Penn State at Iowa - 2021 Matchup Preview
Penn State logo (#7)Penn State Nittany Lions at Iowa HawkeyesIowa logo
Saturday, October 9th 2021 (4:00 PM EDT)
Iowa -2.5 (41.0)
Iowa 23 - Penn State: 20  (Big Ten)

 
Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (63 - 28)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (24 - 22 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 14.9 MPH
IOWA is playing their 6th straight game
PSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -1  (SP+ PSU -3)
Projected Score: PSU: 18 - IOWA: 20 (38)
IOWA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
PSU Travel: 713 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (171 - 106)
Avg Score : 23 - 19 (25 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Penn State at Wisconsin+5.548.5W 16 - 10UY
Sat 9/11 Penn State vs Ball State-23.058.0W 44 - 13UY
Sat 9/18 Penn State vs Auburn-4.053.0W 28 - 20UY
Sat 9/25 Penn State vs Villanova-29.553.0W 38 - 17ON
Sat 10/2 Penn State vs Indiana-12.054.5W 24 - 0UY
Sat 10/9 Penn State at Iowa+2.541.0L 20 - 23ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Penn State vs Illinois-24.546.0L 18 - 20UN
Sat 10/30 Penn State at Ohio State+18.560.5L 24 - 33UY
Sat 11/6 Penn State at Maryland-10.056.5W 31 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 Penn State vs Michigan+2.548.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 11/20 Penn State vs Rutgers-14.044.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/27 Penn State at Michigan State-3.551.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 1/1 Penn State vs Arkansas+3.551.0L 10 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Iowa's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Iowa vs Indiana-3.545.5W 34 - 6UY
Sat 9/11 Iowa at Iowa State+4.045.0W 27 - 17UY
Sat 9/18 Iowa vs Kent State-22.055.5W 30 - 7UY
Sat 9/25 Iowa vs Colorado State-24.043.5W 24 - 14UN
Fri 10/1 Iowa at Maryland-3.047.5W 51 - 14OY
Sat 10/9 Iowa vs Penn State-2.541.0W 23 - 20OY
Sat 10/16 Iowa vs Purdue-11.042.5L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Iowa at Wisconsin+3.035.5L 7 - 27UN
Sat 11/6 Iowa at Northwestern-11.540.5W 17 - 12UN
Sat 11/13 Iowa vs Minnesota-4.037.5W 27 - 22OY
Sat 11/20 Iowa vs Illinois-12.037.5W 33 - 23ON
Fri 11/26 Iowa at Nebraska+1.541.0W 28 - 21OY
Sat 12/4 Iowa vs Michigan+12.043.5L 3 - 42ON
Sat 1/1 Iowa vs Kentucky+3.043.5L 17 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU.1440%2539%2.6910840%2693.45.0639%17.342%36%2.4846.11.22.4
IOWA.0637%23.439%2.6612435%1803.0838%19.239%37%3.9136.11.42.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)44% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)46% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense132523.639.8%3.451.2203761082693.243%57%39%40%15%.14
IOWA Defense1419.216.637.7%3.912.4 - - - - - 48%52%39%37%16%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1317.32239%2.482.4 - - - - - 54%46%42%36%16%.06
IOWA Offense1423.425.437.2%31.4173041241803.452%48%39%35%17%.06

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1327:5620.339%46%5.446.11.22.46.52327
Iowa1430:0516.634%31%4.136.11.42.44.82.2533.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1343%39%33.6107.83.211.022.6961%11%0.91
IOWA Defense1448%39% - - - - .032.7572%8%0.79
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1354%42% - - - - .072.8979%10%0.89
IOWA Offense1452%39%36.2123.63.418.042.6670%12%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1357%40%22.437.4268.57.2122510.241.635%31%.344%2.1
IOWA Defense1452%37% - - - - - - 25.151.634%29%.278%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1346%36% - - - - - - 14.041.433%25%.186%1.8
IOWA Offense1448%35%15.928.9180.16.211.41211.081.634%28%.25%1.9

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3  #19
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0  #72
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6  #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Iowa: 8.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 14.3   Iowa: 11.4




Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 8.2 NR
Iowa's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Iowa's 2021 Expected Record: -
Iowa's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4  #27
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6  #94
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4  #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.6
Defense: 17.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Penn State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa 20
Penn State 18

Total Points: 38

Based on Last 4 Games
Iowa 18
Penn State 14

Total Points: 32

Based on Entire Season
Iowa 22
Penn State 21

Total Points: 43
Iowa Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.4
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.6

Iowa's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Iowa25Penn State24Iowa -3.5Penn State41.5Over
202309/23Penn State31Iowa0Penn State -14Penn State38.5Under
202110/09Iowa23Penn State20Iowa -2.5Iowa41.0Over
202011/21Penn State21Iowa41Iowa -1.0Iowa45.5Over
201910/12Iowa12Penn State17Penn State -3.5Penn State43.5Under
201810/27Penn State30Iowa24Penn State -5.5Penn State52.0Over
201709/23Iowa19Penn State21Penn State -13Iowa53.0Under
201611/05Penn State41Iowa14Penn State -6.5Penn State52.0Over
201210/20Iowa14Penn State38
201110/08Penn State13Iowa3
201010/02Iowa24Penn State3
200909/26Penn State10Iowa21
200811/08Iowa24Penn State23
200710/06Penn State27Iowa7
200410/23Penn State4Iowa6
200310/25Iowa26Penn State14
200209/28Penn State35Iowa42
200109/29Iowa24Penn State18
200011/03Penn State23Iowa26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa1135 Overs
Penn State853 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 85 - 34 - 11 - 2
Road Teams8 - 113 - 52 - 11 - 4

(#) PSU at (#) IOWA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPSUIOWA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #27
Perf GradeGrade #71 #26
OffenseOff #88 #59
DefenseDef #57 #13
Spec TeamsST #11 #20
TalentTal #16 #42
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCat
PSU OffIOWA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #88 #13
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #72 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffIOWA Def
Run GameRun #125 #33
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #67 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #35
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffIOWA Def
Pass GamePass #85 #4
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #67 #88
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Iowa on Offense
CategoryCatIOWA OffPSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #59 #57
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #94 #6
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Iowa Run Game
CategoryCat
IOWA OffPSU Def
Run GameRun #113 #96
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #7 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #63
Iowa Pass Game
CategoryCatIOWA OffPSU Def
Pass GamePass #87 #5
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #106 #79
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 82° - Wind: 15 mph
Rematch from Week 6
Iowa -2.5 (41.0)
Iowa won vs Penn State this year (23-20)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Iowa in 2023 (31-0)

  
PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Anthony Poindexter / Brent Pry (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

IOWA's OC Brian Ferentz (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD