF Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
USF Travel: 790 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Our Line: South Florida -6.5 (SP+ USF -9)
Projected Score: USF: 31 - RICE: 24 (55)
USF Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
USF Travel: 790 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Owls (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Pete Alamar (Int) (22 - 46)
Avg Score : 22 - 25 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Coach Pete Alamar (Int) (22 - 46)
Avg Score : 22 - 25 (32 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
| South Florida's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | South Florida vs Bethune-Cookman | -22.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | South Florida at Alabama | +33.5 | 65.5 | L 16 - 42 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | South Florida at Southern Miss | -13.0 | 58.5 | W 49 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | South Florida vs Miami | +17.0 | 64.5 | L 15 - 50 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | South Florida at Tulane | +4.0 | 60.5 | L 10 - 45 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | South Florida vs Memphis | +10.0 | 61.0 | L 3 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/19 | South Florida vs UAB | -14.0 | 55.5 | W 35 - 25 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 11/1 | South Florida at Florida Atlantic | -1.5 | 48.0 | W 44 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | South Florida vs Navy | +4.5 | 59.5 | L 7 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | South Florida at Charlotte | +1.5 | 53.5 | W 59 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | South Florida vs Tulsa | -17.5 | 60.0 | W 63 - 30 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | South Florida at Rice | -5.5 | 53.5 | L 28 - 35 | O | N | |
| Tue 12/24 | South Florida vs San José State | -1.5 | 66.5 | W 41 - 39 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 7
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 6
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
| Rice's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Rice vs Sam Houston | -9.5 | 49.0 | L 14 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Rice vs Texas Southern | -30.0 | 52.5 | W 69 - 7 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Rice at Houston | +3.5 | 43.5 | L 7 - 33 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Rice at Army | +7.0 | 44.0 | L 14 - 37 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Rice vs Charlotte | -4.0 | 48.0 | L 20 - 21 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/12 | Rice vs UTSA | +3.5 | 51.0 | W 29 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/19 | Rice at Tulane | +21.5 | 53.5 | L 10 - 24 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Rice at UConn | +6.5 | 47.0 | L 10 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Rice vs Navy | +12.5 | 49.0 | W 24 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Fri 11/8 | Rice at Memphis | +7.5 | 50.5 | L 20 - 27 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Rice at UAB | -7.0 | 52.0 | L 14 - 40 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Rice vs South Florida | +5.5 | 53.5 | W 35 - 28 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 3
Predictions for Rice's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 3
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF | #83 (.17) | 38% (118) | 32.2 | 39% (112) | 3.06 (60) | 181 | 38% (106) | 227 | 3.88 (74) | #66 (.16) | 39% (36) | 29.8 | 38% (17) | 40% (69) | 4 (88) | 70.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| RICE | #126 (.05) | 35% (127) | 22.2 | 36% (127) | 2.7 (118) | 115 | 35% (121) | 239 | 3.27 (119) | #60 (.16) | 37% (11) | 25.4 | 40% (37) | 34% (4) | 3.72 (62) | 57.4 | 1.8 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF | #83 (.17) | 38% (118) | 39% (112) | 3.06 (60) | 181 | 38% (106) | 227 | 3.88 (74) | #66 (.16) | 39% (36) | 38% (17) | 40% (69) | 4 (88) | 70.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 | ||
| RICE | #126 (.05) | 35% (127) | 36% (127) | 2.7 (118) | 115 | 35% (121) | 239 | 3.27 (119) | #60 (.16) | 37% (11) | 40% (37) | 34% (4) | 3.72 (62) | 57.4 | 1.8 | 1 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF Offense | 13 | 32.2 | 34.3 | 38.3% | 3.88 | 1.4 | 20 | 408 | 181 | 227 | 4.8 | 48% | 52% | 39% | 38% | 15% | .17 |
| RICE Defense | 12 | 25.4 | 21.2 | 37% | 3.72 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 45% | 40% | 34% | 17% | .16 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF Defense | 13 | 29.8 | 31.8 | 39.2% | 4 | 2.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 38% | 40% | 20% | .16 |
| RICE Offense | 12 | 22.2 | 31.8 | 35.5% | 3.27 | 1.8 | 18 | 354 | 115 | 239 | 4.6 | 37% | 62% | 36% | 35% | 20% | .05 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | 13 | 25:10 | 20.4 | 39% | 56% | 8.1 | 70.9 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 8.1 | 2.5 | 2 | 30.7 |
| Rice | 12 | 28:40 | 18.3 | 35% | 35% | 7.1 | 57.4 | 1.8 | 1 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 2 | 32.6 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF Offense | 13 | 48% (82) | 39% (112) | 37.8 | 180.8 | 4.8 | 34 (10) | .2 (32) | 3.06 (60) | 66% (114) | 10% (62) | 1.26 (3) |
| RICE Defense | 12 | 55% (112) | 40% (37) | - | - | - | - | .16 (85) | 3.06 (80) | 76% (83) | 11% (45) | 1.07 (103) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF Defense | 13 | 49% (46) | 38% (17) | - | - | - | - | .04 (26) | 2.63 (18) | 70% (48) | 13% (11) | 1.13 (121) |
| RICE Offense | 12 | 37% (132) | 36% (127) | 24.8 | 114.5 | 4.6 | 14 (98) | -.03 (126) | 2.7 (118) | 86% (3) | 10% (63) | 1 (55) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF Offense | 13 | 52% (51) | 38% (106) | 20.2 | 34.1 | 227.5 | 6.7 | 11.3 | 16 (87) | 10 (63) | .13 (113) | 1.5 (109) | 34% (114) | 25% (121) | .22 (105) | 6% (68) | 2.2 (21) |
| RICE Defense | 12 | 45% (24) | 34% (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 8 (93) | .16 (33) | 1.7 (109) | 34% (30) | 24% (4) | .19 (23) | 6% (70) | 2.1 (81) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USF Defense | 13 | 51% (91) | 40% (69) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .28 (89) | 1.6 (78) | 34% (32) | 32% (87) | .3 (64) | 7% (46) | 1.9 (32) |
| RICE Offense | 12 | 62% (4) | 35% (121) | 24.3 | 39.8 | 239 | 6 | 9.8 | 17 (79) | 13 (103) | .11 (121) | 1.5 (97) | 38% (129) | 25% (119) | .17 (119) | 10% (133) | 1.9 (104) |
South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 0.21 #62
South Florida's Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
South Florida's Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
South Florida's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Florida's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
South Florida's Power Rating: 0.21 #62
South Florida's Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
South Florida's Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
South Florida's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
South Florida's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 0.21 Rice: -7.57
SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -2.3 Rice: -11.4
South Florida: 0.21 Rice: -7.57
SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -2.3 Rice: -11.4
Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -7.57 #95
Rice's Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Rice's Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Rice's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Rice's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Rice's Power Rating: -7.57 #95
Rice's Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Rice's Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Rice's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Rice's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8
South Florida's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8
South Florida's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 31
Rice 24
Total Points: 55
South Florida 31
Rice 24
Total Points: 55
Rice Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.8
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2
Rice's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.8
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.2
Rice's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/30 | Rice | 35 | South Florida | 28 | Rice | South Florida -5.5 | Rice | 53.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/23 | South Florida | 42 | Rice | 29 | South Florida | Rice -2.5 | South Florida | 56.5 | Over |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rice | 1 | 1 | 2 Overs |
| South Florida | 1 | 1 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 0 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 2 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 2 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 0 |
(#62) South Florida Info
Power Rating: 0.21 #62
Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 38%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
South Florida has won 2 straight
South Florida has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
South Florida Notes
(11/9) Golesh is a f'ing idiot. In game decisions -6
(11/4) Rgame mauled FAU. QB Archie good, D avg, flags
(11/4) Golesh big timed FAU Herman, crootin beef
(10/20) Outplayed by UAB, lucky W. New QB Archie statue
(10/14) QB Brown may have broken leg, out since Tulane
(10/13) Rgame is abysmal, QB not much better in L (Mem)
(10/11) Hiding injuries but team may be very beat up
(9/28) Dogwalked by Tulane. Rgame 26 yds, 1.0 ypc!
(9/22) Good 1st H fight vs Mia. Just wore down again
(9/14) 369 yds rushing, 7.2 ypc in smashing S Miss
South Florida Highlights
South Florida offense is explosive (#14)
South Florida Defense Sacks the QB a lot
South Florida has a good run defense (#107)
South Florida Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#38)
South Florida Defensive Line is very good (#111)
South Florida Front 7 is disruptive (#94)
South Florida Deficiencies
South Florida Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
South Florida offense is really bad (#129)
South Florida run game is really bad (#134)
South Florida pass game is really bad (#106)
South Florida gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#36)
Power Rating: 0.21 #62
Offense Rating: 19.25 #72
Defense Rating: 7.53 #48
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.3 #79
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #51
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #108
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #65
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 38%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
South Florida has won 2 straight
South Florida has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 3 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
South Florida Notes
(11/9) Golesh is a f'ing idiot. In game decisions -6
(11/4) Rgame mauled FAU. QB Archie good, D avg, flags
(11/4) Golesh big timed FAU Herman, crootin beef
(10/20) Outplayed by UAB, lucky W. New QB Archie statue
(10/14) QB Brown may have broken leg, out since Tulane
(10/13) Rgame is abysmal, QB not much better in L (Mem)
(10/11) Hiding injuries but team may be very beat up
(9/28) Dogwalked by Tulane. Rgame 26 yds, 1.0 ypc!
(9/22) Good 1st H fight vs Mia. Just wore down again
(9/14) 369 yds rushing, 7.2 ypc in smashing S Miss
South Florida Highlights
South Florida offense is explosive (#14)
South Florida Defense Sacks the QB a lot
South Florida has a good run defense (#107)
South Florida Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#38)
South Florida Defensive Line is very good (#111)
South Florida Front 7 is disruptive (#94)
South Florida Deficiencies
South Florida Commits a Lot of Penalties (#75)
South Florida offense is really bad (#129)
South Florida run game is really bad (#134)
South Florida pass game is really bad (#106)
South Florida gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#36)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | RICE | USF |
| OverallOver | #74 | #72 |
| OffenseOff | #94 | #96 |
| DefenseDef | #32 | #45 |
| Special TeamsST | #87 | #77 |
| PassingPass | #79 | #91 |
| RushingRush | #80 | #48 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #89 | #99 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #80 | #82 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #82 | #89 |
| TacklingTkl | #29 | #73 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #78 | #39 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #42 | #29 |
| Coverage DefCov | #12 | #65 |
Rematch from Week 14
South Florida 5.5 (53.5)
Rice won vs South Florida this year (35-28)
Previous Matchups
Rice beat South Florida last year (35-28)
South Florida beat Rice in 2023 (42-29)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: USF | RICE
Depth Chart: USF | RICE
Rosters: USF | RICE
(#95) Rice Info
Power Rating: -7.57 #95
Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.27 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Rice has lost 2 straight
Rice has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Rice Notes
(11/26) New HC Abell runs shotgun triple option
(11/25) Bad team awful on road, L to UAB? 4 TOs, Bad D
(11/3) Beat Navy, Run Def great, Off enough in W
(10/28) QB Warner DNP vs UConn, Devillier awful
(10/27) Bloomgren fired, AHC/ST Alamar interim
(10/20) Even w/ Tulane, Warner 3 Int, 5 TOs killed em
(10/12) QB Warner lit UTSA, Rgame awful, Def meh
(10/8) Strange L (Char), OG'd+ 150yds, 0 TO's, still lost
(9/23) Killed by Army, can't run, can't defend. Bad team
(9/17) Off Succ (#132), Expl (#123). Def top 10 Succ
Rice Highlights
Rice is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Rice Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Rice has a really good defense (#10)
Rice has a good pass defense (#8)
Rice Deficiencies
Rice has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Rice Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Rice Can Not Run the Ball (#9)
Rice Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Rice throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Rice offense is really bad (#106)
Rice offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#99)
Rice run game is really bad (#76)
Rice pass game is really bad (#135)
Rice offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Rice Does Not Stuff Runs (#115)
Power Rating: -7.57 #95
Offense Rating: 11.53 #123
Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.4 #109
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.5 #110
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #94
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 62%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.27 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Rice has lost 2 straight
Rice has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)
Rice Notes
(11/26) New HC Abell runs shotgun triple option
(11/25) Bad team awful on road, L to UAB? 4 TOs, Bad D
(11/3) Beat Navy, Run Def great, Off enough in W
(10/28) QB Warner DNP vs UConn, Devillier awful
(10/27) Bloomgren fired, AHC/ST Alamar interim
(10/20) Even w/ Tulane, Warner 3 Int, 5 TOs killed em
(10/12) QB Warner lit UTSA, Rgame awful, Def meh
(10/8) Strange L (Char), OG'd+ 150yds, 0 TO's, still lost
(9/23) Killed by Army, can't run, can't defend. Bad team
(9/17) Off Succ (#132), Expl (#123). Def top 10 Succ
Rice Highlights
Rice is Undefeated vs Spread as Home Underdogs
Rice Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Rice has a really good defense (#10)
Rice has a good pass defense (#8)
Rice Deficiencies
Rice has a bad TO Margin (#28)
Rice Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Rice Can Not Run the Ball (#9)
Rice Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Rice throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Rice offense is really bad (#106)
Rice offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#99)
Rice run game is really bad (#76)
Rice pass game is really bad (#135)
Rice offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Rice Does Not Stuff Runs (#115)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Archie | 172 | 290 | 59% | 1914 | 9 | 10 | 6.6 |
| Byrum Brown | 78 | 132 | 59% | 836 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelley Joiner Jr. | 121 | 799 | 12 | 6.6 | 54 |
| Nay'Quan Wright | 109 | 510 | 8 | 4.7 | 64 |
| Taron Keith | 78 | 419 | 8 | 5.4 | 42 |
| Byrum Brown | 68 | 269 | 3 | 4.0 | 42 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Atkins | 80 | 799 | 2 | 10.0 | 52 |
| Keshaun Singleton | 27 | 428 | 3 | 15.9 | 67 |
| Mike Brown-Stephens | 28 | 350 | 4 | 12.5 | 32 |
| Abdur-Rahmaan Yaseen (Tr) | 21 | 254 | 0 | 12.1 | 51 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Harris | 82 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Tavin Ward | 61 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Jhalyn Shuler | 60 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Jamie Pettway | 56 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Harris | 82 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| Jhalyn Shuler | 60 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Decarius Hawthorne (Tr) | 39 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Ricardo Watson | 36 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Austin (Tr) | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| De'Shawn Rucker (Tr) | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Ben Knox | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E.J. Warner (Tr) | 271 | 438 | 62% | 2710 | 17 | 13 | 6.2 |
| Drew Devillier | 20 | 38 | 53% | 137 | 0 | 0 | 3.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Connors | 159 | 780 | 9 | 4.9 | 71 |
| Quinton Jackson | 48 | 275 | 1 | 5.7 | 45 |
| Taji Atkins | 24 | 158 | 2 | 6.6 | 33 |
| Christian Francisco | 19 | 78 | 0 | 4.1 | 14 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Sykes | 65 | 795 | 5 | 12.2 | 37 |
| Dean Connors | 61 | 472 | 2 | 7.7 | 69 |
| Kobie Campbell | 32 | 372 | 1 | 11.6 | 33 |
| Braylen Walker | 22 | 264 | 1 | 12.0 | 50 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Anthony Morris | 49 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Sean Fresch | 47 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Gabe Taylor | 45 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| Andrew Awe | 44 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Anthony Morris | 49 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Pearcy | 35 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Michael Daley (Tr) | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Gabe Taylor | 45 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Ahoia | 34 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Sean Fresch | 47 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| Gabe Taylor | 45 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 |