Auburn at Penn State - 2021 Matchup Preview
Auburn logo (#24)Auburn Tigers at Penn State Nittany Lions(#2)Penn State logo
Saturday, September 18th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -4 (53.0)
Penn State 28 - Auburn: 20

 
Tigers (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Bryan Harsin (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (20 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ PSU -3)
Projected Score: AUB: 22 - PSU: 25 (47)
PSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
AUB Travel: 707 miles, 1 hrs behind
Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (63 - 28)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (28 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Auburn's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Auburn vs Akron-37.556.5W 60 - 10OY
Sat 9/11 Auburn vs Alabama State-49.560.0W 62 - 0OY
Sat 9/18 Auburn at Penn State+4.053.0L 20 - 28UN
Sat 9/25 Auburn vs Georgia State-27.557.5W 34 - 24ON
Sat 10/2 Auburn at LSU+2.557.0W 24 - 19UY
Sat 10/9 Auburn vs Georgia+14.545.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 10/16 Auburn at Arkansas+4.554.0W 38 - 23OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Auburn vs Ole Miss-3.067.5W 31 - 20UY
Sat 11/6 Auburn at Texas A&M+4.549.5L 3 - 20UN
Sat 11/13 Auburn vs Mississippi State-6.051.0L 34 - 43ON
Sat 11/20 Auburn at South Carolina-7.045.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 11/27 Auburn vs Alabama+21.057.5L 22 - 24UY
Tue 12/28 Auburn vs Houston-2.051.5L 13 - 17UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Auburn's Schedule
Penn State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Penn State at Wisconsin+5.548.5W 16 - 10UY
Sat 9/11 Penn State vs Ball State-23.058.0W 44 - 13UY
Sat 9/18 Penn State vs Auburn-4.053.0W 28 - 20UY
Sat 9/25 Penn State vs Villanova-29.553.0W 38 - 17ON
Sat 10/2 Penn State vs Indiana-12.054.5W 24 - 0UY
Sat 10/9 Penn State at Iowa+2.541.0L 20 - 23ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Penn State vs Illinois-24.546.0L 18 - 20UN
Sat 10/30 Penn State at Ohio State+18.560.5L 24 - 33UY
Sat 11/6 Penn State at Maryland-10.056.5W 31 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 Penn State vs Michigan+2.548.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 11/20 Penn State vs Rutgers-14.044.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/27 Penn State at Michigan State-3.551.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 1/1 Penn State vs Arkansas+3.551.0L 10 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB.1843%28.345%3.0916141%2403.85.1142%21.839%44%3.52460.91
PSU.1440%2539%2.6910840%2693.45.0639%17.342%36%2.4846.11.22.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AUB#42 (.24)45% (40)48% (21)3.32 (23)16642% (67)2643.42 (110)#21 (.09)38% (20)38% (19)38% (34)3.35 (25)49.31.81.1
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1328.320.442.9%3.850.9214011612404.746%54%45%41%14%.18
PSU Defense1317.31339%2.482.4 - - - - - 54%46%42%36%16%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Defense1321.822.241.7%3.521 - - - - - 46%53%39%44%18%.11
PSU Offense132528.139.8%3.451.2203761082693.243%57%39%40%15%.14

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Auburn1327:5220.840%57%5.6460.917.52.8327.7
Penn State1327:5620.339%46%5.446.11.22.46.52327
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1346%45%34.1161.24.722.183.0970%9%1.02
PSU Defense1354%42% - - - - .072.8979%10%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Defense1346%39% - - - - .032.6555%12%0.92
PSU Offense1343%39%33.6107.83.211.022.6961%11%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1354%41%20.535240.16.911.7174.191.533%32%.35%1.9
PSU Defense1346%36% - - - - - - 14.041.433%25%.186%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Defense1353%44% - - - - - - 9.231.432%33%.326%1.9
PSU Offense1357%40%22.437.4268.57.2122510.241.635%31%.344%2.1

Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: NR
Auburn's Offense Rating: NR
Auburn's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Auburn's 2021 Expected Record: -
Auburn's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0  #29
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2  #56
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8  #17

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Auburn:    Penn State: 9.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Auburn: 11.0   Penn State: 14.3




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 9.65 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3  #19
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0  #72
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6  #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Auburn Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.4
Defense: 21.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.2

Auburn's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 25
Auburn 22

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 25
Auburn 24

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 24
Auburn 20

Total Points: 44
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.1
Defense: 17.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Penn State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/17Auburn12Penn State41Penn State -2.5Penn State47.5Over
202109/18Penn State28Auburn20Penn State -4Penn State53.0Under
200201/01Auburn13Penn State9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State221 Overs
Auburn101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 21 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#) AUB at (#) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAUBPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #19
Perf GradeGrade #48 #71
OffenseOff #74 #88
DefenseDef #29 #57
Spec TeamsST #22 #11
TalentTal #14 #16
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Auburn on Offense
CategoryCat
AUB OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #74 #57
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #6
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Auburn Run Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffPSU Def
Run GameRun #39 #96
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #97 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #63
Auburn Pass Game
CategoryCat
AUB OffPSU Def
Pass GamePass #62 #5
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #49 #79
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffAUB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #88 #29
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #72 #17
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffAUB Def
Run GameRun #125 #37
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #67 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #50
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffAUB Def
Pass GamePass #85 #51
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #67 #32
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

AUB 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 74° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Penn State -4.0 (53.0)
Penn State won vs Auburn this year (28-20)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Auburn in 2022 (41-12)

  
AUB's OC Mike Bobo (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Auburn's Full Roster

AUB's DC Derek Mason (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Anthony Poindexter / Brent Pry (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD