South Florida at Syracuse - 2023 Matchup Preview

Thursday, December 21st 2023 (8:00 PM EST)
Syracuse -3 (56.0) (100) Open: -3.0 | 59.0
South Florida 45 - Syracuse: 0 (RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl)

Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 32 - 30 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 7.1 (#76)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 20.6 MPH
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Syracuse -7 (SP+ SYR -9)
Projected Score: USF: 27 - SYR: 34 (63)
SYR Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
USF Travel: 1100 miles

Orange (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Dino Babers (39 - 49)
Avg Score : 34 - 29 (35 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
USF Players
SYR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Florida's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	South Florida at Western Kentucky	+13.5	71.5	L 24 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/9	South Florida vs Florida A&M	-20.0	63.0	W 38 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/16	South Florida vs Alabama	+34.0	61.0	L 3 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/23	South Florida vs Rice	+2.5	56.5	W 42 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/30	South Florida at Navy	+4.0	54.0	W 44 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/7	South Florida at UAB	-3.5	68.5	L 35 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/14	South Florida vs Florida Atlantic	-3.0	61.0	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/21	South Florida at UConn	+1.0	57.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	South Florida at Memphis	+13.5	68.5	L 50 - 59	O	Y
Sat 11/11	South Florida vs Temple	-7.5	70.5	W 27 - 23	U	N
Fri 11/17	South Florida at UTSA	+14.5	65.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/25	South Florida vs Charlotte	-7.5	56.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Thu 12/21	South Florida vs Syracuse	+3.0	56.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Syracuse's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Syracuse vs Colgate	-40.0	49.5	W 65 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Syracuse vs Western Michigan	-24.5	56.5	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Syracuse at Purdue	-1.0	56.5	W 35 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Syracuse vs Army	-13.0	50.5	W 29 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/30	Syracuse vs Clemson	+7.0	52.0	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/7	Syracuse at North Carolina	+9.5	59.0	L 7 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/14	Syracuse at Florida State	+18.5	53.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26	Syracuse at Virginia Tech	+2.5	47.5	L 10 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/3	Syracuse vs Boston College	-3.0	51.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/11	Syracuse vs Pittsburgh	+4.5	37.5	W 28 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Syracuse at Georgia Tech	+6.5	51.5	L 22 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/25	Syracuse vs Wake Forest	-3.0	43.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Thu 12/21	Syracuse vs South Florida	-3.0	56.0	L 0 - 45	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	.27	44%	32.2	46%	3.54	197	42%	193	4.12	.39	51%	29.8	52%	51%	4.56	36.9	1.7	1.7
SYR	.19	45%	34.1	48%	3.17	143	43%	232	3.83	.13	47%	29.2	49%	44%	3.42	63.3	1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SYR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Offense	12	32.2	34.3	44%	4.12	1.7	19	390	197	193	5.3	56%	43%	46%	42%	16%	.27
SYR Defense	13	29.2	26.1	46.5%	3.42	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	49%	44%	16%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Defense	12	29.8	31.8	51.1%	4.56	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	52%	51%	14%	.39
SYR Offense	13	34.1	35.1	45%	3.83	1	20	375	143	232	4.2	46%	53%	48%	43%	19%	.19

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Florida	12	29:28	19.3	39%	45%	4.6	36.9	1.7	1.7	5.2	1.2	1	29.9
Syracuse	13	28:14	20.2	37%	42%	8.6	63.3	1	1.7	5.8	2.5	2	30.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Offense	12	56%	46%	36.8	196.8	5.3	25	.33	3.54	79%	11%	1.2
SYR Defense	13	57%	49%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.27	67%	12%	0.8

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Defense	12	54%	52%	-	-	-	-	.41	3.52	70%	10%	1.25
SYR Offense	13	46%	48%	34.1	143.1	4.2	21	.22	3.17	70%	12%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Offense	12	43%	42%	15.7	27.2	192.9	7.1	12.3	18	9	.24	1.6	31%	28%	.33	5%	2.3
SYR Defense	13	43%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.18	1.3	25%	29%	.21	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Defense	12	45%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.43	1.5	26%	38%	.5	4%	1.9
SYR Offense	13	53%	43%	17.5	28.5	231.6	8.1	13.2	19	9	.16	1.5	33%	32%	.35	6%	2

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: -5.66 #95
South Florida's Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
South Florida's Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
2023 Talent Rating: 484.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
South Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10
South Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -5.66 Syracuse: -0.655

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -9.5 Syracuse: -1.0

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -0.655 #65
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 14.09 #89
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 8.31 #49
2023 Talent Rating: 646.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Syracuse's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Syracuse's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #68
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #82
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 758.94
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 32.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

South Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Syracuse 34
South Florida 27

Projected Total Points: 63

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 34.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.1
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.1

Syracuse's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/21	Syracuse	0	South Florida	45	South Florida	Syracuse -3	South Florida	56.0	Under
2016	09/17	Syracuse	20	South Florida	45	South Florida	South Florida -13.5	South Florida	74.5	Under
2015	10/10	South Florida	45	Syracuse	24	South Florida	South Florida -5	South Florida	47.0	Over
2012	10/27	South Florida	36	Syracuse	37	Syracuse
2011	11/11	Syracuse	17	South Florida	37	South Florida
2010	10/09	South Florida	9	Syracuse	13	Syracuse
2009	10/03	Syracuse	20	South Florida	34	South Florida
2008	10/18	South Florida	45	Syracuse	13	South Florida
2007	11/10	Syracuse	10	South Florida	41	South Florida
2006	11/11	South Florida	27	Syracuse	10	South Florida
2005	11/12	Syracuse	0	South Florida	27	South Florida

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Syracuse	2	0	1 Overs
South Florida	9	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 8	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	8 - 3	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 1

South Florida Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Raton Bowl	South Florida vs Syracuse	+3.0	56.0	W 45 - 0
2018	Gasparilla Bowl	South Florida vs Marshall	+3.5	51.0	L 20 - 38
2017	Birmingham Bowl	South Florida vs Texas Tech	-2.0	66.0	W 38 - 34

Syracuse Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Raton Bowl	Syracuse vs South Florida	-3.0	56.0	L 0 - 45
2022	Pinstripe Bowl	Syracuse vs Minnesota	+10.5	45.0	L 20 - 28
2018	World Bowl	Syracuse vs West Virginia	-3.0	67.5	W 34 - 18

(#95) South Florida Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.66 #95
Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123
Talent Rating: 484.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10

Team Profile

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South Florida has played in 3 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 1)
South Florida has played in 12 Bowls since 2000 (8 - 4)

South Florida Ratings Matchup Syracuse

Power #95

#65

Off #94

#89

Def #92

#49

Talent #97

#64

SP+ #102

#68

SP+ Off #61

#82

SP+ Def #123

#50

Rematch from Week 1
Syracuse -3.0 (56.0)
South Florida won at Syracuse this year (45-0)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat Syracuse in 2023 (45-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 66° - Wind: 21 mph

Team Information
Injuries: USF | SYR
Depth Chart: USF | SYR
Rosters: USF | SYR

(#65) Syracuse Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.655 #65
Offense Rating: 14.09 #89
Defense Rating: 8.31 #49
Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #68
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #82
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #50
Talent Rating: 646.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90

Team Profile

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,

Syracuse has played in 4 Bowls in the last 5 years (2 - 2)
Syracuse has played in 9 Bowls since 2000 (6 - 3)

South Florida's OC Joel Gordon

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Gerry Bohannon	3	4	75%	27	0	1	6.8
Sean Atkins	1	3	33%	12	1	0	4.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kelley Joiner Jr.	121	799	12	6.6	54
Nay'Quan Wright (Tr)	109	510	8	4.7	64
Michel Dukes	63	365	2	5.8	35
Yasias Young	16	56	0	3.5	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sean Atkins	80	799	2	10.0	52
Michel Dukes	43	354	3	8.2	26
Mike Brown-Stephens (Tr)	28	350	4	12.5	32
Nay'Quan Wright (Tr)	22	149	0	6.8	44

View South Florida's Full Roster

South Florida's DC Todd Orlando

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jamie Pettway	56	7	2	2	2
Will Jones II	44	4	1	0	3
James Gordon Iv	29	1	1	2	0
Jason Vaughn	22	4	1	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tramel Logan Jr.	20	6	4	2	0
Jamie Pettway	56	7	2	2	2
Jason Vaughn	22	4	1	0	0
Will Jones II	44	4	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Will Jones II	44	4	1	0	3
Jamie Pettway	56	7	2	2	2
Logan Berryhill	18	1	0	0	1

Syracuse's OC Jason Beck

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Damien Alford	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lequint Allen	228	1021	16	4.5	30
Juwuan Price	14	64	0	4.6	18
Deston Hawkins	6	32	0	5.3	22
Oronde Gadsden II	1	12	0	12.0	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Oronde Gadsden II	72	922	7	12.8	39
Lequint Allen	64	529	4	8.3	33
Deston Hawkins	7	33	0	4.7	9
Juwuan Price	2	14	0	7.0	12

View Syracuse's Full Roster

Syracuse's DC Rocky Long

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Barron	85	10	2	4	3
Alijah Clark	59	4	0	1	4
Marlowe Wax	42	7	5	1	0
Leon Lowery	29	1	1	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marlowe Wax	42	7	5	1	0
Justin Barron	85	10	2	4	3
Leon Lowery	29	1	1	4	0
Mekhi Mason	28	4	1	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alijah Clark	59	4	0	1	4
Jeremiah Wilson	24	4	0	0	4
Justin Barron	85	10	2	4	3