Penn State at Arkansas - 2021 Matchup Preview
Penn State logo   Penn State Nittany Lions vs Arkansas Razorbacks  Arkansas logo
Saturday, January 1st 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
Arkansas -3.5 (51.0) (115)  Open: -3.0 | 46.0
Arkansas 24 - Penn State: 10  (Outback Bowl)

 
Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (63 - 28)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (29 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Razorbacks (9 - 4) (8 - 4 - 1)
Coach Sam Pittman (6 - 7)
Avg Score : 33 - 34 (31 - 35 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Penn State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Penn State at Wisconsin+5.548.5W 16 - 10UY
Sat 9/11 Penn State vs Ball State-23.058.0W 44 - 13UY
Sat 9/18 Penn State vs Auburn-4.053.0W 28 - 20UY
Sat 9/25 Penn State vs Villanova-29.553.0W 38 - 17ON
Sat 10/2 Penn State vs Indiana-12.054.5W 24 - 0UY
Sat 10/9 Penn State at Iowa+2.541.0L 20 - 23ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Penn State vs Illinois-24.546.0L 18 - 20UN
Sat 10/30 Penn State at Ohio State+18.560.5L 24 - 33UY
Sat 11/6 Penn State at Maryland-10.056.5W 31 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 Penn State vs Michigan+2.548.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 11/20 Penn State vs Rutgers-14.044.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/27 Penn State at Michigan State-3.551.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 1/1 Penn State vs Arkansas+3.551.0L 10 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Arkansas's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Arkansas vs Rice-19.550.0W 38 - 17OY
Sat 9/11 Arkansas vs Texas+6.057.5W 40 - 21OY
Sat 9/18 Arkansas vs Georgia Southern-23.053.5W 45 - 10OY
Sat 9/25 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+4.547.0W 20 - 10UY
Sat 10/2 Arkansas at Georgia+16.548.0L 0 - 37UN
Sat 10/9 Arkansas at Ole Miss+5.067.0L 51 - 52OY
Sat 10/16 Arkansas vs Auburn-4.554.0L 23 - 38ON
Sat 10/23 Arkansas vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff-50.559.5W 45 - 3UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-4.054.0W 31 - 28ON
Sat 11/13 Arkansas at LSU-3.059.5W 16 - 13UN
Sat 11/20 Arkansas at Alabama+20.558.5L 35 - 42OY
Fri 11/26 Arkansas vs Missouri-14.563.0W 34 - 17UY
Sat 1/1 Arkansas vs Penn State-3.551.0W 24 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arkansas's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU.1844%3142%2.9417445%2553.47.1240%20.540%39%3.5437.21.91
ARK.2344%32.943%2.9715147%2393.84.1646%33.847%45%3.7345.71.31.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARK0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense93128.643.7%3.471.9254301742553.953%47%42%45%14%.18
ARK Defense1033.83545.8%3.731.8 - - - - - 50%50%47%45%14%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense920.530.239.6%3.541 - - - - - 51%49%40%39%17%.12
ARK Offense1032.930.544.5%3.841.3213901512393.852%48%43%47%15%.23

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State933:3824.842%50%4.337.21.916.62.3128.4
Arkansas1025:1720.633%64%6.445.71.31.851.4324.2
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense953%42%44.7174.33.915.062.9464%9%0.87
ARK Defense1050%47% - - - - .133.1475%8%0.91
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense951%40% - - - - .052.5671%12%1.01
ARK Offense1052%43%39.4151.33.811.092.9770%11%0.81

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense947%45%20.434255.37.512.5179.31.629%41%.365%1.8
ARK Defense1050%45% - - - - - - 13.191.528%39%.456%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense949%39% - - - - - - 4.21.533%26%.216%2.1
ARK Offense1048%47%18.228.3238.68.413.1206.391.629%29%.275%2

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3  #19
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0  #72
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6  #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State:    Arkansas: 6.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 14.3   Arkansas: 13.8




Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 6.9 NR
Arkansas's Offense Rating: NR
Arkansas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arkansas's 2021 Expected Record: -
Arkansas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8  #22
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3  #31
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.3  #27

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Penn State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 32
Arkansas 29

Projected Total Points: 61
Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 32.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 35

Arkansas's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202101/01Arkansas24Penn State10Arkansas -3.5Arkansas51.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas110 Overs
Penn State001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

Penn State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2021Outback Bowl Penn State vs Arkansas+3.551.0L 10 - 24
2019Cotton Bowl Penn State vs Memphis-7.059.5W 53 - 39
2018Citrus Bowl Penn State vs Kentucky-4.547.5L 24 - 27
2017N/A Penn State vs Washington-3.055.0W 35 - 28
2016Rose Bowl Penn State vs USC+6.560.0L 49 - 52
2015Taxslayer Bowl Penn State vs Georgia+7.0L 17 - 24
Arkansas Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2021Outback Bowl Arkansas vs Penn State-3.551.0W 24 - 10
2016N/A Arkansas vs Virginia Tech+6.061.0L 24 - 35
2015Liberty Bowl Arkansas vs Kansas State-13.0W 45 - 23
  
(#) PSU at (#) ARK
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPSUARK
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #19 #22
Perf GradeGrade #71 #44
OffenseOff #88 #38
DefenseDef #57 #77
Spec TeamsST #11 #54
TalentTal #16 #28
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCat
PSU OffARK Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #88 #77
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #72 #27
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffARK Def
Run GameRun #125 #73
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #67 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #45
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffARK Def
Pass GamePass #85 #68
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #67 #62
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arkansas on Offense
CategoryCatARK OffPSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #38 #57
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #31 #6
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arkansas Run Game
CategoryCat
ARK OffPSU Def
Run GameRun #34 #96
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #26 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #63
Arkansas Pass Game
CategoryCatARK OffPSU Def
Pass GamePass #65 #5
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #36 #79
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARK 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Raymond James Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Arkansas -3.5 (51.0)
Arkansas won vs Penn State this year (24-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Anthony Poindexter / Brent Pry (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARK's OC Kendal Briles (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arkansas's Full Roster

ARK's DC Barry Odom (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD