Houston at South Florida - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 6th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Houston -13.5 (53.0)
Houston 54 - South Florida: 42 (American Athletic)

Cougars (12 - 2) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dana Holgorsen (9 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 23 (31 - 20 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

USF is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -9 (SP+ HOU -23)
Projected Score: HOU: 24 - USF: 34 (58)
HOU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
HOU Travel: 786 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bulls (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Charlie Weis Jr. (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
HOU Players
USF Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Houston's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Houston vs Texas Tech	-2.5	63.0	L 21 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/11	Houston at Rice	-7.5	50.0	W 44 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Houston vs Grambling	-41.0	51.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Houston vs Navy	-20.0	47.0	W 28 - 20	O	N
Fri 10/1	Houston at Tulsa	+3.0	54.0	W 45 - 10	O	Y
Thu 10/7	Houston at Tulane	-6.5	60.0	W 40 - 22	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Houston vs East Carolina	-13.5	56.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/30	Houston vs SMU	+1.0	61.5	W 44 - 37	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Houston at South Florida	-13.5	53.0	W 54 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/13	Houston at Temple	-26.0	52.5	W 37 - 8	U	Y
Fri 11/19	Houston vs Memphis	-9.0	59.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Houston at UConn	-32.0	54.5	W 45 - 17	O	N
Sat 12/4	Houston at Cincinnati	+10.5	52.5	L 20 - 35	O	N
Tue 12/28	Houston vs Auburn	+2.0	51.5	W 17 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Houston's Schedule

South Florida's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	South Florida at NC State	+20.0	58.0	L 0 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/11	South Florida vs Florida	+29.0	57.0	L 20 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/18	South Florida vs Florida A&M	-22.5	50.0	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/25	South Florida at BYU	+23.5	54.5	L 27 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/2	South Florida at SMU	+21.5	68.5	L 17 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	South Florida vs Tulsa	+7.5	56.0	L 31 - 32	O	Y
Sat 10/23	South Florida vs Temple	-1.5	54.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Thu 10/28	South Florida at East Carolina	+9.5	55.5	L 14 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/6	South Florida vs Houston	+13.5	53.0	L 42 - 54	O	Y
Fri 11/12	South Florida vs Cincinnati	+24.5	58.5	L 28 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/20	South Florida at Tulane	+5.5	59.5	L 14 - 45	U	N
Fri 11/26	South Florida at UCF	+17.0	62.0	L 13 - 17	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU	.16	42%	29.1	42%	2.97	143	43%	266	3.5	.21	41%	22.8	39%	42%	3.62	66.4	2	0.8
USF	.08	40%	40.5	40%	2.83	149	41%	217	2.29	.22	47%	23.4	46%	48%	4.29	48.9	1.9	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
HOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Offense	8	29.1	31	42.4%	3.5	2	23	408	143	266	3.9	47%	53%	42%	43%	17%	.16
USF Defense	9	23.4	14.3	46.6%	4.29	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	46%	48%	13%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
HOU Defense	8	22.8	19.5	40.7%	3.62	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	39%	42%	18%	.21
USF Offense	9	40.5	51	40.3%	2.29	1.9	21	365	149	217	4	48%	51%	40%	41%	20%	.08

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Houston	8	31:13	22.6	40%	74%	7.5	66.4	2	0.8	7.4	3	2	28.7
South Florida	9	28:27	21	31%	29%	5.3	48.9	1.9	1.4	4.8	0.8	3	28.5

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Offense	8	47%	42%	36.5	142.5	3.9	12	.09	2.97	71%	10%	0.93
USF Defense	9	56%	46%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.94	79%	8%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
HOU Defense	8	52%	39%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.56	66%	12%	1.2
USF Offense	9	48%	40%	37.4	148.8	4	11	.07	2.83	72%	14%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Offense	8	53%	43%	21.9	37.1	265.8	7.2	12.2	15	10	.22	1.6	34%	36%	.4	6%	1.9
USF Defense	9	44%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.34	1.6	29%	34%	.46	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
HOU Defense	8	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.3	1.7	34%	30%	.24	6%	2
USF Offense	9	51%	41%	20.8	34.7	216.6	6.3	10.4	12	6	.09	1.4	34%	25%	.09	6%	2

Houston's Power Ratings
Houston's Power Rating: NR
Houston's Offense Rating: NR
Houston's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Houston's 2021 Expected Record: -
Houston's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.9 #31
Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #51
Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 #18

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Houston: South Florida: -3.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Houston: 10.9 South Florida: -12.1

South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: -3.55 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2021 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #111
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #96
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2 #118

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Houston Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Houston's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
South Florida 34
Houston 24

Projected Total Points: 58

South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/29	Houston	42	South Florida	27	Houston -17	South Florida	59.0	Over
2021	11/06	South Florida	42	Houston	54	Houston -13.5	South Florida	53.0	Over
2020	11/14	Houston	56	South Florida	21	Houston -15	Houston	58.5	Over
2018	10/27	Houston	57	South Florida	36	Houston -10	Houston	76.0	Over
2017	10/28	South Florida	24	Houston	28	South Florida -10	Houston	55.0	Under
2014	11/01	South Florida	3	Houston	27	Houston -10	Houston	0
2013	10/31	Houston	35	South Florida	23	Houston -10.5	Houston	0
2001	11/03	South Florida	45	Houston	6

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
South Florida	1	2	4 Overs
Houston	7	5	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 3	4 - 3	3 - 2	1 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 5	3 - 4	1 - 1	2 - 3

(#) HOU at (#) USF

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	HOU	USF
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#111
Perf GradeGrade	#5	#114
OffenseOff	#28	#111
DefenseDef	#6	#118
Spec TeamsST	#30	#29
TalentTal	#66	#73
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Houston Injury Report

South Florida Injury Report

Houston on Offense


CategoryCat	HOU Off	USF Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#28	#118
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#51	#118
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Houston Run Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	USF Def
Run GameRun	#90	#117
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#62	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#135

Houston Pass Game


CategoryCat	HOU Off	USF Def
Pass GamePass	#5	#111
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#33	#124
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

South Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	USF Off	HOU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#111	#6
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#96	#18
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

South Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	HOU Def
Run GameRun	#87	#11
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#113	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#61

South Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	USF Off	HOU Def
Pass GamePass	#124	#24
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#51	#2
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

HOU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Houston 13.5 (53.0)
Houston won at South Florida this year (54-42)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

HOU's OC Shannon Dawson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Houston's Full Roster

HOU's DC Doug Belk (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

USF's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Glenn Spencer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD