South Florida at UAB Game Matchup
South Florida logo South Florida Bulls at UAB BlazersUAB logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Protective Stadium - Birmingham, AL  (American Athletic)

 
Bulls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#46)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
USF 2nd straight Road Game
UAB 2nd straight Home Game
UAB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: South Florida -12.5   (SP+ USF -10.5)

Projected Score: USF: 38 - UAB: 25 (61)
USF Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
USF Travel: 460 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Blazers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (34 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
 
South Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 South Florida vs Boise State+9.50.0
Sat 9/6 South Florida at Florida+21.5
Sat 9/13 South Florida at Miami+22
Sat 9/20 South Florida vs South Carolina State-24
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 South Florida vs Charlotte-23.5
Fri 10/10 South Florida at North Texas-6
Sat 10/18 South Florida vs Florida Atlantic-17
Sat 10/25 South Florida at Memphis+4
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 South Florida vs UTSA-2.5
Sat 11/15 South Florida at Navy-3
Sat 11/22 South Florida at UAB-12.5
Sat 11/29 South Florida vs Rice-19.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
UAB's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 UAB vs Alabama State-9
Sat 9/6 UAB at Navy+12.5
Sat 9/13 UAB vs Akron-7.5
Sat 9/20 UAB at Tennessee+34
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UAB vs Army+8.5
Sat 10/11 UAB at Florida Atlantic+3.5
Sat 10/18 UAB vs Memphis+14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UAB at UConn+13
Sat 11/8 UAB at Rice+0.5
Sat 11/15 UAB vs North Texas+4
Sat 11/22 UAB vs South Florida+12.5
Sat 11/29 UAB at Tulsa-0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)32.239% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)29.838% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)26.247% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)34.352% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UAB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense1332.234.338.3%3.881.4204081812274.848%52%39%38%15%.17
UAB Defense1234.330.244.9%4.241.1 - - - - - 58%42%52%35%13%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense1329.831.839.2%42.1 - - - - - 49%51%38%40%20%.16
UAB Offense1226.233.544.7%3.432.222393131262445%55%47%44%18%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida1325:1020.439%56%8.170.91.42.18.12.5230.7
UAB1229:2621.638%46%8.273.82.21.141.5327.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense1348% (82)39% (112)37.8180.84.834 (10).2 (32)3.06 (60)66% (114)10% (62)1.26 (3)
UAB Defense1258% (131)52% (132) - - - - .26 (127)3.64 (134)88% (132)7% (132)0.87 (17)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense1349% (46)38% (17) - - - - .04 (26)2.63 (18)70% (48)13% (11)1.13 (121)
UAB Offense1245% (108)47% (32)32.613149 (125).1 (85)3.19 (42)80% (21)12% (111)0.73 (132)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense1352% (51)38% (106)20.234.1227.56.711.316 (87)10 (63).13 (113)1.5 (109)34% (114)25% (121).22 (105)6% (68)2.2 (21)
UAB Defense1242% (4)35% (12) - - - - - - 8 (93).18 (43)1.8 (121)29% (113)32% (92).32 (74)6% (62)1.8 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense1351% (91)40% (69) - - - - - - 13 (31).28 (89)1.6 (78)34% (32)32% (87).3 (64)7% (46)1.9 (32)
UAB Offense1255% (28)44% (48)23.737.1261.67.111.124 (38)16 (124).25 (71)1.5 (94)31% (59)31% (73).4 (40)6% (79)2.1 (37)

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 4.64 #53
South Florida's Offense Rating: 16.82 #49
South Florida's Defense Rating: 12.18 #55
2025 Talent Rating: 850.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #62
South Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
South Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #77
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #44
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 4.64   UAB: -11.945

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -3.5   UAB: -13.8




UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -11.945 #107
UAB's Offense Rating: 7.88 #105
UAB's Defense Rating: 22.97 #109
2025 Talent Rating: 464.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8 #112
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #130

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

South Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 38
UAB 25


Projected Total Points: 61
UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.2

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19South Florida35UAB25South FloridaSouth Florida -14UAB55.5Over
202310/07UAB56South Florida35UABSouth Florida -3.5UAB68.5Over
200411/03UAB20South Florida45South Florida
200311/22South Florida19UAB22UAB
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UAB222 Overs
South Florida200 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#53) South Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.64 #53
Offense Rating: 16.82 #49
Defense Rating: 12.18 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107
Talent Rating: 850.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #62
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 38%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


South Florida Notes
(5/11) OL top 10 exp, 78% returning, 22% via portal
(3/23) QB Brown vs Archie, both inconsistent LY
(3/23) RB rebuild. Norton (Char) added, some depth
(3/23) WR lost #1, Nimrod (Tenn)/Singleton good
(3/23) OL returns 4/5. 3 more with exp, 2 portals
(3/23) Def bad LY, return a lot. 3 DL portals added
(3/23) OL improve? QB settle? Could be really good
(3/23) HC Golesh former OC. Big year for staff
South Florida     Ratings Matchup     UAB
Power #53
#107
Off #49
#105
Def #55
#109
Talent #32
#115
SP+ #77
#112
SP+ Off #44
#84
SP+ Def #107
#130

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat UAB last year (35-25)
UAB beat South Florida in 2023 (56-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USF | UAB
Depth Chart: USF | UAB
Rosters: USF | UAB
(#107) UAB Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.945 #107
Offense Rating: 7.88 #105
Defense Rating: 22.97 #109
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #130
Talent Rating: 464.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UAB Notes
(3/23) QB Kitna returns. JAG, not mobile. Have depth
(3/23) RB rebuild, Jackson (UTEP) added, short depth
(3/23) Why is Dilfer still here? Roster says not for long


  
South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Archie17229059%19149106.6
Byrum Brown7813259%836206.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cartevious Norton (Tr)12952574.162
Byrum Brown6826934.042
Bryce Archie6813722.035
Sam Franklin (Tr)1813207.334
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keshaun Singleton27428315.967
Joshua Porter2421008.832
Wyatt Sullivan (Tr)13155211.938
Chas Nimrod (Tr)10121012.127

View South Florida's Full Roster
South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Tavin Ward612003
Rocco Nicholl (Tr)611032
Jhalyn Shuler607441
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Chavez Brown (Tr)498410
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Ira Singleton123310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
De'Shawn Rucker412007
Ben Knox221106
Izaiah Guy (Tr)300005

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Kitna19631662%220917117.0
Harrison Barker33100%491016.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)19175443.942
Isaiah Jacobs4116204.012
Solomon Beebe228113.716
Harrison Barker53306.613
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corri Milliner24416317.345
Iverson Hooks14179112.839
Jevon Jackson (Tr)169926.222
Antonio Ferguson (Tr)790112.939

View UAB's Full Roster
UAB's DC Steve Russ
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Baka (Tr)903005
Sirad Bryant591000
AJ Brown312121
Perry Fisher (Tr)271002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Denver Warren (Tr)213311
James Smyre92200
Amorie Morrison (Tr)194250
AJ Brown312121
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Baka (Tr)903005
Donald Lee201023
Perry Fisher (Tr)271002