Penn State at UCLA - 2025 Matchup Preview
Penn State logo (#2)Penn State Nittany Lions at UCLA BruinsUCLA logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA  (Big Ten)

 
Nittany Lions (3 - 0) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (99 - 41)
Avg Score : 44 - 6 (44 - 6 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 1.5 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Our Line: Penn State -34.5   (SP+ PSU -33)
Projected Score: PSU: 42 - UCLA: 8 (50)
PSU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 58%
PSU Travel: 2237 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Bruins (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (10 - 39 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0.8 - 11.2 (#136)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Penn State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Penn State vs Nevada-45.558.5W 46 - 11UN
Sat 9/6 Penn State vs Florida International-42.053.5W 34 - 0UN
Sat 9/13 Penn State vs Villanova-46.557.5W 52 - 6ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Penn State vs Oregon-3
Sat 10/4 Penn State at UCLA-34.5
Sat 10/11 Penn State vs Northwestern-33
Sat 10/18 Penn State at Iowa-14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Penn State at Ohio State+2
Sat 11/8 Penn State vs Indiana-12
Sat 11/15 Penn State at Michigan State-19.5
Sat 11/22 Penn State vs Nebraska-15
Sat 11/29 Penn State at Rutgers-18

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
UCLA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 UCLA vs Utah+6.550.5L 10 - 43ON
Sat 9/6 UCLA at UNLV-2.554.5L 23 - 30UN
Fri 9/12 UCLA vs New Mexico-15.552.5L 10 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 UCLA vs Northwestern+8.5
Sat 10/4 UCLA vs Penn State+34.5
Sat 10/11 UCLA at Michigan State+17.5
Sat 10/18 UCLA vs Maryland+14.5
Sat 10/25 UCLA at Indiana+29.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 UCLA vs Nebraska+21.5
Sat 11/15 UCLA at Ohio State+39
Sat 11/22 UCLA vs Washington+20.5
Sat 11/29 UCLA at USC+35

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU#49 (.27)52% (25)4455% (19)3.74 (13)19449% (38)2444.63 (42)#4 (-.13)29% (6)5.736% (42)20% (2)1.25 (5)26.70.32.3
UCLA#69 (.2)43% (70)14.343% (81)3.27 (38)12244% (62)2033.67 (86)#129 (.4)57% (134)3655% (131)61% (136)5.62 (133)91.71.30.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3
UCLA#99 (.14)39% (112)34% (131)2.47 (132)8743% (56)2423.15 (123)#68 (.16)46% (110)45% (83)47% (120)4.45 (123)68.91.41.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense3444451.8%4.630.3244381942445.548%52%55%49%9%.27
UCLA Defense3363957.4%5.620.7 - - - - - 60%40%55%61%7%.4
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense35.75.728.7%1.252.3 - - - - - 55%45%36%20%20%-.13
UCLA Offense314.31043.4%3.671.3193251222034.643%56%43%44%15%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State329:1924.339%63%3.726.70.32.372.7138.2
UCLA325:4618.723%70%1091.71.30.71.70.7024.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense348% (83)55% (19)351945.59 (17).36 (20)3.74 (13)86% (22)4% (6)1.02 (51)
UCLA Defense360% (123)55% (131) - - - - .24 (116)3.51 (129)92% (124)5% (130)0.77 (28)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense355% (103)36% (42) - - - - -.08 (29)2.03 (12)63% (43)14% (28)0.79 (33)
UCLA Offense343% (106)43% (81)26.71224.61 (127).3 (30)3.27 (38)53% (123)9% (76)1.38 (12)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense352% (52)49% (38)21.733243.77.411.35 (54)1 (23).19 (95)1.1 (130)23% (14)32% (68).28 (84)4% (53)1.8 (101)
UCLA Defense340% (14)61% (136) - - - - - - 0.62 (131)1.4 (35)20% (135)44% (130).5 (114)2% (136)1.3 (5)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense345% (36)20% (2) - - - - - - 4 (12)-.2 (7)1.4 (41)39% (15)13% (7)-.05 (14)7% (55)1.4 (13)
UCLA Offense356% (30)44% (62)20.732.3202.76.39.83 (90)3 (92).19 (94)1.2 (127)25% (22)32% (64).08 (119)6% (86)1.5 (124)

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 32.49 #3
Penn State's Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Penn State's Defense Rating: -9.44 #4
2025 Talent Rating: 1078.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 53% #10
Penn State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Penn State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 28.3 #1
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0 #5
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 32.49   UCLA: -3.96

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 28.3   UCLA: -4.6




UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: -3.96 #102
UCLA's Offense Rating: 13.35 #65
UCLA's Defense Rating: 21.67 #125
2025 Talent Rating: 796.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #37
UCLA's 2025 Expected Record: 0.8 - 11.2
UCLA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #85
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #89
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 44 PPG
Offense on Road: 44
Defense: 5.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 5.7

Penn State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 42
UCLA 8


Total Points: 50

UCLA Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 10
Defense: 36 PPG
Defense at Home: 39

UCLA's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Penn State27UCLA11Penn StatePenn State -30UCLA48.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCLA010 Overs
Penn State101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#3) Penn State Info
Power Rating: 32.49 #3
Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Defense Rating: -9.44 #4
Overall SP+ Rating: 28.3 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3
Talent Rating: 1078.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 53% #10
Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 52%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.63 PPO
Great Run Success 55%
Good Pass Success 49%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Great in Scoring Position 1.25 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Great Pass Def Success 20%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Penn State has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Penn State Notes
(8/30) 3.8 ypc vs Nevada? Allar big w/ Hudson/Pena
(6/6) Def still solid, DL a top 10 unit via PFF
(5/23) CBs Harris & Washington a top duo in CFB
(5/11) OL one of CFB's most exp'd, top of contenders
(4/4) CB AJ Harris a top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Dennis-Sutton/DT Durant top 10 via PFF
(3/18) QB Allar primed for breakout season.
(3/18) WR, are portals Ross/Hudson weapons?
(3/18) RB Allen/Singleton best duo in CFB?
(3/18) OL returns 4/5 starters, a top CFB unit.

Penn State Highlights
Penn State in Undefeated

Penn State offense is efficent (#25)
Penn State has a top Offensive Line (#13)
Penn State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#3)

Penn State has a really good defense (#6)
Penn State defense does not give up big plays (#8)
Penn State defense is really good in red zone (#5)
Penn State has a good pass defense (#2)
Penn State Defensive Line is very good (#12)
Penn State Front 7 is disruptive (#28)
Penn State has a great TO Margin (#11)
Penn State commits very few Penalties (#16)
Penn State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Penn State Deficiencies
Penn State offense is not Explosive (#114)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUCLAPSU
OverallOver#94#5
OffenseOff#93#31
DefenseDef#96#2
Special TeamsST#75#8
PassingPass#46#59
RushingRush#73#57
Run BlockRBLK#92#5
Pass BlockPBLK#114#16
Route RunningWR Rt#73#57
TacklingTkl#92#12
Run DefenseR Def#83#7
Pass Rush DefPRush#86#8
Coverage DefCov#108#8

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat UCLA last year (27-11)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: PSU | UCLA
Depth Chart: PSU | UCLA
Rosters: PSU | UCLA
(#102) UCLA Info
Power Rating: -3.96 #102
Offense Rating: 13.35 #65
Defense Rating: 21.67 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Talent Rating: 796.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #37
Expected Record: 0.8 - 11.2

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 57%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 55%
Awful Pass Def Success 61%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

UCLA has lost 4 straight
UCLA has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

UCLA Notes
(9/13) Outscored 30-0 in 1st quarter in 1st 3 games
(9/13) NM mauled Bruins Def up front. Run Off sucks
(9/13) 1st team on quit watch. 0-12 very much in play
(9/8) QB2 Clarkson arrested (9/8) serious charges
(8/27) Def lost top 11 tacklers and every DB starter
(8/22) Off will score points, but Def looks really meh
(8/22) New OC Sunseri (IU) a massive upgrade
(8/21) WR Kaedin Robinson ruled ineligible, big blow?
(6/6) WR 3 portals + Gilmer & Atimalala. Stock up
(6/6) DB added 9 portals. Will find CBs with sheer #'s

UCLA Highlights
UCLA defense does not give up big plays (#15)
UCLA defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

UCLA Deficiencies
UCLA has a really bad Offense
UCLA has a really bad Offense at Home
UCLA Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
UCLA Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
UCLA offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UCLA Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UCLA Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
UCLA does not Sack the QB (#122)
UCLA has a bad defense (#134)
UCLA Does Not Stuff Runs (#134)
UCLA has a bad defensive line (#129)
UCLA has a bad red zone defense (#133)


  
Penn State's OC Andy Kotelnicki
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Allar578865%626417.1
Ethan Grunkemeyer81173%105109.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen3427338.067
Nicholas Singleton4117954.416
Trebor Pena (Tr)54609.213
Drew Allar102702.716
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trebor Pena (Tr)13166112.830
Kyron Ware-Hudson14156111.131
Luke Reynolds13142010.922
Devonte Ross (Tr)577115.442

View Penn State's Full Roster
Penn State's DC Jim Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amare Campbell (Tr)223110
Tony Rojas185220
King Mack (Tr)130001
Dominic DeLuca92110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tony Rojas185220
Amare Campbell (Tr)223110
Dejuan Lane92100
Chaz Coleman53131
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dani Dennis-Sutton95142
Chaz Coleman53131
King Mack (Tr)130001

UCLA's OC Tino Sunseri
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)629764%608336.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)3013914.630
Anthony Woods (Tr)2111705.633
Jaivian Thomas (Tr)167404.632
Jalen Berger133602.820
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kwazi Gilmer16174010.921
Mikey Matthews (Tr)10123012.332
Anthony Woods (Tr)109119.119
Titus Mokiao-Atimalala557111.415

View UCLA's Full Roster
UCLA's DC Ikaika Malloe
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)372010
JonJon Vaughns351000
Key Lawrence (Tr)190010
Cole Martin (Tr)170002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kechaun Bennett (Tr)91110
Anthony Jones (Tr)82100
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)372010
A.J. Fuimaono40000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cole Martin (Tr)170002
Kanye Clark70001
Rodrick Pleasant (Tr)70001