Ohio State at Penn State - 2022 Matchup Preview
Ohio State logo   Ohio State Buckeyes at Penn State Nittany Lions  Penn State logo
Saturday, October 29th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ohio State -15.5 (60.5)
Ohio State 44 - Penn State: 31  (Big Ten)

 
Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Ryan Day (34 - 4)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (31 - 8 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ OSU -8.5)
Projected Score: OSU: 25 - PSU: 21 (46)
OSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
OSU Travel: 277 miles
Nittany Lions (11 - 2) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach James Franklin (66 - 34)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Ohio State vs Notre Dame-17.058.5W 21 - 10UN
Sat 9/10 Ohio State vs Arkansas State-44.568.5W 45 - 12UN
Sat 9/17 Ohio State vs Toledo-34.563.0W 77 - 21OY
Sat 9/24 Ohio State vs Wisconsin-19.056.5W 52 - 21OY
Sat 10/1 Ohio State vs Rutgers-39.058.0W 49 - 10ON
Sat 10/8 Ohio State at Michigan State-27.064.5W 49 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Ohio State vs Iowa-29.550.0W 54 - 10OY
Sat 10/29 Ohio State at Penn State-15.560.5W 44 - 31ON
Sat 11/5 Ohio State at Northwestern-37.555.0W 21 - 7UN
Sat 11/12 Ohio State vs Indiana-40.062.0W 56 - 14OY
Sat 11/19 Ohio State at Maryland-26.562.5W 43 - 30ON
Sat 11/26 Ohio State vs Michigan-9.056.0L 23 - 45ON
Sat 12/31 Ohio State vs Georgia+5.562.0L 41 - 42OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule
Penn State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Penn State at Purdue-3.553.5W 35 - 31OY
Sat 9/10 Penn State vs Ohio-28.055.0W 46 - 10OY
Sat 9/17 Penn State at Auburn-2.547.5W 41 - 12OY
Sat 9/24 Penn State vs Central Michigan-28.061.5W 33 - 14UN
Sat 10/1 Penn State vs Northwestern-25.550.0W 17 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Penn State at Michigan+7.049.0L 17 - 41ON
Sat 10/22 Penn State vs Minnesota-5.543.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 10/29 Penn State vs Ohio State+15.560.5L 31 - 44OY
Sat 11/5 Penn State at Indiana-13.550.0W 45 - 14OY
Sat 11/12 Penn State vs Maryland-10.556.5W 30 - 0UY
Sat 11/19 Penn State at Rutgers-18.545.0W 55 - 10OY
Sat 11/26 Penn State vs Michigan State-19.054.5W 35 - 16UN
Mon 1/2 Penn State vs Utah-1.555.5W 35 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU.4753%33.448%3.2918057%3814.88.1843%9.343%44%3.6659.20.81.6
PSU.1440%3139%2.6910840%2693.45.0639%20.542%36%2.4846.11.22.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Offense1333.430.653.5%4.880.8275611803815.541%59%48%57%11%.47
PSU Defense1320.515.139%2.482.4 - - - - - 54%46%42%36%16%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OSU Defense139.38.243.4%3.661.6 - - - - - 46%54%43%44%19%.18
PSU Offense13313439.8%3.451.2203761082693.243%57%39%40%15%.14

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio State1329:2226.852%58%6.559.20.81.66.42.8429.6
Penn State1327:5620.339%46%5.446.11.22.46.52327
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Offense1341%48%32.5180.35.524.233.2967%6%1.02
PSU Defense1354%42% - - - - .072.8979%10%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OSU Defense1346%43% - - - - .092.7475%11%0.98
PSU Offense1343%39%33.6107.83.211.022.6961%11%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Offense1359%57%26.838380.91014.2468.631.626%40%.684%2.1
PSU Defense1346%36% - - - - - - 14.041.433%25%.186%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OSU Defense1354%44% - - - - - - 12.251.531%34%.298%1.8
PSU Offense1357%40%22.437.4268.57.2122510.241.635%31%.344%2.1

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: NR
Ohio State's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ohio State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.1  #3
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 45.1  #4
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.7  #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State:    Penn State: 13.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 31.1   Penn State: 22.4




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 13.7 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.4  #8
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6  #28
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.9  #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 8.2

Ohio State's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio State 25
Penn State 21

Projected Total Points: 46
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Ohio State38Penn State14Ohio State -17.5Ohio State45.5Over
202411/02Penn State13Ohio State20Ohio State -3Ohio State47.5Under
202310/21Ohio State20Penn State12Ohio State -4.0Ohio State47.0Under
202210/29Penn State31Ohio State44Ohio State -15.5Penn State60.5Over
202110/30Ohio State33Penn State24Ohio State -18.5Penn State60.5Under
202010/31Penn State25Ohio State38Ohio State -13.0NA0
201911/23Ohio State28Penn State17Ohio State -20.0Penn State59.0Under
201809/29Penn State26Ohio State27Ohio State -3Penn State68.5Under
201710/28Ohio State39Penn State38Ohio State -7Penn State57.5Over
201610/22Penn State24Ohio State21Ohio State -20Penn State55.0Under
201510/17Ohio State38Penn State10Ohio State -17.5Ohio State49.0Under
201410/25Penn State24Ohio State31Ohio State -11.5Penn State0
201310/26Ohio State63Penn State14Ohio State -14Ohio State0
201210/27Penn State23Ohio State35
201111/19Ohio State14Penn State20
201011/13Ohio State38Penn State14
200911/07Penn State7Ohio State24
200810/25Ohio State6Penn State13
200710/27Penn State17Ohio State37
200609/23Ohio State28Penn State6
200510/08Penn State17Ohio State10
200410/30Ohio State21Penn State10
200311/01Penn State20Ohio State21
200210/26Ohio State13Penn State7
200110/27Penn State29Ohio State27
200009/22Ohio State45Penn State6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State573 Overs
Ohio State2157 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 118 - 44 - 34 - 1
Road Teams11 - 154 - 81 - 43 - 4

(#) OSU at (#) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOSUPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #3 #8
Perf GradeGrade #1 #34
OffenseOff #1 #53
DefenseDef #6 #34
Spec TeamsST #92 #15
TalentTal #3 #15
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ohio State on Offense
CategoryCat
OSU OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #1 #34
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #4 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio State Run Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffPSU Def
Run GameRun #13 #100
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #4 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #105
Ohio State Pass Game
CategoryCat
OSU OffPSU Def
Pass GamePass #6 #26
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #26 #6
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffOSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #53 #6
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #15
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffOSU Def
Run GameRun #82 #14
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #74 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #33
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffOSU Def
Pass GamePass #18 #22
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #63 #7
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'22 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'22 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Ohio State 15.5 (60.5)
Ohio State won at Penn State this year (44-31)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Penn State last year (38-14)
Ohio State beat Penn State in 2024 (20-13)
Ohio State beat Penn State in 2023 (20-12)

  
OSU's OC Kevin Wilson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Manny Diaz (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD