USC at Penn State - 2016 Matchup Preview
USC logo   USC Trojans vs Penn State Nittany Lions  Penn State logo
Monday, January 2nd 2017 (5:00 PM EST)
USC -6.5 (60.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
USC 52 - Penn State: 49  (ROSE BOWL GAME PRES. BY NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL)

 
Trojans (10 - 3) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (27 - 29 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Nittany Lions (11 - 3) (11 - 2 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
USC's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 USC vs Alabama+9.051.5L 6 - 52ON
Sat 9/10 USC vs Utah State-14.054.5W 45 - 7UY
Sat 9/17 USC at Stanford+6.548.5L 10 - 27UN
Fri 9/23 USC at Utah+2.044.5L 27 - 31ON
Sat 10/1 USC vs Arizona State-8.063.5W 41 - 20UY
Sat 10/8 USC vs Colorado-4.062.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 10/15 USC at Arizona-7.065.0W 48 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/27 USC vs California-14.573.0W 45 - 24UY
Sat 11/5 USC vs Oregon-14.076.5W 45 - 20UY
Sat 11/12 USC at Washington+10.059.5W 26 - 13UY
Sat 11/19 USC at UCLA-10.553.0W 36 - 14UY
Sat 11/26 USC vs Notre Dame-17.059.5W 45 - 27OY
Mon 1/2 USC vs Penn State-6.560.0W 52 - 49ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Penn State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Penn State vs Kent State-19.044.0W 33 - 13OY
Sat 9/10 Penn State at Pittsburgh+4.544.0L 39 - 42OY
Sat 9/17 Penn State vs Temple-7.048.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 9/24 Penn State at Michigan+15.556.0L 10 - 49ON
Sat 10/1 Penn State vs Minnesota-4.054.5W 29 - 26ON
Sat 10/8 Penn State vs Maryland-3.056.0W 38 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Penn State vs Ohio State+20.055.0W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/29 Penn State at Purdue-10.558.5W 62 - 24OY
Sat 11/5 Penn State vs Iowa-6.552.0W 41 - 14OY
Sat 11/12 Penn State at Indiana-6.560.0W 45 - 31OY
Sat 11/19 Penn State at Rutgers-22.555.0W 39 - 0UY
Sat 11/26 Penn State vs Michigan State-13.553.5W 45 - 12OY
Sat 12/3 Penn State vs Wisconsin+1.047.0W 38 - 31OY
Mon 1/2 Penn State vs USC+6.560.0L 49 - 52OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC.2346%35.847%2.8916844%2704.05.1244%2343%43%3.4468.60.91.6
PSU.138%3138%2.5413435%2143.12.0838%20.538%37%3.0440.71.41.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense1435.827.445.9%4.050.9224381682704.548%51%47%44%2%.23
PSU Defense1320.515.138.4%3.041.7 - - - - - 53%46%38%37%2%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense142328.844.1%3.441.6 - - - - - 50%47%43%43%1%.12
PSU Offense13313437.8%3.121.4163491342144.145%53%38%35%2%.1

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC1429:132239%65%7.468.60.91.600428
Penn State1329:2916.527%52%5.240.71.41.700032.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense1448%47%37.6168.24.526.162.8968%0%1.03
PSU Defense1353%38% - - - - .062.680%0%1.04
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense1450%43% - - - - .032.8768%0%0.84
PSU Offense1345%38%32.7134.24.115.032.5457%0%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense1451%44%22.133.1269.78.212.2307.321.530%32%.332%2
PSU Defense1346%37% - - - - - - 10.111.537%25%.142%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense1447%43% - - - - - - 14.241.631%37%.331%1.7
PSU Offense1353%35%16.531.1214.56.913206.181.737%27%.22%1.9

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
USC's 2016 Expected Record: -
USC's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.6  #8
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.2  #19
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #9

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
USC:    Penn State: 9.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 23.6   Penn State: 19.0




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 9.5 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0  #11
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #23
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9  #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.4
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

USC's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 0 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 29
USC 25

Projected Total Points: 54
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 1
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12USC30Penn State33Penn State -3.5USC51.5Over
201601/02Penn State49USC52USC -6.5Penn State60.0Over
200801/01USC38Penn State24
200008/26USC29Penn State5
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State112 Overs
USC310 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 22 - 00 - 02 - 0
Road Teams2 - 20 - 20 - 20 - 0

USC Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2016Rose Bowl USC vs Penn State-6.560.0W 52 - 49
2015Holiday Bowl USC vs Wisconsin-3.0L 21 - 23
2014Holiday Bowl USC vs Nebraska-7.063.0W 45 - 42
2013Vegas Bowl USC vs Fresno State-4.565.0W 45 - 20
2012Sun Bowl USC vs Georgia Tech  L 7 - 21
Penn State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2016Rose Bowl Penn State vs USC+6.560.0L 49 - 52
2015Taxslayer Bowl Penn State vs Georgia+7.0L 17 - 24
2014Pinstripe Bowl Penn State vs Boston College+3.041.0W 31 - 30
2011Ticketcity Bowl Penn State vs Houston  L 14 - 30
2010Outback Bowl Penn State vs Florida  L 24 - 37
  
(#) USC at (#) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSCPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #11
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #2 #20
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCat
USC OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #25
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
USC Pass Game
CategoryCat
USC OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffUSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #23 #9
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffUSC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffUSC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
USC 6.5 (60.0)
USC won at Penn State this year (52-49)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat USC in 2024 (33-30)

  
USC's OC ()
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USC's DC ()
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PSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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PSU's DC ()
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