Massachusetts at Penn State Game Matchup
Massachusetts logo Massachusetts Minutemen at Penn State Nittany LionsPenn State logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -42 (55.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Penn State 63 - Massachusetts: 0

 
Minutemen (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Don Brown (2 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (18 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Heavy Rain Predicted
PSU coming off BYE
UMASS is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Penn State -40   (SP+ PSU -44)
Projected Score: UMASS: 7 - PSU: 47 (54)
PSU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
UMASS Travel: 295 miles
Nittany Lions (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (81 - 36)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Massachusetts's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Massachusetts at New Mexico State+7.045.5W 41 - 30OY
Sat 9/2 Massachusetts at Auburn+35.052.0L 14 - 59ON
Sat 9/9 Massachusetts vs Miami (OH)+7.045.0L 28 - 41ON
Sat 9/16 Massachusetts at Eastern Michigan+7.050.0L 17 - 19UY
Sat 9/23 Massachusetts vs New Mexico-3.548.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 9/30 Massachusetts vs Arkansas State-2.555.5L 28 - 52ON
Sat 10/7 Massachusetts vs Toledo+19.055.5L 24 - 41OY
Sat 10/14 Massachusetts at Penn State+42.055.0L 0 - 63ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Massachusetts at Army+10.049.5W 21 - 14UY
Sat 11/4 Massachusetts vs Merrimack-16.557.5W 31 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Massachusetts at Liberty+26.564.5L 25 - 49OY
Sat 11/25 Massachusetts vs UConn-2.551.0L 18 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Penn State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Penn State vs West Virginia-21.048.0W 38 - 15OY
Sat 9/9 Penn State vs Delaware-44.055.0W 63 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Penn State at Illinois-14.047.5W 30 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 Penn State vs Iowa-14.038.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 9/30 Penn State at Northwestern-27.048.0W 41 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Penn State vs Massachusetts-42.055.0W 63 - 0OY
Sat 10/21 Penn State at Ohio State+4.047.0L 12 - 20UN
Sat 10/28 Penn State vs Indiana-31.045.0W 33 - 24ON
Sat 11/4 Penn State at Maryland-8.550.5W 51 - 15OY
Sat 11/11 Penn State vs Michigan+4.044.5L 15 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Penn State vs Rutgers-19.539.5W 27 - 6UY
Fri 11/24 Penn State vs Michigan State-20.042.0W 42 - 0UY
Sat 12/30 Penn State vs Ole Miss-5.553.0L 25 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS.0132%22.534%2.815031%1172.26.240%35.542%38%3.666.21.61.6
PSU.2643%33.141%3.0318146%2534.61.0838%16.543%36%3.3948.31.12.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1222.517.832.4%2.261.6152671501173.560%39%34%31%20%.01
PSU Defense1316.51138.5%3.392.7 - - - - - 41%59%43%36%25%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense1235.538.840.1%3.61.6 - - - - - 60%39%42%38%20%.2
PSU Offense1333.133.543.4%4.611.1214341812534.851%49%41%46%13%.26

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts1231:5514.628%48%7.666.21.61.66.11.6127.5
Penn State1330:3321.238%70%5.348.31.12.77.83.2230.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1260%34%43.3150.33.510.032.869%14%0.93
PSU Defense1341%43% - - - - .132.6672%15%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense1260%42% - - - - .183.1770%13%1.14
PSU Offense1351%41%37.6181.14.828.183.0375%8%1.17

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1239%31%11.323.1116.95.110.3414.011.637%19%.16%2.1
PSU Defense1359%36% - - - - - - 14.061.537%29%.2911%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense1239%38% - - - - - - 9.291.933%28%.287%2.3
PSU Offense1349%46%20.832.5252.57.812.2297.341.630%33%.425%2.1

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -11.09 #121
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
2023 Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Massachusetts's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Massachusetts's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 500
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -11.09   Penn State: 25.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -17.7   Penn State: 26.0




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 25.72 #5
Penn State's Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Penn State's Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
2023 Talent Rating: 1046.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 57 #13
Penn State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Penn State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

Massachusetts's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 47
Massachusetts 7

Projected Total Points: 54
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 11

Penn State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14Penn State63Massachusetts0Penn StatePenn State -42Penn State55.0Over
201409/20Penn State48Massachusetts7Penn StatePenn State -30Penn State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State221 Overs
Massachusetts000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 02 - 02 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 00 - 2

(#121) Massachusetts Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -11.09 #121
Offense Rating: 17.17 #59
Defense Rating: 18.87 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #99
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 #124
Talent Rating: 422.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Team Profile






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Massachusetts     Ratings Matchup     Penn State
Power #121
#5
Off #59
#31
Def #129
#2
Talent #108
#11
SP+ #125
#4
SP+ Off #99
#26
SP+ Def #124
#4

Rematch from Week 7
Penn State -42.0 (55.0)
Penn State won vs Massachusetts this year (63-0)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Massachusetts in 2023 (63-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 47° - Wind: 10 mph
Rain: 0.13


Team Information
Injuries: UMASS | PSU
Depth Chart: UMASS | PSU
Rosters: UMASS | PSU
(#5) Penn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 25.72 #5
Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4
Talent Rating: 1046.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 57 #13
Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70

Team Profile






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Massachusetts's OC Steve Casula
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taisun Phommachanh (Tr)13223456%1590866.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kay'Ron Adams13364924.963
Taisun Phommachanh (Tr)10731733.033
Gregory DeRosiers3122837.446
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Gregory DeRosiers2117548.325
Kay'Ron Adams158505.716
George Johnson108508.513
Jackson Manning1606.06

View Massachusetts's Full Roster
Massachusetts's DC Keith Dudzinski
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Rudolph612003
Jordan Mahoney191004
Michael Oppong81000
Isaiah Rutherford81004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Rudolph612003
Jordan Mahoney191004
Michael Oppong81000
Isaiah Rutherford81004
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Mahoney191004
Isaiah Rutherford81004
Tyler Rudolph612003

Penn State's OC Mike Yurcich
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tyler Warren3650%35105.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery7135925.148
Tyler Warren2621848.448
Cristian Driver2904.55
Alex Bacchetta1-190-19.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Warren1041233811.938
Keandre Lambert50981819.667
Dante Cephas (Tr)15184012.335
Malick Meiga7117016.746

View Penn State's Full Roster
Penn State's DC Manny Diaz
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Reed957312
Kobe King878311
Abdul Carter62241294
Dvon Ellies314120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Abdul Carter62241294
Amin Vanover215431
Jaylen Reed957312
Kobe King878311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Abdul Carter62241294
Jaylen Reed957312
Tyler Elsdon230002