Penn State at Iowa Game Matchup
Penn State logo Penn State Nittany Lions at Iowa HawkeyesIowa logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Kinnick Stadium - Iowa City, IA  (Big Ten)

 
Nittany Lions (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (99 - 41)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 18 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.6 - 1.4 (#4)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
PSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Penn State -15   (SP+ PSU -16.5)
Projected Score: PSU: 32 - IOWA: 17 (48)
PSU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
PSU Travel: 713 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Hawkeyes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (204 - 123)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (33 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#60)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 7) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Penn State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Penn State vs Nevada-45.50.0
Sat 9/6 Penn State vs Florida International-46.5
Sat 9/13 Penn State vs Villanova-52.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Penn State vs Oregon-4.5
Sat 10/4 Penn State at UCLA-23.5
Sat 10/11 Penn State vs Northwestern-33.5
Sat 10/18 Penn State at Iowa-15
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Penn State at Ohio State+5
Sat 11/8 Penn State vs Indiana-19
Sat 11/15 Penn State at Michigan State-23.5
Sat 11/22 Penn State vs Nebraska-19.5
Sat 11/29 Penn State at Rutgers-20

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Iowa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Iowa vs UAlbany-35
Sat 9/6 Iowa at Iowa State+2
Sat 9/13 Iowa vs Massachusetts-36.5
Sat 9/20 Iowa at Rutgers-2.5
Sat 9/27 Iowa vs Indiana-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Iowa at Wisconsin-1.5
Sat 10/18 Iowa vs Penn State+15
Sat 10/25 Iowa vs Minnesota-4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Iowa vs Oregon+13
Sat 11/15 Iowa at USC+2
Sat 11/22 Iowa vs Michigan State-11
Fri 11/28 Iowa at Nebraska+3

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 7, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 7, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)33.152% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)16.539% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)27.744% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)17.846% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
IOWA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Offense1633.13451.3%4.690.8203851762095.354%46%52%51%10%.32
IOWA Defense1317.81342%3.371.8 - - - - - 46%54%46%39%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PSU Defense1616.51837.9%3.221.3 - - - - - 48%52%39%37%18%.05
IOWA Offense1327.733.142.3%3.770.8153061851215.262%37%44%40%13%.14

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Penn State1626:5120.448%70%4.441.40.81.35.52.3428.9
Iowa1327:0515.441%50%2.826.30.81.84.52.1233.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Offense1654% (38)52% (9)33.2176.25.331 (17).24 (20)3.42 (10)76% (51)7% (8)0.92 (90)
IOWA Defense1346% (17)46% (97) - - - - .07 (38)3.07 (84)84% (126)10% (68)0.68 (1)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PSU Defense1648% (43)39% (27) - - - - -.01 (12)2.37 (3)75% (75)12% (26)0.92 (42)
IOWA Offense1362% (7)44% (63)35.51855.229 (18).13 (71)2.92 (89)62% (120)10% (76)1.02 (47)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Offense1646% (95)51% (4)16.724.3208.88.612.527 (20)9 (48).41 (11)1.5 (107)26% (3)35% (31).46 (20)3% (5)2 (85)
IOWA Defense1354% (118)39% (51) - - - - - - 16 (10).18 (39)1.5 (36)32% (76)28% (36).24 (39)7% (27)1.8 (7)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PSU Defense1652% (96)37% (25) - - - - - - 15 (18).1 (16)1.7 (91)36% (14)27% (25).2 (29)6% (57)2.1 (95)
IOWA Offense1337% (129)40% (94)11.518.6121.56.510.69 (128)7 (26).21 (93)1.5 (93)26% (4)28% (99).2 (108)3% (7)2 (72)

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 30.31 #4
Penn State's Offense Rating: 30.94 #2
Penn State's Defense Rating: 0.63 #8
2025 Talent Rating: 1126.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 45% #14
Penn State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4
Penn State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 27.7 #3
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #3
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 12.9 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 30.31   Iowa: 13.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 27.7   Iowa: 11.4




Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 13.93 #31
Iowa's Offense Rating: 18.30 #44
Iowa's Defense Rating: 6.84 #25
2025 Talent Rating: 832.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #34
Iowa's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Iowa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #28
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 34
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 18

Penn State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 32
Iowa 17

Projected Total Points: 48
Iowa Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Iowa's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Penn State31Iowa0Penn StatePenn State -14Penn State38.5Under
202110/09Iowa23Penn State20IowaIowa -2.5Iowa41.0Over
202011/21Penn State21Iowa41IowaIowa -1.0Iowa45.5Over
201910/12Iowa12Penn State17Penn StatePenn State -3.5Penn State43.5Under
201810/27Penn State30Iowa24Penn StatePenn State -5.5Penn State52.0Over
201709/23Iowa19Penn State21Penn StatePenn State -13Iowa53.0Under
201611/05Penn State41Iowa14Penn StatePenn State -6.5Penn State52.0Over
201210/20Iowa14Penn State38Penn State
201110/08Penn State13Iowa3Penn State
201010/02Iowa24Penn State3Iowa
200909/26Penn State10Iowa21Iowa
200811/08Iowa24Penn State23Iowa
200710/06Penn State27Iowa7Penn State
200410/23Penn State4Iowa6Iowa
200310/25Iowa26Penn State14Iowa
200209/28Penn State35Iowa42Iowa
200109/29Iowa24Penn State18Iowa
200011/03Penn State23Iowa26Iowa
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa1034 Overs
Penn State843 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 85 - 24 - 01 - 2
Road Teams8 - 102 - 52 - 10 - 4

(#4) Penn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 30.31 #4
Offense Rating: 30.94 #2
Defense Rating: 0.63 #8
Overall SP+ Rating: 27.7 #3
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #3
Defense SP+ Rating: 12.9 #6
Talent Rating: 1126.00 #2
Blue Chip Ratio: 45% #14
Expected Record: 10.6 - 1.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.69 PPO
Great Run Success 52%
Great Pass Success 51%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Great in Scoring Position 3.22 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Penn State Notes
(5/23) CBs Harris & Washington a top duo in CFB
(5/11) OL one of CFB's most exp'd, top of contenders
(4/4) CB AJ Harris a top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Dennis-Sutton/DT Durant top 10 via PFF
(3/18) QB Allar primed for breakout season.
(3/18) WR, are portals Ross/Hudson weapons?
(3/18) RB Allen/Singleton best duo in CFB?
(3/18) OL returns 4/5 starters, a top CFB unit.
(3/18) Def needs replacements, DE Sutton great
(3/18) New DC Knowles hired from Ohio St.
Penn State     Ratings Matchup     Iowa
Power #4
#31
Off #2
#44
Def #8
#25
Talent #2
#36
SP+ #3
#28
SP+ Off #3
#68
SP+ Def #6
#10

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Iowa in 2023 (31-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: PSU | IOWA
Depth Chart: PSU | IOWA
Rosters: PSU | IOWA
(#31) Iowa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.93 #31
Offense Rating: 18.30 #44
Defense Rating: 6.84 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #10
Talent Rating: 832.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #34
Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 3.37 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Iowa Notes
(5/21) WRs bad LY, only 1 portal add (FCS)? No obv TE
(5/21) LB a big ? this year. Not one has 100 snaps
(5/2) DT Graves/ S Nwankpa both top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OL 3/5 back. Good not great LY, have options
(4/4) OL G L Jones/T G Dunker top 10 via PFF
(3/31) QB Gronowski (SDSU) big add. Surgery ?'s
(3/31) TE Ostrenga was hurt LY, but staff high, jump TY?
(3/19) RB replacing Johnson (1.5k), who's next?
(3/19) Def always good, but new LB's needed
(3/19) Talent #'s higher than exp. Ferentz HOF HC


  
Penn State's OC Andy Kotelnicki
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Allar26239467%33272488.4
Ethan Grunkemeyer1250%9014.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen220110885.032
Nicholas Singleton1721099126.458
Drew Allar9630263.122
Corey Smith2215206.978
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Devonte Ross (Tr)7610441113.798
Trebor Pena (Tr)84941911.250
Kyron Ware-Hudson38462312.239
Nicholas Singleton4137559.127

View Penn State's Full Roster
Penn State's DC Jim Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zakee Wheatley863104
Amare Campbell (Tr)699632
Tony Rojas567254
Zane Durant4210341
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dani Dennis-Sutton4013993
Amare Campbell (Tr)699632
Zane Durant4210341
Tony Rojas567254
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elliot Washington II251006
A.J. Harris413005
Zakee Wheatley863104

Iowa's OC Tim Lester
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mark Gronowski (Tr)19432260%25702178.0
Hank Brown (Tr)274363%403639.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamari Moulton8447335.668
Mark Gronowski (Tr)9337684.020
Jaziun Patterson6330924.939
Terrell Washington Jr.123402.89
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Gill35411211.759
Reece Vander Zee14176312.619
Zach Ortwerth11133012.152
Addison Ostrenga1511417.629

View Iowa's Full Roster
Iowa's DC Phil Parker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett5612720
Deshaun Lee421004
Xavier Nwankpa410001
Jonah Pace (Tr)3411462
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett5612720
Aaron Graves338623
Max Llewellyn228673
Jonah Pace (Tr)3411462
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshaun Lee421004
Aaron Graves338623
Max Llewellyn228673