Penn State Team Profile
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Penn State Nittany Lions (@PennStateFball)
Terry Smith (Int) (1st year) (3-3)
Record: 3 - 3 (0 - 3)  |  Proj: 6 - 6 (#75)  |  SOS: (#40)
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Penn State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Penn State vs Nevada-45.558.5W 46 - 11UN
Sat 9/6 Penn State vs Florida International-42.053.5W 34 - 0UN
Sat 9/13 Penn State vs Villanova-46.557.5W 52 - 6ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Penn State vs Oregon-4.552.5L 24 - 30ON
Sat 10/4 Penn State at UCLA-24.548.5L 37 - 42ON
Sat 10/11 Penn State vs Northwestern-20.546.5L 21 - 22UN
Sat 10/18 Penn State at Iowa+2.540.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Penn State at Ohio State+13
Sat 11/8 Penn State vs Indiana+6
Sat 11/15 Penn State at Michigan State-10
Sat 11/22 Penn State vs Nebraska-4.5
Sat 11/29 Penn State at Rutgers-10

Record Prediction: 6.2 - 5.8  #75
Schedule Rating:  #40
Record: 3 - 3( B1G: 0 - 3)
Spread Record 0 - 6 - 0 | O/U 3 - 3
Future 2026 Schedule

Penn State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Penn State at West Virginia-7.548.0W 34 - 12UY
Sat 9/7 Penn State vs Bowling Green-35.551.5W 34 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Penn State vs Kent State-49.058.0W 56 - 0UY
Sat 9/28 Penn State vs Illinois-19.548.0W 21 - 7UN
Sat 10/5 Penn State vs UCLA-30.048.0W 27 - 11UN
Sat 10/12 Penn State at USC-3.551.5W 33 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Penn State at Wisconsin-6.547.0W 28 - 13UY
Sat 11/2 Penn State vs Ohio State+3.047.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 11/9 Penn State vs Washington-13.548.0W 35 - 6UY
Sat 11/16 Penn State at Purdue-30.051.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 11/23 Penn State at Minnesota-11.045.0W 26 - 25ON
Sat 11/30 Penn State vs Maryland-26.550.5W 44 - 7OY
Sat 12/7 Penn State vs Oregon+3.551.5L 37 - 45ON
Sat 12/21 Penn State vs SMU-9.052.5W 38 - 10UY
Tue 12/31 Penn State vs Boise State-11.554.5W 31 - 14UY
Thu 1/9 Penn State vs Notre Dame-1.545.5L 24 - 27ON

2024 Schedule Rating:  #16
2024 Record: 13 - 3 (B1G: 8 - 2)
Spread Record 8 - 8 - 0 | O/U 7 - 9


Opponents: 3 Elite, 2 Good, 3 Avg, 1 Bad, 2 Poor
Played: 1 Elite, 0 Good, 1 Avg, 1 Bad, 2 Poor
Future: 2 Elite, 2 Good, 2 Avg, 0 Bad, 0Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 1 Elite, 3 Good, 3 Avg, 3 Bad, 2 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2025 class: 255 points   #15
2024 class: 266 points   #15
2023 class: 270 points   #13
2022 class: 279 points   #6
2021 class: 216 points   #21

Average Class Ranking:   #14
Average Recruiting Points: 257

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent CFP Contenders
4 Year Class:  #13 - Best:  #6 Worst:  #15



CFB Crootin Averages
Big Ten Class: 227  #34
Power 4 Class: 225  #34
FBS Class: 179  #69


2020 class: 256 points   #15
2019 class: 271 points   #12
2018 class: 286 points   #6
2017 class: 240 points   #15
2016 class: 238 points   #20

Average Class Ranking:   #14
Average Recruiting Points: 258
 

2025 Portal Class  #61 - 7 players, 87 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #48 - 6 players, 90 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #52 - 7 players, 88 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #83 - 3 players, 89 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Andy Kotelnicki (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Allar10315965%1100836.9
Ethan Grunkemeyer81173%105109.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen7046776.767
Nicholas Singleton7025963.716
Drew Allar3617214.827
Trebor Pena (Tr)95806.416
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devonte Ross (Tr)16240315.067
Kyron Ware-Hudson19218211.531
Trebor Pena (Tr)20202110.130
Luke Reynolds18197010.922
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Jim Knowles (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amare Campbell (Tr)506210
Zakee Wheatley391001
Dominic DeLuca313121
Tony Rojas255221
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amare Campbell (Tr)506210
Zuriah Fisher102221
Tony Rojas255221
Zane Durant183201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
King Mack (Tr)240002
Dani Dennis-Sutton236162
Audavion Collins210002
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 63%  #30
Offense Returning Production: 72%  #14
Defense Returning Production: 53%  #72

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #61
7 Commits, 87.4 Avg Rating
13% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 9% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 1078.00  #4
Offense Talent  #2 | Defense Talent  #14
2024  #11 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #15 | 2021  #16


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 3 - 3
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 3
Spread: 0 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 3 - 3

2024 Record: 13 - 3
2024 Conf Record: 8 - 2
Spread: 8 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 9

2023 Record: 10 - 3
2023 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

2022 Record: 11 - 2
2022 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 9 - 3 - 1 | Totals: 9 - 4

Four Year Record: 37 - 11
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 26 - 21 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 22 - 9
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 7 - 6
2021 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 3 - 10

2020 Record: 4 - 5
2020 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 4 - 4 - 1 | Totals: 4 - 5

2019 Record: 11 - 2
2019 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 8

2018 Record: 9 - 4
2018 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5

Eight Year Record: 68 - 28
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 51 - 43 - 2
Eight Year Conference Record: 50 - 24

Penn State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2024CFP Semifinal Penn State vs Notre Dame-1.545.5L 24 - 27
2024CFP Quarterfinal Penn State vs Boise State-11.554.5W 31 - 14
2024CFP 1st Round Penn State vs SMU-9.052.5W 38 - 10
2023Peach Bowl Penn State vs Ole Miss-5.553.0L 25 - 38
2022Rose Bowl Penn State vs Utah-1.555.5W 35 - 21
2021Outback Bowl Penn State vs Arkansas+3.551.0L 10 - 24
2019Cotton Bowl Penn State vs Memphis-7.059.5W 53 - 39
2018Citrus Bowl Penn State vs Kentucky-4.547.5L 24 - 27
2017N/A Penn State vs Washington-3.055.0W 35 - 28
2016Rose Bowl Penn State vs USC+6.560.0L 49 - 52
2015Taxslayer Bowl Penn State vs Georgia+7.0L 17 - 24
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.23 (51)1.14 (119)47% (34)4.64 (30)35.6 (4)42%63%.07 (25)1.02 (3)40% (55)3.36 (36)25.3 (4)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.32 (11)1.18 (116)51% (4)4.69 (9)28.9 (73)48%70%.05 (9)1.29 (81)38% (21)3.22 (18)27.1 (23)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
2025626:3720.342%63%4.2340.81.36.82.22
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241626:5120.448%70%4.441.40.81.35.52.34



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense635.735.43747.1% (34)4.64 (30)0.820370169201553% (46)47% (86)48% (35)46% (44)12% (22).23 (51)
2025 Defense618.513.84240.3% (55)3.36 (36)1.3 - - - - - 56% (117)43% (18)43% (83)38% (36)16% (68).07 (25)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1633.133.53451.3% (4)4.69 (9)0.8203851762095.354% (38)46% (95)52% (9)51% (4)10% (3).32 (11)
2024 Defense1616.5111837.9% (21)3.22 (18)1.3 - - - - - 48% (43)52% (96)39% (27)37% (25)18% (38).05 (9)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense653% (46)48% (35)33.7169515 (25).24 (25)3.35 (21)81% (28)7% (10)0.99 (56)
2025 Defense656% (117)43% (83) - - - - .1 (75)2.72 (46)75% (88)11% (37)0.86 (31)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1654% (38)52% (9)33.2176.25.331 (17).24 (20)3.42 (10)76% (51)7% (8)0.92 (90)
2024 Defense1648% (43)39% (27) - - - - -.01 (12)2.37 (3)75% (75)12% (26)0.92 (42)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense647% (86)46% (44)18.528.3200.87.110.99 (73)3 (26).23 (90)1.3 (127)26% (18)32% (64).38 (48)5% (57)1.9 (91)
2025 Defense643% (18)38% (36) - - - - - - 4 (62).08 (21)1.3 (6)33% (53)26% (32).13 (24)5% (116)1.7 (10)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1646% (95)51% (4)16.724.3208.88.612.527 (20)9 (48).41 (11)1.5 (107)26% (3)35% (31).46 (20)3% (5)2 (85)
2024 Defense1652% (96)37% (25) - - - - - - 15 (18).1 (16)1.7 (91)36% (14)27% (25).2 (29)6% (57)2.1 (95)




Overall
Power Rating  #26 | SP+ Rating  #18
Performance Grade  #27
Special Teams Grade  #4
Record Prediction 6.2 - 5.8  #75
5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Offense
Power  #34 | SP+  #20 | Grade  #50
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Off Success  #34 | Explosivness  #119
Rush Grade  #50 | Pass Grade  #84
Rush Success  #35 | Explosiveness  #56
Pass Success  #44 | Explosiveness  #127
Run Block  #24 | Pass Block  #13
OL YDS  #21 | Stuff Rate  #3
Scoring Zone Off:  #30

Defense
Power  #26 | SP+  #21 | Grade  #19
Def Success  #55 | Explosivness  #3
Rush Success  #83 | Explosiveness  #31
Tackling  #16 | Run Def  #37
Pass Success  #36 | Explosiveness  #6
Pass Rush  #20 | Coverage  #21
F7 Havoc  #37 | DB Havoc  #116
Scoring Zone Def  #36


Roster
Team Talent  #4 Blue Chips: 53%  #10
Offense Talent  #2 Defense Talent  #14
Crootin: '25 Class  #15 - 4 YR Class:  #13
Profile: Consistent CFP Contenders
Portal Class  #61 - 7 players, 87 Avg
13% of Roster from Portal, 9% TY
65 New Players, 63% of '25 Roster  #85

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 35.7 - 18.5 (33 - 17) in '24
Scoring at Home: 35 - 14 | Road: 37 - 42
OC: Andy Kotelnicki - in his second season
DC: Jim Knowles - in his first season

2025 Record: 3 - 3 (0 - 6 - 0) (B1G: 0 - 3)
2024 Record: 13 - 3 (8 - 8 - 0) (B1G: 8 - 2)
2023 Record: 10 - 3 (9 - 4 - 0) (B1G: 7 - 2)
4 Yr Record: (37 - 11) | 8 Yr Record: (68 - 28)


Notes
James Franklin fired. CFB HC market will be crazy
Interim is AHC Terry Smith, was def ass.
Lost to Northwestern, Allar out for the year. Woof
Def torched, Run Off awful in horrific L @ UCLA
Suddenly people calling for Franklin's job post UCLA
LB Tony Rojas out indefinitely w/ 'significant injury'
OL push is an issue, Allar/WR did little vs Ducks. Yikes
Off #'s good but cupcakes so far, Pass Off expl?
3.8 ypc vs Nevada? Allar big w/ Hudson/Pena
Def still solid, DL a top 10 unit via PFF
 
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.64 PPO
Good Run Success 48%
Good Pass Success 46%
Good Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great 1st/2nd Down Success 74%
Avg when off Schedule 32%

'25 Defense
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 40%
Good in Scoring Position 3.36 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good at Forcing Turnovers
Great Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Avg 1st/2nd Down Success 67%
Good when Opp is off Schedule 26%

Returning Prod
HC Smith (Int), OC Kotelnicki & QB all back
'24 QB Drew Allar returns
Returning Production: 63%  #30
Offense: 72%  #14 | Defense: 53%  #72
OL Prod: 85%  #6, 5 clear starters
OL Snaps: 4425  #9 | From Portal: 0  #100
Rush Prod: 88%  #19 | Rec Prod: 71%  #28
Def Front Seven: 53% - Secondary: 57%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 10.5 - 1.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #18 - Power Rating:  #26
2024 SP+ Overall:  #5 - Power Rating:  #6
2023 SP+ Overall:  #4 - Power Rating:  #5
2022 SP+ Overall:  #8

#8 #5 #6 #22

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #20 - Power Rating:  #34
2024 SP+ Offense:  #9 - Power Rating:  #2
2023 SP+ Offense:  #26 - Power Rating:  #31
2022 SP+ Offense:  #28

#28 #29 #6 #27

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #21 - Power Rating:  #26
2024 SP+ Defense:  #4 - Power Rating:  #7
2023 SP+ Defense:  #4 - Power Rating:  #2
2022 SP+ Defense:  #11

#11 #3 #6 #24