South Florida at Syracuse - 2023 Matchup Preview

Thursday, December 21st 2023 (8:00 PM EST)
Syracuse -3 (56.0) (100) Open: -3.0 | 59.0
South Florida 45 - Syracuse: 0 (RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl)

Bulls (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Alex Golesh (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (35 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 7.1 (#76)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: Syracuse -7 (SP+ SYR -9)
Projected Score: USF: 26 - SYR: 33 (58)
SYR Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
USF Travel: 184 miles

Orange (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Dino Babers (39 - 49)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (22 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.1 - 5.9 (#59)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
USF Players
SYR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Florida's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	South Florida at Western Kentucky	+13.5	71.5	L 24 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/9	South Florida vs Florida A&M	-20.0	63.0	W 38 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/16	South Florida vs Alabama	+34.0	61.0	L 3 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/23	South Florida vs Rice	+2.5	56.5	W 42 - 29	O	Y
Sat 9/30	South Florida at Navy	+4.0	54.0	W 44 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/7	South Florida at UAB	-3.5	68.5	L 35 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/14	South Florida vs Florida Atlantic	-3.0	61.0	L 14 - 56	O	N
Sat 10/21	South Florida at UConn	+1.0	57.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	South Florida at Memphis	+13.5	68.5	L 50 - 59	O	Y
Sat 11/11	South Florida vs Temple	-7.5	70.5	W 27 - 23	U	N
Fri 11/17	South Florida at UTSA	+14.5	65.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/25	South Florida vs Charlotte	-7.5	56.5	W 48 - 14	O	Y
Thu 12/21	South Florida vs Syracuse	+3.0	56.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule

Syracuse's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Syracuse vs Colgate	-40.0	49.5	W 65 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Syracuse vs Western Michigan	-24.5	56.5	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Syracuse at Purdue	-1.0	56.5	W 35 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Syracuse vs Army	-13.0	50.5	W 29 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/30	Syracuse vs Clemson	+7.0	52.0	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/7	Syracuse at North Carolina	+9.5	59.0	L 7 - 40	U	N
Sat 10/14	Syracuse at Florida State	+18.5	53.5	L 3 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/26	Syracuse at Virginia Tech	+2.5	47.5	L 10 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/3	Syracuse vs Boston College	-3.0	51.0	L 10 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/11	Syracuse vs Pittsburgh	+4.5	37.5	W 28 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Syracuse at Georgia Tech	+6.5	51.5	L 22 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/25	Syracuse vs Wake Forest	-3.0	43.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Thu 12/21	Syracuse vs South Florida	-3.0	56.0	L 0 - 45	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF	.27	44%	40.5	46%	3.54	197	42%	193	4.12	.39	51%	23.4	52%	51%	4.56	36.9	1.7	1.7
SYR	.19	45%	20.2	48%	3.17	143	43%	232	3.83	.13	47%	34.9	49%	44%	3.42	63.3	1	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SYR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Offense	12	40.5	35	44%	4.12	1.7	19	390	197	193	5.3	56%	43%	46%	42%	16%	.27
SYR Defense	13	34.9	28.8	46.5%	3.42	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	49%	44%	16%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
USF Defense	12	23.4	32.3	51.1%	4.56	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	54%	45%	52%	51%	14%	.39
SYR Offense	13	20.2	21.8	45%	3.83	1	20	375	143	232	4.2	46%	53%	48%	43%	19%	.19

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Florida	12	29:28	19.3	39%	45%	4.6	36.9	1.7	1.7	5.2	1.2	1	29.9
Syracuse	13	28:14	20.2	37%	42%	8.6	63.3	1	1.7	5.8	2.5	2	30.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Offense	12	56%	46%	36.8	196.8	5.3	25	.33	3.54	79%	11%	1.2
SYR Defense	13	57%	49%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.27	67%	12%	0.8

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
USF Defense	12	54%	52%	-	-	-	-	.41	3.52	70%	10%	1.25
SYR Offense	13	46%	48%	34.1	143.1	4.2	21	.22	3.17	70%	12%	0.98

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Offense	12	43%	42%	15.7	27.2	192.9	7.1	12.3	18	9	.24	1.6	31%	28%	.33	5%	2.3
SYR Defense	13	43%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.18	1.3	25%	29%	.21	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
USF Defense	12	45%	51%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.43	1.5	26%	38%	.5	4%	1.9
SYR Offense	13	53%	43%	17.5	28.5	231.6	8.1	13.2	19	9	.16	1.5	33%	32%	.35	6%	2

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: -5.66 #95
South Florida's Offense Rating: 13.60 #94
South Florida's Defense Rating: 11.46 #92
2023 Talent Rating: 622.89 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
South Florida's 2023 Expected Record: 5.90 - 7.10
South Florida's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 #102
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #61
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.0 #123

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -5.66 Syracuse: -0.655

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Florida: -9.5 Syracuse: -1.0

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -0.655 #65
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 14.09 #89
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 8.31 #49
2023 Talent Rating: 610.75 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Syracuse's 2023 Expected Record: 7.10 - 5.90
Syracuse's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #68
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #82
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.7 #50

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

South Florida's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Syracuse 33
South Florida 26

Projected Total Points: 58

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.8
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

Syracuse's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/21	Syracuse	0	South Florida	45	Syracuse -3	South Florida	56.0	Under
2016	09/17	Syracuse	20	South Florida	45	South Florida -13.5	South Florida	74.5	Under
2015	10/10	South Florida	45	Syracuse	24	South Florida -5	South Florida	47.0	Over
2012	10/27	South Florida	36	Syracuse	37
2011	11/11	Syracuse	17	South Florida	37
2010	10/09	South Florida	9	Syracuse	13
2009	10/03	Syracuse	20	South Florida	34
2008	10/18	South Florida	45	Syracuse	13
2007	11/10	Syracuse	10	South Florida	41
2006	11/11	South Florida	27	Syracuse	10
2005	11/12	Syracuse	0	South Florida	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Syracuse	2	0	1 Overs
South Florida	9	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 8	1 - 2	1 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	8 - 3	2 - 1	1 - 0	1 - 1

South Florida Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Raton Bowl	South Florida vs Syracuse	+3.0	56.0	W 45 - 0
2018	Gasparilla Bowl	South Florida vs Marshall	+3.5	51.0	L 20 - 38
2017	Birmingham Bowl	South Florida vs Texas Tech	-2.0	66.0	W 38 - 34

Syracuse Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2023	Raton Bowl	Syracuse vs South Florida	-3.0	56.0	L 0 - 45
2022	Pinstripe Bowl	Syracuse vs Minnesota	+10.5	45.0	L 20 - 28
2018	World Bowl	Syracuse vs West Virginia	-3.0	67.5	W 34 - 18

(#95) USF at (#65) SYR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	USF	SYR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#95	#65
SP+SP+	#102	#68
Perf GradeGrade	#102	#92
OffenseOff	#107	#115
DefenseDef	#78	#39
Spec TeamsST	#79	#88
TalentTal	#65	#69
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

South Florida Injury Report

Syracuse Injury Report

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	SYR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#107	#39
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#94	#49
SP+SP+	#61	#50
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	#57	#37
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#130	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#20

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	#74	#32
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#93	#101
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Syracuse on Offense


CategoryCat	SYR Off	USF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#115	#78
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#89	#92
SP+SP+	#82	#123
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Syracuse Run Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	#84	#53
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#111

Syracuse Pass Game


CategoryCat	SYR Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#103
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#66	#48
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
SYR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'23 Profile: Remains Top G5

USF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FAU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Syracuse -3.0 (56.0)
South Florida won at Syracuse this year (45-0)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat Syracuse in 2023 (45-0)

USF's OC Joel Gordon (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Byrum Brown	276	426	65%	3292	26	11	7.7
Bryce Archie (Tr)	7	15	47%	53	0	0	3.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Byrum Brown	203	809	11	4.0	60
Nay'Quan Wright (Tr)	180	797	8	4.4	47
Michel Dukes	63	350	2	5.6	30
K'Wan Powell	61	215	1	3.5	27

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sean Atkins	92	1054	7	11.5	88
Naiem Simmons (Tr)	39	637	5	16.3	53
Khafre Brown	27	435	5	16.1	84
Mike Brown-Stephens (Tr)	27	350	2	13.0	38

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Todd Orlando (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jhalyn Shuler	97	9	2	3	5
Daquan Evans	64	14	4	5	7
Jaelen Stokes	61	5	2	1	1
James Gordon Iv	58	9	4	4	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daquan Evans	64	14	4	5	7
James Gordon Iv	58	9	4	4	2
Jhalyn Shuler	97	9	2	3	5
Jonathan Ross	47	7	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tavin Ward	38	3	0	0	8
Daquan Evans	64	14	4	5	7
Jhalyn Shuler	97	9	2	3	5

SYR's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Shrader	134	214	63%	1691	13	6	7.9
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson	26	51	51%	282	3	6	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lequint Allen	244	1063	9	4.4	56
Garrett Shrader	114	460	8	4.0	39
Dan Villari	55	326	2	5.9	38
Juwuan Price	48	166	0	3.5	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Damien Alford	33	610	3	18.5	47
Umari Hatcher	32	482	3	15.1	48
Donovan Brown	27	321	1	11.9	86
Lequint Allen	38	210	1	5.5	26

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Rocky Long (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marlowe Wax	105	12	4	4	2
Justin Barron	89	5	1	1	8
Alijah Clark	62	4	0	2	3
Derek Mcdonald	61	4	3	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevon Darton	43	8	5	3	0
Caleb Okechukwu	36	8	5	2	1
Marlowe Wax	105	12	4	4	2
Leon Lowery	45	8	4	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Barron	89	5	1	1	8
Isaiah Johnson	58	1	0	0	5
Jason Simmons Jr.	45	0	0	1	5