West Virginia at Penn State Game Matchup

West Virginia Mountaineers at Penn State Nittany Lions

Saturday, September 2nd 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -21 (48.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Penn State 38 - West Virginia: 15

Mountaineers (9 - 4) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Neal Brown (24 - 26)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (30 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#54)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Penn State -21.5 (SP+ PSU -21)
Projected Score: WVU: 15 - PSU: 37 (56)
PSU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
WVU Travel: 137 miles

Nittany Lions (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (81 - 36)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WVU Players
PSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

West Virginia's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	West Virginia at Penn State	+21.0	48.0	L 15 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/9	West Virginia vs Duquesne	-38.5	55.5	W 56 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/16	West Virginia vs Pittsburgh	-2.5	48.0	W 17 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/23	West Virginia vs Texas Tech	+6.0	53.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/30	West Virginia at TCU	+14.0	52.0	W 24 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12	West Virginia at Houston	-3.0	49.5	L 39 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	West Virginia vs Oklahoma State	-3.0	48.0	L 34 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/28	West Virginia at UCF	+6.5	59.5	W 41 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/4	West Virginia vs BYU	-13.0	48.5	W 37 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/11	West Virginia at Oklahoma	+13.5	59.5	L 20 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/18	West Virginia vs Cincinnati	-4.5	52.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/25	West Virginia at Baylor	-6.5	53.5	W 34 - 31	O	N
Wed 12/27	West Virginia vs North Carolina	-4.5	62.0	W 30 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for West Virginia's Schedule

Penn State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Penn State vs West Virginia	-21.0	48.0	W 38 - 15	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Penn State vs Delaware	-44.0	55.0	W 63 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Penn State at Illinois	-14.0	47.5	W 30 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Penn State vs Iowa	-14.0	38.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Penn State at Northwestern	-27.0	48.0	W 41 - 13	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Penn State vs Massachusetts	-42.0	55.0	W 63 - 0	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Penn State at Ohio State	+4.0	47.0	L 12 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/28	Penn State vs Indiana	-31.0	45.0	W 33 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/4	Penn State at Maryland	-8.5	50.5	W 51 - 15	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Penn State vs Michigan	+4.0	44.5	L 15 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/18	Penn State vs Rutgers	-19.5	39.5	W 27 - 6	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Penn State vs Michigan State	-20.0	42.0	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 12/30	Penn State vs Ole Miss	-5.5	53.0	L 25 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WVU	.21	43%	29.2	45%	3.08	172	42%	227	4.2	.21	44%	31.9	45%	43%	3.8	53	1.5	1.3
PSU	.26	43%	33.1	41%	3.03	181	46%	253	4.61	.08	38%	16.5	43%	36%	3.39	48.3	1.1	2.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WVU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WVU Offense	12	29.2	29.8	43.3%	4.2	1.5	23	398	172	227	4.6	48%	51%	45%	42%	15%	.21
PSU Defense	13	16.5	11	38.5%	3.39	2.7	-	-	-	-	-	41%	59%	43%	36%	25%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WVU Defense	12	31.9	30.8	44.3%	3.8	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	45%	43%	15%	.21
PSU Offense	13	33.1	33.5	43.4%	4.61	1.1	21	434	181	253	4.8	51%	49%	41%	46%	13%	.26

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
West Virginia	12	31:19	23	41%	69%	6.4	53	1.5	1.3	5.7	2.2	2	26.9
Penn State	13	30:33	21.2	38%	70%	5.3	48.3	1.1	2.7	7.8	3.2	2	30.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WVU Offense	12	48%	45%	37.2	171.5	4.6	24	.2	3.08	70%	8%	1.01
PSU Defense	13	41%	43%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.66	72%	15%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WVU Defense	12	48%	45%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.07	76%	10%	0.99
PSU Offense	13	51%	41%	37.6	181.1	4.8	28	.18	3.03	75%	8%	1.17

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WVU Offense	12	51%	42%	21.3	35.5	226.7	6.4	10.7	20	12	.24	1.5	30%	34%	.32	7%	1.8
PSU Defense	13	59%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.06	1.5	37%	29%	.29	11%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WVU Defense	12	52%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.3	1.6	30%	32%	.36	4%	2.1
PSU Offense	13	49%	46%	20.8	32.5	252.5	7.8	12.2	29	7	.34	1.6	30%	33%	.42	5%	2.1

West Virginia's Power Ratings
West Virginia's Power Rating: 3.47 #45
West Virginia's Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
West Virginia's Defense Rating: 11.21 #88
2023 Talent Rating: 710.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
West Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70
West Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #44
West Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
West Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #63

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 676
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 3.47 Penn State: 25.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
West Virginia: 5.4 Penn State: 26.0

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 25.72 #5
Penn State's Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Penn State's Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
2023 Talent Rating: 1046.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 57 #13
Penn State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Penn State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

West Virginia Scoring
Offense: 29.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 31.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

West Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 37
West Virginia 15

Projected Total Points: 56

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 11

Penn State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	08/31	West Virginia	12	Penn State	34	Penn State	Penn State -7.5	Penn State	48.0	Under
2023	09/02	Penn State	38	West Virginia	15	Penn State	Penn State -21	Penn State	48.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Penn State	2	2	1 Overs
West Virginia	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1

(#45) West Virginia Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.47 #45
Offense Rating: 20.84 #32
Defense Rating: 11.21 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: 5.4 #44
Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #38
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #63
Talent Rating: 710.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #43
Expected Record: 7.30 - 5.70

Team Profile

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West Virginia Ratings Matchup Penn State

Power #45

Off #32

#31

Def #88

Talent #44

#11

SP+ #44

SP+ Off #38

#26

SP+ Def #63

Rematch from Week 1
Penn State -21.0 (48.0)
Penn State won vs West Virginia this year (38-15)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat West Virginia last year (34-12)
Penn State beat West Virginia in 2023 (38-15)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 74° - Wind: 6 mph

Team Information
Injuries: WVU | PSU
Depth Chart: WVU | PSU
Rosters: WVU | PSU

(#5) Penn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 25.72 #5
Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4
Talent Rating: 1046.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 57 #13
Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70

Team Profile

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West Virginia's OC Chad Scott

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Garrett Greene	189	316	60%	2300	15	12	7.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Garrett Greene	133	751	6	5.6	56
Jaylen Anderson	9	34	0	3.8	7
Leighton Bechdel	1	14	1	14.0	14
Cortez Braham	1	1	0	1.0	1

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cortez Braham	56	724	4	12.9	57
Ja'Shaun Poke (Tr)	50	459	1	9.2	46
Kole Taylor (Tr)	43	448	3	10.4	39
Preston Fox	12	131	0	10.9	30

View West Virginia's Full Roster

West Virginia's DC ShaDon Brown

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Wilson (Tr)	102	0	0	0	3
Jared Bartlett	70	12	8	2	3
Tyrin Bradley (Tr)	56	8	2	2	4
Hershey McLaurin	50	8	1	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jared Bartlett	70	12	8	2	3
Sean Martin	23	6	4	5	1
Lance Dixon	42	6	2	0	4
Tyrin Bradley (Tr)	56	8	2	2	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyrin Bradley (Tr)	56	8	2	2	4
Lance Dixon	42	6	2	0	4
Anthony Wilson (Tr)	102	0	0	0	3

Penn State's OC Mike Yurcich

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Tyler Warren	3	6	50%	35	1	0	5.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
London Montgomery	71	359	2	5.1	48
Tyler Warren	26	218	4	8.4	48
Cristian Driver	2	9	0	4.5	5
Alex Bacchetta	1	-19	0	-19.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyler Warren	104	1233	8	11.9	38
Keandre Lambert	50	981	8	19.6	67
Dante Cephas (Tr)	15	184	0	12.3	35
Malick Meiga	7	117	0	16.7	46

View Penn State's Full Roster

Penn State's DC Manny Diaz

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Reed	95	7	3	1	2
Kobe King	87	8	3	1	1
Abdul Carter	62	24	12	9	4
Dvon Ellies	31	4	1	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Abdul Carter	62	24	12	9	4
Amin Vanover	21	5	4	3	1
Jaylen Reed	95	7	3	1	2
Kobe King	87	8	3	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Abdul Carter	62	24	12	9	4
Jaylen Reed	95	7	3	1	2
Tyler Elsdon	23	0	0	0	2