Washington at Penn State Game Matchup
Washington logo Washington Huskies at Penn State Nittany LionsPenn State logo
Saturday, November 9th 2024 (8:00 PM EST)
Penn State -13.5 (48.0) (-575)  Open: -13.5 | 46.0
Penn State 35 - Washington: 6  (Big Ten)

 
Huskies (6 - 7) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (16 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 7 (#72)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
PSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Penn State -25.5   (SP+ PSU -22)

Projected Score: WASH: 12 - PSU: 37 (49)
PSU Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
WASH Travel: 2219 miles, 3 hrs behind
Nittany Lions (13 - 3) (8 - 8 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (88 - 39)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13 - 3 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Washington's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Washington vs Weber State-29.051.5W 35 - 3UY
Sat 9/7 Washington vs Eastern Michigan-25.048.5W 30 - 9UN
Sat 9/14 Washington vs Washington State-4.056.0L 19 - 24UN
Sat 9/21 Washington vs Northwestern-11.542.5W 24 - 5UY
Fri 9/27 Washington at Rutgers+1.544.5L 18 - 21UN
Sat 10/5 Washington vs Michigan-1.539.5W 27 - 17OY
Sat 10/12 Washington at Iowa+2.541.5L 16 - 40ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Washington at Indiana+5.554.0L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/2 Washington vs USC+2.055.0W 26 - 21UY
Sat 11/9 Washington at Penn State+13.548.0L 6 - 35UN
Fri 11/15 Washington vs UCLA-4.547.0W 31 - 19OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/30 Washington at Oregon+17.550.5L 21 - 49ON
Tue 12/31 Washington vs Louisville-1.050.5L 34 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
Penn State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Penn State at West Virginia-7.548.0W 34 - 12UY
Sat 9/7 Penn State vs Bowling Green-35.551.5W 34 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Penn State vs Kent State-49.058.0W 56 - 0UY
Sat 9/28 Penn State vs Illinois-19.548.0W 21 - 7UN
Sat 10/5 Penn State vs UCLA-30.048.0W 27 - 11UN
Sat 10/12 Penn State at USC-3.551.5W 33 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Penn State at Wisconsin-6.547.0W 28 - 13UY
Sat 11/2 Penn State vs Ohio State+3.047.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 11/9 Penn State vs Washington-13.548.0W 35 - 6UY
Sat 11/16 Penn State at Purdue-30.051.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 11/23 Penn State at Minnesota-11.045.0W 26 - 25ON
Sat 11/30 Penn State vs Maryland-26.550.5W 44 - 7OY
Sat 12/7 Penn State vs Oregon+3.551.5L 37 - 45ON
Sat 12/21 Penn State vs SMU-9.052.5W 38 - 10UY
Tue 12/31 Penn State vs Boise State-11.554.5W 31 - 14UY
Thu 1/9 Penn State vs Notre Dame-1.545.5L 24 - 27ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH#7 (.38)53% (4)23.454% (4)3.37 (16)10953% (5)2984.73 (12)#72 (.19)44% (99)23.851% (127)40% (50)3.93 (80)641.11.2
PSU#40 (.25)46% (25)33.149% (17)3.38 (14)18543% (53)2154.96 (5)#8 (.04)33% (3)16.531% (3)36% (10)3.09 (15)43.30.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Offense1523.415.652.9%4.731.1204071092984.540%60%54%53%13%.38
PSU Defense1316.51133.1%3.091.8 - - - - - 49%50%31%36%23%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Defense1523.835.244.1%3.931.2 - - - - - 41%58%51%40%15%.19
PSU Offense1333.133.546.3%4.960.6234001852154.750%49%49%43%11%.25

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington1525:4120.248%73%6.8641.11.23.91.3331
Penn State1332:3022.541%77%543.30.61.87.83.8333.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Offense1540% (125)54% (4)24108.54.526 (30).28 (10)3.37 (16)74% (71)7% (18)0.96 (90)
PSU Defense1349% (52)31% (3) - - - - -.04 (7)2.23 (2)76% (89)18% (1)0.96 (46)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Defense1541% (3)51% (127) - - - - .3 (130)3.63 (132)78% (99)7% (126)0.99 (66)
PSU Offense1350% (65)49% (17)39.6184.84.726 (30).19 (46)3.38 (14)73% (77)7% (8)0.85 (123)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Offense1560% (8)53% (5)21.332.32989.21435 (7)10 (56).49 (11)1.5 (109)26% (7)41% (5).56 (10)5% (36)2 (89)
PSU Defense1350% (77)36% (10) - - - - - - 12 (37).2 (25)1.7 (94)39% (2)26% (19).21 (21)6% (86)2.1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Defense1558% (130)40% (50) - - - - - - 16 (9).14 (13)1.4 (7)29% (122)30% (66).22 (23)8% (12)1.7 (2)
PSU Offense1349% (63)43% (53)18.931.72156.811.430 (16)2 (1).3 (62)1.5 (115)27% (9)35% (23).38 (50)4% (7)1.7 (129)

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: -0.06 #64
Washington's Offense Rating: 19.16 #73
Washington's Defense Rating: 11.11 #81
2024 Talent Rating: 754.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Washington's 2024 Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0
Washington's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #66
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: -0.06   Penn State: 26.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 3.1   Penn State: 24.6




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 26.93 #6
Penn State's Offense Rating: 29.70 #2
Penn State's Defense Rating: 1.50 #7
2024 Talent Rating: 936.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #15
Penn State's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0
Penn State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Washington Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.6
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Washington's 2024 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 37
Washington 12


Projected Total Points: 49
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 11

Penn State's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/09Penn State35Washington6Penn StatePenn State -13.5Penn State48.0Under
201712/30Penn State35Washington28Penn StatePenn State -3Penn State55.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State221 Overs
Washington001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#64) Washington Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.06 #64
Offense Rating: 19.16 #73
Defense Rating: 11.11 #81
Overall SP+ Rating: 3.1 #58
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #66
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #36
Talent Rating: 754.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 25% #23
Expected Record: 6.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Great Offense Success Rate of 47%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.52 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 48%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.04 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Good Pass Def Success 38%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Washington Notes
(12/27) Hired DC Walters (Pur HC)
(11/18) QB Williams replaced Rogers (UCLA W) better QB
(11/18) Good W vs UCLA, Run Def great, Off enough
(11/13) Off abysmal vs PSU, Rgame yuck, Def torched
(11/2) Big W over USC, Outgained but forced 3 TO's
(10/6) OG'd Michigan by 150+. QB Rogers really good
(10/4) Off #'s both Run/Pass great, flags killing them
(9/27) Outgained Gers by 200+ yds. 2-12 3rd down killer
(9/11) Off: Rogers good, WRs Hunter/Boston good.
(8/4) OL & DL do not have the talent TY
Washington     Ratings Matchup     Penn State
Power #64
#6
Off #73
#2
Def #81
#7
Talent #41
#11
SP+ #58
#5
SP+ Off #66
#9
SP+ Def #36
#4

Rematch from Week 11
Penn State -13.5 (48.0)
Penn State won vs Washington this year (35-6)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Washington last year (35-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 41° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: WASH | PSU
Depth Chart: WASH | PSU
Rosters: WASH | PSU
(#6) Penn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 26.93 #6
Offense Rating: 29.70 #2
Defense Rating: 1.50 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4
Talent Rating: 936.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #15
Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.69 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 51%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.22 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position



  
Washington's OC Brennan Carroll
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Rogers (Tr)22031171%24581477.9
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)8210578%944819.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonah Coleman (Tr)1931053105.564
Demond Williams Jr. (Tr)8328223.443
Adam Mohammed (Tr)4219304.632
Cameron Davis4419004.320
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Denzel Boston63834913.251
Jeremiah Hunter (Tr)36490113.642
Keleki Latu (Tr)4037119.336
Decker DeGraaf15233315.541

View Washington's Full Roster
Washington's DC Stephen Belichick
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sebastian Valdez (Tr)495201
Ephesians Prysock (Tr)450006
Makell Esteen432000
Thaddeus Dixon4320010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Russell Davis II (Tr)43300
Isaiah Ward (Tr)286322
Zach Durfee164301
Sebastian Valdez (Tr)495201
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Thaddeus Dixon4320010
Jordan Shaw374016
Ephesians Prysock (Tr)450006

Penn State's OC Andy Kotelnicki
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Allar26239467%33272488.4
Beau Pribula263574%275517.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen220110885.032
Nicholas Singleton1721099126.458
Drew Allar9630263.122
Beau Pribula3824246.449
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harrison Wallace III47732415.650
Omari Evans20403520.259
Nicholas Singleton4137559.127
Liam Clifford18286115.957

View Penn State's Full Roster
Penn State's DC Tom Allen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zakee Wheatley863104
Tony Rojas567254
Zane Durant4210341
A.J. Harris (Tr)413005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dani Dennis-Sutton4013993
Zane Durant4210341
Tony Rojas567254
Jordan Mayer (Tr)22200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elliot Washington II251006
A.J. Harris (Tr)413005
Cam Miller233025