Penn State at Michigan - 2022 Matchup Preview

Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan Wolverines(#15)

Saturday, October 15th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Michigan -7 (49.0)
Michigan 41 - Penn State: 17 (Big Ten)

Nittany Lions (11 - 2) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach James Franklin (66 - 34)
Avg Score : 36 - 18 (39 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 17.4 MPH
PSU coming off BYE
MICH is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ MICH -10)
Projected Score: PSU: 25 - MICH: 28 (53)
MICH Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
PSU Travel: 321 miles

Wolverines (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (61 - 24)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (40 - 11 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PSU Players
MICH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Penn State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Penn State at Purdue	-3.5	53.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Penn State vs Ohio	-28.0	55.0	W 46 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Penn State at Auburn	-2.5	47.5	W 41 - 12	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Penn State vs Central Michigan	-28.0	61.5	W 33 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/1	Penn State vs Northwestern	-25.5	50.0	W 17 - 7	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Penn State at Michigan	+7.0	49.0	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/22	Penn State vs Minnesota	-5.5	43.0	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Penn State vs Ohio State	+15.5	60.5	L 31 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Penn State at Indiana	-13.5	50.0	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Penn State vs Maryland	-10.5	56.5	W 30 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Penn State at Rutgers	-18.5	45.0	W 55 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Penn State vs Michigan State	-19.0	54.5	W 35 - 16	U	N
Mon 1/2	Penn State vs Utah	-1.5	55.5	W 35 - 21	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Michigan's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Michigan vs Colorado State	-31.0	60.5	W 51 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Michigan vs Hawai'i	-52.5	66.5	W 56 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/17	Michigan vs UConn	-47.5	59.0	W 59 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Michigan vs Maryland	-17.0	66.0	W 34 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/1	Michigan at Iowa	-10.5	42.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Michigan at Indiana	-23.5	57.5	W 31 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/15	Michigan vs Penn State	-7.0	49.0	W 41 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Michigan vs Michigan State	-22.0	55.0	W 29 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/5	Michigan at Rutgers	-26.0	45.0	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Michigan vs Nebraska	-30.5	49.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Michigan vs Illinois	-17.0	41.5	W 19 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/26	Michigan at Ohio State	+9.0	56.0	W 45 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Michigan vs Purdue	-16.0	53.0	W 43 - 22	O	Y
Sat 12/31	Michigan vs TCU	-8.0	56.0	L 45 - 51	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PSU	.26	43%	35.8	41%	3.03	181	46%	253	4.61	.08	38%	18.2	43%	36%	3.39	48.3	1.1	2.7
MICH	.28	50%	40.4	52%	3.15	239	48%	220	4.55	.04	37%	16.1	38%	36%	3.4	32	0.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PSU	#11 (.32)	51% (4)		52% (9)	3.42 (10)	176	51% (4)	209	4.69 (9)	#9 (.05)	38% (21)		39% (27)	37% (25)	3.22 (18)	41.4	0.8	1.3
MICH	#113 (.1)	40% (102)		41% (101)	3 (80)	149	40% (92)	123	4.18 (45)	#40 (.13)	38% (28)		38% (18)	39% (42)	3.48 (36)	36.8	1.5	1.2

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PSU Offense	13	35.8	38.6	43.4%	4.61	1.1	21	434	181	253	4.8	51%	49%	41%	46%	13%	.26
MICH Defense	14	16.1	11	36.7%	3.4	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	41%	59%	38%	36%	16%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PSU Defense	13	18.2	21.6	38.5%	3.39	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	41%	59%	43%	36%	25%	.08
MICH Offense	14	40.4	40.4	50%	4.55	0.7	23	459	239	220	5.6	59%	41%	52%	48%	12%	.28

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Penn State	13	30:33	21.2	38%	70%	5.3	48.3	1.1	2.7	7.8	3.2	2	30.1
Michigan	14	33:47	23.3	45%	86%	4.1	32	0.7	1.4	4.9	2.6	2	32.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PSU Offense	13	51%	41%	37.6	181.1	4.8	28	.18	3.03	75%	8%	1.17
MICH Defense	14	41%	38%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.7	80%	9%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PSU Defense	13	41%	43%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.66	72%	15%	0.99
MICH Offense	14	59%	52%	42.9	238.9	5.6	41	.28	3.15	76%	8%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PSU Offense	13	49%	46%	20.8	32.5	252.5	7.8	12.2	29	7	.34	1.6	30%	33%	.42	5%	2.1
MICH Defense	14	59%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.07	1.4	34%	22%	.14	7%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PSU Defense	13	59%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.06	1.5	37%	29%	.29	11%	2.1
MICH Offense	14	41%	48%	17	26.4	219.9	8.3	12.9	24	6	.31	1.5	26%	32%	.31	4%	1.9

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.4 #8
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6 #28
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.9 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State: Michigan: 18.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 22.4 Michigan: 32.0

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 18.5 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2022 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.0 #2
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #21
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.6 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.6
Defense: 18.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.6

Penn State's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan 28
Penn State 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan 27
Penn State 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Michigan 30
Penn State 25

Total Points: 55

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 40.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.4
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 11

Michigan's 2022 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	Penn State	15	Michigan	24	Michigan -4.0	Michigan	44.5	Under
2022	10/15	Michigan	41	Penn State	17	Michigan -7	Michigan	49.0	Over
2021	11/13	Penn State	17	Michigan	21	Michigan -2.5	Michigan	48.0	Under
2020	11/28	Michigan	17	Penn State	27	Michigan -1.0	Penn State	56.0	Under
2019	10/19	Penn State	28	Michigan	21	Penn State -7.5	Michigan	47.0	Over
2018	11/03	Michigan	42	Penn State	7	Michigan -13.5	Michigan	48.0	Over
2017	10/21	Penn State	42	Michigan	13	Penn State -7.5	Penn State	42.5	Over
2016	09/24	Michigan	49	Penn State	10	Michigan -15.5	Michigan	56.0	Over
2015	11/21	Penn State	16	Michigan	28	Michigan -5	Michigan	43.0	Over
2014	10/11	Michigan	18	Penn State	13	Penn State -2	Michigan	0
2013	10/12	Penn State	43	Michigan	40	Michigan -1	Penn State	0
2010	10/30	Penn State	41	Michigan	31
2009	10/24	Michigan	10	Penn State	35
2008	10/18	Penn State	46	Michigan	17
2007	09/22	Michigan	14	Penn State	9
2006	10/14	Penn State	10	Michigan	17
2005	10/15	Michigan	27	Penn State	25
2002	10/12	Michigan	27	Penn State	24
2001	10/06	Penn State	0	Michigan	20
2000	11/10	Michigan	33	Penn State	11

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan	13	8	6 Overs
Penn State	7	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 7	6 - 5	4 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	7 - 13	5 - 6	3 - 2	2 - 4

(#) PSU at (#) MICH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PSU	MICH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#8	#2
Perf GradeGrade	#34	#2
OffenseOff	#53	#10
DefenseDef	#34	#2
Spec TeamsST	#15	#27
TalentTal	#15	#14
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Penn State Injury Report

Michigan Injury Report

Penn State on Offense


CategoryCat	PSU Off	MICH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#53	#2
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#28	#4
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Penn State Run Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	MICH Def
Run GameRun	#82	#2
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#74	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#2

Penn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	MICH Def
Pass GamePass	#18	#2
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#63	#17
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	MICH Off	PSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#10	#34
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#21	#11
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	#1	#100
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#21	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#105

Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	#54	#26
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#24	#6
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'22 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'22 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 51° - Wind: 17 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Michigan -7.0 (49.0)
Michigan won vs Penn State this year (41-17)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Penn State in 2023 (24-15)
Michigan beat Penn State in 2022 (41-17)

PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Manny Diaz (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MICH's OC Sherrone Moore (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Jesse Minter (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD