Kent State at Penn State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Kent State logo Kent State Golden Flashes at Penn State Nittany Lions(#2)Penn State logo
Saturday, September 21st 2024 (3:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -49 (58.0) (0)  Open: -49.0 | 55.0
Penn State 56 - Kent State: 0

 
Golden Flashes (0 - 12) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 11)
Avg Score : 14 - 44 (9 - 48 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 12 (#134)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
KENT 2nd straight Road Game
PSU coming off BYE
KENT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Penn State -59.5   (SP+ PSU -58)

Projected Score: KENT: -2 - PSU: 58 (56)
PSU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 39%
KENT Travel: 182 miles
Nittany Lions (13 - 3) (8 - 8 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (88 - 39)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13 - 3 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Kent State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Kent State at Pittsburgh+23.555.5L 24 - 55ON
Sat 9/7 Kent State vs St. Francis (PA)-17.549.5L 17 - 23UN
Sat 9/14 Kent State at Tennessee+49.561.5L 0 - 71ON
Sat 9/21 Kent State at Penn State+49.058.0L 0 - 56UN
Sat 9/28 Kent State vs Eastern Michigan+14.046.0L 33 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Kent State vs Ball State+3.058.0L 35 - 37OY
Sat 10/19 Kent State at Bowling Green+24.054.5L 6 - 27UY
Sat 10/26 Kent State at Western Michigan+19.061.0L 21 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/6 Kent State vs Ohio+20.553.5L 0 - 41UN
Wed 11/13 Kent State at Miami (OH)+31.047.5L 7 - 34UY
Tue 11/19 Kent State vs Akron+10.549.0L 17 - 38ON
Tue 11/26 Kent State at Buffalo+23.550.5L 7 - 43UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule
Penn State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Penn State at West Virginia-7.548.0W 34 - 12UY
Sat 9/7 Penn State vs Bowling Green-35.551.5W 34 - 27ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Penn State vs Kent State-49.058.0W 56 - 0UY
Sat 9/28 Penn State vs Illinois-19.548.0W 21 - 7UN
Sat 10/5 Penn State vs UCLA-30.048.0W 27 - 11UN
Sat 10/12 Penn State at USC-3.551.5W 33 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26 Penn State at Wisconsin-6.547.0W 28 - 13UY
Sat 11/2 Penn State vs Ohio State+3.047.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 11/9 Penn State vs Washington-13.548.0W 35 - 6UY
Sat 11/16 Penn State at Purdue-30.051.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 11/23 Penn State at Minnesota-11.045.0W 26 - 25ON
Sat 11/30 Penn State vs Maryland-26.550.5W 44 - 7OY
Sat 12/7 Penn State vs Oregon+3.551.5L 37 - 45ON
Sat 12/21 Penn State vs SMU-9.052.5W 38 - 10UY
Tue 12/31 Penn State vs Boise State-11.554.5W 31 - 14UY
Thu 1/9 Penn State vs Notre Dame-1.545.5L 24 - 27ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT#131 (.01)30% (134)13.933% (132)2.57 (128)7829% (134)1552.89 (130)#133 (.35)50% (131)44.150% (123)51% (130)4.34 (115)35.71.70.9
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)33.152% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)16.539% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT#131 (.01)30% (134)33% (132)2.57 (128)7829% (134)1552.89 (130)#133 (.35)50% (131)50% (123)51% (130)4.34 (115)35.71.70.9
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Offense1213.99.330.5%2.891.713233781552.447%51%33%29%28%.01
PSU Defense1616.51137.9%3.221.3 - - - - - 48%52%39%37%18%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Defense1244.148.350.1%4.340.9 - - - - - 55%45%50%51%12%.35
PSU Offense1633.133.551.3%4.690.8203851762095.354%46%52%51%10%.32

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kent State1226:5212.919%38%4.835.71.70.94.71.5027.2
Penn State1626:5120.448%70%4.441.40.81.35.52.3428.9
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Offense1247% (91)33% (132)32.377.52.43 (134)-.07 (132)2.57 (128)61% (123)19% (134)0.95 (72)
PSU Defense1648% (43)39% (27) - - - - -.01 (12)2.37 (3)75% (75)12% (26)0.92 (42)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Defense1255% (113)50% (123) - - - - .3 (132)3.58 (133)81% (115)8% (111)1.13 (122)
PSU Offense1654% (38)52% (9)33.2176.25.331 (17).24 (20)3.42 (10)76% (51)7% (8)0.92 (90)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Offense1251% (54)29% (134)11.624.5155.46.313.418 (68)13 (103).14 (109)2.1 (2)41% (134)19% (134).11 (132)8% (128)2.7 (1)
PSU Defense1652% (96)37% (25) - - - - - - 15 (18).1 (16)1.7 (91)36% (14)27% (25).2 (29)6% (57)2.1 (95)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Defense1245% (25)51% (130) - - - - - - 4 (125).41 (126)1.5 (23)28% (124)38% (127).42 (109)4% (127)1.8 (15)
PSU Offense1646% (95)51% (4)16.724.3208.88.612.527 (20)9 (48).41 (11)1.5 (107)26% (3)35% (31).46 (20)3% (5)2 (85)

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -32.59 #134
Kent State's Offense Rating: 8.84 #130
Kent State's Defense Rating: 22.62 #133
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Kent State's 2024 Expected Record: 0.0 - 12.0
Kent State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -33.0 #134
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #133
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.8 #134

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -32.59   Penn State: 26.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -33.0   Penn State: 24.6




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 26.93 #6
Penn State's Offense Rating: 29.70 #2
Penn State's Defense Rating: 1.50 #7
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #15
Penn State's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0
Penn State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Kent State Scoring
Offense: 13.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 44.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 48.3

Kent State's 2024 Record
Record: 0 - 12
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 58
Kent State -2


Total Points: 56

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 11

Penn State's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/21Penn State56Kent State0Penn StatePenn State -49Penn State58.0Under
201809/15Penn State63Kent State10Penn StatePenn State -35Penn State64.5Over
201609/03Penn State33Kent State13Penn StatePenn State -19Penn State44.0Over
201309/21Penn State34Kent State0Penn StatePenn State -14.5Penn State0
201009/18Penn State24Kent State0Penn State
200309/20Penn State32Kent State10Penn State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State642 Overs
Kent State001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 04 - 04 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 60 - 40 - 00 - 4

(#134) Kent State Info
Power Rating: -32.59 #134
Offense Rating: 8.84 #130
Defense Rating: 22.62 #133
Overall SP+ Rating: -33.0 #134
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 43.8 #134
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 0.0 - 12.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 30%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.89 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.34 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Kent State has lost 3 straight
Kent State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 7 (2 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )

Kent State Notes
(11/27) Avg score 14 -44. Total outscored 529-167
(11/18) Took 1st lead vs M OH, all 34 straight, may not W
(11/7) CFB worst. New Fr QB new suck. Rgame sucks
(11/7) Have never had a lead in any game at 0-9
(10/22) Def stop rate last in CFB (36%) into week 9
(10/13) Pass game expl in shootout L (Ball St). Def bad
(10/4) Sched brutal but bottom 5 in Every Off/Def stat
(9/29) Outscored 234-57 by four P4 opps this year
(9/26) Top 2 QBs out for season, 3rd QB looks hurt
(9/26) Worst team in CFB, top QBs hurt. Burns sucks?

Kent State Highlights
Kent State offense is explosive (#43)
Kent State commits very few Penalties (#85)

Kent State Deficiencies
Kent State has a really bad Offense
Kent State Can Not Run the Ball (#122)
Kent State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
Kent State offense is really bad (#134)
Kent State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#99)
Kent State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#126)
Kent State run game is really bad (#135)
Kent State pass game is really bad (#116)
Kent State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Kent State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Kent State does not Sack the QB (#112)
Kent State has a bad defense (#66)
Kent State Does Not Stuff Runs (#39)
Kent State has a bad defensive line (#53)
Kent State has a bad red zone defense (#89)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatPSUKENT
OverallOver#10#101
OffenseOff#15#112
DefenseDef#12#109
Special TeamsST#52#88
PassingPass#6#107
RushingRush#15#101
Run BlockRBLK#46#108
Pass BlockPBLK#76#103
Route RunningWR Rt#16#78
TacklingTkl#70#98
Run DefenseR Def#20#104
Pass Rush DefPRush#10#62
Coverage DefCov#15#108

Rematch from Week 4
Penn State -49.0 (58.0)
Penn State won vs Kent State this year (56-0)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Kent State last year (56-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KENT | PSU
Depth Chart: KENT | PSU
Rosters: KENT | PSU
(#6) Penn State Info
Power Rating: 26.93 #6
Offense Rating: 29.70 #2
Defense Rating: 1.50 #7
Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #15
Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.69 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 51%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.22 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Penn State has won 2 straight
Penn State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 1 (4 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Penn State Highlights
Penn State has Really Good Running Game (#38)
Penn State offense is efficent (#25)
Penn State has a top Offensive Line (#13)
Penn State offense is good in red zone (#42)
Penn State offense is good on 3rd downs
Penn State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#3)

Penn State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Penn State has a really good defense (#6)
Penn State defense is really good in red zone (#5)
Penn State has a good run defense (#42)
Penn State has a good pass defense (#2)
Penn State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#50)
Penn State Defensive Line is very good (#12)
Penn State Front 7 is disruptive (#28)
Penn State has a great TO Margin (#11)
Penn State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Penn State Deficiencies
Penn State offense is not Explosive (#114)


  
Kent State's OC Mark Carney
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tommy Ulatowski8117546%13421587.7
Devin Kargman458255%432325.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ky Thomas13555014.138
Curtis Douglas4814503.019
Jahzae Kimbrough2711404.218
Ayden Harris2911013.813
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chrishon Mccray40705917.668
Luke Floriea44688715.680
Jay Jay Etheridge1413719.837
Dashawn Martin8108013.527

View Kent State's Full Roster
Kent State's DC Kody Morgan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Baka903005
Mason Woods (Tr)684001
Tevin Tucker652002
Rocco Nicholl611032
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kameron Olds (Tr)427621
Stephen Daley519463
Matt Harmon567251
Kaden Beatty193101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josh Baka903005
Naim Muhammad242113
Stephen Daley519463

Penn State's OC Andy Kotelnicki
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Allar26239467%33272488.4
Beau Pribula263574%275517.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen220110885.032
Nicholas Singleton1721099126.458
Drew Allar9630263.122
Beau Pribula3824246.449
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Warren1041233811.938
Harrison Wallace III47732415.650
Omari Evans20403520.259
Nicholas Singleton4137559.127

View Penn State's Full Roster
Penn State's DC Tom Allen
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Reed957312
Kobe King878311
Zakee Wheatley863104
Abdul Carter62241294
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Abdul Carter62241294
Dani Dennis-Sutton4013993
Amin Vanover215431
Jaylen Reed957312
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elliot Washington II251006
Cam Miller233025
A.J. Harris (Tr)413005