Rutgers at Penn State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Rutgers logo Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Penn State Nittany Lions(#2)Penn State logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Penn State -19.5 (39.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Penn State 27 - Rutgers: 6  (Big Ten)

 
Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 4 - 2)
Coach Greg Schiano (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 23 - 21 (11 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 7.2 (#81)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
RUTG 2nd straight Road Game
PSU 2nd straight Home Game
PSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Penn State -24.5   (SP+ PSU -24)

Projected Score: RUTG: 9 - PSU: 33 (42)
PSU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
RUTG Travel: 179 miles
Nittany Lions (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (81 - 36)
Avg Score : 36 - 14 (39 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Rutgers's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Rutgers vs Northwestern-5.039.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 9/9 Rutgers vs Temple-7.543.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 9/16 Rutgers vs Virginia Tech-6.537.5W 35 - 16OY
Sat 9/23 Rutgers at Michigan+24.044.5L 7 - 31UY
Sat 9/30 Rutgers vs Wagner-46.052.5W 52 - 3OY
Sat 10/7 Rutgers at Wisconsin+12.544.0L 13 - 24UY
Sat 10/14 Rutgers vs Michigan State-4.038.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/21 Rutgers at Indiana-6.039.5W 31 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Rutgers vs Ohio State+19.042.5L 16 - 35OY
Sat 11/11 Rutgers at Iowa-2.527.5L 0 - 22UN
Sat 11/18 Rutgers at Penn State+19.539.5L 6 - 27UN
Sat 11/25 Rutgers vs Maryland+2.045.5L 24 - 42ON
Thu 12/28 Rutgers vs Miami-3.041.0W 31 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule
Penn State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Penn State vs West Virginia-21.048.0W 38 - 15OY
Sat 9/9 Penn State vs Delaware-44.055.0W 63 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Penn State at Illinois-14.047.5W 30 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 Penn State vs Iowa-14.038.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 9/30 Penn State at Northwestern-27.048.0W 41 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Penn State vs Massachusetts-42.055.0W 63 - 0OY
Sat 10/21 Penn State at Ohio State+4.047.0L 12 - 20UN
Sat 10/28 Penn State vs Indiana-31.045.0W 33 - 24ON
Sat 11/4 Penn State at Maryland-8.550.5W 51 - 15OY
Sat 11/11 Penn State vs Michigan+4.044.5L 15 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Penn State vs Rutgers-19.539.5W 27 - 6UY
Fri 11/24 Penn State vs Michigan State-20.042.0W 42 - 0UY
Sat 12/30 Penn State vs Ole Miss-5.553.0L 25 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RUTG#107 (.12)40% (91)23.243% (65)3.03 (84)16935% (118)1383.95 (62)#43 (.14)45% (104)21.248% (123)42% (69)3.48 (44)45.211.4
PSU#40 (.25)46% (25)36.249% (17)3.38 (14)18543% (53)2154.96 (5)#8 (.04)33% (3)13.531% (3)36% (10)3.09 (15)43.30.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RUTG#84 (.16)43% (67)44% (69)2.92 (88)16442% (63)1894.19 (44)#106 (.23)43% (85)48% (113)40% (59)4.03 (92)33.80.60.9
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RUTG Offense1323.211.440.1%3.951173061691384.262%38%43%35%12%.12
PSU Defense1313.510.933.1%3.091.8 - - - - - 49%50%31%36%23%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RUTG Defense1321.223.644.6%3.481.4 - - - - - 52%47%48%42%15%.14
PSU Offense1336.238.646.3%4.960.6234001852154.750%49%49%43%11%.25

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rutgers1331:4817.537%64%5.145.211.43.81.5130
Penn State1332:3022.541%77%543.30.61.87.83.8333.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense1362% (7)43% (65)39.8168.84.224 (41).16 (64)3.03 (84)77% (38)7% (11)0.95 (94)
PSU Defense1349% (52)31% (3) - - - - -.04 (7)2.23 (2)76% (89)18% (1)0.96 (46)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense1352% (99)48% (123) - - - - .12 (54)3.2 (91)71% (53)8% (122)0.77 (4)
PSU Offense1350% (65)49% (17)39.6184.84.726 (30).19 (46)3.38 (14)73% (77)7% (8)0.85 (123)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense1338% (126)35% (118)10.922.6137.56.112.610 (120)8 (30).07 (126)1.7 (46)30% (42)33% (52).34 (64)5% (19)1.8 (127)
PSU Defense1350% (77)36% (10) - - - - - - 12 (37).2 (25)1.7 (94)39% (2)26% (19).21 (21)6% (86)2.1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense1347% (33)42% (69) - - - - - - 9 (87).22 (40)1.4 (5)30% (111)30% (65).17 (8)6% (55)1.7 (5)
PSU Offense1349% (63)43% (53)18.931.72156.811.430 (16)2 (1).3 (62)1.5 (115)27% (9)35% (23).38 (50)4% (7)1.7 (129)

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: -0.30 #64
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Rutgers's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20
Rutgers's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: -0.30   Penn State: 25.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 2.3   Penn State: 26.0




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 25.72 #5
Penn State's Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Penn State's Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 57 #13
Penn State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Penn State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.4
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Rutgers's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 2
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 2
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 33
Rutgers 9


Total Points: 42

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 36.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.6
Defense: 13.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.9

Penn State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Penn State27Rutgers6Penn StatePenn State -19.5Penn State39.5Under
202211/19Rutgers10Penn State55Penn StatePenn State -18.5Penn State45.0Over
202111/20Penn State28Rutgers0Penn StatePenn State -14Penn State44.5Under
202012/05Rutgers7Penn State23Penn StatePenn State -13.0Penn State51.0Under
201911/30Penn State27Rutgers6Penn StatePenn State -38.5Rutgers50.5Under
201811/17Rutgers7Penn State20Penn StatePenn State -28.5Rutgers52.5Under
201711/11Penn State35Rutgers6Penn StatePenn State -31.5Rutgers56.5Under
201611/19Rutgers0Penn State39Penn StatePenn State -22.5Penn State55.0Under
201509/19Penn State28Rutgers3Penn StatePenn State -7Penn State47.5Under
201409/13Rutgers10Penn State13Penn StatePenn State -4Rutgers0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State1061 Overs
Rutgers048 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 55 - 53 - 22 - 3
Road Teams5 - 55 - 53 - 22 - 3

(#64) Rutgers Info
Power Rating: -0.30 #64
Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20


Rutgers has lost 2 straight
Rutgers has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (2 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )

Rutgers Highlights
Rutgers defense does not give up big plays (#117)
Rutgers has a great TO Margin (#1)

Rutgers Deficiencies
Rutgers offense is not Explosive (#94)
Rutgers pass game is really bad (#14)
Rutgers does not Sack the QB (#97)
Rutgers has a bad defense (#68)
Rutgers Does Not Stuff Runs (#70)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatPSURUTG
OverallOver#5#40
OffenseOff#24#57
DefenseDef#4#31
Special TeamsST#8#93
PassingPass#27#79
RushingRush#19#23
Run BlockRBLK#13#41
Pass BlockPBLK#52#92
Route RunningWR Rt#68#66
TacklingTkl#31#4
Run DefenseR Def#4#56
Pass Rush DefPRush#1#46
Coverage DefCov#16#24

Rematch from Week 12
Penn State -19.5 (39.5)
Penn State won vs Rutgers this year (27-6)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Rutgers in 2023 (27-6)
Penn State beat Rutgers in 2022 (55-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: RUTG | PSU
Depth Chart: RUTG | PSU
Rosters: RUTG | PSU
(#5) Penn State Info
Power Rating: 25.72 #5
Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 57 #13
Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70


Penn State has lost 1 straight
Penn State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Penn State Highlights
Penn State has Really Good Running Game (#38)
Penn State offense is efficent (#25)
Penn State has a top Offensive Line (#13)
Penn State offense is good in red zone (#42)
Penn State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#3)

Penn State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Penn State has a really good defense (#6)
Penn State defense is really good in red zone (#5)
Penn State has a good run defense (#42)
Penn State has a good pass defense (#2)
Penn State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#50)
Penn State Defensive Line is very good (#12)
Penn State Front 7 is disruptive (#28)
Penn State has a great TO Margin (#11)

Penn State Deficiencies
Penn State offense is not Explosive (#114)
Penn State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#8)


  
Rutgers's OC Kirk Ciarrocca
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gavin Wimsatt13828948%1735986.0
Evan Simon2367%301010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyle Monangai242126285.255
Gavin Wimsatt131497113.880
Samuel Brown V6321723.411
Ja'shon Benjamin4517213.826
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Christian Dremel35463313.269
JaQuae Jackson (Tr)22361116.461
Isaiah Washington26326112.542
Ian Strong16230214.429

View Rutgers's Full Roster
Rutgers's DC Joe Harasymiak
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deion Jennings945004
Mohamed Toure9210542
Michael Dixon (Tr)762015
Desmond Igbinosun647131
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mohamed Toure9210542
Wesley Bailey255453
Tyreem Powell523322
Aaron Lewis4953102
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Longerbeam391108
Eric Rogers (Tr)180006
Max Melton324106

Penn State's OC Mike Yurcich
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Allar23338860%26312526.8
Beau Pribula112152%149407.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen17290265.250
Nicholas Singleton17175284.424
Beau Pribula5632965.939
Drew Allar7421042.824
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keandre Lambert53673412.772
Tyler Warren34422712.475
Theo Johnson34341710.034
Nicholas Singleton26308211.853

View Penn State's Full Roster
Penn State's DC Manny Diaz
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Winston Jr.603005
Kobe King596210
Curtis Jacobs509350
Abdul Carter496555
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adisa Isaac3716840
Abdul Carter496555
John Dixon266503
Demeioun Robinson158451
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daequan Hardy223107
Kevin Winston Jr.603005
Abdul Carter496555