Oregon at Penn State Game Matchup
Oregon logo Oregon Ducks at Penn State Nittany LionsPenn State logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Beaver Stadium - University Park, PA  (Big Ten)

 
Ducks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (35 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (34 - 11 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.7 - 1.3 (#2)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 6) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
PSU coming off BYE
ORE is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Penn State -4.5   (SP+ PSU -3)
Projected Score: ORE: 22 - PSU: 26 (52)
PSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
ORE Travel: 2288 miles, 3 hrs behind
Nittany Lions (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (99 - 41)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 1.4 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
 
Oregon's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Oregon vs Montana State-50.5
Sat 9/6 Oregon vs Oklahoma State-30.5
Sat 9/13 Oregon vs Northwestern-26.5
Sat 9/20 Oregon vs Oregon State-32.5
Sat 9/27 Oregon at Penn State+4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Oregon vs Indiana-17
Sat 10/18 Oregon at Rutgers-18
Sat 10/25 Oregon vs Wisconsin-22
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Oregon at Iowa-13
Sat 11/15 Oregon vs Minnesota-20
Sat 11/22 Oregon vs USC-18.5
Sat 11/29 Oregon at Washington-16.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Penn State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Penn State vs Nevada-45.50.0
Sat 9/6 Penn State vs Florida International-46.5
Sat 9/13 Penn State vs Villanova-52.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Penn State vs Oregon-4.5
Sat 10/4 Penn State at UCLA-23.5
Sat 10/11 Penn State vs Northwestern-33.5
Sat 10/18 Penn State at Iowa-15
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Penn State at Ohio State+5
Sat 11/8 Penn State vs Indiana-19
Sat 11/15 Penn State at Michigan State-23.5
Sat 11/22 Penn State vs Nebraska-19.5
Sat 11/29 Penn State at Rutgers-20

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE#7 (.33)51% (5)34.951% (11)3.5 (8)16050% (6)2584.68 (10)#33 (.11)38% (18)19.442% (64)34% (2)3.68 (59)40.50.81.2
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)33.152% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)16.539% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Offense1434.934.450.8%4.680.8224181602584.851%49%51%50%9%.33
PSU Defense1616.51137.9%3.221.3 - - - - - 48%52%39%37%18%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORE Defense1419.411.437.7%3.681.2 - - - - - 48%51%42%34%20%.11
PSU Offense1633.133.551.3%4.690.8203851762095.354%46%52%51%10%.32

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon1428:3822.149%65%5.140.50.81.25.62.7129.3
Penn State1626:5120.448%70%4.441.40.81.35.52.3428.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Offense1451% (69)51% (11)33.4159.94.829 (18).24 (17)3.5 (8)81% (19)6% (4)0.89 (108)
PSU Defense1648% (43)39% (27) - - - - -.01 (12)2.37 (3)75% (75)12% (26)0.92 (42)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORE Defense1448% (39)42% (64) - - - - .15 (83)3.14 (89)85% (127)12% (23)0.97 (63)
PSU Offense1654% (38)52% (9)33.2176.25.331 (17).24 (20)3.42 (10)76% (51)7% (8)0.92 (90)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Offense1449% (66)50% (6)21.929.9258.18.711.828 (15)6 (10).44 (7)1.5 (83)27% (9)40% (2).59 (3)3% (3)2.1 (32)
PSU Defense1652% (96)37% (25) - - - - - - 15 (18).1 (16)1.7 (91)36% (14)27% (25).2 (29)6% (57)2.1 (95)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORE Defense1451% (94)34% (2) - - - - - - 12 (39).09 (12)1.5 (50)37% (8)26% (15).17 (15)8% (5)1.9 (34)
PSU Offense1646% (95)51% (4)16.724.3208.88.612.527 (20)9 (48).41 (11)1.5 (107)26% (3)35% (31).46 (20)3% (5)2 (85)

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 29.56 #5
Oregon's Offense Rating: 30.62 #4
Oregon's Defense Rating: 1.06 #11
2025 Talent Rating: 1124.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 60% #5
Oregon's 2025 Expected Record: 10.7 - 1.3
Oregon's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.7 #7
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #4
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 29.56   Penn State: 31.505

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 24.7   Penn State: 27.7




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 31.505 #4
Penn State's Offense Rating: 30.94 #2
Penn State's Defense Rating: 0.63 #8
2025 Talent Rating: 1126.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 45 #14
Penn State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Penn State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.7 #3
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #3
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.9 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.4
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 11.4

Oregon's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 26
Oregon 22

Projected Total Points: 52
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 11

Penn State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202412/07Oregon45Penn State37OregonOregon -3.5Oregon51.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State001 Overs
Oregon110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#5) Oregon Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 29.56 #5
Offense Rating: 30.62 #4
Defense Rating: 1.06 #11
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.7 #7
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #11
Talent Rating: 1124.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 60% #5
Expected Record: 10.7 - 1.3

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Great Run Success 51%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Oregon Notes
(5/23) OL rebuild 1/5, 3 big portals makes it top 15 unit
(5/11) 64% of OL exp comes from portal adds
(4/7) Still great, but step back. CFP team, not natty
(4/7) Iapani Laloulu (C)/TE Sadiq top 10 via PFF
(3/28) Fr WR Moore a weapon that will play early
(3/28) S Thieneman (Pur) a huge sign, NFL talent
(3/22) TE Sadiq (SO) a weapon, ascends to #1 TY
(3/19) QB1 Moore, or is Novosad a factor?
(3/19) RB Hughes top portal add, good depth
(3/19) WR rebuild but Stewart/Benson + lots of talent
Oregon     Ratings Matchup     Penn State
Power #5
#4
Off #4
#2
Def #11
#8
Talent #3
#2
SP+ #7
#3
SP+ Off #4
#3
SP+ Def #11
#6

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Penn State last year (45-37)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ORE | PSU
Depth Chart: ORE | PSU
Rosters: ORE | PSU
(#4) Penn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 31.505 #4
Offense Rating: 30.94 #2
Defense Rating: 0.63 #8
Overall SP+ Rating: 27.7 #3
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 12.9 #6
Talent Rating: 1126.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 45 #14
Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.69 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 51%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.22 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Penn State Notes
(5/23) CBs Harris & Washington a top duo in CFB
(5/11) OL one of CFB's most exp'd, top of contenders
(4/4) CB AJ Harris a top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Dennis-Sutton/DT Durant top 10 via PFF
(3/18) QB Allar primed for breakout season.
(3/18) WR, are portals Ross/Hudson weapons?
(3/18) RB Allen/Singleton best duo in CFB?
(3/18) OL returns 4/5 starters, a top CFB unit.
(3/18) Def needs replacements, DE Sutton great
(3/18) New DC Knowles hired from Ohio St.


  
Oregon's OC Will Stein
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dante Moore7888%49006.1
Austin Novosad22100%7003.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Hughes (Tr)2431306155.451
Noah Whittington11854064.628
Da'Jaun Riggs118217.524
Jayden Limar257102.811
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Evan Stewart48613512.869
Malik Benson (Tr)25311112.467
Kenyon Sadiq24308212.839
Justius Lowe2120319.734

View Oregon's Full Roster
Oregon's DC Tosh Lupoi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Thieneman (Tr)1045106
Bryce Boettcher877204
Kobe Savage573001
Teitum Tuioti538631
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Matayo Uiagalelei3711961
Teitum Tuioti538631
Bryce Boettcher877204
Devon Jackson403212
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jadon Canady (Tr)3830011
Theran Johnson (Tr)5340010
Dillon Thieneman (Tr)1045106

Penn State's OC Andy Kotelnicki
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Allar26239467%33272488.4
Ethan Grunkemeyer1250%9014.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen220110885.032
Nicholas Singleton1721099126.458
Drew Allar9630263.122
Corey Smith2215206.978
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devonte Ross (Tr)7610441113.798
Trebor Pena (Tr)84941911.250
Kyron Ware-Hudson38462312.239
Nicholas Singleton4137559.127

View Penn State's Full Roster
Penn State's DC Jim Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zakee Wheatley863104
Amare Campbell (Tr)699632
Tony Rojas567254
Zane Durant4210341
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dani Dennis-Sutton4013993
Amare Campbell (Tr)699632
Zane Durant4210341
Tony Rojas567254
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elliot Washington II251006
A.J. Harris413005
Zakee Wheatley863104