Indiana at Penn State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Indiana logo   Indiana Hoosiers at Penn State Nittany Lions  Penn State logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Penn State -31 (45.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Penn State 33 - Indiana: 24  (Big Ten)

 
Hoosiers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tom Allen (31 - 42)
Avg Score : 42 - 12 (38 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Penn State -33  (SP+ PSU -33)
Projected Score: IND: 8 - PSU: 41 (49)
PSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
IND Travel: 472 miles
Nittany Lions (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (81 - 36)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Indiana's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Indiana vs Ohio State+30.059.0L 3 - 23UY
Fri 9/8 Indiana vs Indiana State-31.044.0W 41 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Indiana vs Louisville+10.051.0L 14 - 21UY
Sat 9/23 Indiana vs Akron-16.545.5W 29 - 27ON
Sat 9/30 Indiana at Maryland+14.550.0L 17 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Indiana at Michigan+33.545.5L 7 - 52ON
Sat 10/21 Indiana vs Rutgers+6.039.5L 14 - 31ON
Sat 10/28 Indiana at Penn State+31.045.0L 24 - 33OY
Sat 11/4 Indiana vs Wisconsin+9.545.0W 20 - 14UY
Sat 11/11 Indiana at Illinois+4.543.5L 45 - 48OY
Sat 11/18 Indiana vs Michigan State-3.547.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 11/25 Indiana at Purdue+2.555.5L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Penn State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Penn State vs West Virginia-21.048.0W 38 - 15OY
Sat 9/9 Penn State vs Delaware-44.055.0W 63 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Penn State at Illinois-14.047.5W 30 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 Penn State vs Iowa-14.038.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 9/30 Penn State at Northwestern-27.048.0W 41 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Penn State vs Massachusetts-42.055.0W 63 - 0OY
Sat 10/21 Penn State at Ohio State+4.047.0L 12 - 20UN
Sat 10/28 Penn State vs Indiana-31.045.0W 33 - 24ON
Sat 11/4 Penn State at Maryland-8.550.5W 51 - 15OY
Sat 11/11 Penn State vs Michigan+4.044.5L 15 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Penn State vs Rutgers-19.539.5W 27 - 6UY
Fri 11/24 Penn State vs Michigan State-20.042.0W 42 - 0UY
Sat 12/30 Penn State vs Ole Miss-5.553.0L 25 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND.0837%41.640%2.9111135%2173.39.1944%11.739%50%3.9445.61.51.2
PSU.2643%3141%3.0318146%2534.61.0838%20.543%36%3.3948.31.12.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Offense1241.637.637%3.391.5193281112173.440%60%40%35%20%.08
PSU Defense1320.515.138.5%3.392.7 - - - - - 41%59%43%36%25%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Defense1211.714.443.5%3.941.2 - - - - - 54%46%39%50%14%.19
PSU Offense13313443.4%4.611.1214341812534.851%49%41%46%13%.26

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Indiana1225:3819.234%39%545.61.51.25.31.7227.1
Penn State1330:3321.238%70%5.348.31.12.77.83.2230.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Offense1240%40%33110.83.415.132.9185%12%1.05
PSU Defense1341%43% - - - - .132.6672%15%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Defense1254%39% - - - - .032.9362%9%0.86
PSU Offense1351%41%37.6181.14.828.183.0375%8%1.17

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Offense1260%35%21.740.2217.45.4101613.071.335%21%.088%2
PSU Defense1359%36% - - - - - - 14.061.537%29%.2911%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Defense1246%50% - - - - - - 7.411.529%34%.315%2
PSU Offense1349%46%20.832.5252.57.812.2297.341.630%33%.425%2.1

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: -6.74  #98
Indiana's Offense Rating: 13.48  #95
Indiana's Defense Rating: 14.60  #114
2023 Talent Rating: 677.57  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 12%  #41
Indiana's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Indiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4  #90
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1  #103
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana: -6.74   Penn State: 25.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: -7.4   Penn State: 26.0




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 25.72  #5
Penn State's Offense Rating: 21.10  #31
Penn State's Defense Rating: -3.87  #2
2023 Talent Rating: 858.06  #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 57  #13
Penn State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Penn State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0  #4
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #26
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5  #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.6
Defense: 11.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 14.4

Indiana's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 41
Indiana 8

Projected Total Points: 49
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Penn State24Indiana27Indiana -13.5Penn State50.5Over
202310/28Penn State33Indiana24Penn State -31Indiana45.0Over
202211/05Indiana14Penn State45Penn State -13.5Penn State50.0Over
202110/02Penn State24Indiana0Penn State -12Penn State54.5Under
202010/24Indiana36Penn State35Penn State -7Indiana62.0Over
201911/16Penn State34Indiana27Penn State -15Indiana55.0Over
201810/20Indiana28Penn State33Penn State -14Indiana56.5Over
201709/30Penn State45Indiana14Penn State -19.5Penn State63.0Under
201611/12Indiana31Penn State45Penn State -6.5Penn State60.0Over
201510/10Penn State29Indiana7Penn State -8Penn State52.0Under
201411/08Indiana7Penn State13Penn State -4Penn State0
201310/05Indiana44Penn State24Penn State -4Indiana0
201211/17Penn State45Indiana22
201110/01Indiana10Penn State16
201011/20Indiana24Penn State41
200911/14Penn State31Indiana20
200811/15Penn State34Indiana7
200710/20Indiana31Penn State36
200411/13Indiana18Penn State22
200311/15Penn State52Indiana7
200111/17Penn State28Indiana14
200010/27Indiana24Penn State27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State1977 Overs
Indiana353 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 107 - 53 - 24 - 3
Road Teams10 - 125 - 73 - 42 - 3

(#98) IND at (#5) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatINDPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #98 #5
SP+SP+ #90 #4
Perf GradeGrade #101 #6
OffenseOff #96 #27
DefenseDef #104 #4
Spec TeamsST #83 #8
TalentTal #47 #13
Blue ChipsBC% #41 #13
Indiana on Offense
CategoryCat
IND OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #96 #4
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #95 #2
SP+SP+ #103 #4
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Indiana Run Game
CategoryCat
IND OffPSU Def
Run GameRun #130 #6
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #64 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #34
Indiana Pass Game
CategoryCat
IND OffPSU Def
Pass GamePass #80 #19
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #104 #1
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffIND Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #27 #104
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #31 #114
SP+SP+ #26 #72
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffIND Def
Run GameRun #27 #34
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #14 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #64
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffIND Def
Pass GamePass #34 #118
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #60 #132
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Title Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

IND 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Penn State -31.0 (45.0)
Penn State won vs Indiana this year (33-24)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Penn State last year (27-24)
Penn State beat Indiana in 2023 (33-24)

  
IND's OC Walt Bell (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby13523657%15821556.7
Tayven Jackson (Tr)7812861%914257.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Trenten Howland7635424.719
Josh Henderson8133724.229
Brendan Sorsby11329142.625
Jaylin Lucas6727524.125
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donaven McCulley48644613.469
Dequece Carter (Tr)27395314.690
Cam Camper17285116.841
E.J. Williams (Tr)23276012.027

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Matt Guerrieri (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aaron Casey10820713
Louis Moore841001
Jacob Mangum-Farrar (Tr)624034
Phillip Dunnam531006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aaron Casey10820713
Lanell Carr (Tr)339522
Andre Carter (Tr)4911233
Myles Jackson252100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Phillip Dunnam531006
Jacob Mangum-Farrar (Tr)624034
Kobee Minor (Tr)290004

PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Allar23338860%26312526.8
Beau Pribula112152%149407.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen17290265.250
Nicholas Singleton17175284.424
Beau Pribula5632965.939
Drew Allar7421042.824
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keandre Lambert53673412.772
Tyler Warren34422712.475
Theo Johnson34341710.034
Nicholas Singleton26308211.853

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Manny Diaz (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Winston Jr.603005
Kobe King596210
Curtis Jacobs509350
Abdul Carter496555
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adisa Isaac3716840
Abdul Carter496555
John Dixon266503
Demeioun Robinson158451
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daequan Hardy223107
Kevin Winston Jr.603005
Abdul Carter496555