Penn State at Iowa - 2021 Matchup Preview

Penn State Nittany Lions at Iowa Hawkeyes

Saturday, October 9th 2021 (4:00 PM EDT)
Iowa -2.5 (41.0)
Iowa 23 - Penn State: 20 (Big Ten)

Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (63 - 28)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (29 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

IOWA is playing their 6th straight game
PSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ PSU -3)
Projected Score: PSU: 23 - IOWA: 27 (50)
IOWA Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
PSU Travel: 713 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (7 - 6 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (171 - 106)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (28 - 14 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PSU Players
IOWA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Penn State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Penn State at Wisconsin	+5.5	48.5	W 16 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Penn State vs Ball State	-23.0	58.0	W 44 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Penn State vs Auburn	-4.0	53.0	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Penn State vs Villanova	-29.5	53.0	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 10/2	Penn State vs Indiana	-12.0	54.5	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Penn State at Iowa	+2.5	41.0	L 20 - 23	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Penn State vs Illinois	-24.5	46.0	L 18 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/30	Penn State at Ohio State	+18.5	60.5	L 24 - 33	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Penn State at Maryland	-10.0	56.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Penn State vs Michigan	+2.5	48.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/20	Penn State vs Rutgers	-14.0	44.5	W 28 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Penn State at Michigan State	-3.5	51.5	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 1/1	Penn State vs Arkansas	+3.5	51.0	L 10 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Iowa's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Iowa vs Indiana	-3.5	45.5	W 34 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Iowa at Iowa State	+4.0	45.0	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Iowa vs Kent State	-22.0	55.5	W 30 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Iowa vs Colorado State	-24.0	43.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Fri 10/1	Iowa at Maryland	-3.0	47.5	W 51 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Iowa vs Penn State	-2.5	41.0	W 23 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Iowa vs Purdue	-11.0	42.5	L 7 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Iowa at Wisconsin	+3.0	35.5	L 7 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/6	Iowa at Northwestern	-11.5	40.5	W 17 - 12	U	N
Sat 11/13	Iowa vs Minnesota	-4.0	37.5	W 27 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Iowa vs Illinois	-12.0	37.5	W 33 - 23	O	N
Fri 11/26	Iowa at Nebraska	+1.5	41.0	W 28 - 21	O	Y
Sat 12/4	Iowa vs Michigan	+12.0	43.5	L 3 - 42	O	N
Sat 1/1	Iowa vs Kentucky	+3.0	43.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PSU	.18	44%	31	42%	2.94	174	45%	255	3.47	.12	40%	20.5	40%	39%	3.54	37.2	1.9	1
IOWA	.16	45%	29.3	48%	2.83	171	43%	198	3.95	.02	38%	16.1	39%	38%	3.17	39.6	1.1	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
IOWA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PSU Offense	9	31	28.6	43.7%	3.47	1.9	25	430	174	255	3.9	53%	47%	42%	45%	14%	.18
IOWA Defense	8	16.1	13.7	38.3%	3.17	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	39%	38%	17%	.02

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PSU Defense	9	20.5	30.2	39.6%	3.54	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	40%	39%	17%	.12
IOWA Offense	8	29.3	28.3	45.4%	3.95	1.1	20	369	171	198	4.6	52%	48%	48%	43%	14%	.16

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Penn State	9	33:38	24.8	42%	50%	4.3	37.2	1.9	1	6.6	2.3	1	28.4
Iowa	8	29:15	19.9	34%	67%	4.8	39.6	1.1	2.3	6.4	2.8	3	32.9

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PSU Offense	9	53%	42%	44.7	174.3	3.9	15	.06	2.94	64%	9%	0.87
IOWA Defense	8	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.52	59%	11%	0.8

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PSU Defense	9	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.56	71%	12%	1.01
IOWA Offense	8	52%	48%	37	171.1	4.6	18	.14	2.83	84%	9%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PSU Offense	9	47%	45%	20.4	34	255.3	7.5	12.5	17	9	.3	1.6	29%	41%	.36	5%	1.8
IOWA Defense	8	51%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.08	1.5	31%	30%	.15	6%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PSU Defense	9	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.2	1.5	33%	26%	.21	6%	2.1
IOWA Offense	8	48%	43%	17.6	31	197.6	6.4	11.2	9	5	.19	1.2	31%	27%	.22	4%	1.8

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #19
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #72
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State: Iowa: 8.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 14.3 Iowa: 11.4

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 8.2 NR
Iowa's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #42
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Iowa's 2021 Expected Record: -
Iowa's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #27
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #94
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Penn State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa 27
Penn State 23

Projected Total Points: 50

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Iowa's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Iowa	25	Penn State	24	Iowa -3.5	Penn State	41.5	Over
2023	09/23	Penn State	31	Iowa	0	Penn State -14	Penn State	38.5	Under
2021	10/09	Iowa	23	Penn State	20	Iowa -2.5	Iowa	41.0	Over
2020	11/21	Penn State	21	Iowa	41	Iowa -1.0	Iowa	45.5	Over
2019	10/12	Iowa	12	Penn State	17	Penn State -3.5	Penn State	43.5	Under
2018	10/27	Penn State	30	Iowa	24	Penn State -5.5	Penn State	52.0	Over
2017	09/23	Iowa	19	Penn State	21	Penn State -13	Iowa	53.0	Under
2016	11/05	Penn State	41	Iowa	14	Penn State -6.5	Penn State	52.0	Over
2012	10/20	Iowa	14	Penn State	38
2011	10/08	Penn State	13	Iowa	3
2010	10/02	Iowa	24	Penn State	3
2009	09/26	Penn State	10	Iowa	21
2008	11/08	Iowa	24	Penn State	23
2007	10/06	Penn State	27	Iowa	7
2004	10/23	Penn State	4	Iowa	6
2003	10/25	Iowa	26	Penn State	14
2002	09/28	Penn State	35	Iowa	42
2001	09/29	Iowa	24	Penn State	18
2000	11/03	Penn State	23	Iowa	26

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa	11	3	5 Overs
Penn State	8	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 8	5 - 3	4 - 1	1 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 11	3 - 5	2 - 1	1 - 4

(#) PSU at (#) IOWA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PSU	IOWA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#19	#27
Perf GradeGrade	#71	#26
OffenseOff	#88	#59
DefenseDef	#57	#13
Spec TeamsST	#11	#20
TalentTal	#16	#42
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Penn State Injury Report

Iowa Injury Report

Penn State on Offense


CategoryCat	PSU Off	IOWA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#88	#13
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#72	#5
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Penn State Run Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	IOWA Def
Run GameRun	#125	#33
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#67	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#35

Penn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	IOWA Def
Pass GamePass	#85	#4
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#67	#88
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Iowa on Offense


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	PSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#59	#57
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa Run Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	#113	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#7	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#63

Iowa Pass Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	#87	#5
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#106	#79
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Iowa -2.5 (41.0)
Iowa won vs Penn State this year (23-20)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Penn State last year (25-24)
Penn State beat Iowa in 2023 (31-0)

PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Anthony Poindexter / Brent Pry (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

IOWA's OC Brian Ferentz (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD