Florida at South Florida - 2021 Matchup Preview
Florida logo   Florida Gators at South Florida Bulls  South Florida logo
Saturday, September 11th 2021 (1:00 PM EDT)
Florida -29 (57.0)
Florida 42 - South Florida: 20

 
Gators (6 - 7) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (31 - 10)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (13 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -9  (SP+ FLA -23)
Projected Score: FLA: 18 - USF: 36 (54)
FLA Win prob: 96% | Cover: 42%
FLA Travel: 116 miles
Bulls (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Charlie Weis Jr. (2 - 10)
Avg Score : 41 - 23 (51 - 14 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Florida vs Florida Atlantic-23.551.5W 35 - 14UN
Sat 9/11 Florida at South Florida-29.057.0W 42 - 20ON
Sat 9/18 Florida vs Alabama+14.059.5L 29 - 31OY
Sat 9/25 Florida vs Tennessee-19.065.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 10/2 Florida at Kentucky-7.556.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 10/9 Florida vs Vanderbilt-39.060.5W 42 - 0UY
Sat 10/16 Florida at LSU-12.561.0L 42 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Florida vs Georgia+14.050.0L 7 - 34UN
Sat 11/6 Florida at South Carolina-20.552.0L 17 - 40ON
Sat 11/13 Florida vs Samford-36.068.5W 70 - 52ON
Sat 11/20 Florida at Missouri-9.569.0L 23 - 24UN
Sat 11/27 Florida vs Florida State-4.058.5W 24 - 21UN
Thu 12/23 Florida vs UCF-7.056.0L 17 - 29UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
South Florida's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 South Florida at NC State+20.058.0L 0 - 45UN
Sat 9/11 South Florida vs Florida+29.057.0L 20 - 42OY
Sat 9/18 South Florida vs Florida A&M-22.550.0W 38 - 17ON
Sat 9/25 South Florida at BYU+23.554.5L 27 - 35OY
Sat 10/2 South Florida at SMU+21.568.5L 17 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 South Florida vs Tulsa+7.556.0L 31 - 32OY
Sat 10/23 South Florida vs Temple-1.554.5W 34 - 14UY
Thu 10/28 South Florida at East Carolina+9.555.5L 14 - 29UN
Sat 11/6 South Florida vs Houston+13.553.0L 42 - 54OY
Fri 11/12 South Florida vs Cincinnati+24.558.5L 28 - 45OY
Sat 11/20 South Florida at Tulane+5.559.5L 14 - 45UN
Fri 11/26 South Florida at UCF+17.062.0L 13 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA.3250%21.645%3.1913154%3794.51.2446%2448%43%4.0446.41.61.3
USF.0840%40.540%2.8314941%2172.29.2247%23.446%48%4.2948.91.91.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Offense1221.61350.3%4.511.6265101313794.341%59%45%54%15%.32
USF Defense923.414.346.6%4.291.4 - - - - - 56%44%46%48%13%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Defense122430.445.8%4.041.3 - - - - - 49%51%48%43%16%.24
USF Offense940.55140.3%2.291.921365149217448%51%40%41%20%.08

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida1231:0226.350%58%5.546.41.61.362.8128.4
South Florida928:272131%29%5.348.91.91.44.80.8328.5
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Offense1241%45%30.6131.34.312.133.1977%8%0.88
USF Defense956%46% - - - - .132.9479%8%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Defense1249%48% - - - - .23.2175%10%0.87
USF Offense948%40%37.4148.8411.072.8372%14%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Offense1259%54%26.839.4378.69.614.24610.461.628%42%.518%2
USF Defense944%48% - - - - - - 10.341.629%34%.464%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Defense1251%43% - - - - - - 9.281.629%35%.396%1.8
USF Offense951%41%20.834.7216.66.310.4126.091.434%25%.096%2

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida's 2021 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0  #29
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #22
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #39

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida:    South Florida: -3.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 11.0   South Florida: -12.1




South Florida's Power Ratings
South Florida's Power Rating: -3.55 NR
South Florida's Offense Rating: NR
South Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #73
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Florida's 2021 Expected Record: -
South Florida's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1  #111
South Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #96
South Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.2  #118

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Florida's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
South Florida 36
Florida 18

Projected Total Points: 54
South Florida Scoring
Offense: 40.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 51
Defense: 23.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.3

South Florida's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Florida16South Florida18Florida -18.5South Florida58.0Under
202209/17Florida31South Florida28Florida -23.5South Florida58.0Over
202109/11South Florida20Florida42Florida -29South Florida57.0Over
201009/11Florida38South Florida14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Florida132 Overs
Florida301 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 20 - 21 - 0
Road Teams2 - 22 - 10 - 12 - 0

(#) FLA at (#) USF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFLAUSF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #111
Perf GradeGrade #89 #114
OffenseOff #73 #111
DefenseDef #90 #118
Spec TeamsST #84 #29
TalentTal #9 #73
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
FLA OffUSF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #73 #118
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #118
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffUSF Def
Run GameRun #3 #117
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #127 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #135
Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffUSF Def
Pass GamePass #84 #111
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #52 #124
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Florida on Offense
CategoryCatUSF OffFLA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #111 #90
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #96 #39
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
USF OffFLA Def
Run GameRun #87 #61
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #113 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #62
South Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatUSF OffFLA Def
Pass GamePass #124 #115
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #51 #29
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Florida 29.0 (57.0)
Florida won at South Florida this year (42-20)

Previous Matchups
South Florida beat Florida last year (18-16)

  
FLA's OC Dan Mullen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Todd Grantham (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USF's OC Charlie Weis Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Florida's Full Roster

USF's DC Glenn Spencer (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD