Ohio State at Penn State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Ohio State Buckeyes at Penn State Nittany Lions

Saturday, November 2nd 2024 (12:00 PM EDT)
Ohio State -3 (47.5) (-162) Open: -4.0
Ohio State 20 - Penn State: 13 (Big Ten)

Buckeyes (14 - 2) (10 - 6 - 0)
Coach Ryan Day (56 - 8)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (31 - 8 on Road)
Record Prediction: 14 - 2 (#1)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Ohio State -4.5 (SP+ OSU -6.5)
Projected Score: OSU: 26 - PSU: 21 (47)
OSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
OSU Travel: 277 miles

Nittany Lions (13 - 3) (8 - 8 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (88 - 39)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13 - 3 (#3)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OSU Players
PSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Ohio State vs Akron	-50.5	58.5	W 52 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/7	Ohio State vs Western Michigan	-37.5	54.5	W 56 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Ohio State vs Marshall	-40.0	57.0	W 49 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/28	Ohio State at Michigan State	-23.5	48.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Ohio State vs Iowa	-17.0	46.0	W 35 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Ohio State at Oregon	-3.5	54.5	L 31 - 32	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Ohio State vs Nebraska	-25.0	48.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/2	Ohio State at Penn State	-3.0	47.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Ohio State vs Purdue	-37.5	55.5	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Ohio State vs Northwestern	-28.0	43.5	W 31 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/23	Ohio State vs Indiana	-10.5	52.5	W 38 - 15	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Ohio State vs Michigan	-20.5	41.5	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 12/21	Ohio State vs Tennessee	-7.5	47.0	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Wed 1/1	Ohio State vs Oregon	-2.5	55.5	W 41 - 21	O	Y
Fri 1/10	Ohio State vs Texas	-6.5	51.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Mon 1/20	Ohio State vs Notre Dame	-8.5	45.5	W 34 - 23	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule

Penn State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Penn State at West Virginia	-7.5	48.0	W 34 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Penn State vs Bowling Green	-35.5	51.5	W 34 - 27	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Penn State vs Kent State	-49.0	58.0	W 56 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Penn State vs Illinois	-19.5	48.0	W 21 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/5	Penn State vs UCLA	-30.0	48.0	W 27 - 11	U	N
Sat 10/12	Penn State at USC	-3.5	51.5	W 33 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Penn State at Wisconsin	-6.5	47.0	W 28 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/2	Penn State vs Ohio State	+3.0	47.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 11/9	Penn State vs Washington	-13.5	48.0	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/16	Penn State at Purdue	-30.0	51.5	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Penn State at Minnesota	-11.0	45.0	W 26 - 25	O	N
Sat 11/30	Penn State vs Maryland	-26.5	50.5	W 44 - 7	O	Y
Sat 12/7	Penn State vs Oregon	+3.5	51.5	L 37 - 45	O	N
Sat 12/21	Penn State vs SMU	-9.0	52.5	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Tue 12/31	Penn State vs Boise State	-11.5	54.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Thu 1/9	Penn State vs Notre Dame	-1.5	45.5	L 24 - 27	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	#14 (.31)	47% (22)	33.4	45% (49)	3.18 (57)	139	49% (12)	269	4.21 (36)	#5 (.03)	36% (11)	9.3	35% (12)	37% (17)	2.69 (5)	44.5	1	0.8
PSU	#40 (.25)	46% (25)	31	49% (17)	3.38 (14)	185	43% (53)	215	4.96 (5)	#8 (.04)	33% (3)	20.5	31% (3)	36% (10)	3.09 (15)	43.3	0.6	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Offense	13	33.4	30.6	46.6%	4.21	1	21	408	139	269	4.2	48%	51%	45%	49%	14%	.31
PSU Defense	13	20.5	15.1	33.1%	3.09	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	31%	36%	23%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Defense	13	9.3	8.2	35.8%	2.69	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	35%	37%	15%	.03
PSU Offense	13	31	34	46.3%	4.96	0.6	23	400	185	215	4.7	50%	49%	49%	43%	11%	.25

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio State	13	29:25	20.9	43%	56%	5.7	44.5	1	0.8	4.8	1.7	3	28.8
Penn State	13	32:30	22.5	41%	77%	5	43.3	0.6	1.8	7.8	3.8	3	33.8

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Offense	13	48% (83)	45% (49)	33.2	138.8	4.2	20 (61)	.15 (72)	3.18 (57)	78% (34)	7% (14)	0.84 (126)
PSU Defense	13	49% (52)	31% (3)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (7)	2.23 (2)	76% (89)	18% (1)	0.96 (46)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Defense	13	51% (85)	35% (12)	-	-	-	-	.04 (18)	3.02 (52)	58% (7)	9% (103)	0.98 (56)
PSU Offense	13	50% (65)	49% (17)	39.6	184.8	4.7	26 (30)	.19 (46)	3.38 (14)	73% (77)	7% (8)	0.85 (123)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Offense	13	51% (49)	49% (12)	19.6	30.8	269.1	8.8	13.7	26 (31)	7 (21)	.5 (10)	1.7 (44)	28% (12)	34% (33)	.48 (23)	7% (95)	2 (99)
PSU Defense	13	50% (77)	36% (10)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.2 (25)	1.7 (94)	39% (2)	26% (19)	.21 (21)	6% (86)	2.1 (74)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Defense	13	49% (62)	37% (17)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (111)	.04 (1)	1.4 (2)	33% (51)	26% (21)	.15 (6)	7% (47)	1.8 (13)
PSU Offense	13	49% (63)	43% (53)	18.9	31.7	215	6.8	11.4	30 (16)	2 (1)	.3 (62)	1.5 (115)	27% (9)	35% (23)	.38 (50)	4% (7)	1.7 (129)

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 32.14 #1
Ohio State's Offense Rating: 29.14 #5
Ohio State's Defense Rating: -3.55 #1
2024 Talent Rating: 656.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 75% #2
Ohio State's 2024 Expected Record: 14.0 - 2.0
Ohio State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.2 #1
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5 #3
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.2 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 32.14 Penn State: 26.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 31.2 Penn State: 24.6

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 26.93 #6
Penn State's Offense Rating: 29.70 #2
Penn State's Defense Rating: 1.50 #7
2024 Talent Rating: 530.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 42 #15
Penn State's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 3.0
Penn State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.6 #5
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5 #9
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 8.2

Ohio State's 2024 Record
Record: 14 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 9
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 26
Penn State 21

Projected Total Points: 47

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 9
Record at home: 7 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Ohio State	38	Penn State	14	Ohio State -17.5	Ohio State	45.5	Over
2024	11/02	Penn State	13	Ohio State	20	Ohio State -3	Ohio State	47.5	Under
2023	10/21	Ohio State	20	Penn State	12	Ohio State -4.0	Ohio State	47.0	Under
2022	10/29	Penn State	31	Ohio State	44	Ohio State -15.5	Penn State	60.5	Over
2021	10/30	Ohio State	33	Penn State	24	Ohio State -18.5	Penn State	60.5	Under
2020	10/31	Penn State	25	Ohio State	38	Ohio State -13.0	NA	0
2019	11/23	Ohio State	28	Penn State	17	Ohio State -20.0	Penn State	59.0	Under
2018	09/29	Penn State	26	Ohio State	27	Ohio State -3	Penn State	68.5	Under
2017	10/28	Ohio State	39	Penn State	38	Ohio State -7	Penn State	57.5	Over
2016	10/22	Penn State	24	Ohio State	21	Ohio State -20	Penn State	55.0	Under
2015	10/17	Ohio State	38	Penn State	10	Ohio State -17.5	Ohio State	49.0	Under
2014	10/25	Penn State	24	Ohio State	31	Ohio State -11.5	Penn State	0
2013	10/26	Ohio State	63	Penn State	14	Ohio State -14	Ohio State	0
2012	10/27	Penn State	23	Ohio State	35
2011	11/19	Ohio State	14	Penn State	20
2010	11/13	Ohio State	38	Penn State	14
2009	11/07	Penn State	7	Ohio State	24
2008	10/25	Ohio State	6	Penn State	13
2007	10/27	Penn State	17	Ohio State	37
2006	09/23	Ohio State	28	Penn State	6
2005	10/08	Penn State	17	Ohio State	10
2004	10/30	Ohio State	21	Penn State	10
2003	11/01	Penn State	20	Ohio State	21
2002	10/26	Ohio State	13	Penn State	7
2001	10/27	Penn State	29	Ohio State	27
2000	09/22	Ohio State	45	Penn State	6

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Penn State	5	7	3 Overs
Ohio State	21	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 11	8 - 4	4 - 3	4 - 1
Road Teams	11 - 15	4 - 8	1 - 4	3 - 4

(#1) OSU at (#6) PSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OSU	PSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#1	#6
SP+SP+	#1	#5
Perf GradeGrade	#2	#12
OffenseOff	#5	#15
DefenseDef	#2	#16
Spec TeamsST	#11	#62
TalentTal	#3	#11
Blue ChipsBC%	#2	#15

Ohio State Notes(12/17) QB's Noland (Fr) & Brown (Jr) left via portal
(12/1) Off awful, Rgame abysmal, Howard 2 Int in UM L
(12/1) 20 mil roster, still can't beat U. Coaching fail
(11/24) Mauled IU, D held to 153 yds. Off was OK
(11/19) Starting C McLaughlin out for season (ACL)
(11/18) Flat start vs NW, Howard OK, Rgame just OK
(11/3) OL was great considering injuries. Rgame beat PSU
(11/2) Def owned Penn St. Howard tough, Rgame alive
(10/26) Backup LT went down in Nebraska game
(10/22) Starting LT Simmons out for season
(10/12) Def torched by Oregon. Judkins/Downs vanished
(10/6) B2B drubbings (MSU/Iowa). Top #s, Rzone esp
Ohio State Injury Report

Penn State Injury Report

Ohio State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	OSU Off	PSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#5	#16
SuccessSuc	#22	#3
ExplosiveExp	#78	#101
PPAPPA	#14	#8
PowerPwr	#5	#7
SP+SP+	#3	#4
Pts POPPO	#36	#15
HavocHav	#29	#2

Ohio State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	OSU Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	#19	#27
Run SuccessRSuc	#49	#3
Run ExplRExp	#126	#46
PPAExp	#72	#7
Run BlockR Blk	#29	-
OL YdsOLY	#57	#2
Stuff RateStuff	#52	#3
TackleTak	-	#81

Ohio State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	OSU Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	#18	#21
Pass SuccessPSuc	#12	#10
Pass ExplPExl	#44	#94
PPAExp	#10	#25
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#97	#10
F7 HavocF7	#14	#1
DB HavocDB	#95	#86

Penn State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	PSU Off	OSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#15	#2
SuccessSuc	#25	#11
ExplosiveExp	#124	#11
PPAPPA	#40	#5
PowerPwr	#2	#1
SP+SP+	#9	#1
Pts POPPO	#5	#5
HavocHav	#4	#85

Penn State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	PSU Off	OSU Def
Run GameRun	#21	#3
Run SuccessRSuc	#17	#12
Run ExplRExp	#123	#56
PPAExp	#46	#18
Run BlockR Blk	#57	-
OL YdsOLY	#14	#52
Stuff RateStuff	#2	#86
TackleTak	-	#12

Penn State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	PSU Off	OSU Def
Pass GamePass	#6	#7
Pass SuccessPSuc	#53	#17
Pass ExplPExl	#115	#2
PPAExp	#62	#1
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#89	#18
F7 HavocF7	#8	#103
DB HavocDB	#7	#47

Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'24 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'24 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 10
Ohio State 3.0 (47.5)
Ohio State won at Penn State this year (20-13)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Penn State last year (38-14)
Ohio State beat Penn State in 2024 (20-13)
Ohio State beat Penn State in 2023 (20-12)

OSU's OC Chip Kelly (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Will Howard (Tr)	309	423	73%	4010	35	10	9.5
Devin Brown	11	20	55%	114	1	0	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Quinshon Judkins (Tr)	194	1060	14	5.5	86
TreVeyon Henderson	144	1016	10	7.1	66
Will Howard (Tr)	105	226	7	2.2	19
James Peoples	49	197	2	4.0	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeremiah Smith	76	1315	15	17.3	70
Emeka Egbuka	81	1011	10	12.5	68
Carnell Tate	52	733	4	14.1	40
TreVeyon Henderson	27	284	1	10.5	75

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Jim Knowles (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cody Simon	112	13	7	0	7
Sonny Styles	100	11	6	0	5
Caleb Downs (Tr)	81	8	1	1	6
Lathan Ransom	75	9	1	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J.T. Tuimoloau	61	22	13	5	3
Jack Sawyer	59	9	9	8	6
Cody Simon	112	13	7	0	7
Sonny Styles	100	11	6	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Davison Igbinosun	45	2	0	0	9
Jordan Hancock	48	2	1	1	8
Cody Simon	112	13	7	0	7

PSU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drew Allar	262	394	67%	3327	24	8	8.4
Beau Pribula	26	35	74%	275	5	1	7.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaytron Allen	220	1108	8	5.0	32
Nicholas Singleton	172	1099	12	6.4	58
Drew Allar	96	302	6	3.1	22
Beau Pribula	38	242	4	6.4	49

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tyler Warren	104	1233	8	11.9	38
Harrison Wallace III	47	732	4	15.6	50
Omari Evans	20	403	5	20.2	59
Nicholas Singleton	41	375	5	9.1	27

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Tom Allen (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaylen Reed	95	7	3	1	2
Kobe King	87	8	3	1	1
Zakee Wheatley	86	3	1	0	4
Abdul Carter	62	24	12	9	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Abdul Carter	62	24	12	9	4
Dani Dennis-Sutton	40	13	9	9	3
Amin Vanover	21	5	4	3	1
Jaylen Reed	95	7	3	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Elliot Washington II	25	1	0	6
Cam Miller	23	3	2	5
A.J. Harris (Tr)	41	3	0	5