South Florida at UAB - 2025 Matchup Preview
South Florida logo South Florida Bulls at UAB BlazersUAB logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Protective Stadium - Birmingham, AL  (American Athletic)

 
Bulls (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (15 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
USF 2nd straight Road Game
UAB 2nd straight Home Game
UAB is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: South Florida -15.5   (SP+ USF -13)

Projected Score: USF: 38 - UAB: 23 (61)
USF Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
USF Travel: 460 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Blazers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 36 - 36 (42 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 4)
 
South Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 South Florida vs Boise State+8.563.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 South Florida at Florida+18.558.0W 18 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 South Florida at Miami+17.556.5L 12 - 49ON
Sat 9/20 South Florida vs South Carolina State-27
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 South Florida vs Charlotte-23
Fri 10/10 South Florida at North Texas+3.5
Sat 10/18 South Florida vs Florida Atlantic-14.5
Sat 10/25 South Florida at Memphis+14
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 South Florida vs UTSA-6
Sat 11/15 South Florida at Navy+0.5
Sat 11/22 South Florida at UAB-15.5
Sat 11/29 South Florida vs Rice-16.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 0, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
UAB's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 UAB vs Alabama State-21.053.5W 52 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 UAB at Navy+20.559.0L 24 - 38OY
Sat 9/13 UAB vs Akron-12.558.5W 31 - 28ON
Sat 9/20 UAB at Tennessee+39.569.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 UAB vs Army+5
Sat 10/11 UAB at Florida Atlantic+8.5
Sat 10/18 UAB vs Memphis+27
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 UAB at UConn+20.5
Sat 11/8 UAB at Rice+6.5
Sat 11/15 UAB vs North Texas+16.5
Sat 11/22 UAB vs South Florida+15.5
Sat 11/29 UAB at Tulsa+5.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#86 (.15)33% (129)21.328% (134)2.62 (102)9537% (106)2704 (67)#76 (.15)43% (93)2447% (107)40% (69)3.79 (80)48.70.72
UAB#13 (.45)55% (16)35.755% (20)3.53 (25)14956% (15)3034.58 (43)#136 (.56)58% (135)3659% (134)56% (132)4.92 (120)33.71.30.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)39% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)38% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)47% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)52% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Offense321.31533.3%40.717365952703.443%57%28%37%16%.15
UAB Defense3363558.2%4.920.3 - - - - - 72%28%59%56%12%.56
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USF Defense32432.543%3.792 - - - - - 46%53%47%40%13%.15
UAB Offense335.741.554.7%4.581.3244521493034.853%46%55%56%10%.45

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Florida324:2816.737%40%648.70.724.71026.2
UAB327:4824.341%43%4.333.71.30.362.3130.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Offense343% (111)28% (134)28953.43 (95)-.03 (114)2.62 (102)78% (41)9% (70)1.36 (15)
UAB Defense372% (136)59% (134) - - - - .35 (129)3.49 (128)89% (119)11% (56)0.95 (73)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USF Defense346% (44)47% (107) - - - - .08 (77)3.2 (111)80% (107)8% (94)0.75 (24)
UAB Offense353% (54)55% (20)31148.74.87 (38).32 (29)3.53 (25)67% (86)5% (13)1.06 (48)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Offense357% (23)37% (106)21.3342707.912.73 (90)1 (23).29 (69)1.6 (54)41% (131)22% (120).31 (76)7% (113)2.6 (5)
UAB Defense328% (1)56% (132) - - - - - - 01.11 (136)2.5 (136)25% (127)52% (135).93 (135)2% (134)2.1 (93)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USF Defense353% (86)40% (69) - - - - - - 3 (28).26 (82)1.5 (62)30% (96)35% (107).3 (78)5% (85)1.4 (11)
UAB Offense346% (86)56% (15)23.733.7303912.86 (34)3 (92).68 (9)1.5 (64)21% (8)50% (4).83 (7)5% (68)2.3 (31)

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 7.09 #64
South Florida's Offense Rating: 14.13 #60
South Florida's Defense Rating: 7.04 #68
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
South Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
South Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #53
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #91

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 7.09   UAB: -11.725

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: 0.4   UAB: -12.6




UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -11.725 #118
UAB's Offense Rating: 15.26 #51
UAB's Defense Rating: 31.11 #135
2025 Talent Rating: 530.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6 #114
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #76
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.7 #131

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


South Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 15
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.5

South Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 38
UAB 23


Total Points: 61

UAB Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.5
Defense: 36 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19South Florida35UAB25South FloridaSouth Florida -14UAB55.5Over
202310/07UAB56South Florida35UABSouth Florida -3.5UAB68.5Over
200411/03UAB20South Florida45South Florida
200311/22South Florida19UAB22UAB
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UAB222 Overs
South Florida200 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#64) South Florida Info
Power Rating: 7.09 #64
Offense Rating: 14.13 #60
Defense Rating: 7.04 #68
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.4 #69
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #53
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #91
Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 43%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 33%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Awful Run Success 28%
Poor Pass Success 37%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.79 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 47%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

South Florida has lost 8 straight
South Florida has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

South Florida Notes
(8/28) LB good, exp'd. Starters have over 40 starts
(7/12) Golesh go-go offense could fun after Sept
(6/2) RBs Franklin (OU) & Norton (Char) added
(5/11) OL top 10 exp, 78% returning, 22% via portal
(3/23) QB Brown vs Archie, both inconsistent LY
(3/23) WR lost #1, Nimrod (Tenn)/Singleton good
(3/23) OL returns 4/5. 3 more with exp, 2 portals
(3/23) Def bad LY, return a lot. 3 DL portals added
(3/23) OL improve? QB settle? Could be really good
(3/23) HC Golesh former OC. Big year for staff

South Florida Highlights
South Florida offense is explosive (#14)
South Florida does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#21)

South Florida has a great TO Margin (#28)
South Florida defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

South Florida Deficiencies
South Florida Can Not Run the Ball (#123)
South Florida offense is really bad (#129)
South Florida run game is really bad (#134)
South Florida pass game is really bad (#106)
South Florida does not Sack the QB (#112)
South Florida has a bad defensive line (#111)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUABUSF
OverallOver#47#104
OffenseOff#22#100
DefenseDef#83#103
Special TeamsST#51#109
PassingPass#31#70
RushingRush#32#85
Run BlockRBLK#37#114
Pass BlockPBLK#32#66
Route RunningWR Rt#30#93
TacklingTkl#35#114
Run DefenseR Def#46#110
Pass Rush DefPRush#85#96
Coverage DefCov#108#62

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat UAB last year (35-25)
UAB beat South Florida in 2023 (56-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: USF | UAB
Depth Chart: USF | UAB
Rosters: USF | UAB
(#118) UAB Info
Power Rating: -11.725 #118
Offense Rating: 15.26 #51
Defense Rating: 31.11 #135
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6 #114
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #76
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.7 #131
Talent Rating: 530.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Great Offense Success Rate of 55%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Great Run Success 55%
Great Pass Success 56%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 58%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.92 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 59%
Awful Pass Def Success 56%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UAB has lost 7 straight
UAB has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

UAB Notes
(8/30) Def torched by Ala. St, 300 pass, 200 rush
(8/30) Run Off good vs Ala St, Kitna decent, we'll see
(6/14) RB Jackson has 2k yds past two years (Utep/FCS)
(6/14) Def poor LY, added 17 portals, 5 DL, 10 DBs
(6/14) WR Milliner had decent Fr year, 3 portals, meh
(6/14) OL 2/5 back, looks bad. 4 portals w/ no exp
(6/14) Both OL & DL look weak & lack playmakers
(3/23) QB Kitna returns. JAG, not mobile. Have depth
(3/23) RB rebuild, Jackson (UTEP) added, short depth
(3/23) Why is Dilfer still here? Roster says not for long

UAB Highlights
UAB is Undefeated at Home

UAB offense is efficent (#16)
UAB has a top Offensive Line (#25)
UAB commits very few Penalties (#30)
UAB defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

UAB Deficiencies
UAB Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UAB Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
UAB has a bad defense (#135)
UAB Does Not Stuff Runs (#119)
UAB has a bad defensive line (#128)
UAB has a bad red zone defense (#120)


  
South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Byrum Brown599662%747217.8
Gaston Moore (Tr)4580%18003.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Byrum Brown4411122.523
Alvon Isaac1410807.749
Cartevious Norton (Tr)154913.38
Sam Franklin (Tr)81902.45
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chas Nimrod (Tr)10248024.855
Keshaun Singleton9207223.066
Wyatt Sullivan (Tr)87509.430
Alvon Isaac774010.629

View South Florida's Full Roster
South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhalyn Shuler292002
Mac Harris262220
De'Shawn Rucker211001
Tavin Ward160001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris262220
Ricardo Watson152110
Jhalyn Shuler292002
Boogsie Silvera (Tr)50000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jhalyn Shuler292002
De'Shawn Rucker211001
Tavin Ward160001

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Kitna7010070%892638.9
Iverson Hooks11100%170017.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)4627736.048
Isaiah Jacobs199515.021
Solomon Beebe187224.012
Nate Rogers1818.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corri Milliner17268315.849
Iverson Hooks16229214.351
Solomon Beebe10121012.136
BJ Hawkins Jr.10120012.041

View UAB's Full Roster
UAB's DC Steve Russ
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pierre Royster (Tr)230000
Devin Hightower (Tr)211000
Chris Burge163310
Eamon Smalls151010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Burge163310
Kyle Mosley31100
J'Quan Mason11100
Eli Ennis (Tr)72100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tamarion Crumpley (Tr)81004
Perry Fisher (Tr)30002
Sirad Bryant131002