Penn State at UCLA Game Matchup
Penn State logo Penn State Nittany Lions at UCLA BruinsUCLA logo
Saturday, October 4th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Rose Bowl - Pasadena, CA  (Big Ten)

 
Nittany Lions (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (99 - 41)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 1.4 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Our Line: Penn State -23.5   (SP+ PSU -25)
Projected Score: PSU: 35 - UCLA: 12 (47)
PSU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
PSU Travel: 2237 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Bruins (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach DeShaun Foster (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 18 - 25 (16 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
Penn State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Penn State vs Nevada-45.50.0
Sat 9/6 Penn State vs Florida International-46.5
Sat 9/13 Penn State vs Villanova-52.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Penn State vs Oregon-4.5
Sat 10/4 Penn State at UCLA-23.5
Sat 10/11 Penn State vs Northwestern-33.5
Sat 10/18 Penn State at Iowa-15
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Penn State at Ohio State+5
Sat 11/8 Penn State vs Indiana-19
Sat 11/15 Penn State at Michigan State-23.5
Sat 11/22 Penn State vs Nebraska-19.5
Sat 11/29 Penn State at Rutgers-20

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
UCLA's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 UCLA vs Utah+3.550.5
Sat 9/6 UCLA at UNLV-5.5
Sat 9/13 UCLA vs New Mexico-21.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 UCLA vs Northwestern-2.5
Sat 10/4 UCLA vs Penn State+23.5
Sat 10/11 UCLA at Michigan State+3
Sat 10/18 UCLA vs Maryland-8
Sat 10/25 UCLA at Indiana+12.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 UCLA vs Nebraska+6.5
Sat 11/15 UCLA at Ohio State+31
Sat 11/22 UCLA vs Washington+3
Sat 11/29 UCLA at USC+10.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)33.152% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)16.539% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3
UCLA#99 (.14)39% (112)18.434% (131)2.47 (132)8743% (56)2423.15 (123)#68 (.16)46% (110)25.345% (83)47% (120)4.45 (123)68.91.41.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense1633.13451.3%4.690.8203851762095.354%46%52%51%10%.32
UCLA Defense1225.324.345.9%4.451.1 - - - - - 43%57%45%47%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1616.51837.9%3.221.3 - - - - - 48%52%39%37%18%.05
UCLA Offense1218.41639%3.151.418329872423.141%59%34%43%17%.14

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1626:5120.448%70%4.441.40.81.35.52.3428.9
UCLA1231:071843%50%8.268.91.41.15.31.8227.8
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1654% (38)52% (9)33.2176.25.331 (17).24 (20)3.42 (10)76% (51)7% (8)0.92 (90)
UCLA Defense1243% (2)45% (83) - - - - .05 (30)2.92 (52)78% (101)10% (68)0.72 (2)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1648% (43)39% (27) - - - - -.01 (12)2.37 (3)75% (75)12% (26)0.92 (42)
UCLA Offense1241% (122)34% (131)2886.93.14 (133)-.05 (129)2.47 (132)70% (87)10% (85)0.94 (84)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1646% (95)51% (4)16.724.3208.88.612.527 (20)9 (48).41 (11)1.5 (107)26% (3)35% (31).46 (20)3% (5)2 (85)
UCLA Defense1257% (132)47% (120) - - - - - - 10 (66).26 (82)1.4 (15)30% (100)33% (106).31 (70)8% (8)2 (53)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1652% (96)37% (25) - - - - - - 15 (18).1 (16)1.7 (91)36% (14)27% (25).2 (29)6% (57)2.1 (95)
UCLA Offense1259% (12)43% (56)21.633.2242.27.311.217 (79)11 (72).26 (62)1.5 (95)36% (126)36% (21).42 (30)7% (99)1.9 (102)

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 30.31 #4
Penn State's Offense Rating: 30.94 #2
Penn State's Defense Rating: 0.63 #8
2025 Talent Rating: 1126.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 45% #14
Penn State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Penn State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.7 #3
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #3
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.9 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 30.31   UCLA: 5.26

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 27.7   UCLA: 2.9




UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 5.26 #59
UCLA's Offense Rating: 15.55 #59
UCLA's Defense Rating: 12.93 #60
2025 Talent Rating: 892.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #37
UCLA's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
UCLA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #51
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18

Penn State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 35
UCLA 12

Projected Total Points: 47
UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 16
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.3

UCLA's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Penn State27UCLA11Penn StatePenn State -30UCLA48.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCLA010 Overs
Penn State101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#4) Penn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 30.31 #4
Offense Rating: 30.94 #2
Defense Rating: 0.63 #8
Overall SP+ Rating: 27.7 #3
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 12.9 #6
Talent Rating: 1126.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 45% #14
Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.69 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 51%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.22 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Penn State Notes
(5/23) CBs Harris & Washington a top duo in CFB
(5/11) OL one of CFB's most exp'd, top of contenders
(4/4) CB AJ Harris a top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Dennis-Sutton/DT Durant top 10 via PFF
(3/18) QB Allar primed for breakout season.
(3/18) WR, are portals Ross/Hudson weapons?
(3/18) RB Allen/Singleton best duo in CFB?
(3/18) OL returns 4/5 starters, a top CFB unit.
(3/18) Def needs replacements, DE Sutton great
(3/18) New DC Knowles hired from Ohio St.
Penn State     Ratings Matchup     UCLA
Power #4
#59
Off #2
#59
Def #8
#60
Talent #2
#20
SP+ #3
#51
SP+ Off #3
#72
SP+ Def #6
#37

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat UCLA last year (27-11)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: PSU | UCLA
Depth Chart: PSU | UCLA
Rosters: PSU | UCLA
(#59) UCLA Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.26 #59
Offense Rating: 15.55 #59
Defense Rating: 12.93 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #37
Talent Rating: 892.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 10 #37
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.15 PPO
Awful Run Success 34%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


UCLA Notes
(5/23) New OC Sunseri (IU) good hire, Bieniemy fired
(5/21) WR 3 portal adds, have exp, talent. Decent
(5/21) DT looks bad, DE added 3 but pass rush ?
(5/21) DB added 9 portals. Pass Def awful LY
(5/21) Def big step back under DC Ikaika Malloe LY
(5/21) Wk 2 UNLV game a must win for morale
(5/21) QB Nico (Tenn) in, Aguilar (QB1 in spring) gone
(5/21) RB rebuild. Thomas (Cal) best add, Berger health?
(5/21) OL 2/5 back. 4 portals, biggest ? on roster


  
Penn State's OC Andy Kotelnicki
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Allar26239467%33272488.4
Ethan Grunkemeyer1250%9014.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen220110885.032
Nicholas Singleton1721099126.458
Drew Allar9630263.122
Corey Smith2215206.978
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devonte Ross (Tr)7610441113.798
Trebor Pena (Tr)84941911.250
Kyron Ware-Hudson38462312.239
Nicholas Singleton4137559.127

View Penn State's Full Roster
Penn State's DC Jim Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zakee Wheatley863104
Amare Campbell (Tr)699632
Tony Rojas567254
Zane Durant4210341
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dani Dennis-Sutton4013993
Amare Campbell (Tr)699632
Zane Durant4210341
Tony Rojas567254
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elliot Washington II251006
A.J. Harris413005
Zakee Wheatley863104

UCLA's OC Tino Sunseri
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)21333464%26161957.8
Pierce Clarkson (Tr)3475%11002.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaivian Thomas (Tr)10062676.375
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)10936433.331
Jalen Berger4817803.718
Anthony Frias II154703.18
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaedin Robinson (Tr)53840215.850
Kwazi Gilmer31345211.148
Titus Mokiao-Atimalala28294110.528
Mikey Matthews (Tr)3429218.646

View UCLA's Full Roster
UCLA's DC Ikaika Malloe
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)755020
Bryan Addison431005
Ramon Henderson331124
Benjamin Perry (Tr)283111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Jones (Tr)254250
Devin Aupiu155211
Luke Schuermann82100
Ramon Henderson331124
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bryan Addison431005
Ramon Henderson331124
Andre Jordan272004