South Florida at Memphis - 2025 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo South Florida Bulls at Memphis TigersMemphis logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium - Memphis, TN  (American Athletic)

 
Bulls (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (15 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
USF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Memphis -14   (SP+ MEM -12)

Projected Score: USF: 18 - MEM: 32 (49)
MEM Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
USF Travel: 661 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (3 - 0) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (41 - 21)
Avg Score : 37 - 11 (45 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 11 - 1 (#1)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)
 
South Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 South Florida vs Boise State+8.563.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 South Florida at Florida+18.558.0W 18 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 South Florida at Miami+17.556.5L 12 - 49ON
Sat 9/20 South Florida vs South Carolina State-27
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 South Florida vs Charlotte-23
Fri 10/10 South Florida at North Texas+3.5
Sat 10/18 South Florida vs Florida Atlantic-14.5
Sat 10/25 South Florida at Memphis+14
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 South Florida vs UTSA-6
Sat 11/15 South Florida at Navy+0.5
Sat 11/22 South Florida at UAB-15.5
Sat 11/29 South Florida vs Rice-16.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Memphis's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Memphis vs Chattanooga-30.555.5W 45 - 10UY
Sat 9/6 Memphis at Georgia State-14.557.5W 38 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 Memphis at Troy-4.551.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Memphis vs Arkansas+7.063.5
Sat 9/27 Memphis at Florida Atlantic-21.5
Sat 10/4 Memphis vs Tulsa-29
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Memphis at UAB-27
Sat 10/25 Memphis vs South Florida-14
Fri 10/31 Memphis at Rice-23
Fri 11/7 Memphis vs Tulane-13.5
Sat 11/15 Memphis at East Carolina-11
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/27 Memphis vs Navy-16

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#86 (.15)33% (129)21.328% (134)2.62 (102)9537% (106)2704 (67)#76 (.15)43% (93)2447% (107)40% (69)3.79 (80)48.70.72
MEM#47 (.28)49% (37)3750% (39)3.8 (9)21847% (44)2035.12 (27)#21 (-.03)34% (31)1131% (15)37% (50)1.89 (12)550.71.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense321.31533.3%40.717365952703.443%57%28%37%16%.15
MEM Defense3111034.3%1.891.3 - - - - - 43%56%31%37%24%-.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense32432.543%3.792 - - - - - 46%53%47%40%13%.15
MEM Offense3374548.6%5.120.7224212182035.659%40%50%47%12%.28

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida324:2816.737%40%648.70.724.71026.2
Memphis331:4022.347%75%5.7550.71.39.33228.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense343% (111)28% (134)28953.43 (95)-.03 (114)2.62 (102)78% (41)9% (70)1.36 (15)
MEM Defense343% (24)31% (15) - - - - -.18 (10)2.21 (22)44% (15)16% (7)0.96 (74)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense346% (44)47% (107) - - - - .08 (77)3.2 (111)80% (107)8% (94)0.75 (24)
MEM Offense359% (21)50% (39)39.3218.35.611 (8).3 (31)3.8 (9)83% (28)9% (80)1.09 (41)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense357% (23)37% (106)21.3342707.912.73 (90)1 (23).29 (69)1.6 (54)41% (131)22% (120).31 (76)7% (113)2.6 (5)
MEM Defense356% (115)37% (50) - - - - - - 4 (12).11 (39)1.6 (84)40% (10)29% (71).34 (88)7% (38)2.2 (106)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense353% (86)40% (69) - - - - - - 3 (28).26 (82)1.5 (62)30% (96)35% (107).3 (78)5% (85)1.4 (11)
MEM Offense340% (117)47% (44)18.325202.78.111.12 (102)1 (23).35 (60)1.5 (65)27% (35)31% (69).25 (89)3% (16)2.2 (38)

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 7.09 #64
South Florida's Offense Rating: 14.13 #60
South Florida's Defense Rating: 7.04 #68
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
South Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
South Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #53
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #91

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 7.09   Memphis: 17.81

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 0.4   Memphis: 11.9




Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: 17.81 #32
Memphis's Offense Rating: 19.59 #34
Memphis's Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
2025 Talent Rating: 776.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Memphis's 2025 Expected Record: 11.0 - 1.0
Memphis's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #29
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #55

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 15
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.5

South Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 32
South Florida 18


Total Points: 49

Memphis Scoring
Offense: 37 PPG
Offense at Home: 45
Defense: 11 PPG
Defense at Home: 10

Memphis's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12South Florida3Memphis21MemphisMemphis -10Memphis61.0Under
202311/04Memphis59South Florida50MemphisMemphis -13.5South Florida68.5Over
202011/07Memphis34South Florida33MemphisMemphis -17.5South Florida67.0Push
201911/23South Florida10Memphis49MemphisMemphis -15.5Memphis60.0Under
201611/12Memphis42South Florida49South FloridaSouth Florida -3South Florida76.5Over
201510/02South Florida17Memphis24MemphisMemphis -10.5South Florida58.5Under
201411/22Memphis31South Florida20MemphisMemphis -19South Florida0
201311/16South Florida10Memphis23MemphisMemphis -2.5Memphis0
200812/20South Florida41Memphis14South Florida
200411/27South Florida15Memphis31Memphis
200311/29Memphis16South Florida21South Florida
200211/09South Florida31Memphis28South Florida
200109/22Memphis17South Florida9Memphis
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Memphis932 Overs
South Florida453 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 71 - 70 - 31 - 4
Road Teams7 - 67 - 14 - 13 - 0

(#64) South Florida Info
Power Rating: 7.09 #64
Offense Rating: 14.13 #60
Defense Rating: 7.04 #68
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #91
Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 33%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Awful Run Success 28%
Poor Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

South Florida has lost 5 straight
South Florida has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

South Florida Notes
(8/28) LB good, exp'd. Starters have over 40 starts
(7/12) Golesh go-go offense could fun after Sept
(6/2) RBs Franklin (OU) & Norton (Char) added
(5/11) OL top 10 exp, 78% returning, 22% via portal
(3/23) QB Brown vs Archie, both inconsistent LY
(3/23) WR lost #1, Nimrod (Tenn)/Singleton good
(3/23) OL returns 4/5. 3 more with exp, 2 portals
(3/23) Def bad LY, return a lot. 3 DL portals added
(3/23) OL improve? QB settle? Could be really good
(3/23) HC Golesh former OC. Big year for staff

South Florida Highlights
South Florida offense is explosive (#14)
South Florida does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#21)

South Florida has a great TO Margin (#28)
South Florida defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

South Florida Deficiencies
South Florida Can Not Run the Ball (#123)
South Florida offense is really bad (#129)
South Florida run game is really bad (#134)
South Florida pass game is really bad (#106)
South Florida does not Sack the QB (#112)
South Florida has a bad defensive line (#111)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMEMUSF
OverallOver#33#104
OffenseOff#38#100
DefenseDef#39#103
Special TeamsST#78#109
PassingPass#24#70
RushingRush#72#85
Run BlockRBLK#28#114
Pass BlockPBLK#36#66
Route RunningWR Rt#51#93
TacklingTkl#116#114
Run DefenseR Def#23#110
Pass Rush DefPRush#66#96
Coverage DefCov#38#62

Previous Matchups
Memphis beat South Florida last year (21-3)
Memphis beat South Florida in 2023 (59-50)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USF | MEM
Depth Chart: USF | MEM
Rosters: USF | MEM
(#32) Memphis Info
Power Rating: 17.81 #32
Offense Rating: 19.59 #34
Defense Rating: 0.87 #30
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.9 #29
Offense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #14
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #55
Talent Rating: 776.00 #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Expected Record: 11.0 - 1.0

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 59%, Pass: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 49%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 5.12 PPO
Good Run Success 50%
Good Pass Success 47%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Great in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Great Run Def Success 31%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Memphis has lost 4 straight
Memphis has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Memphis Notes
(8/13) Real $$, biggest NIL spender in the G5
(8/13) QB Lewis a weapon (Nev), wins QB1 job in fall
(6/17) 4* QB AJ Hill was the only blue chip QB to G5
(5/23) Memphis was 5-1 in 1 score games LY
(5/11) 61% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/12) RB looks very thin. No portals after Amos left
(4/8) OL 2/5 back, 6 portals. X. Hill (OT) left in spring
(3/22) WR rebuild. 3 portals, watch Caldwell (FCS)
(3/22) Def replacing most, 17 portals added, 8 DBs
(3/22) Near last in return prod, over 50% roster new

Memphis Highlights
Memphis is Undefeated vs Spread
Memphis in Undefeated
Memphis is Undefeated at Home
Memphis is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Memphis has Really Good Running Game (#20)
Memphis has a top Offensive Line (#9)
Memphis offense is good in red zone (#27)
Memphis offense is good on 3rd downs
Memphis does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#14)

Memphis Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Memphis defense is really good in red zone (#12)
Memphis has a good run defense (#15)
Memphis Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#11)
Memphis Defensive Line is very good (#22)
Memphis Front 7 is disruptive (#7)
Memphis has a great TO Margin (#28)
Memphis defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Memphis Deficiencies


  
South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Byrum Brown599662%747217.8
Gaston Moore (Tr)4580%18003.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Byrum Brown4411122.523
Alvon Isaac1410807.749
Cartevious Norton (Tr)154913.38
Sam Franklin (Tr)81902.45
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chas Nimrod (Tr)10248024.855
Keshaun Singleton9207223.066
Wyatt Sullivan (Tr)87509.430
Alvon Isaac774010.629

View South Florida's Full Roster
South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhalyn Shuler292002
Mac Harris262220
De'Shawn Rucker211001
Tavin Ward160001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris262220
Ricardo Watson152110
Jhalyn Shuler292002
Boogsie Silvera (Tr)50000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhalyn Shuler292002
De'Shawn Rucker211001
Tavin Ward160001

Memphis's OC Tim Cramsey
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendon Lewis (Tr)557573%608218.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sutton Smith4124746.050
Brendon Lewis (Tr)3219025.922
Frank Peasant (Tr)1611617.318
Makari Bodiford216333.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamari Hawkins9176019.650
Cortez Braham9153117.030
Sutton Smith75207.439
Jadon Thompson (Tr)246023.040

View Memphis's Full Roster
Memphis's DC Jordon Hankins
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Brumfield (Tr)174310
William Whitlow Jr.153120
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)155212
Demarco Ward (Tr)140010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Brumfield (Tr)174310
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)155212
Jalen Bell (Tr)113210
Drue Watts (Tr)142142
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Omarion Cooper (Tr)90003
Everett Roussaw Jr. (Tr)155212
Drue Watts (Tr)142142