South Florida at Memphis Game Matchup

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (3:00 PM EDT)
Memphis -13.5 (68.5) (-500) Open: -13.5
Memphis 59 - South Florida: 50 (American Athletic)

Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 7.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USF coming off BYE
MEM is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Memphis -14 (SP+ MEM -12)
Projected Score: USF: 25 - MEM: 39 (61)
MEM Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
USF Travel: 661 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Tigers (10 - 3) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (24 - 16)
Avg Score : 36 - 24 (38 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 3.9 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
USF Players
MEM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Florida's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	South Florida at Western Kentucky	+13.5	71.5	L 24 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/9	South Florida vs Florida A&M	-20.0	63.0	W 38 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/16	South Florida vs Alabama	+34.0	61.0	L 3 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/23	South Florida vs Rice	+2.5	56.5	W 42 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/30	South Florida at Navy	+4.0	54.0	W 44 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/7	South Florida at UAB	-3.5	68.5	L 35 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/14	South Florida vs Florida Atlantic	-3.0	61.0	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/21	South Florida at UConn	+1.0	57.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	South Florida at Memphis	+13.5	68.5	L 50 - 59	O	Y
Sat 11/11	South Florida vs Temple	-7.5	70.5	W 27 - 23	U	N
Fri 11/17	South Florida at UTSA	+14.5	65.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/25	South Florida vs Charlotte	-7.5	56.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Thu 12/21	South Florida vs Syracuse	+3.0	56.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Memphis's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Memphis vs Bethune-Cookman	-49.0	59.5	W 56 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/9	Memphis at Arkansas State	-21.0	57.0	W 37 - 3	U	Y
Thu 9/14	Memphis vs Navy	-12.5	47.0	W 28 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/23	Memphis vs Missouri	+6.5	52.0	L 27 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/30	Memphis vs Boise State	-3.0	58.0	W 35 - 32	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Memphis vs Tulane	+4.5	54.5	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/21	Memphis at UAB	-7.5	61.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Memphis at North Texas	-6.5	70.0	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/4	Memphis vs South Florida	-13.5	68.5	W 59 - 50	O	N
Sat 11/11	Memphis at Charlotte	-9.5	51.5	W 44 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Memphis vs SMU	+9.5	64.5	L 34 - 38	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Memphis at Temple	-13.5	63.5	W 45 - 21	O	Y
Fri 12/29	Memphis at Iowa State	+10.5	58.0	W 36 - 26	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	.27	44%	32.2	46%	3.54	197	42%	193	4.12	.39	51%	29.8	52%	51%	4.56	36.9	1.7	1.7
MEM	.2	44%	35.7	44%	2.9	142	45%	280	4.16	.18	43%	23.8	41%	46%	4.34	36.9	1.2	2.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MEM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Offense	12	32.2	34.3	44%	4.12	1.7	19	390	197	193	5.3	56%	43%	46%	42%	16%	.27
MEM Defense	13	23.8	19.1	43%	4.34	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	41%	46%	14%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Defense	12	29.8	31.8	51.1%	4.56	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	52%	51%	14%	.39
MEM Offense	13	35.7	38.1	44.3%	4.16	1.2	23	422	142	280	3.8	47%	52%	44%	45%	16%	.2

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Florida	12	29:28	19.3	39%	45%	4.6	36.9	1.7	1.7	5.2	1.2	1	29.9
Memphis	13	30:50	22.5	45%	54%	4.1	36.9	1.2	2.1	4.6	1.6	4	31.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Offense	12	56%	46%	36.8	196.8	5.3	25	.33	3.54	79%	11%	1.2
MEM Defense	13	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.96	70%	8%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Defense	12	54%	52%	-	-	-	-	.41	3.52	70%	10%	1.25
MEM Offense	13	47%	44%	37.9	142.4	3.8	30	.12	2.9	74%	10%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Offense	12	43%	42%	15.7	27.2	192.9	7.1	12.3	18	9	.24	1.6	31%	28%	.33	5%	2.3
MEM Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.3	1.5	32%	36%	.43	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Defense	12	45%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.43	1.5	26%	38%	.5	4%	1.9
MEM Offense	13	52%	45%	22.4	35	280.1	8	12.5	23	8	.31	1.5	30%	33%	.39	6%	2.2

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: -5.66 #95
South Florida's Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
South Florida's Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
2023 Talent Rating: 484.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
South Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10
South Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -5.66 Memphis: 6.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -9.5 Memphis: 2.8

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 6.22 #36
Memphis's Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Memphis's Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
2023 Talent Rating: 596.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Memphis's 2023 Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90
Memphis's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

South Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Memphis 39
South Florida 25

Projected Total Points: 61

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.1
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.1

Memphis's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/12	South Florida	3	Memphis	21	Memphis	Memphis -10	Memphis	61.0	Under
2023	11/04	Memphis	59	South Florida	50	Memphis	Memphis -13.5	South Florida	68.5	Over
2020	11/07	Memphis	34	South Florida	33	Memphis	Memphis -17.5	South Florida	67.0	Push
2019	11/23	South Florida	10	Memphis	49	Memphis	Memphis -15.5	Memphis	60.0	Under
2016	11/12	Memphis	42	South Florida	49	South Florida	South Florida -3	South Florida	76.5	Over
2015	10/02	South Florida	17	Memphis	24	Memphis	Memphis -10.5	South Florida	58.5	Under
2014	11/22	Memphis	31	South Florida	20	Memphis	Memphis -19	South Florida	0
2013	11/16	South Florida	10	Memphis	23	Memphis	Memphis -2.5	Memphis	0
2008	12/20	South Florida	41	Memphis	14	South Florida
2004	11/27	South Florida	15	Memphis	31	Memphis
2003	11/29	Memphis	16	South Florida	21	South Florida
2002	11/09	South Florida	31	Memphis	28	South Florida
2001	09/22	Memphis	17	South Florida	9	Memphis

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Memphis	9	3	2 Overs
South Florida	4	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 7	1 - 7	0 - 3	1 - 4
Road Teams	7 - 6	7 - 1	4 - 1	3 - 0

(#95) South Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.66 #95
Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123
Talent Rating: 484.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10

Team Profile

,
,

South Florida Ratings Matchup Memphis

Power #95

#36

Off #94

#24

Def #92

#71

Talent #97

#74

SP+ #102

#57

SP+ Off #61

#14

SP+ Def #123

#112

Rematch from Week 10
Memphis -13.5 (68.5)
Memphis won vs South Florida this year (59-50)

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat South Florida last year (21-3)
Memphis beat South Florida in 2023 (59-50)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 74°

Team Information
Injuries: USF | MEM
Depth Chart: USF | MEM
Rosters: USF | MEM

(#36) Memphis Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.22 #36
Offense Rating: 22.45 #24
Defense Rating: 9.91 #71
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.8 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #112
Talent Rating: 596.00 #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Expected Record: 9.10 - 3.90

Team Profile

,
,

South Florida's OC Joel Gordon

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Gerry Bohannon	3	4	75%	27	0	1	6.8
Sean Atkins	1	3	33%	12	1	0	4.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kelley Joiner Jr.	121	799	12	6.6	54
Nay'Quan Wright (Tr)	109	510	8	4.7	64
Michel Dukes	63	365	2	5.8	35
Yasias Young	16	56	0	3.5	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sean Atkins	80	799	2	10.0	52
Michel Dukes	43	354	3	8.2	26
Mike Brown-Stephens (Tr)	28	350	4	12.5	32
Nay'Quan Wright (Tr)	22	149	0	6.8	44

View South Florida's Full Roster

South Florida's DC Todd Orlando

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamie Pettway	56	7	2	2	2
Will Jones II	44	4	1	0	3
James Gordon Iv	29	1	1	2	0
Jason Vaughn	22	4	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tramel Logan Jr.	20	6	4	2	0
Jamie Pettway	56	7	2	2	2
Jason Vaughn	22	4	1	0	0
Will Jones II	44	4	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Will Jones II	44	4	1	0	3
Jamie Pettway	56	7	2	2	2
Logan Berryhill	18	1	0	0	1

Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Seth Henigan	309	477	65%	3502	25	6	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jevyon Ducker	148	719	7	4.9	86
Brandon Thomas	57	335	9	5.9	57
Seth Henigan	80	190	1	2.4	23
Roc Taylor	2	5	0	2.5	4

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Roc Taylor	66	950	2	14.4	48
DeMeer Blankumsee (Tr)	45	677	6	15.0	89
Kobe Drake	39	484	1	12.4	29
Jevyon Ducker	15	110	0	7.3	31

View Memphis's Full Roster

Memphis's DC Matt Barnes

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin (Tr)	110	16	7	10	4
Gregory Rubin	74	6	0	3	8
Davion Ross	51	2	0	2	11
Cameron Smith	24	2	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chandler Martin (Tr)	110	16	7	10	4
Cormontae Hamilton	6	1	1	3	1
Zy Brockington	11	1	1	0	0
Cameron Smith	24	2	0	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davion Ross	51	2	0	2	11
Gregory Rubin	74	6	0	3	8
Chandler Martin (Tr)	110	16	7	10	4