Penn State at Maryland Game Matchup
Penn State logo Penn State Nittany Lions at Maryland TerrapinsMaryland logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -8.5 (50.5) (-415)  Open: -10.0 | 50.0
Penn State 51 - Maryland: 15  (Big Ten)

 
Nittany Lions (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (81 - 36)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Penn State -13   (SP+ PSU -17)
Projected Score: PSU: 32 - MD: 19 (52)
PSU Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
PSU Travel: 135 miles
Terrapins (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (24 - 28)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (26 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 5.1 (#46)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Penn State vs West Virginia-21.048.0W 38 - 15OY
Sat 9/9 Penn State vs Delaware-44.055.0W 63 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Penn State at Illinois-14.047.5W 30 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 Penn State vs Iowa-14.038.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 9/30 Penn State at Northwestern-27.048.0W 41 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Penn State vs Massachusetts-42.055.0W 63 - 0OY
Sat 10/21 Penn State at Ohio State+4.047.0L 12 - 20UN
Sat 10/28 Penn State vs Indiana-31.045.0W 33 - 24ON
Sat 11/4 Penn State at Maryland-8.550.5W 51 - 15OY
Sat 11/11 Penn State vs Michigan+4.044.5L 15 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Penn State vs Rutgers-19.539.5W 27 - 6UY
Fri 11/24 Penn State vs Michigan State-20.042.0W 42 - 0UY
Sat 12/30 Penn State vs Ole Miss-5.553.0L 25 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Maryland's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Maryland vs Towson-38.555.5W 38 - 6UN
Sat 9/9 Maryland vs Charlotte-24.550.0W 38 - 20ON
Fri 9/15 Maryland vs Virginia-16.548.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 Maryland at Michigan State-7.052.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 9/30 Maryland vs Indiana-14.550.0W 44 - 17OY
Sat 10/7 Maryland at Ohio State+17.056.5L 17 - 37UN
Sat 10/14 Maryland vs Illinois-13.552.0L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Maryland at Northwestern-14.048.5L 27 - 33ON
Sat 11/4 Maryland vs Penn State+8.550.5L 15 - 51ON
Sat 11/11 Maryland at Nebraska-1.541.5W 13 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Maryland vs Michigan+17.550.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/25 Maryland at Rutgers-2.045.5W 42 - 24OY
Sat 12/30 Maryland vs Auburn+4.047.5W 31 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU.2643%33.141%3.0318146%2534.61.0838%16.543%36%3.3948.31.12.7
MD.1941%23.742%2.9514141%2604.19.140%30.441%40%3.4471.11.21.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MD0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense1333.13443.4%4.611.1214341812534.851%49%41%46%13%.26
MD Defense1330.425.640.2%3.441.6 - - - - - 49%50%41%40%15%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1316.51838.5%3.392.7 - - - - - 41%59%43%36%25%.08
MD Offense1323.725.941%4.191.2204021412603.946%53%42%41%17%.19

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1330:3321.238%70%5.348.31.12.77.83.2230.1
Maryland1331:0620.242%61%7.871.11.21.64.81.8028.7
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1351%41%37.6181.14.828.183.0375%8%1.17
MD Defense1349%41% - - - - .092.9476%9%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1341%43% - - - - .132.6672%15%0.99
MD Offense1346%42%36.1141.33.923.132.9566%12%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1349%46%20.832.5252.57.812.2297.341.630%33%.425%2.1
MD Defense1350%40% - - - - - - 9.161.432%28%.26%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1359%36% - - - - - - 14.061.537%29%.2911%2.1
MD Offense1353%41%22.634.3260.27.611.5218.251.632%25%.235%2.2

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 20.44 #5
Penn State's Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Penn State's Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
2023 Talent Rating: 1046.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 57% #13
Penn State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Penn State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 20.44   Maryland: 10.43

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 26.0   Maryland: 9.2




Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 10.43 #31
Maryland's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Maryland's Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
2023 Talent Rating: 860.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #33
Maryland's 2023 Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10
Maryland's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18

Penn State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 32
Maryland 19

Projected Total Points: 52
Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.9
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Maryland's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Penn State44Maryland7Penn StatePenn State -26.5Penn State50.5Over
202311/04Maryland15Penn State51Penn StatePenn State -8.5Penn State50.5Over
202211/12Penn State30Maryland0Penn StatePenn State -10.5Penn State56.5Under
202111/06Maryland14Penn State31Penn StatePenn State -10Penn State56.5Under
202011/07Penn State19Maryland35MarylandPenn State -27Maryland62.5Under
201909/27Maryland0Penn State59Penn StatePenn State -6.5Penn State62.0Under
201811/24Penn State38Maryland3Penn StatePenn State -12Penn State51.5Under
201711/25Maryland3Penn State66Penn StatePenn State -23.5Penn State57.5Over
201610/08Penn State38Maryland14Penn StatePenn State -3Penn State56.0Under
201510/24Maryland30Penn State31Penn StatePenn State -7.5Maryland46.5Over
201411/01Penn State19Maryland20MarylandPenn State -2.5Maryland0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Maryland234 Overs
Penn State986 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 75 - 64 - 21 - 4
Road Teams7 - 46 - 54 - 12 - 4

(#5) Penn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 20.44 #5
Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4
Talent Rating: 1046.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 57% #13
Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70

Team Profile






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Penn State     Ratings Matchup     Maryland
Power #5
#31
Off #31
#48
Def #2
#40
Talent #11
#18
SP+ #4
#33
SP+ Off #26
#50
SP+ Def #4
#20

Rematch from Week 10
Penn State 8.5 (50.5)
Penn State won at Maryland this year (51-15)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Maryland last year (44-7)
Penn State beat Maryland in 2023 (51-15)
Penn State beat Maryland in 2022 (30-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 69°

Team Information
Injuries: PSU | MD
Depth Chart: PSU | MD
Rosters: PSU | MD
(#31) Maryland Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.43 #31
Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20
Talent Rating: 860.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 19 #33
Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10

Team Profile






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Penn State's OC Mike Yurcich
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tyler Warren3650%35105.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery7135925.148
Tyler Warren2621848.448
Cristian Driver2904.55
Alex Bacchetta1-190-19.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Warren1041233811.938
Keandre Lambert50981819.667
Dante Cephas (Tr)15184012.335
Malick Meiga7117016.746

View Penn State's Full Roster
Penn State's DC Manny Diaz
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Reed957312
Kobe King878311
Abdul Carter62241294
Dvon Ellies314120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Abdul Carter62241294
Amin Vanover215431
Jaylen Reed957312
Kobe King878311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Abdul Carter62241294
Jaylen Reed957312
Tyler Elsdon230002

Maryland's OC Josh Gattis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Antwain Littleton II9330513.337
Colby McDonald2915005.222
Tai Felton223011.519
Kaden Prather (Tr)1-10-1.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tai Felton961124911.775
Kaden Prather (Tr)56624411.133
Corey Dyches17181110.628
Antwain Littleton II1613418.420

View Maryland's Full Roster
Maryland's DC Brian Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ruben Hyppolite II667012
Jaishawn Barham664152
Dante Trader Jr.590004
Gavin Gibson527013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quashon Fuller284201
Taizse Johnson123200
Jaishawn Barham664152
Tamarcus Cooley393126
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tamarcus Cooley393126
Dante Trader Jr.590004
Gavin Gibson527013