Penn State at Maryland - 2021 Matchup Preview

Penn State Nittany Lions at Maryland Terrapins

Saturday, November 6th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -10 (56.5)
Penn State 31 - Maryland: 14 (Big Ten)

Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (63 - 28)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (29 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

PSU 2nd straight Road Game
MD 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -1.5 (SP+ PSU -8)
Projected Score: PSU: 29 - MD: 25 (54)
PSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
PSU Travel: 135 miles

Terrapins (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (9 - 17)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (26 - 27 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PSU Players
MD Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Penn State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Penn State at Wisconsin	+5.5	48.5	W 16 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Penn State vs Ball State	-23.0	58.0	W 44 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Penn State vs Auburn	-4.0	53.0	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Penn State vs Villanova	-29.5	53.0	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 10/2	Penn State vs Indiana	-12.0	54.5	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Penn State at Iowa	+2.5	41.0	L 20 - 23	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Penn State vs Illinois	-24.5	46.0	L 18 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/30	Penn State at Ohio State	+18.5	60.5	L 24 - 33	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Penn State at Maryland	-10.0	56.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Penn State vs Michigan	+2.5	48.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/20	Penn State vs Rutgers	-14.0	44.5	W 28 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Penn State at Michigan State	-3.5	51.5	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 1/1	Penn State vs Arkansas	+3.5	51.0	L 10 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Maryland's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Maryland vs West Virginia	+2.5	56.0	W 30 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Maryland vs Howard	-48.5	56.0	W 62 - 0	O	Y
Fri 9/17	Maryland at Illinois	-7.0	61.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/25	Maryland vs Kent State	-13.0	71.5	W 37 - 16	U	Y
Fri 10/1	Maryland vs Iowa	+3.0	47.5	L 14 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/9	Maryland at Ohio State	+22.0	71.5	L 17 - 66	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Maryland at Minnesota	+4.0	53.0	L 16 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/30	Maryland vs Indiana	-3.5	48.0	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/6	Maryland vs Penn State	+10.0	56.5	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/13	Maryland at Michigan State	+11.5	60.0	L 21 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/20	Maryland vs Michigan	+16.0	58.5	L 18 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/27	Maryland at Rutgers	+2.0	53.0	W 40 - 16	O	Y
Wed 12/29	Maryland vs Virginia Tech	-4.0	55.0	W 54 - 10	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PSU	.18	44%	31	42%	2.94	174	45%	255	3.47	.12	40%	20.5	40%	39%	3.54	37.2	1.9	1
MD	.18	38%	23.5	39%	2.76	143	39%	258	2.44	.21	42%	26.5	46%	37%	4.41	79	2.2	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MD		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PSU Offense	9	31	28.6	43.7%	3.47	1.9	25	430	174	255	3.9	53%	47%	42%	45%	14%	.18
MD Defense	5	26.5	27.3	42.1%	4.41	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	46%	37%	17%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PSU Defense	9	20.5	30.2	39.6%	3.54	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	40%	39%	17%	.12
MD Offense	5	23.5	26.3	38.5%	2.44	2.2	18	401	143	258	4.8	44%	56%	39%	39%	19%	.18

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Penn State	9	33:38	24.8	42%	50%	4.3	37.2	1.9	1	6.6	2.3	1	28.4
Maryland	5	24:19	18	38%	100%	8.8	79	2.2	0.8	6.6	2.6	0	27.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PSU Offense	9	53%	42%	44.7	174.3	3.9	15	.06	2.94	64%	9%	0.87
MD Defense	5	55%	46%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.15	75%	10%	1.08

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PSU Defense	9	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.56	71%	12%	1.01
MD Offense	5	44%	39%	29.6	143	4.8	5	.13	2.76	54%	12%	1.28

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PSU Offense	9	47%	45%	20.4	34	255.3	7.5	12.5	17	9	.3	1.6	29%	41%	.36	5%	1.8
MD Defense	5	45%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.19	1.5	30%	37%	.42	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PSU Defense	9	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.2	1.5	33%	26%	.21	6%	2.1
MD Offense	5	56%	39%	19.2	31.4	258.2	8.2	13.5	9	9	.22	1.8	33%	26%	.33	7%	2.6

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #19
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #72
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State: Maryland: 5.6

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 14.3 Maryland: 6.2

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 5.6 NR
Maryland's Offense Rating: NR
Maryland's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Maryland's 2021 Expected Record: -
Maryland's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.2 #60
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #25
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #74

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Penn State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 29
Maryland 25

Projected Total Points: 54

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Maryland's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Penn State	44	Maryland	7	Penn State -26.5	Penn State	50.5	Over
2023	11/04	Maryland	15	Penn State	51	Penn State -8.5	Penn State	50.5	Over
2022	11/12	Penn State	30	Maryland	0	Penn State -10.5	Penn State	56.5	Under
2021	11/06	Maryland	14	Penn State	31	Penn State -10	Penn State	56.5	Under
2020	11/07	Penn State	19	Maryland	35	Penn State -27	Maryland	62.5	Under
2019	09/27	Maryland	0	Penn State	59	Penn State -6.5	Penn State	62.0	Under
2018	11/24	Penn State	38	Maryland	3	Penn State -12	Penn State	51.5	Under
2017	11/25	Maryland	3	Penn State	66	Penn State -23.5	Penn State	57.5	Over
2016	10/08	Penn State	38	Maryland	14	Penn State -3	Penn State	56.0	Under
2015	10/24	Maryland	30	Penn State	31	Penn State -7.5	Maryland	46.5	Over
2014	11/01	Penn State	19	Maryland	20	Penn State -2.5	Maryland	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Maryland	2	3	4 Overs
Penn State	9	8	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 7	5 - 6	4 - 2	1 - 4
Road Teams	7 - 4	6 - 5	4 - 1	2 - 4

(#) PSU at (#) MD

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PSU	MD
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#19	#60
Perf GradeGrade	#71	#94
OffenseOff	#88	#48
DefenseDef	#57	#115
Spec TeamsST	#11	#108
TalentTal	#16	#33
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Penn State Injury Report

Maryland Injury Report

Penn State on Offense


CategoryCat	PSU Off	MD Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#88	#115
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#72	#74
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Penn State Run Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	#125	#105
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#67	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#29

Penn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	#85	#104
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#67	#113
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Maryland on Offense


CategoryCat	MD Off	PSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#48	#57
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Maryland Run Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	#31	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#104	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#63

Maryland Pass Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	#14	#5
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#21	#79
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MD 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Penn State 10.0 (56.5)
Penn State won at Maryland this year (31-14)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Maryland in 2024 (44-7)
Penn State beat Maryland in 2023 (51-15)

PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Anthony Poindexter / Brent Pry (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MD's OC Dan Enos (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD