East Carolina at South Florida - 2022 Matchup Preview

East Carolina Pirates vs South Florida Bulls

Saturday, October 1st 2022 (2:30 PM EDT)
East Carolina -10 (55.5)
East Carolina 48 - South Florida: 28 (Moved from Raymond James Stadium due to inclement weather)

Pirates (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Houston (14 - 19)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (31 - 21 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USF is playing their 5th straight game
ECU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -9 (SP+ ECU -18)
Projected Score: ECU: 25 - USF: 33 (58)
ECU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
ECU Travel: 657 miles

Bulls (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bob Shoop (3 - 18)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ECU Players
USF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

East Carolina's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	East Carolina vs NC State	+12.5	52.0	L 20 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/10	East Carolina vs Old Dominion	-13.0	49.5	W 39 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/17	East Carolina vs Campbell	-32.5	58.0	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/24	East Carolina vs Navy	-16.5	48.5	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/1	East Carolina vs South Florida	-10.0	55.5	W 48 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/8	East Carolina at Tulane	+2.5	56.0	L 9 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/15	East Carolina vs Memphis	-5.5	62.5	W 47 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/22	East Carolina vs UCF	+5.5	63.0	W 34 - 13	U	Y
Fri 10/28	East Carolina at BYU	+3.0	64.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/11	East Carolina at Cincinnati	+4.5	51.5	L 25 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/19	East Carolina vs Houston	-6.0	66.5	L 3 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/26	East Carolina at Temple	-9.5	52.0	W 49 - 46	O	N
Tue 12/27	East Carolina vs Coastal Carolina	-7.0	67.5	W 53 - 29	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

South Florida's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	South Florida vs BYU	+11.0	58.5	L 21 - 50	O	N
Sat 9/10	South Florida vs Howard	-39.5	61.5	W 42 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/17	South Florida at Florida	+23.5	58.0	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/24	South Florida at Louisville	+15.5	63.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/1	South Florida vs East Carolina	+10.0	55.5	L 28 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/8	South Florida at Cincinnati	+27.0	58.5	L 24 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/15	South Florida vs Tulane	+12.0	55.0	L 31 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	South Florida at Houston	+17.0	59.0	L 27 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/5	South Florida at Temple	-3.5	49.0	L 28 - 54	O	N
Sat 11/12	South Florida vs SMU	+17.5	72.5	L 23 - 41	U	N
Fri 11/18	South Florida at Tulsa	+14.0	57.5	L 42 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/26	South Florida vs UCF	+20.0	67.5	L 39 - 46	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU	.19	41%	32.7	40%	2.75	162	41%	271	3.65	.21	40%	20.1	43%	38%	3.7	49.3	1.8	1.9
USF	.15	42%	40.5	46%	2.91	158	38%	192	3.42	.33	49%	23.4	47%	51%	4.19	45.7	1.8	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ECU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Offense	12	32.7	30.8	40.6%	3.65	1.8	22	433	162	271	4.1	49%	51%	40%	41%	19%	.19
USF Defense	12	23.4	14.3	48.9%	4.19	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	47%	51%	12%	.33

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ECU Defense	12	20.1	20.8	40.4%	3.7	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	43%	38%	19%	.21
USF Offense	12	40.5	51	42.2%	3.42	1.8	20	351	158	192	3.9	55%	45%	46%	38%	16%	.15

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
East Carolina	12	33:59	22.3	35%	72%	5.3	49.3	1.8	1.9	6.1	2.2	2	29.5
South Florida	12	30:29	20.3	34%	53%	5	45.7	1.8	1.5	4.1	0.8	4	27.9

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Offense	12	49%	40%	39.6	162.4	4.1	20	.1	2.75	70%	12%	1.08
USF Defense	12	51%	47%	-	-	-	-	.3	3.15	78%	8%	1.17

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ECU Defense	12	49%	43%	-	-	-	-	.18	3.02	70%	11%	1.1
USF Offense	12	55%	46%	40.6	158.2	3.9	25	.14	2.91	67%	12%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Offense	12	51%	41%	21.8	35.3	270.8	7.7	12.5	21	11	.28	1.7	33%	30%	.26	7%	2.1
USF Defense	12	49%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.38	1.4	29%	31%	.28	5%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ECU Defense	12	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.24	1.7	33%	28%	.25	8%	2.1
USF Offense	12	45%	38%	15.9	29.5	192.4	6.5	12.1	6	12	.17	1.5	32%	31%	.33	5%	1.9

East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: NR
East Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
East Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
East Carolina's 2022 Expected Record: -
East Carolina's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1 #68
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #51
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: South Florida: -8.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
East Carolina: 1.1 South Florida: -17.0

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: -8.5 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2022 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.0 #120
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #38
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 50.3 #133

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

East Carolina's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 33
East Carolina 25

Projected Total Points: 58

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/01	South Florida	28	East Carolina	48	East Carolina -10	East Carolina	55.5	Over
2021	10/28	East Carolina	29	South Florida	14	East Carolina -9.5	East Carolina	55.5	Under
2020	10/10	South Florida	24	East Carolina	44	South Florida -5.5	East Carolina	58.5	Over
2019	10/26	East Carolina	20	South Florida	45	South Florida -1	South Florida	51.0	Over
2018	09/22	South Florida	20	East Carolina	13	South Florida -20.5	East Carolina	67.5	Under
2017	09/30	East Carolina	31	South Florida	61	South Florida -22.5	South Florida	73.0	Over
2016	10/08	South Florida	38	East Carolina	22	South Florida -20	East Carolina	68.5	Under
2015	11/07	East Carolina	17	South Florida	22	East Carolina -3	South Florida	55.0	Under
2014	10/11	South Florida	17	East Carolina	28	East Carolina -14.5	South Florida	0
2006	12/23	East Carolina	7	South Florida	24
2004	11/13	South Florida	41	East Carolina	17
2003	11/08	East Carolina	37	South Florida	38
2002	10/19	East Carolina	30	South Florida	46

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Florida	9	4	4 Overs
East Carolina	4	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 9	2 - 7	1 - 4	1 - 3
Road Teams	9 - 4	7 - 2	3 - 1	4 - 1

(#) ECU at (#) USF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ECU	USF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#68	#120
Perf GradeGrade	#77	#115
OffenseOff	#49	#66
DefenseDef	#119	#134
Spec TeamsST	#41	#34
TalentTal	#82	#69
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

East Carolina Injury Report

South Florida Injury Report

East Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	ECU Off	USF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#49	#134
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#51	#133
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

East Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	#31	#131
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#75	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#113

East Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	ECU Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	#14	#133
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#101	#132
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	ECU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#66	#119
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#38	#75
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	ECU Def
Run GameRun	#38	#45
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#85	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#40

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	ECU Def
Pass GamePass	#67	#128
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#37	#130
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

ECU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
East Carolina 10.0 (55.5)
East Carolina won at South Florida this year (48-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ECU's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Blake Harrell (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USF's OC Travis Trickett (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Bob Shoop (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD