Penn State at Auburn - 2022 Matchup Preview
Penn State logo   Penn State Nittany Lions at Auburn Tigers  Auburn logo
Saturday, September 17th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -2.5 (47.5)
Penn State 41 - Auburn: 12

 
Nittany Lions (11 - 2) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach James Franklin (66 - 34)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (29 - 30 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
AUB 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -6  (SP+ PSU -17.5)
Projected Score: PSU: 24 - AUB: 26 (50)
PSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
PSU Travel: 707 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (5 - 7) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Bryan Harsin (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (26 - 16 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Penn State at Purdue-3.553.5W 35 - 31OY
Sat 9/10 Penn State vs Ohio-28.055.0W 46 - 10OY
Sat 9/17 Penn State at Auburn-2.547.5W 41 - 12OY
Sat 9/24 Penn State vs Central Michigan-28.061.5W 33 - 14UN
Sat 10/1 Penn State vs Northwestern-25.550.0W 17 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Penn State at Michigan+7.049.0L 17 - 41ON
Sat 10/22 Penn State vs Minnesota-5.543.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 10/29 Penn State vs Ohio State+15.560.5L 31 - 44OY
Sat 11/5 Penn State at Indiana-13.550.0W 45 - 14OY
Sat 11/12 Penn State vs Maryland-10.556.5W 30 - 0UY
Sat 11/19 Penn State at Rutgers-18.545.0W 55 - 10OY
Sat 11/26 Penn State vs Michigan State-19.054.5W 35 - 16UN
Mon 1/2 Penn State vs Utah-1.555.5W 35 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Auburn's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Auburn vs Mercer-30.051.5W 42 - 16ON
Sat 9/10 Auburn vs San José State-24.048.5W 24 - 16UN
Sat 9/17 Auburn vs Penn State+2.547.5L 12 - 41ON
Sat 9/24 Auburn vs Missouri-7.551.0W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/1 Auburn vs LSU+8.044.5L 17 - 21UY
Sat 10/8 Auburn at Georgia+27.549.5L 10 - 42ON
Sat 10/15 Auburn at Ole Miss+15.555.5L 34 - 48OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Auburn vs Arkansas+4.060.0L 27 - 41ON
Sat 11/5 Auburn at Mississippi State+12.550.5L 33 - 39OY
Sat 11/12 Auburn vs Texas A&M-1.548.0W 13 - 10UY
Sat 11/19 Auburn vs Western Kentucky-5.054.0W 41 - 17OY
Sat 11/26 Auburn at Alabama+22.051.0L 27 - 49OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU.1440%3139%2.6910840%2693.45.0639%20.542%36%2.4846.11.22.4
AUB.1843%26.845%3.0916141%2403.85.1142%20.739%44%3.52460.91
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
AUB0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense133128.639.8%3.451.2203761082693.243%57%39%40%15%.14
AUB Defense1320.716.441.7%3.521 - - - - - 46%53%39%44%18%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1320.530.239%2.482.4 - - - - - 54%46%42%36%16%.06
AUB Offense1326.826.442.9%3.850.9214011612404.746%54%45%41%14%.18

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1327:5620.339%46%5.446.11.22.46.52327
Auburn1327:5220.840%57%5.6460.917.52.8327.7
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1343%39%33.6107.83.211.022.6961%11%0.91
AUB Defense1346%39% - - - - .032.6555%12%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1354%42% - - - - .072.8979%10%0.89
AUB Offense1346%45%34.1161.24.722.183.0970%9%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1357%40%22.437.4268.57.2122510.241.635%31%.344%2.1
AUB Defense1353%44% - - - - - - 9.231.432%33%.326%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1346%36% - - - - - - 14.041.433%25%.186%1.8
AUB Offense1354%41%20.535240.16.911.7174.191.533%32%.35%1.9

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.4  #8
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6  #28
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.9  #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Auburn: 5.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 22.4   Auburn: 5.1




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 5.05 NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #17
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Auburn's 2022 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1  #54
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.6  #46
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #69

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Penn State's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Auburn 26
Penn State 24

Projected Total Points: 50
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 20.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.4

Auburn's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/17Auburn12Penn State41Penn State -2.5Penn State47.5Over
202109/18Penn State28Auburn20Penn State -4Penn State53.0Under
200201/01Auburn13Penn State9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn101 Overs
Penn State221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 21 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#) PSU at (#) AUB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPSUAUB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #54
Perf GradeGrade #34 #106
OffenseOff #53 #109
DefenseDef #34 #58
Spec TeamsST #15 #133
TalentTal #15 #17
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCat
PSU OffAUB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #53 #58
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffAUB Def
Run GameRun #82 #110
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #74 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #46
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffAUB Def
Pass GamePass #18 #24
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #63 #51
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCatAUB OffPSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #109 #34
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #46 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffPSU Def
Run GameRun #42 #100
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #94 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #105
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCatAUB OffPSU Def
Pass GamePass #127 #26
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #62 #6
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
AUB 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'22 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Penn State 2.5 (47.5)
Penn State won at Auburn this year (41-12)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Manny Diaz (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

AUB's OC Eric Kiesau (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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AUB's DC Jeff Schmedding (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD