Florida International at Penn State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Florida International logo Florida International Golden Panthers at Penn State Nittany Lions(#2)Penn State logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Penn State -42.0 (53.5) (0)  Open: -42.0 | 54.5
Penn State 34 - Florida International: 0

 
Golden Panthers (2 - 1) (3 - 0 - 0)
Coach Willie Simmons (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 24 (27 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 7)
PSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Penn State -40.5   (SP+ PSU -40)

Projected Score: FIU: 6 - PSU: 47 (53)
PSU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 45%
FIU Travel: 1051 miles
Nittany Lions (3 - 0) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (99 - 41)
Avg Score : 44 - 6 (44 - 6 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 1.5 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
Florida International's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Florida International vs Bethune-Cookman-26.554.5W 42 - 9UY
Sat 9/6 Florida International at Penn State+42.053.5L 0 - 34UY
Sat 9/13 Florida International vs Florida Atlantic-2.056.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/20 Florida International vs Delaware-6.055.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Florida International at UConn+14
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/14 Florida International at Western Kentucky+6.5
Tue 10/21 Florida International vs Kennesaw State-13.5
Wed 10/29 Florida International at Missouri State-8
Sat 11/8 Florida International at Middle Tennessee-11.5
Sat 11/15 Florida International vs Liberty+3
Sat 11/22 Florida International vs Jacksonville State-8
Sat 11/29 Florida International at Sam Houston-8.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Penn State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Penn State vs Nevada-45.558.5W 46 - 11UN
Sat 9/6 Penn State vs Florida International-42.053.5W 34 - 0UN
Sat 9/13 Penn State vs Villanova-46.557.5W 52 - 6ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Penn State vs Oregon-3
Sat 10/4 Penn State at UCLA-34.5
Sat 10/11 Penn State vs Northwestern-33
Sat 10/18 Penn State at Iowa-14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Penn State at Ohio State+2
Sat 11/8 Penn State vs Indiana-12
Sat 11/15 Penn State at Michigan State-19.5
Sat 11/22 Penn State vs Nebraska-15
Sat 11/29 Penn State at Rutgers-18

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#93 (.13)42% (81)26.747% (51)3.13 (54)19638% (105)1894.2 (57)#72 (.14)37% (52)23.740% (71)35% (42)2.42 (31)38.31.31.3
PSU#49 (.27)52% (25)4455% (19)3.74 (13)19449% (38)2444.63 (42)#4 (-.13)29% (6)5.736% (42)20% (2)1.25 (5)26.70.32.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)37% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)44% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Offense326.726.742.2%4.21.320385196189549%51%47%38%18%.13
PSU Defense35.75.728.7%1.252.3 - - - - - 55%45%36%20%20%-.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Defense323.73436.7%2.421.3 - - - - - 44%56%40%35%14%.14
PSU Offense3444451.8%4.630.3244381942445.548%52%55%49%9%.27

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida International333:2419.739%50%5.338.31.31.34.72027.9
Penn State329:1924.339%63%3.726.70.32.372.7138.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Offense349% (82)47% (51)39196510 (10).29 (33)3.13 (54)63% (102)12% (114)1.24 (23)
PSU Defense355% (103)36% (42) - - - - -.08 (29)2.03 (12)63% (43)14% (28)0.79 (33)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Defense344% (29)40% (71) - - - - .1 (85)3.27 (117)75% (80)8% (102)1.2 (112)
PSU Offense348% (83)55% (19)351945.59 (17).36 (20)3.74 (13)86% (22)4% (6)1.02 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Offense351% (54)38% (105)19.330.7188.76.29.81 (123)1 (23)-.02 (129)1.2 (123)32% (87)29% (90).34 (66)6% (81)2 (62)
PSU Defense345% (36)20% (2) - - - - - - 4 (12)-.2 (7)1.4 (41)39% (15)13% (7)-.05 (14)7% (55)1.4 (13)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Defense356% (112)35% (42) - - - - - - 3 (28).17 (56)1.6 (82)33% (74)22% (34).17 (51)6% (64)2.3 (110)
PSU Offense352% (52)49% (38)21.733243.77.411.35 (54)1 (23).19 (95)1.1 (130)23% (14)32% (68).28 (84)4% (53)1.8 (101)

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -3.39 #88
Florida International's Offense Rating: 5.03 #103
Florida International's Defense Rating: 8.42 #75
2025 Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Florida International's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Florida International's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #112
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #111
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -3.39   Penn State: 32.895

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -12.1   Penn State: 28.3




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 32.895 #3
Penn State's Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Penn State's Defense Rating: -9.44 #4
2025 Talent Rating: 1078.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 53 #10
Penn State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Penn State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 28.3 #1
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0 #5
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Florida International Scoring
Offense: 26.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.7
Defense: 23.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Florida International's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 47
Florida International 6


Total Points: 53

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 44 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 5.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 5.7

Penn State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Penn State34Florida International0Penn StatePenn State -42.0Florida International53.5Under
200709/01Penn State59Florida International0Penn State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State200 Overs
Florida International011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#88) Florida International Info
Power Rating: -3.39 #88
Offense Rating: 5.03 #103
Defense Rating: 8.42 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.1 #111
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 #103
Talent Rating: 554.00 #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.2 PPO
Avg Run Success 47%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Good in Scoring Position 2.42 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Good Pass Def Success 35%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Florida International has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Florida International Notes
(8/30) Jenkins OK, run off good vs Beth. Cook, DB?
(7/27) DBs are good. 7th in CFB in coverage LY.
(5/23) FIU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY
(4/7) RB rebuild, but still strength of the team
(4/7) RB Owens, Lyons & Allen (Mia) will all play
(3/24) QB Jenkins back, pass improved, fumbles a lot
(3/24) WR complete rebuild and looks very ?
(3/24) OL awful LY, 2/5 back. 2 portal adds.
(3/24) Def bad, replacing a lot. 4 DL, 3 DB portals
(3/24) HC Simmons successful at Fl A&M, good fit

Florida International Highlights
Florida International is Undefeated vs Spread

Florida International defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Florida International Deficiencies
Florida International Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Florida International pass game is really bad (#105)
Florida International gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#106)
Florida International Does Not Stuff Runs (#132)
Florida International has a bad defensive line (#117)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatPSUFIU
OverallOver#5#74
OffenseOff#31#85
DefenseDef#2#55
Special TeamsST#8#55
PassingPass#59#105
RushingRush#57#70
Run BlockRBLK#5#74
Pass BlockPBLK#16#97
Route RunningWR Rt#57#54
TacklingTkl#12#66
Run DefenseR Def#7#90
Pass Rush DefPRush#8#61
Coverage DefCov#8#21

Rematch from Week 2
Penn State -42.0 (53.5)
Penn State won vs Florida International this year (34-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FIU | PSU
Depth Chart: FIU | PSU
Rosters: FIU | PSU
(#3) Penn State Info
Power Rating: 32.895 #3
Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Defense Rating: -9.44 #4
Overall SP+ Rating: 28.3 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3
Talent Rating: 1078.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 53 #10
Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 52%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.63 PPO
Great Run Success 55%
Good Pass Success 49%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Great in Scoring Position 1.25 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Great Pass Def Success 20%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Penn State has won 1 straight
Penn State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (0 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Penn State Notes
(8/30) 3.8 ypc vs Nevada? Allar big w/ Hudson/Pena
(6/6) Def still solid, DL a top 10 unit via PFF
(5/23) CBs Harris & Washington a top duo in CFB
(5/11) OL one of CFB's most exp'd, top of contenders
(4/4) CB AJ Harris a top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Dennis-Sutton/DT Durant top 10 via PFF
(3/18) QB Allar primed for breakout season.
(3/18) WR, are portals Ross/Hudson weapons?
(3/18) RB Allen/Singleton best duo in CFB?
(3/18) OL returns 4/5 starters, a top CFB unit.

Penn State Highlights
Penn State in Undefeated
Penn State is Undefeated at Home

Penn State offense is efficent (#25)
Penn State has a top Offensive Line (#13)
Penn State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#3)

Penn State has a really good defense (#6)
Penn State defense does not give up big plays (#8)
Penn State defense is really good in red zone (#5)
Penn State has a good pass defense (#2)
Penn State Defensive Line is very good (#12)
Penn State Front 7 is disruptive (#28)
Penn State has a great TO Margin (#11)
Penn State commits very few Penalties (#16)
Penn State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Penn State Deficiencies
Penn State offense is not Explosive (#114)


  
Florida International's OC Nick Coleman
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins518262%498116.1
Joe Pesansky (Tr)71070%68006.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kejon Owens4532247.247
Devonte Lyons199014.735
Anthony Carrie (Tr)237023.026
Keyone Jenkins194132.223
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Maguire Anderson7112016.046
Alex Perry (Tr)778111.126
Eric Nelson356018.734
Shaborne Demps553010.626

View Florida International's Full Roster
Florida International's DC Jovan Dewitt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josiah Taylor231001
Johnny Chaney Jr233100
Jessiah Mcgrew140001
Shamir Sterlin131010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kenton Simmons53211
Johnny Chaney Jr233100
Quaylen Hill32100
Percy Courtney Jr.41110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mister Clark120003
Brian Blades100002
Josiah Taylor231001

Penn State's OC Andy Kotelnicki
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Allar578865%626417.1
Ethan Grunkemeyer81173%105109.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen3427338.067
Nicholas Singleton4117954.416
Trebor Pena (Tr)54609.213
Drew Allar102702.716
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trebor Pena (Tr)13166112.830
Kyron Ware-Hudson14156111.131
Luke Reynolds13142010.922
Devonte Ross (Tr)577115.442

View Penn State's Full Roster
Penn State's DC Jim Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amare Campbell (Tr)223110
Tony Rojas185220
King Mack (Tr)130001
Dominic DeLuca92110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tony Rojas185220
Amare Campbell (Tr)223110
Dejuan Lane92100
Chaz Coleman53131
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dani Dennis-Sutton95142
Chaz Coleman53131
King Mack (Tr)130001