Penn State at Ohio State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Penn State Nittany Lions at Ohio State Buckeyes

Saturday, October 30th 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Ohio State -18.5 (60.5)
Ohio State 33 - Penn State: 24 (Big Ten)

Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (63 - 28)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (29 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -10 (SP+ OSU -15)
Projected Score: PSU: 19 - OSU: 31 (50)
OSU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
PSU Travel: 277 miles

Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Ryan Day (25 - 3)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (42 - 7 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
PSU Players
OSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Penn State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Penn State at Wisconsin	+5.5	48.5	W 16 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Penn State vs Ball State	-23.0	58.0	W 44 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Penn State vs Auburn	-4.0	53.0	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Penn State vs Villanova	-29.5	53.0	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 10/2	Penn State vs Indiana	-12.0	54.5	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Penn State at Iowa	+2.5	41.0	L 20 - 23	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Penn State vs Illinois	-24.5	46.0	L 18 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/30	Penn State at Ohio State	+18.5	60.5	L 24 - 33	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Penn State at Maryland	-10.0	56.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Penn State vs Michigan	+2.5	48.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/20	Penn State vs Rutgers	-14.0	44.5	W 28 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Penn State at Michigan State	-3.5	51.5	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 1/1	Penn State vs Arkansas	+3.5	51.0	L 10 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Ohio State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Ohio State at Minnesota	-14.0	62.0	W 45 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/11	Ohio State vs Oregon	-14.5	65.0	L 28 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/18	Ohio State vs Tulsa	-24.5	60.5	W 41 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/25	Ohio State vs Akron	-48.5	66.5	W 59 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Ohio State at Rutgers	-15.0	58.0	W 52 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Ohio State vs Maryland	-22.0	71.5	W 66 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Ohio State at Indiana	-21.0	59.0	W 54 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Ohio State vs Penn State	-18.5	60.5	W 33 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/6	Ohio State at Nebraska	-14.0	68.5	W 26 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/13	Ohio State vs Purdue	-19.0	65.5	W 59 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Ohio State vs Michigan State	-19.5	70.5	W 56 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Ohio State at Michigan	-6.5	63.5	L 27 - 42	O	N
Sat 1/1	Ohio State vs Utah	-4.5	64.5	W 48 - 45	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PSU	.18	44%	31	42%	2.94	174	45%	255	3.47	.12	40%	20.5	40%	39%	3.54	37.2	1.9	1
OSU	.38	53%	33.4	51%	3.5	256	55%	263	4.2	.17	45%	9.3	39%	48%	3.73	54.6	1.1	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PSU Offense	9	31	28.6	43.7%	3.47	1.9	25	430	174	255	3.9	53%	47%	42%	45%	14%	.18
OSU Defense	8	9.3	7.4	44.7%	3.73	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	39%	61%	39%	48%	18%	.17

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PSU Defense	9	20.5	30.2	39.6%	3.54	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	40%	39%	17%	.12
OSU Offense	8	33.4	41.6	52.6%	4.2	1.1	25	519	256	263	6	57%	43%	51%	55%	16%	.38

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Penn State	9	33:38	24.8	42%	50%	4.3	37.2	1.9	1	6.6	2.3	1	28.4
Ohio State	8	32:10	25	49%	56%	6.1	54.6	1.1	2.3	5.8	2.6	2	28.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PSU Offense	9	53%	42%	44.7	174.3	3.9	15	.06	2.94	64%	9%	0.87
OSU Defense	8	39%	39%	-	-	-	-	-.11	2.25	64%	11%	0.67

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PSU Defense	9	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.56	71%	12%	1.01
OSU Offense	8	57%	51%	43	256.3	6	19	.33	3.5	75%	11%	1.09

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PSU Offense	9	47%	45%	20.4	34	255.3	7.5	12.5	17	9	.3	1.6	29%	41%	.36	5%	1.8
OSU Defense	8	61%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.35	1.5	32%	33%	.27	7%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PSU Defense	9	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.2	1.5	33%	26%	.21	6%	2.1
OSU Offense	8	43%	55%	19.8	28.1	262.5	9.3	13.3	22	6	.45	1.6	27%	40%	.6	5%	2.1

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Penn State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #19
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #72
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State: Ohio State: 17.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 14.3 Ohio State: 29.3

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: 17.15 NR
Ohio State's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ohio State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ohio State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 29.3 #2
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 47.2 #1
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Penn State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 31
Penn State 19

Projected Total Points: 50

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.4

Ohio State's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Ohio State	38	Penn State	14	Ohio State -17.5	Ohio State	45.5	Over
2024	11/02	Penn State	13	Ohio State	20	Ohio State -3	Ohio State	47.5	Under
2023	10/21	Ohio State	20	Penn State	12	Ohio State -4.0	Ohio State	47.0	Under
2022	10/29	Penn State	31	Ohio State	44	Ohio State -15.5	Penn State	60.5	Over
2021	10/30	Ohio State	33	Penn State	24	Ohio State -18.5	Penn State	60.5	Under
2020	10/31	Penn State	25	Ohio State	38	Ohio State -13.0	NA	0
2019	11/23	Ohio State	28	Penn State	17	Ohio State -20.0	Penn State	59.0	Under
2018	09/29	Penn State	26	Ohio State	27	Ohio State -3	Penn State	68.5	Under
2017	10/28	Ohio State	39	Penn State	38	Ohio State -7	Penn State	57.5	Over
2016	10/22	Penn State	24	Ohio State	21	Ohio State -20	Penn State	55.0	Under
2015	10/17	Ohio State	38	Penn State	10	Ohio State -17.5	Ohio State	49.0	Under
2014	10/25	Penn State	24	Ohio State	31	Ohio State -11.5	Penn State	0
2013	10/26	Ohio State	63	Penn State	14	Ohio State -14	Ohio State	0
2012	10/27	Penn State	23	Ohio State	35
2011	11/19	Ohio State	14	Penn State	20
2010	11/13	Ohio State	38	Penn State	14
2009	11/07	Penn State	7	Ohio State	24
2008	10/25	Ohio State	6	Penn State	13
2007	10/27	Penn State	17	Ohio State	37
2006	09/23	Ohio State	28	Penn State	6
2005	10/08	Penn State	17	Ohio State	10
2004	10/30	Ohio State	21	Penn State	10
2003	11/01	Penn State	20	Ohio State	21
2002	10/26	Ohio State	13	Penn State	7
2001	10/27	Penn State	29	Ohio State	27
2000	09/22	Ohio State	45	Penn State	6

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ohio State	21	5	3 Overs
Penn State	5	7	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 11	8 - 4	4 - 3	4 - 1
Road Teams	11 - 15	4 - 8	1 - 4	3 - 4

(#) PSU at (#) OSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PSU	OSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#19	#2
Perf GradeGrade	#71	#2
OffenseOff	#88	#1
DefenseDef	#57	#57
Spec TeamsST	#11	#21
TalentTal	#16	#3
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Penn State Injury Report

Ohio State Injury Report

Penn State on Offense


CategoryCat	PSU Off	OSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#88	#57
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#72	#20
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Penn State Run Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	OSU Def
Run GameRun	#125	#56
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#67	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#85

Penn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	OSU Def
Pass GamePass	#85	#73
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#67	#24
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ohio State on Offense


CategoryCat	OSU Off	PSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#1	#57
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#1	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ohio State Run Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	#13	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#5	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#63

Ohio State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	#5	#5
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#29	#79
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'21 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ohio Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Ohio State -18.5 (60.5)
Ohio State won vs Penn State this year (33-24)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Penn State last year (38-14)
Ohio State beat Penn State in 2024 (20-13)
Ohio State beat Penn State in 2023 (20-12)

PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Anthony Poindexter / Brent Pry (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

OSU's OC Kevin Wilson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Kerry Coombs (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD