South Florida at Memphis Game Matchup
South Florida logo South Florida Bulls at Memphis TigersMemphis logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TN  (American Athletic)

 
Bulls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#46)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
USF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Memphis -4   (SP+ MEM -6)
Projected Score: USF: 29 - MEM: 33 (61)
MEM Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
USF Travel: 661 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (41 - 21)
Avg Score : 36 - 24 (38 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.1 - 2.9 (#16)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
 
South Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 South Florida vs Boise State+9.50.0
Sat 9/6 South Florida at Florida+21.5
Sat 9/13 South Florida at Miami+22
Sat 9/20 South Florida vs South Carolina State-24
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 South Florida vs Charlotte-23.5
Fri 10/10 South Florida at North Texas-6
Sat 10/18 South Florida vs Florida Atlantic-17
Sat 10/25 South Florida at Memphis+4
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 South Florida vs UTSA-2.5
Sat 11/15 South Florida at Navy-3
Sat 11/22 South Florida at UAB-12.5
Sat 11/29 South Florida vs Rice-19.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Memphis's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Memphis vs Chattanooga-25.5
Sat 9/6 Memphis at Georgia State-16
Sat 9/13 Memphis at Troy-4
Sat 9/20 Memphis vs Arkansas+5
Sat 9/27 Memphis at Florida Atlantic-13.5
Sat 10/4 Memphis vs Tulsa-22
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Memphis at UAB-14
Sat 10/25 Memphis vs South Florida-4
Fri 10/31 Memphis at Rice-16
Fri 11/7 Memphis vs Tulane-1
Sat 11/15 Memphis at East Carolina-7
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Memphis vs Navy-9.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)32.239% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)29.838% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)35.746% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)23.840% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1332.234.338.3%3.881.4204081812274.848%52%39%38%15%.17
MEM Defense1323.819.140%4.051.9 - - - - - 43%56%40%40%20%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1329.831.839.2%42.1 - - - - - 49%51%38%40%20%.16
MEM Offense1335.738.143.7%4.660.6234461752705.146%54%46%41%12%.27

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1325:1020.439%56%8.170.91.42.18.12.5230.7
Memphis1333:1423.146%52%5.3480.61.95.81.9032.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1348% (82)39% (112)37.8180.84.834 (10).2 (32)3.06 (60)66% (114)10% (62)1.26 (3)
MEM Defense1343% (5)40% (45) - - - - .09 (50)2.64 (20)64% (22)12% (20)1.13 (120)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1349% (46)38% (17) - - - - .04 (26)2.63 (18)70% (48)13% (11)1.13 (121)
MEM Offense1346% (99)46% (40)34.2175.15.133 (12).22 (26)3.27 (31)69% (93)7% (17)1.06 (38)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1352% (51)38% (106)20.234.1227.56.711.316 (87)10 (63).13 (113)1.5 (109)34% (114)25% (121).22 (105)6% (68)2.2 (21)
MEM Defense1356% (130)40% (62) - - - - - - 11 (52).28 (90)1.7 (93)34% (40)30% (70).43 (112)8% (13)2.4 (134)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1351% (91)40% (69) - - - - - - 13 (31).28 (89)1.6 (78)34% (32)32% (87).3 (64)7% (46)1.9 (32)
MEM Offense1354% (33)41% (71)23.836.8270.57.311.325 (31)6 (10).31 (42)1.6 (47)30% (44)34% (40).47 (16)5% (32)2.1 (61)

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 4.64 #53
South Florida's Offense Rating: 16.82 #49
South Florida's Defense Rating: 12.18 #55
2025 Talent Rating: 850.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #62
South Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
South Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #77
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #44
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 4.64   Memphis: 4.565

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -3.5   Memphis: 2.1




Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 4.565 #60
Memphis's Offense Rating: 17.51 #46
Memphis's Defense Rating: 15.48 #73
2025 Talent Rating: 714.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #44
Memphis's 2025 Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9
Memphis's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #53
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #23
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #94

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

South Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 33
South Florida 29

Projected Total Points: 61
Memphis Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.1
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.1

Memphis's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12South Florida3Memphis21MemphisMemphis -10Memphis61.0Under
202311/04Memphis59South Florida50MemphisMemphis -13.5South Florida68.5Over
202011/07Memphis34South Florida33MemphisMemphis -17.5South Florida67.0Push
201911/23South Florida10Memphis49MemphisMemphis -15.5Memphis60.0Under
201611/12Memphis42South Florida49South FloridaSouth Florida -3South Florida76.5Over
201510/02South Florida17Memphis24MemphisMemphis -10.5South Florida58.5Under
201411/22Memphis31South Florida20MemphisMemphis -19South Florida0
201311/16South Florida10Memphis23MemphisMemphis -2.5Memphis0
200812/20South Florida41Memphis14South Florida
200411/27South Florida15Memphis31Memphis
200311/29Memphis16South Florida21South Florida
200211/09South Florida31Memphis28South Florida
200109/22Memphis17South Florida9Memphis
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Memphis932 Overs
South Florida453 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 71 - 70 - 31 - 4
Road Teams7 - 67 - 14 - 13 - 0

(#53) South Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.64 #53
Offense Rating: 16.82 #49
Defense Rating: 12.18 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107
Talent Rating: 850.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #62
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 38%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


South Florida Notes
(5/11) OL top 10 exp, 78% returning, 22% via portal
(3/23) QB Brown vs Archie, both inconsistent LY
(3/23) RB rebuild. Norton (Char) added, some depth
(3/23) WR lost #1, Nimrod (Tenn)/Singleton good
(3/23) OL returns 4/5. 3 more with exp, 2 portals
(3/23) Def bad LY, return a lot. 3 DL portals added
(3/23) OL improve? QB settle? Could be really good
(3/23) HC Golesh former OC. Big year for staff
South Florida     Ratings Matchup     Memphis
Power #53
#60
Off #49
#46
Def #55
#73
Talent #32
#69
SP+ #77
#53
SP+ Off #44
#23
SP+ Def #107
#94

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat South Florida last year (21-3)
Memphis beat South Florida in 2023 (59-50)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USF | MEM
Depth Chart: USF | MEM
Rosters: USF | MEM
(#60) Memphis Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.565 #60
Offense Rating: 17.51 #46
Defense Rating: 15.48 #73
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.1 #53
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #23
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #94
Talent Rating: 714.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #44
Expected Record: 9.1 - 2.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.66 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Good OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.05 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Memphis Notes
(5/23) Memphis was 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) 61% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/12) RB looks very thin. No portals after Amos left
(4/8) OL 2/5 back, 6 portals. X. Hill (OT) left in spring
(3/22) WR rebuild. 3 portals, watch Caldwell (FCS)
(3/22) Def replacing most, 17 portals added, 8 DBs
(3/22) Near last in return prod, over 50% roster new
(3/22) QB Lewis a real weapon (Nev), huge add


  
South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Archie17229059%19149106.6
Byrum Brown7813259%836206.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cartevious Norton (Tr)12952574.162
Byrum Brown6826934.042
Bryce Archie6813722.035
Sam Franklin (Tr)1813207.334
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keshaun Singleton27428315.967
Joshua Porter2421008.832
Wyatt Sullivan (Tr)13155211.938
Chas Nimrod (Tr)10121012.127

View South Florida's Full Roster
South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Tavin Ward612003
Rocco Nicholl (Tr)611032
Jhalyn Shuler607441
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Chavez Brown (Tr)498410
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Ira Singleton123310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
De'Shawn Rucker412007
Ben Knox221106
Izaiah Guy (Tr)300005

Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendon Lewis (Tr)21131268%22901677.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brendon Lewis (Tr)15777584.967
Gregory DeRosiers3122837.446
Makari Bodiford1510617.140
Jamari Hawkins43107.810
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gregory DeRosiers2117548.325
Marcello Bussey10147114.736
Brady Kluse590018.034
Jadon Thompson (Tr)688214.733

View Memphis's Full Roster
Memphis's DC Jordon Hankins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)758341
Drue Watts (Tr)655103
Sam Brumfield (Tr)613201
Cam Burden (Tr)573002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
William Whitlow Jr.248531
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)758341
Isaiah Green (Tr)283240
Sam Brumfield (Tr)613201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chauncey Logan (Tr)232003
Drue Watts (Tr)655103
Chris Bracy (Tr)180002