Penn State at Purdue - 2022 Matchup Preview
Penn State logo   Penn State Nittany Lions at Purdue Boilermakers  Purdue logo
Thursday, September 1st 2022 (8:00 PM EDT)
Penn State -3.5 (53.5)
Penn State 35 - Purdue: 31  (Big Ten)

 
Nittany Lions (11 - 2) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach James Franklin (66 - 34)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (29 - 30 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -5  (SP+ PSU -14.5)
Projected Score: PSU: 30 - PUR: 23 (53)
PSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
PSU Travel: 476 miles
Boilermakers (8 - 6) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (28 - 29)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (21 - 30 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Penn State at Purdue-3.553.5W 35 - 31OY
Sat 9/10 Penn State vs Ohio-28.055.0W 46 - 10OY
Sat 9/17 Penn State at Auburn-2.547.5W 41 - 12OY
Sat 9/24 Penn State vs Central Michigan-28.061.5W 33 - 14UN
Sat 10/1 Penn State vs Northwestern-25.550.0W 17 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Penn State at Michigan+7.049.0L 17 - 41ON
Sat 10/22 Penn State vs Minnesota-5.543.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 10/29 Penn State vs Ohio State+15.560.5L 31 - 44OY
Sat 11/5 Penn State at Indiana-13.550.0W 45 - 14OY
Sat 11/12 Penn State vs Maryland-10.556.5W 30 - 0UY
Sat 11/19 Penn State at Rutgers-18.545.0W 55 - 10OY
Sat 11/26 Penn State vs Michigan State-19.054.5W 35 - 16UN
Mon 1/2 Penn State vs Utah-1.555.5W 35 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Purdue's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Purdue vs Penn State+3.553.5L 31 - 35ON
Sat 9/10 Purdue vs Indiana State-37.054.0W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/17 Purdue at Syracuse+1.559.5L 29 - 32ON
Sat 9/24 Purdue vs Florida Atlantic-16.057.0W 28 - 26UN
Sat 10/1 Purdue at Minnesota+9.053.0W 20 - 10UY
Sat 10/8 Purdue at Maryland+3.059.5W 31 - 29OY
Sat 10/15 Purdue vs Nebraska-14.056.0W 43 - 37ON
Sat 10/22 Purdue at Wisconsin+1.551.5L 24 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Purdue vs Iowa-3.539.5L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/12 Purdue at Illinois+6.044.0W 31 - 24OY
Sat 11/19 Purdue vs Northwestern-17.544.5W 17 - 9UN
Sat 11/26 Purdue at Indiana-10.052.5W 30 - 16UY
Sat 12/3 Purdue vs Michigan+16.053.0L 22 - 43ON
Mon 1/2 Purdue vs LSU+15.054.0L 7 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU.1440%3139%2.6910840%2693.45.0639%20.542%36%2.4846.11.22.4
PUR.2346%18.844%2.798447%3553.93.1740%31.841%38%3.4642.81.51.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense133128.639.8%3.451.2203761082693.243%57%39%40%15%.14
PUR Defense1331.83039.8%3.461.3 - - - - - 53%47%41%38%18%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1320.530.239%2.482.4 - - - - - 54%46%42%36%16%.06
PUR Offense1318.820.946%3.931.524440843552.835%64%44%47%15%.23

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1327:5620.339%46%5.446.11.22.46.52327
Purdue1331:5723.944%53%4.542.81.51.35.91.9128.1
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1343%39%33.6107.83.211.022.6961%11%0.91
PUR Defense1353%41% - - - - .12.964%11%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1354%42% - - - - .072.8979%10%0.89
PUR Offense1335%44%30.284.22.87-.042.7968%10%0.57

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1357%40%22.437.4268.57.2122510.241.635%31%.344%2.1
PUR Defense1347%38% - - - - - - 13.251.832%27%.187%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1346%36% - - - - - - 14.041.433%25%.186%1.8
PUR Offense1364%47%31.344.3355.4811.43512.391.529%38%.526%2.1

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.4  #8
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6  #28
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.9  #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Purdue: 6.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 22.4   Purdue: 7.7




Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: 6.35 NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Purdue's 2022 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7  #47
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #49
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Penn State's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 30
Purdue 23

Projected Total Points: 53
Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.9
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Purdue's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/16Purdue10Penn State49Penn State -30Penn State51.5Over
202209/01Purdue31Penn State35Penn State -3.5Penn State53.5Over
201910/05Penn State35Purdue7Penn State -28.5Purdue55.5Under
201610/29Purdue24Penn State62Penn State -10.5Penn State58.5Over
201311/16Penn State45Purdue21Penn State -20.5Penn State0
201211/03Purdue9Penn State34
201110/15Penn State23Purdue18
200810/04Purdue6Penn State20
200711/03Penn State26Purdue19
200610/28Purdue0Penn State12
200510/29Penn State33Purdue15
200410/09Penn State13Purdue20
200310/11Purdue28Penn State14
200009/29Penn State22Purdue20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Purdue213 Overs
Penn State1241 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 71 - 41 - 10 - 3
Road Teams7 - 74 - 13 - 01 - 1

(#) PSU at (#) PUR
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPSUPUR
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #47
Perf GradeGrade #34 #105
OffenseOff #53 #80
DefenseDef #34 #112
Spec TeamsST #15 #88
TalentTal #15 #51
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCat
PSU OffPUR Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #53 #112
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #39
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #82 #115
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #74 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #91
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #18 #104
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #63 #73
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCatPUR OffPSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #80 #34
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffPSU Def
Run GameRun #91 #100
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #75 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #105
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCatPUR OffPSU Def
Pass GamePass #90 #26
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #69 #6
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'22 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Penn State 3.5 (53.5)
Penn State won at Purdue this year (35-31)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Purdue in 2024 (49-10)

  
PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PSU's DC Manny Diaz (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Ron English (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD