Maryland at Penn State Game Matchup
Maryland logo Maryland Terrapins at Penn State Nittany LionsPenn State logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Penn State -26.5 (50.5) (-4000)  Open: -24.5 | 50.5
Penn State 44 - Maryland: 7  (Big Ten)

 
Terrapins (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (29 - 33)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#101)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 25.2°
Wind: 12.4 MPH
PSU is playing their 6th straight game
MD is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Penn State -32.5   (SP+ PSU -29)

Projected Score: MD: 9 - PSU: 42 (52)
PSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
MD Travel: 135 miles
Nittany Lions (13 - 3) (8 - 8 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (88 - 39)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13 - 3 (#3)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Maryland's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Maryland vs UConn-19.045.5W 50 - 7OY
Sat 9/7 Maryland vs Michigan State-7.544.5L 24 - 27ON
Sat 9/14 Maryland at Virginia+2.555.5W 27 - 13UY
Sat 9/21 Maryland vs Villanova-22.546.5W 38 - 20ON
Sat 9/28 Maryland at Indiana+7.550.0L 28 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/11 Maryland vs Northwestern-11.045.0L 10 - 37ON
Sat 10/19 Maryland vs USC+6.556.5W 29 - 28OY
Sat 10/26 Maryland at Minnesota+6.045.0L 23 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Maryland at Oregon+24.058.0L 18 - 39UY
Sat 11/16 Maryland vs Rutgers-4.554.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/23 Maryland vs Iowa+4.040.5L 13 - 29ON
Sat 11/30 Maryland at Penn State+26.550.5L 7 - 44ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule
Penn State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Penn State at West Virginia-7.548.0W 34 - 12UY
Sat 9/7 Penn State vs Bowling Green-35.551.5W 34 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Penn State vs Kent State-49.058.0W 56 - 0UY
Sat 9/28 Penn State vs Illinois-19.548.0W 21 - 7UN
Sat 10/5 Penn State vs UCLA-30.048.0W 27 - 11UN
Sat 10/12 Penn State at USC-3.551.5W 33 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Penn State at Wisconsin-6.547.0W 28 - 13UY
Sat 11/2 Penn State vs Ohio State+3.047.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 11/9 Penn State vs Washington-13.548.0W 35 - 6UY
Sat 11/16 Penn State at Purdue-30.051.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 11/23 Penn State at Minnesota-11.045.0W 26 - 25ON
Sat 11/30 Penn State vs Maryland-26.550.5W 44 - 7OY
Sat 12/7 Penn State vs Oregon+3.551.5L 37 - 45ON
Sat 12/21 Penn State vs SMU-9.052.5W 38 - 10UY
Tue 12/31 Penn State vs Boise State-11.554.5W 31 - 14UY
Thu 1/9 Penn State vs Notre Dame-1.545.5L 24 - 27ON

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 4, Bad: 3, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD#43 (.24)44% (45)23.742% (76)3.07 (79)10845% (30)2794.15 (43)#24 (.11)41% (53)30.444% (81)39% (32)3.62 (53)56.51.61.8
PSU#40 (.25)46% (25)33.149% (17)3.38 (14)18543% (53)2154.96 (5)#8 (.04)33% (3)16.531% (3)36% (10)3.09 (15)43.30.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Offense1323.720.644%4.151.6213871082793.741%58%42%45%17%.24
PSU Defense1316.51133.1%3.091.8 - - - - - 49%50%31%36%23%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Defense1330.437.240.7%3.621.8 - - - - - 50%49%44%39%14%.11
PSU Offense1333.133.546.3%4.960.6234001852154.750%49%49%43%11%.25

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Maryland1327:5620.842%68%5.556.51.61.84.72.4230.9
Penn State1332:3022.541%77%543.30.61.87.83.8333.8
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Offense1341% (121)42% (76)29.4108.43.720 (61).17 (54)3.07 (79)69% (101)10% (77)1.07 (32)
PSU Defense1349% (52)31% (3) - - - - -.04 (7)2.23 (2)76% (89)18% (1)0.96 (46)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Defense1350% (60)44% (81) - - - - .12 (57)3.17 (87)73% (72)8% (116)0.84 (8)
PSU Offense1350% (65)49% (17)39.6184.84.726 (30).19 (46)3.38 (14)73% (77)7% (8)0.85 (123)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Offense1358% (11)45% (30)23.636.7278.97.611.827 (25)13 (97).31 (56)1.5 (98)32% (65)35% (28).32 (73)6% (75)2 (94)
PSU Defense1350% (77)36% (10) - - - - - - 12 (37).2 (25)1.7 (94)39% (2)26% (19).21 (21)6% (86)2.1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Defense1349% (57)39% (32) - - - - - - 17 (3).19 (22)1.5 (31)29% (118)30% (58).27 (45)6% (65)1.8 (12)
PSU Offense1349% (63)43% (53)18.931.72156.811.430 (16)2 (1).3 (62)1.5 (115)27% (9)35% (23).38 (50)4% (7)1.7 (129)

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: -6.85 #89
Maryland's Offense Rating: 15.06 #107
Maryland's Defense Rating: 12.27 #92
2024 Talent Rating: 752.00 #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Maryland's 2024 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Maryland's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: -6.85   Penn State: 26.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: -3.9   Penn State: 24.6




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 26.93 #6
Penn State's Offense Rating: 29.70 #2
Penn State's Defense Rating: 1.50 #7
2024 Talent Rating: 936.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #15
Penn State's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0
Penn State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.6
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Maryland's 2024 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 42
Maryland 9


Projected Total Points: 52
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 11

Penn State's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Penn State44Maryland7Penn StatePenn State -26.5Penn State50.5Over
202311/04Maryland15Penn State51Penn StatePenn State -8.5Penn State50.5Over
202211/12Penn State30Maryland0Penn StatePenn State -10.5Penn State56.5Under
202111/06Maryland14Penn State31Penn StatePenn State -10Penn State56.5Under
202011/07Penn State19Maryland35MarylandPenn State -27Maryland62.5Under
201909/27Maryland0Penn State59Penn StatePenn State -6.5Penn State62.0Under
201811/24Penn State38Maryland3Penn StatePenn State -12Penn State51.5Under
201711/25Maryland3Penn State66Penn StatePenn State -23.5Penn State57.5Over
201610/08Penn State38Maryland14Penn StatePenn State -3Penn State56.0Under
201510/24Maryland30Penn State31Penn StatePenn State -7.5Maryland46.5Over
201411/01Penn State19Maryland20MarylandPenn State -2.5Maryland0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State984 Overs
Maryland236 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 75 - 64 - 21 - 4
Road Teams7 - 46 - 54 - 12 - 4

(#89) Maryland Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.85 #89
Offense Rating: 15.06 #107
Defense Rating: 12.27 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3 #97
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #73
Talent Rating: 752.00 #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #41
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 60%, Run: 40%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.62 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.34 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Maryland Notes
(12/3) PPG play calls: Locksley: 16.7 - Gattis 30.7
(11/24) QB Edwards hurt vs Iowa
(11/23) Run Def mauled by Iowa. Offense sucked hard
(11/18) Off cont to be awful in B1G, horrible L vs Gers
(10/19) Season saving comeback (USC) Edwards great TW
(10/16) Into wk 8, have 14 Def TO's, 4th in CFB
(10/12) Ignore stats, murdered by NW, uncompetitive
(10/11) Special Teams is laughably awful. Bad team/staff
(10/11) Staff needs to go. Perf vs NW should do it
(10/8) Rumors are Locksley taking over play calling
Maryland     Ratings Matchup     Penn State
Power #89
#6
Off #107
#2
Def #92
#7
Talent #42
#11
SP+ #86
#5
SP+ Off #97
#9
SP+ Def #73
#4

Rematch from Week 14
Penn State -26.5 (50.5)
Penn State won vs Maryland this year (44-7)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Maryland last year (44-7)
Penn State beat Maryland in 2023 (51-15)
Penn State beat Maryland in 2022 (30-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 25° - Wind: 12 mph


Team Information
Injuries: MD | PSU
Depth Chart: MD | PSU
Rosters: MD | PSU
(#6) Penn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 26.93 #6
Offense Rating: 29.70 #2
Defense Rating: 1.50 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4
Talent Rating: 936.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #15
Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.69 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 51%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.22 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position



  
Maryland's OC Josh Gattis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Billy Edwards27342065%28811596.9
MJ Morris (Tr)366159%350555.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Hemby13460764.575
Nolan Ray7537425.048
Billy Edwards8115051.915
DeJuan Williams84615.824
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Wade29374212.944
Octavian Smith Jr.30315210.527
Roman Hemby4027316.832
Preston Howard2418907.919

View Maryland's Full Roster
Maryland's DC Brian Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Wingate507010
Jalen Huskey (Tr)453001
Lavain Scruggs431002
Caleb Wheatland427442
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Caleb Wheatland427442
Kellan Wyatt297220
Michael Harris342100
Trey Reddick163100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Lavain Scruggs431002
Caleb Wheatland427442
Perry Fisher271002

Penn State's OC Andy Kotelnicki
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Allar26239467%33272488.4
Beau Pribula263574%275517.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen220110885.032
Nicholas Singleton1721099126.458
Drew Allar9630263.122
Beau Pribula3824246.449
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harrison Wallace III47732415.650
Omari Evans20403520.259
Nicholas Singleton4137559.127
Liam Clifford18286115.957

View Penn State's Full Roster
Penn State's DC Tom Allen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zakee Wheatley863104
Tony Rojas567254
Zane Durant4210341
A.J. Harris (Tr)413005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dani Dennis-Sutton4013993
Zane Durant4210341
Tony Rojas567254
Jordan Mayer (Tr)22200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elliot Washington II251006
A.J. Harris (Tr)413005
Cam Miller233025