Rutgers at Penn State Game Matchup
Rutgers logo Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Penn State Nittany LionsPenn State logo
Saturday, November 18th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Penn State -19.5 (39.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Penn State 27 - Rutgers: 6  (Big Ten)

 
Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 4 - 2)
Coach Greg Schiano (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (25 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 7.2 (#81)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
RUTG 2nd straight Road Game
PSU 2nd straight Home Game
PSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Penn State -24.5   (SP+ PSU -24)

Projected Score: RUTG: 10 - PSU: 34 (52)
PSU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
RUTG Travel: 179 miles
Nittany Lions (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (81 - 36)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Rutgers's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 9/3 Rutgers vs Northwestern-5.039.0W 24 - 7UY
Sat 9/9 Rutgers vs Temple-7.543.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 9/16 Rutgers vs Virginia Tech-6.537.5W 35 - 16OY
Sat 9/23 Rutgers at Michigan+24.044.5L 7 - 31UY
Sat 9/30 Rutgers vs Wagner-46.052.5W 52 - 3OY
Sat 10/7 Rutgers at Wisconsin+12.544.0L 13 - 24UY
Sat 10/14 Rutgers vs Michigan State-4.038.5W 27 - 24ON
Sat 10/21 Rutgers at Indiana-6.039.5W 31 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Rutgers vs Ohio State+19.042.5L 16 - 35OY
Sat 11/11 Rutgers at Iowa-2.527.5L 0 - 22UN
Sat 11/18 Rutgers at Penn State+19.539.5L 6 - 27UN
Sat 11/25 Rutgers vs Maryland+2.045.5L 24 - 42ON
Thu 12/28 Rutgers vs Miami-3.041.0W 31 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule
Penn State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Penn State vs West Virginia-21.048.0W 38 - 15OY
Sat 9/9 Penn State vs Delaware-44.055.0W 63 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Penn State at Illinois-14.047.5W 30 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 Penn State vs Iowa-14.038.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 9/30 Penn State at Northwestern-27.048.0W 41 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Penn State vs Massachusetts-42.055.0W 63 - 0OY
Sat 10/21 Penn State at Ohio State+4.047.0L 12 - 20UN
Sat 10/28 Penn State vs Indiana-31.045.0W 33 - 24ON
Sat 11/4 Penn State at Maryland-8.550.5W 51 - 15OY
Sat 11/11 Penn State vs Michigan+4.044.5L 15 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Penn State vs Rutgers-19.539.5W 27 - 6UY
Fri 11/24 Penn State vs Michigan State-20.042.0W 42 - 0UY
Sat 12/30 Penn State vs Ole Miss-5.553.0L 25 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RUTG.0537%28.941%3.0112734%1543.32.1442%25.445%39%3.8664.21.71.4
PSU.2643%33.141%3.0318146%2534.61.0838%16.543%36%3.3948.31.12.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RUTG0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RUTG Offense1228.92537.4%3.321.7152811271543.553%47%41%34%19%.05
PSU Defense1316.51138.5%3.392.7 - - - - - 41%59%43%36%25%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RUTG Defense1225.42241.7%3.861.4 - - - - - 49%51%45%39%20%.14
PSU Offense1333.133.543.4%4.611.1214341812534.851%49%41%46%13%.26

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rutgers1229:1114.828%53%7.864.21.71.45.51.7327.7
Penn State1330:3321.238%70%5.348.31.12.77.83.2230.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense1253%41%36126.93.511-.013.0174%13%0.71
PSU Defense1341%43% - - - - .132.6672%15%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense1249%45% - - - - .142.869%11%0.9
PSU Offense1351%41%37.6181.14.828.183.0375%8%1.17

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense1247%34%1427.7154.35.6111114.121.734%21%.117%2.3
PSU Defense1359%36% - - - - - - 14.061.537%29%.2911%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense1251%39% - - - - - - 9.171.533%26%.129%1.8
PSU Offense1349%46%20.832.5252.57.812.2297.341.630%33%.425%2.1

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: -0.30 #64
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 734.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Rutgers's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20
Rutgers's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: -0.30   Penn State: 25.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 2.3   Penn State: 26.0




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 25.72 #5
Penn State's Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Penn State's Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
2023 Talent Rating: 1046.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 57 #13
Penn State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Penn State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Rutgers's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 2
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 2
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 34
Rutgers 10


Projected Total Points: 52
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 11

Penn State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Penn State27Rutgers6Penn StatePenn State -19.5Penn State39.5Under
202211/19Rutgers10Penn State55Penn StatePenn State -18.5Penn State45.0Over
202111/20Penn State28Rutgers0Penn StatePenn State -14Penn State44.5Under
202012/05Rutgers7Penn State23Penn StatePenn State -13.0Penn State51.0Under
201911/30Penn State27Rutgers6Penn StatePenn State -38.5Rutgers50.5Under
201811/17Rutgers7Penn State20Penn StatePenn State -28.5Rutgers52.5Under
201711/11Penn State35Rutgers6Penn StatePenn State -31.5Rutgers56.5Under
201611/19Rutgers0Penn State39Penn StatePenn State -22.5Penn State55.0Under
201509/19Penn State28Rutgers3Penn StatePenn State -7Penn State47.5Under
201409/13Rutgers10Penn State13Penn StatePenn State -4Rutgers0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State1061 Overs
Rutgers048 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 55 - 53 - 22 - 3
Road Teams5 - 55 - 53 - 22 - 3

(#64) Rutgers Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.30 #64
Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 734.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 8% #53
Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20

Team Profile






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Rutgers     Ratings Matchup     Penn State
Power #64
#5
Off #92
#31
Def #59
#2
Talent #39
#11
SP+ #59
#4
SP+ Off #98
#26
SP+ Def #21
#4

Rematch from Week 12
Penn State -19.5 (39.5)
Penn State won vs Rutgers this year (27-6)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Rutgers in 2023 (27-6)
Penn State beat Rutgers in 2022 (55-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 45° - Wind: 8 mph


Team Information
Injuries: RUTG | PSU
Depth Chart: RUTG | PSU
Rosters: RUTG | PSU
(#5) Penn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 25.72 #5
Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4
Talent Rating: 1046.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 57 #13
Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70

Team Profile






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Rutgers's OC Kirk Ciarrocca
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Simon18130859%20321596.6
Gavin Wimsatt163941%287347.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyle Monangai2561279135.062
Gavin Wimsatt4918323.724
Aaron Young2311925.224
Evan Simon872030.216
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Max Patterson25286011.439
Christian Dremel12162113.536
Kyle Monangai147515.414
Aaron Young239019.537

View Rutgers's Full Roster
Rutgers's DC Joe Harasymiak
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shaquan Loyal755105
Michael Dixon (Tr)600004
Tyreem Powell564032
Desmond Igbinosun544022
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kyonte Hamilton325431
Aaron Lewis274362
Rene Konga203320
Shaquan Loyal755105
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Longerbeam4220011
Shaquan Loyal755105
Michael Dixon (Tr)600004

Penn State's OC Mike Yurcich
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tyler Warren3650%35105.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery7135925.148
Tyler Warren2621848.448
Cristian Driver2904.55
Alex Bacchetta1-190-19.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Warren1041233811.938
Keandre Lambert50981819.667
Dante Cephas (Tr)15184012.335
Malick Meiga7117016.746

View Penn State's Full Roster
Penn State's DC Manny Diaz
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Reed957312
Kobe King878311
Abdul Carter62241294
Dvon Ellies314120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Abdul Carter62241294
Amin Vanover215431
Jaylen Reed957312
Kobe King878311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Abdul Carter62241294
Jaylen Reed957312
Tyler Elsdon230002