Minnesota at Penn State - 2022 Matchup Preview
Minnesota logo   Minnesota Golden Gophers at Penn State Nittany Lions  Penn State logo
Saturday, October 22nd 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -5.5 (43.0)
Penn State 45 - Minnesota: 17  (Big Ten)

 
Golden Gophers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach P. J. Fleck (35 - 23)
Avg Score : 23 - 23 (8 - 38 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MINN 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ PSU -6)
Projected Score: MINN: 17 - PSU: 32 (49)
PSU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
MINN Travel: 828 miles, 1 hrs behind
Nittany Lions (11 - 2) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach James Franklin (66 - 34)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Minnesota's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Minnesota vs New Mexico State-36.052.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/10 Minnesota vs Western Illinois-41.056.5W 62 - 10OY
Sat 9/17 Minnesota vs Colorado-28.047.5W 49 - 7OY
Sat 9/24 Minnesota at Michigan State-3.050.0W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/1 Minnesota vs Purdue-9.053.0L 10 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Minnesota at Illinois-4.540.0L 14 - 26UN
Sat 10/22 Minnesota at Penn State+5.543.0L 17 - 45ON
Sat 10/29 Minnesota vs Rutgers-14.040.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 11/5 Minnesota at Nebraska-14.544.5W 20 - 13UN
Sat 11/12 Minnesota vs Northwestern-17.040.5W 31 - 3UY
Sat 11/19 Minnesota vs Iowa-2.031.5L 10 - 13UN
Sat 11/26 Minnesota at Wisconsin+3.037.0W 23 - 16OY
Thu 12/29 Minnesota vs Syracuse-10.545.0W 28 - 20ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Minnesota's Schedule
Penn State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Penn State at Purdue-3.553.5W 35 - 31OY
Sat 9/10 Penn State vs Ohio-28.055.0W 46 - 10OY
Sat 9/17 Penn State at Auburn-2.547.5W 41 - 12OY
Sat 9/24 Penn State vs Central Michigan-28.061.5W 33 - 14UN
Sat 10/1 Penn State vs Northwestern-25.550.0W 17 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Penn State at Michigan+7.049.0L 17 - 41ON
Sat 10/22 Penn State vs Minnesota-5.543.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 10/29 Penn State vs Ohio State+15.560.5L 31 - 44OY
Sat 11/5 Penn State at Indiana-13.550.0W 45 - 14OY
Sat 11/12 Penn State vs Maryland-10.556.5W 30 - 0UY
Sat 11/19 Penn State at Rutgers-18.545.0W 55 - 10OY
Sat 11/26 Penn State vs Michigan State-19.054.5W 35 - 16UN
Mon 1/2 Penn State vs Utah-1.555.5W 35 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN.1842%2343%3.1319841%1623.73.137%22.938%37%3.7545.311.4
PSU.1440%3139%2.6910840%2693.45.0639%20.542%36%2.4846.11.22.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MINN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense13238.342%3.731203601981624.368%32%43%41%14%.18
PSU Defense1320.515.139%2.482.4 - - - - - 54%46%42%36%16%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Defense1322.93837.4%3.751.4 - - - - - 47%52%38%37%17%.1
PSU Offense13313439.8%3.451.2203761082693.243%57%39%40%15%.14

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1335:2619.944%60%4.545.311.44.51.9032
Penn State1327:5620.339%46%5.446.11.22.46.52327
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1368%43%46.3198.14.327.123.1381%9%0.91
PSU Defense1354%42% - - - - .072.8979%10%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Defense1347%38% - - - - .052.7874%10%0.94
PSU Offense1343%39%33.6107.83.211.022.6961%11%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1332%41%11.719.71628.213.9129.311.829%30%.345%2
PSU Defense1346%36% - - - - - - 14.041.433%25%.186%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Defense1352%37% - - - - - - 8.151.435%21%.127%2
PSU Offense1357%40%22.437.4268.57.2122510.241.635%31%.344%2.1

Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: NR
Minnesota's Offense Rating: NR
Minnesota's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Minnesota's 2022 Expected Record: -
Minnesota's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0  #16
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #90
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.6  #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota:    Penn State: 13.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: 16.0   Penn State: 22.4




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 13.7 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.4  #8
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6  #28
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.9  #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 8.3
Defense: 22.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

Minnesota's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 32
Minnesota 17

Projected Total Points: 49
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/23Minnesota25Penn State26Penn State -11Minnesota45.0Over
202210/22Penn State45Minnesota17Penn State -5.5Penn State43.0Over
201911/09Minnesota31Penn State26Penn State -7.0Minnesota49.0Over
201610/01Penn State29Minnesota26Penn State -4Minnesota54.5Over
201311/09Minnesota24Penn State10Minnesota -2.5Minnesota47.5Under
201010/23Minnesota21Penn State33
200910/17Penn State20Minnesota0
200610/07Minnesota27Penn State28
200510/01Penn State44Minnesota14
200410/02Minnesota16Penn State7
200309/27Penn State14Minnesota20
200010/06Minnesota25Penn State16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State714 Overs
Minnesota541 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 44 - 12 - 12 - 0
Road Teams4 - 81 - 40 - 21 - 2

(#) MINN at (#) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMINNPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #16 #8
Perf GradeGrade #4 #34
OffenseOff #2 #53
DefenseDef #28 #34
Spec TeamsST #37 #15
TalentTal #50 #15
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Minnesota on Offense
CategoryCat
MINN OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #2 #34
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #90 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Minnesota Run Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffPSU Def
Run GameRun #22 #100
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #1 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #105
Minnesota Pass Game
CategoryCat
MINN OffPSU Def
Pass GamePass #13 #26
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #43 #6
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffMINN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #53 #28
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffMINN Def
Run GameRun #82 #43
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #74 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #9
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffMINN Def
Pass GamePass #18 #8
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #63 #125
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'22 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

MINN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Penn State -5.5 (43.0)
Penn State won vs Minnesota this year (45-17)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Minnesota in 2024 (26-25)

  
MINN's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Minnesota's Full Roster

MINN's DC Joe Rossi (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Manny Diaz (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD