Penn State at Michigan - 2022 Matchup Preview
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Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan Wolverines

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Saturday, October 15th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Michigan -7 (49.0)
Michigan 41 - Penn State: 17  (Big Ten)

 
Nittany Lions (11 - 2) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach James Franklin (66 - 34)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (29 - 30 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PSU coming off BYE
MICH is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ MICH -10)
Projected Score: PSU: 24 - MICH: 27 (51)
MICH Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
PSU Travel: 321 miles
Wolverines (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (61 - 24)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Penn State at Purdue-3.553.5W 35 - 31OY
Sat 9/10 Penn State vs Ohio-28.055.0W 46 - 10OY
Sat 9/17 Penn State at Auburn-2.547.5W 41 - 12OY
Sat 9/24 Penn State vs Central Michigan-28.061.5W 33 - 14UN
Sat 10/1 Penn State vs Northwestern-25.550.0W 17 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Penn State at Michigan+7.049.0L 17 - 41ON
Sat 10/22 Penn State vs Minnesota-5.543.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 10/29 Penn State vs Ohio State+15.560.5L 31 - 44OY
Sat 11/5 Penn State at Indiana-13.550.0W 45 - 14OY
Sat 11/12 Penn State vs Maryland-10.556.5W 30 - 0UY
Sat 11/19 Penn State at Rutgers-18.545.0W 55 - 10OY
Sat 11/26 Penn State vs Michigan State-19.054.5W 35 - 16UN
Mon 1/2 Penn State vs Utah-1.555.5W 35 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Michigan's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Michigan vs Colorado State-31.060.5W 51 - 7UY
Sat 9/10 Michigan vs Hawai'i-52.566.5W 56 - 10UN
Sat 9/17 Michigan vs UConn-47.559.0W 59 - 0UY
Sat 9/24 Michigan vs Maryland-17.066.0W 34 - 27UN
Sat 10/1 Michigan at Iowa-10.542.0W 27 - 14UY
Sat 10/8 Michigan at Indiana-23.557.5W 31 - 10UN
Sat 10/15 Michigan vs Penn State-7.049.0W 41 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Michigan vs Michigan State-22.055.0W 29 - 7UN
Sat 11/5 Michigan at Rutgers-26.045.0W 52 - 17OY
Sat 11/12 Michigan vs Nebraska-30.549.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 11/19 Michigan vs Illinois-17.041.5W 19 - 17UN
Sat 11/26 Michigan at Ohio State+9.056.0W 45 - 23OY
Sat 12/3 Michigan vs Purdue-16.053.0W 43 - 22OY
Sat 12/31 Michigan vs TCU-8.056.0L 45 - 51ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU.1440%3139%2.6910840%2693.45.0639%20.542%36%2.4846.11.22.4
MICH.2747%27.549%3.1821443%2294.15.1238%20.439%38%3.0341.511.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense133128.639.8%3.451.2203761082693.243%57%39%40%15%.14
MICH Defense1420.413.338.3%3.031.2 - - - - - 46%54%39%38%17%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1320.530.239%2.482.4 - - - - - 54%46%42%36%16%.06
MICH Offense1427.529.246.5%4.151224432142295.257%43%49%43%10%.27

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1327:5620.339%46%5.446.11.22.46.52327
Michigan1431:2121.846%52%4.941.511.25.12.4231.1
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1343%39%33.6107.83.211.022.6961%11%0.91
MICH Defense1446%39% - - - - .052.7866%10%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1354%42% - - - - .072.8979%10%0.89
MICH Offense1457%49%41.1214.45.239.223.1879%5%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1357%40%22.437.4268.57.2122510.241.635%31%.344%2.1
MICH Defense1454%38% - - - - - - 8.181.533%26%.167%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1346%36% - - - - - - 14.041.433%25%.186%1.8
MICH Offense1443%43%17.728.2228.78.112.9219.331.628%39%.555%2

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.4  #8
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6  #28
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.9  #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Michigan: 18.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 22.4   Michigan: 32.0




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 18.5 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2022 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.0  #2
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #21
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.6  #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Penn State's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 27
Penn State 24

Projected Total Points: 51
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2022 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11Penn State15Michigan24Michigan -4.0Michigan44.5Under
202210/15Michigan41Penn State17Michigan -7Michigan49.0Over
202111/13Penn State17Michigan21Michigan -2.5Michigan48.0Under
202011/28Michigan17Penn State27Michigan -1.0Penn State56.0Under
201910/19Penn State28Michigan21Penn State -7.5Michigan47.0Over
201811/03Michigan42Penn State7Michigan -13.5Michigan48.0Over
201710/21Penn State42Michigan13Penn State -7.5Penn State42.5Over
201609/24Michigan49Penn State10Michigan -15.5Michigan56.0Over
201511/21Penn State16Michigan28Michigan -5Michigan43.0Over
201410/11Michigan18Penn State13Penn State -2Michigan0
201310/12Penn State43Michigan40Michigan -1Penn State0
201010/30Penn State41Michigan31
200910/24Michigan10Penn State35
200810/18Penn State46Michigan17
200709/22Michigan14Penn State9
200610/14Penn State10Michigan17
200510/15Michigan27Penn State25
200210/12Michigan27Penn State24
200110/06Penn State0Michigan20
200011/10Michigan33Penn State11
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan1386 Overs
Penn State733 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 76 - 54 - 22 - 3
Road Teams7 - 135 - 63 - 22 - 4

(#) PSU at (#) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPSUMICH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #2
Perf GradeGrade #34 #2
OffenseOff #53 #10
DefenseDef #34 #2
Spec TeamsST #15 #27
TalentTal #15 #14
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCat
PSU OffMICH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #53 #2
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #4
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffMICH Def
Run GameRun #82 #2
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #74 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #2
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffMICH Def
Pass GamePass #18 #2
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #63 #17
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatMICH OffPSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #10 #34
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffPSU Def
Run GameRun #1 #100
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #21 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #105
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatMICH OffPSU Def
Pass GamePass #54 #26
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #24 #6
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'22 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'22 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Michigan -7.0 (49.0)
Michigan won vs Penn State this year (41-17)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Penn State in 2023 (24-15)

  
PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Manny Diaz (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MICH's OC Sherrone Moore (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Jesse Minter (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD