Penn State at Wisconsin - 2021 Matchup Preview

Penn State Nittany Lions at Wisconsin Badgers

Saturday, September 4th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -5.5 (48.5)
Penn State 16 - Wisconsin: 10 (Big Ten)

Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (63 - 28)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (29 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ WIS -6)
Projected Score: PSU: 25 - WIS: 20 (45)
WIS Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
PSU Travel: 614 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Badgers (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Paul Chryst (57 - 20)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (16 - 18 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PSU Players
WIS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Penn State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Penn State at Wisconsin	+5.5	48.5	W 16 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Penn State vs Ball State	-23.0	58.0	W 44 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Penn State vs Auburn	-4.0	53.0	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Penn State vs Villanova	-29.5	53.0	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 10/2	Penn State vs Indiana	-12.0	54.5	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Penn State at Iowa	+2.5	41.0	L 20 - 23	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Penn State vs Illinois	-24.5	46.0	L 18 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/30	Penn State at Ohio State	+18.5	60.5	L 24 - 33	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Penn State at Maryland	-10.0	56.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Penn State vs Michigan	+2.5	48.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/20	Penn State vs Rutgers	-14.0	44.5	W 28 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Penn State at Michigan State	-3.5	51.5	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 1/1	Penn State vs Arkansas	+3.5	51.0	L 10 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Wisconsin's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Wisconsin vs Penn State	-5.5	48.5	L 10 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/11	Wisconsin vs Eastern Michigan	-26.0	52.0	W 34 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25	Wisconsin vs Notre Dame	-6.0	43.5	L 13 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/2	Wisconsin vs Michigan	-2.0	43.5	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/9	Wisconsin at Illinois	-12.5	42.0	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Wisconsin vs Army	-14.0	37.5	W 20 - 14	U	N
Sat 10/23	Wisconsin at Purdue	-3.5	41.0	W 30 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Wisconsin vs Iowa	-3.0	35.5	W 27 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Wisconsin at Rutgers	-13.0	37.5	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Wisconsin vs Northwestern	-26.0	41.5	W 35 - 7	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Wisconsin vs Nebraska	-10.0	43.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/27	Wisconsin at Minnesota	-7.0	39.0	L 13 - 23	U	N
Thu 12/30	Wisconsin vs Arizona State	-8.5	42.5	W 20 - 13	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PSU	.18	44%	31	42%	2.94	174	45%	255	3.47	.12	40%	20.5	40%	39%	3.54	37.2	1.9	1
WIS	.07	42%	12.8	45%	2.78	165	39%	181	3.47	.02	35%	21.6	32%	37%	2.4	42.3	1.7	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WIS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PSU Offense	9	31	28.6	43.7%	3.47	1.9	25	430	174	255	3.9	53%	47%	42%	45%	14%	.18
WIS Defense	7	21.6	18.3	35%	2.4	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	32%	37%	18%	.02

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PSU Defense	9	20.5	30.2	39.6%	3.54	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	40%	39%	17%	.12
WIS Offense	7	12.8	15.6	42.3%	3.47	1.7	20	346	165	181	3.9	54%	46%	45%	39%	16%	.07

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Penn State	9	33:38	24.8	42%	50%	4.3	37.2	1.9	1	6.6	2.3	1	28.4
Wisconsin	7	36:20	19.6	38%	42%	5.1	42.3	1.7	1.7	5.1	1.6	0	30.9

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PSU Offense	9	53%	42%	44.7	174.3	3.9	15	.06	2.94	64%	9%	0.87
WIS Defense	7	46%	32%	-	-	-	-	-.2	2.09	63%	11%	0.67

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PSU Defense	9	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.56	71%	12%	1.01
WIS Offense	7	54%	45%	41.9	164.6	3.9	13	.06	2.78	82%	11%	0.88

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PSU Offense	9	47%	45%	20.4	34	255.3	7.5	12.5	17	9	.3	1.6	29%	41%	.36	5%	1.8
WIS Defense	7	54%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.2	1.7	39%	23%	.1	8%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PSU Defense	9	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.2	1.5	33%	26%	.21	6%	2.1
WIS Offense	7	46%	39%	17.7	28.9	181	6.3	10.2	10	7	.09	1.5	30%	30%	.16	6%	1.8

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #19
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #72
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State: Wisconsin: 12.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 14.3 Wisconsin: 20.1

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 12.55 NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wisconsin's 2021 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 20.1 #7
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #58
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Penn State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 25
Wisconsin 20

Projected Total Points: 45

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wisconsin's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/26	Wisconsin	13	Penn State	28	Penn State -6.5	Penn State	47.0	Under
2021	09/04	Wisconsin	10	Penn State	16	Wisconsin -5.5	Penn State	48.5	Under
2018	11/10	Penn State	22	Wisconsin	10	Penn State -7.5	Penn State	52.0	Under
2016	12/03	Penn State	38	Wisconsin	31	Wisconsin -1	Penn State	47.0	Over
2013	11/30	Wisconsin	24	Penn State	31	Wisconsin -23.5	Penn State	0
2012	11/24	Penn State	24	Wisconsin	21
2011	11/26	Wisconsin	45	Penn State	7
2008	10/11	Wisconsin	7	Penn State	48
2007	10/13	Penn State	38	Wisconsin	7
2006	11/04	Wisconsin	13	Penn State	3
2005	11/05	Penn State	35	Wisconsin	14
2004	09/25	Wisconsin	16	Penn State	3
2003	10/04	Penn State	23	Wisconsin	30
2002	10/05	Wisconsin	31	Penn State	34
2001	09/22	Penn State	6	Wisconsin	18

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wisconsin	5	0	1 Overs
Penn State	10	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 7	2 - 3	1 - 2	1 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 8	3 - 2	1 - 1	2 - 1

(#) PSU at (#) WIS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PSU	WIS
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#19	#7
Perf GradeGrade	#71	#3
OffenseOff	#88	#19
DefenseDef	#57	#3
Spec TeamsST	#11	#49
TalentTal	#16	#21
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Penn State Injury Report

Wisconsin Injury Report

Penn State on Offense


CategoryCat	PSU Off	WIS Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#88	#3
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#72	#2
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Penn State Run Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#125	#8
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#67	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#14

Penn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#85	#42
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#67	#9
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	PSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#19	#57
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	#75	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#3	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#63

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	#100	#5
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#103	#79
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Wisconsin -5.5 (48.5)
Penn State won at Wisconsin this year (16-10)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Wisconsin in 2024 (28-13)

PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Anthony Poindexter / Brent Pry (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WIS's OC Joe Rudolph (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Jim Leonhard (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD