Florida International at Penn State

Florida International at Penn State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Florida International Golden Panthers at Penn State Nittany Lions(#2)

Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Penn State -42.0 (53.5) (0) Open: -42.0 | 54.5
Penn State 34 - Florida International: 0

Golden Panthers (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Willie Simmons (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (22 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)

PSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Penn State -28 (SP+ PSU -23)
Projected Score: FIU: 13 - PSU: 41 (54)
PSU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
FIU Travel: 1051 miles

Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Terry Smith (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#74)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)

Matchup
Schedules
FIU Players
PSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida International's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Florida International vs Bethune-Cookman	-26.5	54.5	W 42 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Florida International at Penn State	+42.0	53.5	L 0 - 34	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Florida International vs Florida Atlantic	-2.0	56.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Florida International vs Delaware	-4.0	54.5	L 16 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Florida International at UConn	+7.0	52.5	L 10 - 51	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14	Florida International at Western Kentucky	+9.5	55.5	W 25 - 6	U	Y
Tue 10/21	Florida International vs Kennesaw State	+3.0	48.5	L 26 - 45	O	N
Wed 10/29	Florida International at Missouri State	+3.0	50.0	L 21 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/8	Florida International at Middle Tennessee	+1.5	50.5	W 56 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Florida International vs Liberty	+2.5	51.5	W 34 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/22	Florida International vs Jacksonville State	-2.5	55.5	W 27 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Florida International vs Sam Houston	-10.5	50.5	W 56 - 16	O	Y
Fri 12/26	Florida International vs UTSA	+7.0	62.5	L 20 - 57	O	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule

Penn State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Penn State vs Nevada	-45.5	58.5	W 46 - 11	U	N
Sat 9/6	Penn State vs Florida International	-42.0	53.5	W 34 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/13	Penn State vs Villanova	-46.5	57.5	W 52 - 6	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Penn State vs Oregon	-4.5	52.5	L 24 - 30	O	N
Sat 10/4	Penn State at UCLA	-24.5	48.5	L 37 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/11	Penn State vs Northwestern	-20.5	46.5	L 21 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/18	Penn State at Iowa	+3.5	41.5	L 24 - 25	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Penn State at Ohio State	+17.5	45.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/8	Penn State vs Indiana	+13.5	50.5	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Penn State at Michigan State	-7.0	48.5	W 28 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Penn State vs Nebraska	-7.5	45.5	W 37 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Penn State at Rutgers	-14.5	55.5	W 40 - 36	O	N
Sat 12/27	Penn State vs Clemson	+2.5	47.5	W 22 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FIU	#81 (.16)	41% (94)	28.5	39% (110)	2.84 (83)	176	43% (54)	202	4.04 (38)	#70 (.16)	43% (81)	30	46% (109)	41% (62)	3.65 (67)	53.2	1.5	1.6
PSU	#31 (.24)	46% (26)	31	47% (26)	3.15 (34)	164	45% (34)	168	4.32 (26)	#50 (.12)	41% (61)	20.5	44% (94)	38% (39)	3.33 (40)	34.6	0.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FIU	#101 (.13)	39% (111)		37% (125)	2.48 (130)	122	42% (64)	229	4.44 (21)	#37 (.12)	41% (62)		44% (81)	37% (30)	3.49 (39)	47.4	1.6	1.3
PSU	#11 (.32)	51% (4)		52% (9)	3.42 (10)	176	51% (4)	209	4.69 (9)	#9 (.05)	38% (21)		39% (27)	37% (25)	3.22 (18)	41.4	0.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FIU Offense	13	28.5	22.4	40.7%	4.04	1.5	19	377	176	202	5	49%	49%	39%	43%	17%	.16
PSU Defense	13	20.5	15.1	41.2%	3.33	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	44%	38%	16%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FIU Defense	13	30	29.8	42.5%	3.65	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	46%	51%	46%	41%	16%	.16
PSU Offense	13	31	34	46.5%	4.32	0.8	18	331	164	168	4.9	55%	43%	47%	45%	14%	.24

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida International	13	29:24	18.9	36%	62%	6.2	53.2	1.5	1.6	4.9	2.1	0	30.1
Penn State	13	26:57	18.1	42%	63%	3.8	34.6	0.8	1	5.7	2.1	2	31.9

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FIU Offense	13	49% (66)	39% (110)	35.1	175.5	5	26 (49)	.15 (52)	2.84 (83)	74% (57)	10% (74)	1.19 (4)
PSU Defense	13	51% (85)	44% (94)	-	-	-	-	.11 (75)	2.97 (85)	69% (54)	11% (35)	0.93 (55)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FIU Defense	13	46% (21)	46% (109)	-	-	-	-	.12 (84)	3.21 (118)	75% (96)	10% (68)	0.94 (56)
PSU Offense	13	55% (30)	47% (26)	33.4	163.8	4.9	30 (26)	.22 (21)	3.15 (34)	76% (43)	9% (49)	1.01 (53)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FIU Offense	13	49% (72)	43% (54)	18.2	29.2	201.8	6.9	11.1	18 (134)	11 (88)	.21 (90)	1.4 (127)	33% (90)	27% (101)	.23 (96)	7% (116)	1.9 (94)
PSU Defense	13	48% (61)	38% (39)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (55)	.18 (42)	1.5 (27)	30% (98)	27% (32)	.23 (49)	5% (101)	1.9 (34)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FIU Defense	13	51% (102)	41% (62)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (31)	.26 (79)	1.6 (99)	31% (75)	28% (55)	.29 (68)	7% (31)	2.2 (119)
PSU Offense	13	43% (109)	45% (34)	15.6	23.4	167.6	7.2	10.7	14 (86)	7 (60)	.28 (52)	1.4 (110)	26% (14)	32% (51)	.37 (42)	5% (25)	2 (72)

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -8.08 #99
Florida International's Offense Rating: 4.06 #101
Florida International's Defense Rating: 12.14 #95
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Florida International's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Florida International's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.3 #94
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.2 #69
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #114

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -8.08 Penn State: 20.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -7.3 Penn State: 15.8

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 20.21 #18
Penn State's Offense Rating: 19.85 #19
Penn State's Defense Rating: 0.23 #30
2025 Talent Rating: 1078.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 53 #10
Penn State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 6.4
Penn State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8 #20
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #21
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #31

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Florida International's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 41
Florida International 13

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 35
Florida International 21

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 31
Florida International 22

Total Points: 53

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Penn State	34	Florida International	0	Penn State -42.0	Florida International	53.5	Under
2007	09/01	Penn State	59	Florida International	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Penn State	2	0	0 Overs
Florida International	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#99) FIU at (#18) PSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FIU	PSU
Power RatePwr	#99	#18
SP+SP+	#94	#20
Perf GradeGrade	#64	#23
OffenseOff	#57	#35
DefenseDef	#71	#32
Spec TeamsST	#89	#5
TalentTal	#107	#4
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#10

Florida International Notes(11/22) 3 straight W's, beat Jax St to get to bowl eligible
(11/22) 3-5 to 6-5 is a great turnaround. Bravo Simmons
(10/29) QB Jenkins inj in Mizzu St, QB2 Pesansky OK
(10/22) Killed by KSU, even yds but 9 flags, 6-17 3rd/4th D
(10/22) Off is functional but mistake prone, Def awful vs KSU
(10/14) DB health is key, depth cannot play FBS ball
(10/14) Huge W @ WKU, rushed for 220+, Def great all night
(9/20) Bad L - killed by Delaware, flags, TO's... woof
(9/17) Def better at all 3 levels, good red zone Def
(9/17) QB Jenkins, RB Owens an upgrade for Off
(9/6) Def is fighting hard, impressed w/ new staff
(8/30) Jenkins OK, run off good vs Beth. Cook, DB?
Florida International Injury Report

Penn State Notes(12/5) Hired ISU HC Matt Campbell, bailed out PSU & AD
(12/4) Still no coach, crootin a disaster. Program a mess.
(11/22) Still fighting, killed Nebraska. 5-6, could bowl
(11/9) Credit due, even with IU. Still fighting
(10/22) OC Kotelnicki says 2 QB's will be used forward
(10/19) QB Grunkemeyer doesn't look like he can play
(10/12) James Franklin fired. CFB HC market will be crazy
(10/12) Interim is AHC Terry Smith, was def ass.
(10/11) Lost to Northwestern, Allar out for the year. Woof
(10/4) Def torched, Run Off awful in horrific L @ UCLA
(10/4) Suddenly people calling for Franklin's job post UCLA
(10/1) LB Tony Rojas out indefinitely w/ 'significant injury'
Penn State Injury Report

Florida International on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	FIU Off	PSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#57	#32
SuccessSuc	#94	#61
ExplosiveExp	#34	#17
PPAPPA	#81	#50
PowerPwr	#101	#30
SP+SP+	#69	#31
Pts POPPO	#38	#40
HavocHav	#101	#62

Florida International Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	FIU Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	#89	#63
Run SuccessRSuc	#110	#94
Run ExplRExp	#4	#55
PPAExp	#52	#75
Run BlockR Blk	#35	-
OL YdsOLY	#83	#85
Stuff RateStuff	#120	#80
TackleTak	-	#53

Florida International Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	FIU Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	#70	#39
Pass SuccessPSuc	#54	#39
Pass ExplPExl	#127	#27
PPAExp	#90	#42
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#110	#17
F7 HavocF7	#74	#35
DB HavocDB	#116	#101

Penn State on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	PSU Off	FIU Def
Perf GradePerf	#35	#71
SuccessSuc	#26	#81
ExplosiveExp	#100	#80
PPAPPA	#31	#70
PowerPwr	#19	#95
SP+SP+	#21	#114
Pts POPPO	#26	#67
HavocHav	#38	#55

Penn State Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	PSU Off	FIU Def
Run GameRun	#23	#126
Run SuccessRSuc	#26	#109
Run ExplRExp	#53	#56
PPAExp	#21	#84
Run BlockR Blk	#13	-
OL YdsOLY	#34	#118
Stuff RateStuff	#31	#115
TackleTak	-	#62

Penn State Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	PSU Off	FIU Def
Pass GamePass	#89	#16
Pass SuccessPSuc	#34	#62
Pass ExplPExl	#110	#99
PPAExp	#52	#79
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#11	#95
F7 HavocF7	#49	#68
DB HavocDB	#25	#31

Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

FIU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 66° - Wind: 12 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Penn State -42.0 (53.5)
Penn State won vs Florida International this year (34-0)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

FIU's OC Nick Coleman (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Keyone Jenkins	164	263	62%	1742	9	6	6.6
Joe Pesansky (Tr)	89	159	56%	1021	11	7	6.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kejon Owens	213	1334	11	6.3	84
Anthony Carrie (Tr)	103	469	5	4.6	53
Devonte Lyons	37	142	1	3.8	35
Sterling Joseph	7	123	2	17.6	61

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Alex Perry (Tr)	56	840	9	15.0	64
Kyle Mcneal	31	310	1	10.0	30
Dallas Payne (Tr)	27	293	4	10.9	42
Maguire Anderson	25	280	1	11.2	46

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Johnny Chaney Jr	107	8	3	1	1
Josiah Taylor	71	7	1	2	2
Jessiah Mcgrew	67	0	0	0	4
Shamir Sterlin	62	3	0	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kenton Simmons	25	9	7	8	2
Keegan Davis	29	6	6	5	0
Johnny Chaney Jr	107	8	3	1	1
Dante Anderson (Tr)	14	5	3	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Mister Clark	57	7	13
Brian Blades	26	0	5
Jessiah Mcgrew	67	0	4

PSU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ethan Grunkemeyer	123	178	69%	1341	8	4	7.5
Drew Allar	103	159	65%	1100	8	3	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaytron Allen	210	1303	15	6.2	67
Nicholas Singleton	123	549	13	4.5	59
Drew Allar	36	172	1	4.8	27
Quinton Martin Jr.	20	101	0	5.1	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trebor Pena (Tr)	49	552	2	11.3	73
Devonte Ross (Tr)	36	501	5	13.9	75
Kyron Ware-Hudson	23	288	2	12.5	31
Luke Reynolds	26	259	0	10.0	22

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Amare Campbell (Tr)	103	10	3	4	1
Zakee Wheatley	74	2	0	3	1
Dominic DeLuca	66	7	2	4	3
King Mack (Tr)	58	1	1	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dani Dennis-Sutton	42	12	8	8	3
Zane Durant	25	5	4	1	2
Amare Campbell (Tr)	103	10	3	4	1
Dominic DeLuca	66	7	2	4	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daryus Dixson	24	2	1	0	6
Elliot Washington II	18	0	0	0	3
Dominic DeLuca	66	7	2	4	3