Florida Atlantic at South Florida Game Matchup
Florida Atlantic logo Florida Atlantic Owls at South Florida BullsSouth Florida logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL  (American Athletic)

 
Owls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Zach Kittley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 26 - 30 (23 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#107)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 9)
FAU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: South Florida -17   (SP+ USF -11)

Projected Score: FAU: 21 - USF: 38 (59)
USF Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
FAU Travel: 184 miles
Bulls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (13 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#46)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 7)
 
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Florida Atlantic at Maryland+17.50.0
Sat 9/6 Florida Atlantic vs Florida A&M-10
Sat 9/13 Florida Atlantic vs Florida International+1.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Florida Atlantic vs Memphis+13.5
Sat 10/4 Florida Atlantic at Rice-0.5
Sat 10/11 Florida Atlantic vs UAB-3.5
Sat 10/18 Florida Atlantic at South Florida+17
Sat 10/25 Florida Atlantic at Navy+11.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Florida Atlantic vs Tulsa-6.5
Sat 11/15 Florida Atlantic at Tulane+19.5
Sat 11/22 Florida Atlantic vs UConn+7.5
Sat 11/29 Florida Atlantic vs East Carolina+4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida Atlantic's Schedule
South Florida's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 South Florida vs Boise State+9.50.0
Sat 9/6 South Florida at Florida+21.5
Sat 9/13 South Florida at Miami+22
Sat 9/20 South Florida vs South Carolina State-24
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 South Florida vs Charlotte-23.5
Fri 10/10 South Florida at North Texas-6
Sat 10/18 South Florida vs Florida Atlantic-17
Sat 10/25 South Florida at Memphis+4
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6 South Florida vs UTSA-2.5
Sat 11/15 South Florida at Navy-3
Sat 11/22 South Florida at UAB-12.5
Sat 11/29 South Florida vs Rice-19.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU#80 (.17)39% (108)25.940% (107)3.15 (48)18939% (99)2093.19 (122)#90 (.21)41% (54)30.343% (72)38% (39)3.72 (62)51.61.51.6
USF#83 (.17)38% (118)32.239% (112)3.06 (60)18138% (106)2273.88 (74)#66 (.16)39% (36)29.838% (17)40% (69)4 (88)70.91.42.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FAU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Offense1225.923.339.2%3.191.520398189209554%45%40%39%17%.17
USF Defense1329.827.239.2%42.1 - - - - - 49%51%38%40%20%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FAU Defense1230.330.840.6%3.721.6 - - - - - 52%47%43%38%16%.21
USF Offense1332.233.638.3%3.881.4204081812274.848%52%39%38%15%.17

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida Atlantic1230:2219.535%47%6.651.61.51.65.71.4128.5
South Florida1325:1020.439%56%8.170.91.42.18.12.5230.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Offense1254% (41)40% (107)38189.2524 (45).2 (34)3.15 (48)64% (118)12% (113)1.28 (2)
USF Defense1349% (46)38% (17) - - - - .04 (26)2.63 (18)70% (48)13% (11)1.13 (121)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FAU Defense1252% (86)43% (72) - - - - .16 (87)3.09 (86)83% (124)10% (65)1.05 (97)
USF Offense1348% (82)39% (112)37.8180.84.834 (10).2 (32)3.06 (60)66% (114)10% (62)1.26 (3)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Offense1245% (98)39% (99)17.129.2208.67.212.214 (108)11 (72).19 (96)1.6 (51)33% (105)32% (65).39 (46)5% (37)2.1 (43)
USF Defense1351% (91)40% (69) - - - - - - 13 (31).28 (89)1.6 (78)34% (32)32% (87).3 (64)7% (46)1.9 (32)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FAU Defense1247% (45)38% (39) - - - - - - 11 (52).28 (94)1.8 (129)34% (33)32% (88).35 (91)6% (52)2.2 (108)
USF Offense1352% (51)38% (106)20.234.1227.56.711.316 (87)10 (63).13 (113)1.5 (109)34% (114)25% (121).22 (105)6% (68)2.2 (21)

Florida Atlantic's Power Ratings
Florida Atlantic's Power Rating: -12.99 #101
Florida Atlantic's Offense Rating: 7.74 #108
Florida Atlantic's Defense Rating: 20.73 #101
2025 Talent Rating: 646.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4
Florida Atlantic's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.4 #115
Florida Atlantic's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #109
Florida Atlantic's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #114

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -12.99   South Florida: 3.07

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida Atlantic: -14.4   South Florida: -3.5




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: 3.07 #53
South Florida's Offense Rating: 16.82 #49
South Florida's Defense Rating: 12.18 #55
2025 Talent Rating: 850.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
South Florida's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
South Florida's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #77
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #44
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 532.14
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Florida Atlantic Scoring
Offense: 25.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.3
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Florida Atlantic's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 38
Florida Atlantic 21


Projected Total Points: 59
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

South Florida's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/01Florida Atlantic21South Florida44South FloridaSouth Florida -1.5South Florida48.0Over
202310/14South Florida14Florida Atlantic56Florida AtlanticSouth Florida -3Florida Atlantic61.0Over
201309/14South Florida10Florida Atlantic28Florida AtlanticSouth Florida -10.5Florida Atlantic0
201010/02South Florida31Florida Atlantic3South Florida
200710/06Florida Atlantic23South Florida35South Florida
200208/29South Florida51Florida Atlantic10South Florida
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida412 Overs
Florida Atlantic220 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 40 - 30 - 20 - 1
Road Teams4 - 23 - 01 - 02 - 0

(#101) Florida Atlantic Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.99 #101
Offense Rating: 7.74 #108
Defense Rating: 20.73 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.4 #115
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #109
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.4 #114
Talent Rating: 646.00 #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 4.6 - 7.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.19 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Florida Atlantic Notes
(5/17) Kittley Air Raid offense lead by Veltkamp, fun
(5/17) 19 portal adds on Def, 8 DL, 8 DBs. Bad LY
(3/24) QB Veltkamp a big portal+ from WKU LY
(3/24) New HC Kittley was OC at T Tech. Likely OC
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. No portals, some depth
(3/24) WR rebuild. 4 portal adds. Messer (WKU) good
(3/24) OL complete rebuild. Least exp'd line in CFB
(3/24) No portal OL? 2 PT players from LY. Looks bad
(3/24) Looks like a rough year 0 situation
Florida Atlantic     Ratings Matchup     South Florida
Power #101
#53
Off #108
#49
Def #101
#55
Talent #79
#32
SP+ #115
#77
SP+ Off #109
#44
SP+ Def #114
#107

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat Florida Atlantic last year (44-21)
Florida Atlantic beat South Florida in 2023 (56-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FAU | USF
Depth Chart: FAU | USF
Rosters: FAU | USF
(#53) South Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.07 #53
Offense Rating: 16.82 #49
Defense Rating: 12.18 #55
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 #77
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.4 #44
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107
Talent Rating: 850.00 #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #62
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 38%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.88 PPO
Awful Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


South Florida Notes
(5/11) OL top 10 exp, 78% returning, 22% via portal
(3/23) QB Brown vs Archie, both inconsistent LY
(3/23) RB rebuild. Norton (Char) added, some depth
(3/23) WR lost #1, Nimrod (Tenn)/Singleton good
(3/23) OL returns 4/5. 3 more with exp, 2 portals
(3/23) Def bad LY, return a lot. 3 DL portals added
(3/23) OL improve? QB settle? Could be really good
(3/23) HC Golesh former OC. Big year for staff


  
Florida Atlantic's OC Vacant
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)25838966%310825108.0
Zach Gibson (Tr)10215168%1004726.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Terrell14261318.693
Caden Veltkamp (Tr)11315071.325
Gemari Sands3111723.822
Kasen Weisman157114.717
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Easton Messer (Tr)55793414.464
Jabari Smith17296317.476
Sean Wilson8121115.168
Dom Henry680013.319

View Florida Atlantic's Full Roster
Florida Atlantic's DC Brett Dewhurst
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jackson Ambush686202
Wendol Philord416104
Dillion Williams (Tr)340001
Cecil Doggette Jr.327330
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cecil Doggette Jr.327330
Jackson Ambush686202
Gavench Marcelin84210
Wendol Philord416104
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Wendol Philord416104
Cameron Goggins160002
Jackson Ambush686202

South Florida's OC Joel Gordon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Archie17229059%19149106.6
Byrum Brown7813259%836206.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cartevious Norton (Tr)12952574.162
Byrum Brown6826934.042
Bryce Archie6813722.035
Sam Franklin (Tr)1813207.334
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keshaun Singleton27428315.967
Joshua Porter2421008.832
Wyatt Sullivan (Tr)13155211.938
Chas Nimrod (Tr)10121012.127

View South Florida's Full Roster
South Florida's DC Todd Orlando
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Tavin Ward612003
Rocco Nicholl (Tr)611032
Jhalyn Shuler607441
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mac Harris8212462
Chavez Brown (Tr)498410
Jhalyn Shuler607441
Ira Singleton123310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
De'Shawn Rucker412007
Ben Knox221106
Izaiah Guy (Tr)300005