Florida International at Penn State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Florida International logo   Florida International Golden Panthers at Penn State Nittany Lions  Penn State logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Penn State -42.0 (53.5) (0)  Open: -42.0 | 54.5
Penn State 34 - Florida International: 0

 
Golden Panthers (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Willie Simmons (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (22 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
PSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Penn State -33  (SP+ PSU -29)

Projected Score: FIU: 10 - PSU: 43 (53)
PSU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
FIU Travel: 1051 miles
Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (99 - 41)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#74)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
Florida International's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Florida International vs Bethune-Cookman-26.554.5W 42 - 9UY
Sat 9/6 Florida International at Penn State+42.053.5L 0 - 34UY
Sat 9/13 Florida International vs Florida Atlantic-2.056.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/20 Florida International vs Delaware-4.054.5L 16 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida International at UConn+7.052.5L 10 - 51ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Florida International at Western Kentucky+9.555.5W 25 - 6UY
Tue 10/21 Florida International vs Kennesaw State+3.048.5L 26 - 45ON
Wed 10/29 Florida International at Missouri State+3.050.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 11/8 Florida International at Middle Tennessee+1.550.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 11/15 Florida International vs Liberty+2.551.5W 34 - 27OY
Sat 11/22 Florida International vs Jacksonville State-2.555.5W 27 - 21UY
Sat 11/29 Florida International vs Sam Houston-10.550.5W 56 - 16OY
Fri 12/26 Florida International vs UTSA+7.062.5L 20 - 57ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Penn State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Penn State vs Nevada-45.558.5W 46 - 11UN
Sat 9/6 Penn State vs Florida International-42.053.5W 34 - 0UN
Sat 9/13 Penn State vs Villanova-46.557.5W 52 - 6ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Penn State vs Oregon-4.552.5L 24 - 30ON
Sat 10/4 Penn State at UCLA-24.548.5L 37 - 42ON
Sat 10/11 Penn State vs Northwestern-20.546.5L 21 - 22UN
Sat 10/18 Penn State at Iowa+3.541.5L 24 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Penn State at Ohio State+17.545.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 11/8 Penn State vs Indiana+13.550.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 11/15 Penn State at Michigan State-7.048.5W 28 - 10UY
Sat 11/22 Penn State vs Nebraska-7.545.5W 37 - 10OY
Sat 11/29 Penn State at Rutgers-14.555.5W 40 - 36ON
Sat 12/27 Penn State vs Clemson+2.547.5W 22 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)28.537% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)3044% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)3152% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)20.539% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Offense1228.522.439.2%4.441.6183511222293.752%48%37%42%16%.13
PSU Defense1620.515.137.9%3.221.3 - - - - - 48%52%39%37%18%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Defense123029.841.2%3.491.3 - - - - - 56%44%44%37%12%.12
PSU Offense16313451.3%4.690.8203851762095.354%46%52%51%10%.32

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida International1228:4017.931%54%5.547.41.61.33.91.5229.5
Penn State1626:5120.448%70%4.441.40.81.35.52.3428.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Offense1252% (58)37% (125)32.9121.73.716 (90)- (124)2.48 (130)58% (128)11% (90)0.9 (101)
PSU Defense1648% (43)39% (27) - - - - -.01 (12)2.37 (3)75% (75)12% (26)0.92 (42)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Defense1256% (122)44% (81) - - - - .17 (95)3.18 (95)71% (57)7% (129)1.03 (93)
PSU Offense1654% (38)52% (9)33.2176.25.331 (17).24 (20)3.42 (10)76% (51)7% (8)0.92 (90)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Offense1248% (78)42% (64)17.227.8229.48.213.424 (38)11 (72).29 (48)1.6 (40)32% (79)27% (107).27 (93)5% (46)2 (71)
PSU Defense1652% (96)37% (25) - - - - - - 15 (18).1 (16)1.7 (91)36% (14)27% (25).2 (29)6% (57)2.1 (95)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Defense1244% (14)37% (30) - - - - - - 11 (52).05 (5)1.3 (7)28% (114)25% (5).11 (4)5% (108)1.9 (29)
PSU Offense1646% (95)51% (4)16.724.3208.88.612.527 (20)9 (48).41 (11)1.5 (107)26% (3)35% (31).46 (20)3% (5)2 (85)

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -14.03  #117
Florida International's Offense Rating: 6.54  #112
Florida International's Defense Rating: 20.57  #114
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Florida International's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Florida International's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5  #107
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #74
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.8  #124

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 436
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -14.03   Penn State: 20.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -10.5   Penn State: 18.1




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 20.735  #13
Penn State's Offense Rating: 23.64  #17
Penn State's Defense Rating: 5.27  #24
2025 Talent Rating: 1078.00  #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 53  #10
Penn State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 6.4
Penn State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.1  #15
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.1  #17
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.8  #22

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Florida International's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 43
Florida International 10


Projected Total Points: 53
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Penn State34Florida International0Penn State -42.0Florida International53.5Under
200709/01Penn State59Florida International0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State200 Overs
Florida International011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#117) FIU at (#13) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFIUPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #117 #13
SP+SP+ #107 #15
Perf GradeGrade #85 #23
OffenseOff #75 #29
DefenseDef #79 #38
Spec TeamsST #77 #13
TalentTal #107 #4
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #10
Florida International Notes
(11/22) 3 straight W's, beat Jax St to get to bowl eligible
(11/22) 3-5 to 6-5 is a great turnaround. Bravo Simmons
(10/29) QB Jenkins inj in Mizzu St, QB2 Pesansky OK
(10/22) Killed by KSU, even yds but 9 flags, 6-17 3rd/4th D
(10/22) Off is functional but mistake prone, Def awful vs KSU
(10/14) DB health is key, depth cannot play FBS ball
(10/14) Huge W @ WKU, rushed for 220+, Def great all night
(9/20) Bad L - killed by Delaware, flags, TO's... woof
(9/17) Def better at all 3 levels, good red zone Def
(9/17) QB Jenkins, RB Owens an upgrade for Off
(9/6) Def is fighting hard, impressed w/ new staff
(8/30) Jenkins OK, run off good vs Beth. Cook, DB?
Florida International Injury Report
Penn State Notes
(12/5) Hired ISU HC Matt Campbell, bailed out PSU & AD
(12/4) Still no coach, crootin a disaster. Program a mess.
(11/22) Still fighting, killed Nebraska. 5-6, could bowl
(11/9) Credit due, even with IU. Still fighting
(10/22) OC Kotelnicki says 2 QB's will be used forward
(10/19) QB Grunkemeyer doesn't look like he can play
(10/12) James Franklin fired. CFB HC market will be crazy
(10/12) Interim is AHC Terry Smith, was def ass.
(10/11) Lost to Northwestern, Allar out for the year. Woof
(10/4) Def torched, Run Off awful in horrific L @ UCLA
(10/4) Suddenly people calling for Franklin's job post UCLA
(10/1) LB Tony Rojas out indefinitely w/ 'significant injury'
Penn State Injury Report
Florida International on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #75 #38
SuccessSuc #111 #21
ExplosiveExp #65 #81
PPAPPA #101 #9
PowerPwr #112 #24
SP+SP+ #74 #22
Pts POPPO #21 #18
HavocHav #70 #38
Florida International Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffPSU Def
Run GameRun #94 #67
Run SuccessRSuc #125 #27
Run ExplRExp #101 #42
PPAExp #124 #12
Run BlockR Blk #58 -
OL YdsOLY #130 #3
Stuff RateStuff #131 #1
TackleTak -  #36
Florida International Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
FIU OffPSU Def
Pass GamePass #87 #37
Pass SuccessPSuc #64 #25
Pass ExplPExl #40 #91
PPAExp #48 #16
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #109 #31
F7 HavocF7 #90 #26
DB HavocDB #46 #57
Penn State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatPSU OffFIU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #29 #79
SuccessSuc #4 #62
ExplosiveExp #116 #20
PPAPPA #11 #37
PowerPwr #17 #114
SP+SP+ #17 #124
Pts POPPO #9 #39
HavocHav #3 #129
Penn State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
PSU OffFIU Def
Run GameRun #20 #118
Run SuccessRSuc #9 #81
Run ExplRExp #90 #93
PPAExp #20 #95
Run BlockR Blk #18 -
OL YdsOLY #10 #95
Stuff RateStuff #24 #101
TackleTak -  #63
Penn State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatPSU OffFIU Def
Pass GamePass #70 #28
Pass SuccessPSuc #4 #30
Pass ExplPExl #107 #7
PPAExp #11 #5
Pass Block/RushP Blk #15 #88
F7 HavocF7 #8 #129
DB HavocDB #5 #108
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

FIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Penn State -42.0 (53.5)
Penn State won vs Florida International this year (34-0)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Florida International last year (34-0)

  
FIU's OC Nick Coleman (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins16426362%1742966.6
Joe Pesansky (Tr)8915956%10211176.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kejon Owens2131334116.384
Anthony Carrie (Tr)10346954.653
Devonte Lyons3714213.835
Sterling Joseph7123217.661
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Alex Perry (Tr)56840915.064
Kyle Mcneal31310110.030
Dallas Payne (Tr)27293410.942
Maguire Anderson25280111.246

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Johnny Chaney Jr1078311
Josiah Taylor717122
Jessiah Mcgrew670004
Shamir Sterlin623014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenton Simmons259782
Keegan Davis296650
Johnny Chaney Jr1078311
Dante Anderson (Tr)145320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mister Clark5770013
Brian Blades260005
Jessiah Mcgrew670004

PSU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Grunkemeyer12317869%1339847.5
Drew Allar10315965%1100836.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen2101303156.267
Nicholas Singleton123549134.559
Drew Allar3617214.827
Quinton Martin Jr.2010305.221
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trebor Pena (Tr)49552211.373
Devonte Ross (Tr)36501513.975
Kyron Ware-Hudson23288212.531
Luke Reynolds2625709.922

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amare Campbell (Tr)10310341
Zakee Wheatley742031
Dominic DeLuca667243
King Mack (Tr)581113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dani Dennis-Sutton4212883
Zane Durant255412
Amare Campbell (Tr)10310341
Dominic DeLuca667243
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daryus Dixson242106
Elliot Washington II180003
Dominic DeLuca667243