Kentucky at Penn State - 2018 Matchup Preview

Kentucky Wildcats vs Penn State Nittany Lions

Tuesday, January 1st 2019 (1:00 PM EST)
Penn State -4.5 (47.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Kentucky 27 - Penn State: 24 (VRBO CITRUS BOWL)

Wildcats (10 - 3) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (11 - 32 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -3 (SP+ PSU -6)
Projected Score: UK: 18 - PSU: 31 (49)
PSU Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
UK Travel: 679 miles

Nittany Lions (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
UK Players
PSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kentucky's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Kentucky vs Central Michigan	-17.5	49.0	W 35 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/8	Kentucky at Florida	+13.5	52.5	W 27 - 16	U	Y
Sat 9/15	Kentucky vs Murray State	-41.0	56.5	W 48 - 10	O	N
Sat 9/22	Kentucky vs Mississippi State	+9.5	56.0	W 28 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/29	Kentucky vs South Carolina	+1.0	52.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/6	Kentucky at Texas A&M	+5.0	48.5	L 14 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/20	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-10.5	45.0	W 14 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/27	Kentucky at Missouri	+7.5	54.5	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/3	Kentucky vs Georgia	+9.5	47.5	L 17 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/10	Kentucky at Tennessee	-5.0	43.0	L 7 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/17	Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	-16.5	48.5	W 34 - 23	O	N
Sat 11/24	Kentucky at Louisville	-17.0	53.0	W 56 - 10	O	Y
Tue 1/1	Kentucky vs Penn State	+4.5	47.5	W 27 - 24	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Penn State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Penn State vs App State	-24.0	54.0	W 45 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/8	Penn State at Pittsburgh	-7.5	51.0	W 51 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/15	Penn State vs Kent State	-35.0	64.5	W 63 - 10	O	Y
Fri 9/21	Penn State at Illinois	-26.5	61.0	W 63 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Penn State vs Ohio State	+3.0	68.5	L 26 - 27	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Penn State vs Michigan State	-13.5	53.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/20	Penn State at Indiana	-14.0	56.5	W 33 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/27	Penn State vs Iowa	-5.5	52.0	W 30 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/3	Penn State at Michigan	+13.5	48.0	L 7 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/10	Penn State vs Wisconsin	-7.5	52.0	W 22 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/17	Penn State at Rutgers	-28.5	52.5	W 20 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/24	Penn State vs Maryland	-12.0	51.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Tue 1/1	Penn State vs Kentucky	-4.5	47.5	L 24 - 27	O	N

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	.18	44%	23	42%	2.92	162	42%	188	3.51	.21	47%	26.4	48%	45%	3.29	48.2	1.2	1.2
PSU	.26	47%	31	45%	2.51	170	48%	290	4.01	.05	36%	20.5	35%	35%	2.45	37.7	1	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Offense	13	23	10.8	43.6%	3.51	1.2	19	350	162	188	4.3	54%	43%	42%	42%	17%	.18
PSU Defense	13	20.5	15.1	35.8%	2.45	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	43%	56%	35%	35%	19%	.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Defense	13	26.4	31.8	47.5%	3.29	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	48%	45%	14%	.21
PSU Offense	13	31	34	46.9%	4.01	1	23	460	170	290	4.9	44%	55%	45%	48%	15%	.26

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kentucky	13	30:20	18.6	39%	60%	5.5	48.2	1.2	1.2	4.8	2.3	0	32.7
Penn State	13	30:20	22.8	48%	57%	4.2	37.7	1	1.9	7.2	3.2	3	36.5

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Offense	13	54%	42%	37.5	161.7	4.3	27	.14	2.92	65%	11%	1.12
PSU Defense	13	43%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.01	2.6	62%	12%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Defense	13	48%	48%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.29	74%	9%	0.94
PSU Offense	13	44%	45%	34.7	170.2	4.9	36	.17	2.51	60%	10%	1.16

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Offense	13	43%	42%	15.1	25.4	188.2	7.4	12.5	10	7	.23	1.5	30%	33%	.41	6%	2
PSU Defense	13	56%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.11	1.5	37%	26%	.16	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Defense	13	50%	45%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.26	1.4	31%	35%	.26	6%	1.5
PSU Offense	13	55%	48%	23.2	35.2	290.2	8.2	12.5	32	10	.35	1.6	31%	42%	.64	5%	2.2

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kentucky's 2018 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1 #25
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #63
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: Penn State: 9.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 13.1 Penn State: 19.0

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 9.5 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0 #15
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #35
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.8
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Kentucky's 2018 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 31
Kentucky 18

Projected Total Points: 49

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2018	01/01	Penn State	24	Kentucky	27	Penn State -4.5	Kentucky	47.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Penn State	0	0	1 Overs
Kentucky	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

Kentucky Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2018	Citrus Bowl	Kentucky vs Penn State	+4.5	47.5	W 27 - 24
2017	N/A	Kentucky vs Northwestern	+7.5	50.5	L 23 - 24
2016	N/A	Kentucky vs Georgia Tech	+5.0	61.0	L 18 - 33

Penn State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2018	Citrus Bowl	Penn State vs Kentucky	-4.5	47.5	L 24 - 27
2017	N/A	Penn State vs Washington	-3.0	55.0	W 35 - 28
2016	Rose Bowl	Penn State vs USC	+6.5	60.0	L 49 - 52
2015	Taxslayer Bowl	Penn State vs Georgia	+7.0		L 17 - 24
2014	Pinstripe Bowl	Penn State vs Boston College	+3.0	41.0	W 31 - 30

(#) UK at (#) PSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UK	PSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#15
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#32	#12
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Kentucky Injury Report

Penn State Injury Report

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	PSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#63	#11
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Penn State on Offense


CategoryCat	PSU Off	UK Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#15
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Penn State Run Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Penn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camping World Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Penn State -4.5 (47.5)
Kentucky won at Penn State this year (27-24)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

UK's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

PSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD