Rutgers at Penn State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Penn State Nittany Lions

Saturday, November 18th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Penn State -19.5 (39.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Penn State 27 - Rutgers: 6 (Big Ten)

Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 4 - 2)
Coach Greg Schiano (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 23 - 21 (11 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 7.2 (#81)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

RUTG 2nd straight Road Game
PSU 2nd straight Home Game
PSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Penn State -24.5 (SP+ PSU -24)
Projected Score: RUTG: 9 - PSU: 33 (42)
PSU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
RUTG Travel: 179 miles

Nittany Lions (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (81 - 36)
Avg Score : 36 - 14 (39 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
RUTG Players
PSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rutgers's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Rutgers vs Northwestern	-5.0	39.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Rutgers vs Temple	-7.5	43.5	W 36 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Rutgers vs Virginia Tech	-6.5	37.5	W 35 - 16	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Rutgers at Michigan	+24.0	44.5	L 7 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Rutgers vs Wagner	-46.0	52.5	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Rutgers at Wisconsin	+12.5	44.0	L 13 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Rutgers vs Michigan State	-4.0	38.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/21	Rutgers at Indiana	-6.0	39.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Rutgers vs Ohio State	+19.0	42.5	L 16 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Rutgers at Iowa	-2.5	27.5	L 0 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Rutgers at Penn State	+19.5	39.5	L 6 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/25	Rutgers vs Maryland	+2.0	45.5	L 24 - 42	O	N
Thu 12/28	Rutgers vs Miami	-3.0	41.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule

Penn State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Penn State vs West Virginia	-21.0	48.0	W 38 - 15	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Penn State vs Delaware	-44.0	55.0	W 63 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Penn State at Illinois	-14.0	47.5	W 30 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Penn State vs Iowa	-14.0	38.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Penn State at Northwestern	-27.0	48.0	W 41 - 13	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Penn State vs Massachusetts	-42.0	55.0	W 63 - 0	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Penn State at Ohio State	+4.0	47.0	L 12 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/28	Penn State vs Indiana	-31.0	45.0	W 33 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/4	Penn State at Maryland	-8.5	50.5	W 51 - 15	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Penn State vs Michigan	+4.0	44.5	L 15 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/18	Penn State vs Rutgers	-19.5	39.5	W 27 - 6	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Penn State vs Michigan State	-20.0	42.0	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 12/30	Penn State vs Ole Miss	-5.5	53.0	L 25 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG	#107 (.12)	40% (91)	23.2	43% (65)	3.03 (84)	169	35% (118)	138	3.95 (62)	#43 (.14)	45% (104)	21.2	48% (123)	42% (69)	3.48 (44)	45.2	1	1.4
PSU	#40 (.25)	46% (25)	36.2	49% (17)	3.38 (14)	185	43% (53)	215	4.96 (5)	#8 (.04)	33% (3)	13.5	31% (3)	36% (10)	3.09 (15)	43.3	0.6	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG	#84 (.16)	43% (67)		44% (69)	2.92 (88)	164	42% (63)	189	4.19 (44)	#106 (.23)	43% (85)		48% (113)	40% (59)	4.03 (92)	33.8	0.6	0.9
PSU	#11 (.32)	51% (4)		52% (9)	3.42 (10)	176	51% (4)	209	4.69 (9)	#9 (.05)	38% (21)		39% (27)	37% (25)	3.22 (18)	41.4	0.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Offense	13	23.2	11.4	40.1%	3.95	1	17	306	169	138	4.2	62%	38%	43%	35%	12%	.12
PSU Defense	13	13.5	10.9	33.1%	3.09	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	31%	36%	23%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Defense	13	21.2	23.6	44.6%	3.48	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	48%	42%	15%	.14
PSU Offense	13	36.2	38.6	46.3%	4.96	0.6	23	400	185	215	4.7	50%	49%	49%	43%	11%	.25

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rutgers	13	31:48	17.5	37%	64%	5.1	45.2	1	1.4	3.8	1.5	1	30
Penn State	13	32:30	22.5	41%	77%	5	43.3	0.6	1.8	7.8	3.8	3	33.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense	13	62% (7)	43% (65)	39.8	168.8	4.2	24 (41)	.16 (64)	3.03 (84)	77% (38)	7% (11)	0.95 (94)
PSU Defense	13	49% (52)	31% (3)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (7)	2.23 (2)	76% (89)	18% (1)	0.96 (46)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense	13	52% (99)	48% (123)	-	-	-	-	.12 (54)	3.2 (91)	71% (53)	8% (122)	0.77 (4)
PSU Offense	13	50% (65)	49% (17)	39.6	184.8	4.7	26 (30)	.19 (46)	3.38 (14)	73% (77)	7% (8)	0.85 (123)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense	13	38% (126)	35% (118)	10.9	22.6	137.5	6.1	12.6	10 (120)	8 (30)	.07 (126)	1.7 (46)	30% (42)	33% (52)	.34 (64)	5% (19)	1.8 (127)
PSU Defense	13	50% (77)	36% (10)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.2 (25)	1.7 (94)	39% (2)	26% (19)	.21 (21)	6% (86)	2.1 (74)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense	13	47% (33)	42% (69)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.22 (40)	1.4 (5)	30% (111)	30% (65)	.17 (8)	6% (55)	1.7 (5)
PSU Offense	13	49% (63)	43% (53)	18.9	31.7	215	6.8	11.4	30 (16)	2 (1)	.3 (62)	1.5 (115)	27% (9)	35% (23)	.38 (50)	4% (7)	1.7 (129)

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: -0.30 #64
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Rutgers's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20
Rutgers's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: -0.30 Penn State: 25.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 2.3 Penn State: 26.0

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 25.72 #5
Penn State's Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Penn State's Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 57 #13
Penn State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Penn State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.4
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

Rutgers's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 2
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 2
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 33
Rutgers 9

Total Points: 42

Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 23
Rutgers 20

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 30
Rutgers 15

Total Points: 45

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 36.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.6
Defense: 13.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.9

Penn State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Rutgers	36	Penn State	40	Penn State -14.5	Rutgers	55.5	Over
2023	11/18	Penn State	27	Rutgers	6	Penn State -19.5	Penn State	39.5	Under
2022	11/19	Rutgers	10	Penn State	55	Penn State -18.5	Penn State	45.0	Over
2021	11/20	Penn State	28	Rutgers	0	Penn State -14	Penn State	44.5	Under
2020	12/05	Rutgers	7	Penn State	23	Penn State -13.0	Penn State	51.0	Under
2019	11/30	Penn State	27	Rutgers	6	Penn State -38.5	Rutgers	50.5	Under
2018	11/17	Rutgers	7	Penn State	20	Penn State -28.5	Rutgers	52.5	Under
2017	11/11	Penn State	35	Rutgers	6	Penn State -31.5	Rutgers	56.5	Under
2016	11/19	Rutgers	0	Penn State	39	Penn State -22.5	Penn State	55.0	Under
2015	09/19	Penn State	28	Rutgers	3	Penn State -7	Penn State	47.5	Under
2014	09/13	Rutgers	10	Penn State	13	Penn State -4	Rutgers	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Penn State	11	6	2 Overs
Rutgers	0	5	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 6	6 - 5	3 - 2	3 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 5	5 - 6	3 - 3	2 - 3

(#64) RUTG at (#5) PSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	RUTG	PSU
Power RatePwr	#64	#5
SP+SP+	#59	#4
Perf GradeGrade	#50	#6
OffenseOff	#61	#27
DefenseDef	#37	#4
Spec TeamsST	#115	#8
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#53	#13

Rutgers Injury Report

Penn State Injury Report

Rutgers on Offense


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	PSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#61	#4
SuccessSuc	#91	#3
ExplosiveExp	#116	#101
PPAPPA	#107	#8
PowerPwr	#92	#2
SP+SP+	#98	#4
Pts POPPO	#62	#15
HavocHav	#10	#2

Rutgers Run Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	#33	#6
Run SuccessRSuc	#65	#3
Run ExplRExp	#94	#46
PPAExp	#64	#7
Run BlockR Blk	#52	-
OL YdsOLY	#84	#2
Stuff RateStuff	#66	#3
TackleTak	-	#34

Rutgers Pass Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#19
Pass SuccessPSuc	#118	#10
Pass ExplPExl	#46	#94
PPAExp	#126	#25
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#108	#1
F7 HavocF7	#11	#1
DB HavocDB	#19	#86

Penn State on Offense


CategoryCat	PSU Off	RUTG Def
Perf GradePerf	#27	#37
SuccessSuc	#25	#104
ExplosiveExp	#124	#1
PPAPPA	#40	#43
PowerPwr	#31	#59
SP+SP+	#26	#21
Pts POPPO	#5	#44
HavocHav	#4	#107

Penn State Run Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	#27	#65
Run SuccessRSuc	#17	#123
Run ExplRExp	#123	#4
PPAExp	#46	#54
Run BlockR Blk	#14	-
OL YdsOLY	#14	#91
Stuff RateStuff	#2	#120
TackleTak	-	#4

Penn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	#34	#29
Pass SuccessPSuc	#53	#69
Pass ExplPExl	#115	#5
PPAExp	#62	#40
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#60	#55
F7 HavocF7	#8	#122
DB HavocDB	#7	#55

Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 45° - Wind: 8 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Penn State -19.5 (39.5)
Penn State won vs Rutgers this year (27-6)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Rutgers in 2023 (27-6)
Penn State beat Rutgers in 2022 (55-10)

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Gavin Wimsatt	138	289	48%	1735	9	8	6.0
Evan Simon	2	3	67%	30	1	0	10.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Monangai	242	1262	8	5.2	55
Gavin Wimsatt	131	497	11	3.8	80
Samuel Brown V	63	217	2	3.4	11
Ja'shon Benjamin	45	172	1	3.8	26

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Christian Dremel	35	463	3	13.2	69
JaQuae Jackson (Tr)	22	361	1	16.4	61
Isaiah Washington	26	326	1	12.5	42
Ian Strong	16	230	2	14.4	29

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Joe Harasymiak (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deion Jennings	94	5	0	0	4
Mohamed Toure	92	10	5	4	2
Michael Dixon (Tr)	76	2	0	1	5
Desmond Igbinosun	64	7	1	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mohamed Toure	92	10	5	4	2
Wesley Bailey	25	5	4	5	3
Tyreem Powell	52	3	3	2	2
Aaron Lewis	49	5	3	10	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Robert Longerbeam	39	1	1	8
Eric Rogers (Tr)	18	0	0	6
Max Melton	32	4	1	6

PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drew Allar	233	388	60%	2631	25	2	6.8
Beau Pribula	11	21	52%	149	4	0	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaytron Allen	172	902	6	5.2	50
Nicholas Singleton	171	752	8	4.4	24
Beau Pribula	56	329	6	5.9	39
Drew Allar	74	210	4	2.8	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keandre Lambert	53	673	4	12.7	72
Tyler Warren	34	422	7	12.4	75
Theo Johnson	34	341	7	10.0	34
Nicholas Singleton	26	308	2	11.8	53

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Manny Diaz (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevin Winston Jr.	60	3	0	0	5
Kobe King	59	6	2	1	0
Curtis Jacobs	50	9	3	5	0
Abdul Carter	49	6	5	5	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Adisa Isaac	37	16	8	4	0
Abdul Carter	49	6	5	5	5
John Dixon	26	6	5	0	3
Demeioun Robinson	15	8	4	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daequan Hardy	22	3	1	0	7
Kevin Winston Jr.	60	3	0	0	5
Abdul Carter	49	6	5	5	5