Washington at Penn State - 2024 Matchup Preview

(#23)Washington Huskies at Penn State Nittany Lions

Saturday, November 9th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Penn State -13.5 (48.0) (-575) Open: -13.5 | 46.0
Penn State 35 - Washington: 6 (Big Ten)

Huskies (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (16 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

PSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Penn State -25.5 (SP+ PSU -22)
Projected Score: WASH: 11 - PSU: 37 (48)
PSU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
WASH Travel: 2219 miles, 3 hrs behind

Nittany Lions (13 - 3) (8 - 8 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (88 - 39)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13 - 3 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WASH Players
PSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Washington vs Weber State	-29.0	51.5	W 35 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Washington vs Eastern Michigan	-25.0	48.5	W 30 - 9	U	N
Sat 9/14	Washington vs Washington State	-4.0	56.0	L 19 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/21	Washington vs Northwestern	-11.5	42.5	W 24 - 5	U	Y
Fri 9/27	Washington at Rutgers	+1.5	44.5	L 18 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/5	Washington vs Michigan	-1.5	39.5	W 27 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/12	Washington at Iowa	+2.5	41.5	L 16 - 40	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Washington at Indiana	+5.5	54.0	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/2	Washington vs USC	+2.0	55.0	W 26 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Washington at Penn State	+13.5	48.0	L 6 - 35	U	N
Fri 11/15	Washington vs UCLA	-4.5	47.0	W 31 - 19	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30	Washington at Oregon	+17.5	50.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Tue 12/31	Washington vs Louisville	-1.0	50.5	L 34 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule

Penn State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Penn State at West Virginia	-7.5	48.0	W 34 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Penn State vs Bowling Green	-35.5	51.5	W 34 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Penn State vs Kent State	-49.0	58.0	W 56 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Penn State vs Illinois	-19.5	48.0	W 21 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/5	Penn State vs UCLA	-30.0	48.0	W 27 - 11	U	N
Sat 10/12	Penn State at USC	-3.5	51.5	W 33 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Penn State at Wisconsin	-6.5	47.0	W 28 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Penn State vs Ohio State	+3.0	47.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/9	Penn State vs Washington	-13.5	48.0	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Penn State at Purdue	-30.0	51.5	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Penn State at Minnesota	-11.0	45.0	W 26 - 25	O	N
Sat 11/30	Penn State vs Maryland	-26.5	50.5	W 44 - 7	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Penn State vs Oregon	+3.5	51.5	L 37 - 45	O	N
Sat 12/21	Penn State vs SMU	-9.0	52.5	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Tue 12/31	Penn State vs Boise State	-11.5	54.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Thu 1/9	Penn State vs Notre Dame	-1.5	45.5	L 24 - 27	O	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH	#32 (.25)	47% (21)	23.4	46% (36)	3.29 (28)	122	48% (13)	233	3.52 (102)	#54 (.14)	43% (83)	23.8	48% (116)	38% (31)	4.04 (95)	48.7	0.8	1.2
PSU	#11 (.32)	51% (4)	33.1	52% (9)	3.42 (10)	176	51% (4)	209	4.69 (9)	#9 (.05)	38% (21)	16.5	39% (27)	37% (25)	3.22 (18)	41.4	0.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH	#32 (.25)	47% (21)		46% (36)	3.29 (28)	122	48% (13)	233	3.52 (102)	#54 (.14)	43% (83)		48% (116)	38% (31)	4.04 (95)	48.7	0.8	1.2
PSU	#11 (.32)	51% (4)		52% (9)	3.42 (10)	176	51% (4)	209	4.69 (9)	#9 (.05)	38% (21)		39% (27)	37% (25)	3.22 (18)	41.4	0.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Offense	13	23.4	15.6	47%	3.52	0.8	19	355	122	233	4.1	46%	54%	46%	48%	16%	.25
PSU Defense	16	16.5	11	37.9%	3.22	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	39%	37%	18%	.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Defense	13	23.8	35.2	43.1%	4.04	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	48%	38%	14%	.14
PSU Offense	16	33.1	33.5	51.3%	4.69	0.8	20	385	176	209	5.3	54%	46%	52%	51%	10%	.32

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington	13	27:50	19.1	36%	46%	5.5	48.7	0.8	1.2	3.3	1.5	0	27.9
Penn State	16	26:51	20.4	48%	70%	4.4	41.4	0.8	1.3	5.5	2.3	4	28.9

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Offense	13	46% (100)	46% (36)	29.5	121.6	4.1	13 (105)	.12 (78)	3.29 (28)	77% (43)	11% (101)	0.83 (123)
PSU Defense	16	48% (43)	39% (27)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (12)	2.37 (3)	75% (75)	12% (26)	0.92 (42)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Defense	13	52% (79)	48% (116)	-	-	-	-	.19 (106)	3.3 (114)	68% (36)	7% (131)	0.89 (31)
PSU Offense	16	54% (38)	52% (9)	33.2	176.2	5.3	31 (17)	.24 (20)	3.42 (10)	76% (51)	7% (8)	0.92 (90)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Offense	13	54% (38)	48% (13)	21.2	29.6	232.9	7.9	11	18 (68)	7 (26)	.37 (22)	1.5 (117)	27% (6)	34% (44)	.35 (62)	5% (35)	1.8 (121)
PSU Defense	16	52% (96)	37% (25)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (18)	.1 (16)	1.7 (91)	36% (14)	27% (25)	.2 (29)	6% (57)	2.1 (95)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Defense	13	48% (58)	38% (31)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.09 (13)	1.5 (40)	30% (95)	33% (98)	.35 (90)	7% (32)	2 (57)
PSU Offense	16	46% (95)	51% (4)	16.7	24.3	208.8	8.6	12.5	27 (20)	9 (48)	.41 (11)	1.5 (107)	26% (3)	35% (31)	.46 (20)	3% (5)	2 (85)

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: -0.06 #64
Washington's Offense Rating: 19.16 #73
Washington's Defense Rating: 11.11 #81
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Washington's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Washington's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #66
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: -0.06 Penn State: 26.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 3.1 Penn State: 24.6

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 26.93 #6
Penn State's Offense Rating: 29.70 #2
Penn State's Defense Rating: 1.50 #7
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #15
Penn State's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0
Penn State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Washington Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.6
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Washington's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 37
Washington 11

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 27
Washington 18

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 32
Washington 17

Total Points: 49

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 11

Penn State's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 9
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/09	Penn State	35	Washington	6	Penn State -13.5	Penn State	48.0	Under
2017	12/30	Penn State	35	Washington	28	Penn State -3	Penn State	55.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Penn State	2	2	1 Overs
Washington	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	2 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0	0 - 2

(#64) WASH at (#6) PSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WASH	PSU
Power RatePwr	#64	#6
SP+SP+	#58	#5
Perf GradeGrade	#69	#12
OffenseOff	#71	#15
DefenseDef	#62	#16
Spec TeamsST	#121	#62
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#23	#15

Washington Notes(12/31) QB D Williams (Mobile, Fr) great in bowl.
(12/27) Hired DC Walters (Pur HC)
(11/18) QB Williams replaced Rogers (UCLA W) better QB
(11/18) Good W vs UCLA, Run Def great, Off enough
(11/13) Off abysmal vs PSU, Rgame yuck, Def torched
(11/2) Big W over USC, Outgained but forced 3 TO's
(10/6) OG'd Michigan by 150+. QB Rogers really good
(10/4) Off #'s both Run/Pass great, flags killing them
(9/27) Outgained Gers by 200+ yds. 2-12 3rd down killer
(9/11) Off: Rogers good, WRs Hunter/Boston good.
(8/4) OL & DL do not have the talent TY
(8/4) Fisch good HC, but year 0 with 0 ret. starters
Washington Injury Report

Penn State Injury Report

Washington on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	WASH Off	PSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#71	#16
SuccessSuc	#21	#21
ExplosiveExp	#119	#81
PPAPPA	#32	#9
PowerPwr	#73	#7
SP+SP+	#66	#4
Pts POPPO	#102	#18
HavocHav	#74	#38

Washington Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	WASH Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	#37	#27
Run SuccessRSuc	#36	#27
Run ExplRExp	#123	#42
PPAExp	#78	#12
Run BlockR Blk	#104	-
OL YdsOLY	#28	#3
Stuff RateStuff	#17	#1
TackleTak	-	#81

Washington Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	WASH Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	#86	#21
Pass SuccessPSuc	#13	#25
Pass ExplPExl	#117	#91
PPAExp	#22	#16
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#131	#10
F7 HavocF7	#101	#26
DB HavocDB	#35	#57

Penn State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	PSU Off	WASH Def
Perf GradePerf	#15	#62
SuccessSuc	#4	#83
ExplosiveExp	#116	#17
PPAPPA	#11	#54
PowerPwr	#2	#81
SP+SP+	#9	#36
Pts POPPO	#9	#95
HavocHav	#3	#107

Penn State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	PSU Off	WASH Def
Run GameRun	#21	#90
Run SuccessRSuc	#9	#116
Run ExplRExp	#90	#31
PPAExp	#20	#106
Run BlockR Blk	#57	-
OL YdsOLY	#10	#114
Stuff RateStuff	#24	#123
TackleTak	-	#2

Penn State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	PSU Off	WASH Def
Pass GamePass	#6	#10
Pass SuccessPSuc	#4	#31
Pass ExplPExl	#107	#40
PPAExp	#11	#13
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#89	#82
F7 HavocF7	#8	#131
DB HavocDB	#5	#32

Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

WASH 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 41° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 11
Penn State -13.5 (48.0)
Penn State won vs Washington this year (35-6)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Washington last year (35-6)

WASH's OC Brennan Carroll (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Will Rogers (Tr)	220	311	71%	2458	14	7	7.9
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)	82	105	78%	944	8	1	9.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jonah Coleman (Tr)	193	1053	10	5.5	64
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)	83	282	2	3.4	43
Adam Mohammed (Tr)	42	193	0	4.6	32
Cameron Davis	44	190	0	4.3	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Giles Jackson	85	893	7	10.5	49
Denzel Boston	63	834	9	13.2	51
Jeremiah Hunter (Tr)	36	490	1	13.6	42
Keleki Latu (Tr)	40	371	1	9.3	36

View Washington's Full Roster

WASH's DC Stephen Belichick (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carson Bruener	104	2	0	3	5
Alphonzo Tuputala	81	4	4	2	1
Kamren Fabiculanan	54	1	0	1	2
Sebastian Valdez (Tr)	49	5	2	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alphonzo Tuputala	81	4	4	2	1
Russell Davis II (Tr)	4	3	3	0	0
Isaiah Ward (Tr)	28	6	3	2	2
Voi Tunuufi	36	4	3	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Thaddeus Dixon	43	2	0	10
Ephesians Prysock (Tr)	45	0	0	6
Jordan Shaw	37	4	1	6

PSU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drew Allar	262	394	67%	3327	24	8	8.4
Beau Pribula	26	35	74%	275	5	1	7.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaytron Allen	220	1108	8	5.0	32
Nicholas Singleton	172	1099	12	6.4	58
Drew Allar	96	302	6	3.1	22
Beau Pribula	38	242	4	6.4	49

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyler Warren	104	1233	8	11.9	38
Harrison Wallace III	47	732	4	15.6	50
Omari Evans	20	403	5	20.2	59
Nicholas Singleton	41	375	5	9.1	27

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Tom Allen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Reed	95	7	3	1	2
Kobe King	87	8	3	1	1
Zakee Wheatley	86	3	1	0	4
Abdul Carter	62	24	12	9	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Abdul Carter	62	24	12	9	4
Dani Dennis-Sutton	40	13	9	9	3
Amin Vanover	21	5	4	3	1
Jaylen Reed	95	7	3	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Elliot Washington II	25	1	0	6
Cam Miller	23	3	2	5
A.J. Harris (Tr)	41	3	0	5