Indiana at Penn State - 2021 Matchup Preview
Indiana logo   Indiana Hoosiers at Penn State Nittany Lions  Penn State logo
Saturday, October 2nd 2021 (7:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -12 (54.5)
Penn State 24 - Indiana: 0  (Big Ten)

 
Hoosiers (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Tom Allen (25 - 24)
Avg Score : 42 - 12 (38 - 14 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
IND 2nd straight Road Game
PSU 4th straight Home Game
PSU is playing their 5th straight game
IND is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -13.5  (SP+ PSU -22)
Projected Score: IND: 29 - PSU: 23 (52)
PSU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
IND Travel: 472 miles
Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (63 - 28)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Indiana's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Indiana at Iowa+3.545.5L 6 - 34UN
Sat 9/11 Indiana vs Idaho-31.552.5W 56 - 14OY
Sat 9/18 Indiana vs Cincinnati+4.050.0L 24 - 38ON
Sat 9/25 Indiana at Western Kentucky-9.562.5W 33 - 31ON
Sat 10/2 Indiana at Penn State+12.054.5L 0 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Indiana vs Michigan State+3.548.5L 15 - 20UN
Sat 10/23 Indiana vs Ohio State+21.059.0L 7 - 54ON
Sat 10/30 Indiana at Maryland+3.548.0L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/6 Indiana at Michigan+20.551.0L 7 - 29UN
Sat 11/13 Indiana vs Rutgers-6.542.5L 3 - 38UN
Sat 11/20 Indiana vs Minnesota+7.543.0L 14 - 35ON
Sat 11/27 Indiana at Purdue+18.050.5L 7 - 44ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Penn State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Penn State at Wisconsin+5.548.5W 16 - 10UY
Sat 9/11 Penn State vs Ball State-23.058.0W 44 - 13UY
Sat 9/18 Penn State vs Auburn-4.053.0W 28 - 20UY
Sat 9/25 Penn State vs Villanova-29.553.0W 38 - 17ON
Sat 10/2 Penn State vs Indiana-12.054.5W 24 - 0UY
Sat 10/9 Penn State at Iowa+2.541.0L 20 - 23ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 Penn State vs Illinois-24.546.0L 18 - 20UN
Sat 10/30 Penn State at Ohio State+18.560.5L 24 - 33UY
Sat 11/6 Penn State at Maryland-10.056.5W 31 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 Penn State vs Michigan+2.548.0L 17 - 21UN
Sat 11/20 Penn State vs Rutgers-14.044.5W 28 - 0UY
Sat 11/27 Penn State at Michigan State-3.551.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 1/1 Penn State vs Arkansas+3.551.0L 10 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND.1139%41.640%2.3910938%2513.88.1240%11.740%40%2.5544.61.42.5
PSU.1844%3142%2.9417445%2553.47.1240%20.540%39%3.5437.21.91
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Offense841.637.639%3.881.4203611092513.246%54%40%38%14%.11
PSU Defense920.515.139.6%3.541 - - - - - 51%49%40%39%17%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Defense811.714.439.9%2.552.5 - - - - - 45%55%40%40%19%.12
PSU Offense9313443.7%3.471.9254301742553.953%47%42%45%14%.18

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Indiana830:5220.139%57%4.344.61.42.55.93.1028.7
Penn State933:3824.842%50%4.337.21.916.62.3128.4
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Offense846%40%34.3109.43.212-.032.3975%8%0.71
PSU Defense951%40% - - - - .052.5671%12%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Defense845%40% - - - - .113.2764%10%0.98
PSU Offense953%42%44.7174.33.915.062.9464%9%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Offense854%38%20.936.4251.46.912165.221.634%31%.286%2
PSU Defense949%39% - - - - - - 4.21.533%26%.216%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Defense855%40% - - - - - - 17.131.632%30%.269%2
PSU Offense947%45%20.434255.37.512.5179.31.629%41%.365%1.8

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: NR
Indiana's Offense Rating: NR
Indiana's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Indiana's 2021 Expected Record: -
Indiana's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.8  #101
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4  #113
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3  #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana:    Penn State: 9.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: -7.8   Penn State: 14.3




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 9.65 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3  #19
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0  #72
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6  #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.6
Defense: 11.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 14.4

Indiana's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 29
Penn State 23

Projected Total Points: 52
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Penn State24Indiana27Indiana -13.5Penn State50.5Over
202310/28Penn State33Indiana24Penn State -31Indiana45.0Over
202211/05Indiana14Penn State45Penn State -13.5Penn State50.0Over
202110/02Penn State24Indiana0Penn State -12Penn State54.5Under
202010/24Indiana36Penn State35Penn State -7Indiana62.0Over
201911/16Penn State34Indiana27Penn State -15Indiana55.0Over
201810/20Indiana28Penn State33Penn State -14Indiana56.5Over
201709/30Penn State45Indiana14Penn State -19.5Penn State63.0Under
201611/12Indiana31Penn State45Penn State -6.5Penn State60.0Over
201510/10Penn State29Indiana7Penn State -8Penn State52.0Under
201411/08Indiana7Penn State13Penn State -4Penn State0
201310/05Indiana44Penn State24Penn State -4Indiana0
201211/17Penn State45Indiana22
201110/01Indiana10Penn State16
201011/20Indiana24Penn State41
200911/14Penn State31Indiana20
200811/15Penn State34Indiana7
200710/20Indiana31Penn State36
200411/13Indiana18Penn State22
200311/15Penn State52Indiana7
200111/17Penn State28Indiana14
200010/27Indiana24Penn State27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State1977 Overs
Indiana353 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 107 - 53 - 24 - 3
Road Teams10 - 125 - 73 - 42 - 3

(#) IND at (#) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatINDPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #101 #19
Perf GradeGrade #110 #71
OffenseOff #123 #88
DefenseDef #80 #57
Spec TeamsST #94 #11
TalentTal #38 #16
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Indiana on Offense
CategoryCat
IND OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #123 #57
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #113 #6
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Indiana Run Game
CategoryCat
IND OffPSU Def
Run GameRun #130 #96
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #68 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #63
Indiana Pass Game
CategoryCat
IND OffPSU Def
Pass GamePass #124 #5
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #86 #79
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffIND Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #88 #80
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #72 #72
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffIND Def
Run GameRun #125 #53
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #67 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #17
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffIND Def
Pass GamePass #85 #88
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #67 #131
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

IND 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Penn State -12.0 (54.5)
Penn State won vs Indiana this year (24-0)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Penn State last year (27-24)
Penn State beat Indiana in 2023 (33-24)

  
IND's OC Nick Sheridan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Charlton Warren (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Anthony Poindexter / Brent Pry (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD