Indiana at Penn State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Indiana logo (#19)Indiana Hoosiers at Penn State Nittany Lions(#2)Penn State logo
Saturday, October 28th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Penn State -31 (45.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Penn State 33 - Indiana: 24  (Big Ten)

 
Hoosiers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tom Allen (31 - 42)
Avg Score : 22 - 30 (25 - 42 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Penn State -33   (SP+ PSU -33)
Projected Score: IND: 9 - PSU: 42 (50)
PSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
IND Travel: 472 miles
Nittany Lions (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (81 - 36)
Avg Score : 36 - 14 (39 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Indiana's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Indiana vs Ohio State+30.059.0L 3 - 23UY
Fri 9/8 Indiana vs Indiana State-31.044.0W 41 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Indiana vs Louisville+10.051.0L 14 - 21UY
Sat 9/23 Indiana vs Akron-16.545.5W 29 - 27ON
Sat 9/30 Indiana at Maryland+14.550.0L 17 - 44ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Indiana at Michigan+33.545.5L 7 - 52ON
Sat 10/21 Indiana vs Rutgers+6.039.5L 14 - 31ON
Sat 10/28 Indiana at Penn State+31.045.0L 24 - 33OY
Sat 11/4 Indiana vs Wisconsin+9.545.0W 20 - 14UY
Sat 11/11 Indiana at Illinois+4.543.5L 45 - 48OY
Sat 11/18 Indiana vs Michigan State-3.547.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 11/25 Indiana at Purdue+2.555.5L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule
Penn State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Penn State vs West Virginia-21.048.0W 38 - 15OY
Sat 9/9 Penn State vs Delaware-44.055.0W 63 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Penn State at Illinois-14.047.5W 30 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 Penn State vs Iowa-14.038.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 9/30 Penn State at Northwestern-27.048.0W 41 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Penn State vs Massachusetts-42.055.0W 63 - 0OY
Sat 10/21 Penn State at Ohio State+4.047.0L 12 - 20UN
Sat 10/28 Penn State vs Indiana-31.045.0W 33 - 24ON
Sat 11/4 Penn State at Maryland-8.550.5W 51 - 15OY
Sat 11/11 Penn State vs Michigan+4.044.5L 15 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Penn State vs Rutgers-19.539.5W 27 - 6UY
Fri 11/24 Penn State vs Michigan State-20.042.0W 42 - 0UY
Sat 12/30 Penn State vs Ole Miss-5.553.0L 25 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#106 (.12)41% (85)22.239% (117)3.26 (38)12144% (48)2123.11 (119)#103 (.24)46% (120)29.947% (109)45% (118)4.08 (95)511.51
PSU#40 (.25)46% (25)36.249% (17)3.38 (14)18543% (53)2154.96 (5)#8 (.04)33% (3)13.531% (3)36% (10)3.09 (15)43.30.61.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)50% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)35% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Offense1222.224.840.9%3.111.5203341212123.450%49%39%44%17%.12
PSU Defense1313.510.933.1%3.091.8 - - - - - 49%50%31%36%23%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IND Defense1229.942.445.8%4.081 - - - - - 52%47%47%45%17%.24
PSU Offense1336.238.646.3%4.960.6234001852154.750%49%49%43%11%.25

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Indiana1229:2519.737%35%5.5511.516.11.8226.5
Penn State1332:3022.541%77%543.30.61.87.83.8333.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Offense1250% (68)39% (117)36.2121.33.413 (108).07 (112)3.26 (38)69% (105)11% (83)0.91 (108)
PSU Defense1349% (52)31% (3) - - - - -.04 (7)2.23 (2)76% (89)18% (1)0.96 (46)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IND Defense1252% (96)47% (109) - - - - .14 (65)3.24 (100)75% (80)10% (58)0.85 (14)
PSU Offense1350% (65)49% (17)39.6184.84.726 (30).19 (46)3.38 (14)73% (77)7% (8)0.85 (123)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Offense1249% (70)44% (48)17.930.5212.3711.918 (81)10 (56).26 (76)1.5 (119)30% (43)28% (91).16 (118)6% (82)1.9 (107)
PSU Defense1350% (77)36% (10) - - - - - - 12 (37).2 (25)1.7 (94)39% (2)26% (19).21 (21)6% (86)2.1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IND Defense1247% (36)45% (118) - - - - - - 10 (67).39 (117)1.6 (77)29% (115)33% (104).41 (110)6% (69)2.2 (103)
PSU Offense1349% (63)43% (53)18.931.72156.811.430 (16)2 (1).3 (62)1.5 (115)27% (9)35% (23).38 (50)4% (7)1.7 (129)

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: -6.74 #98
Indiana's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Indiana's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #41
Indiana's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Indiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #103
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana: -6.74   Penn State: 25.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: -7.4   Penn State: 26.0




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 25.72 #5
Penn State's Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Penn State's Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 57 #13
Penn State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Penn State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Indiana Scoring
Offense: 22.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.4

Indiana's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 42
Indiana 9


Total Points: 50

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 36.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.6
Defense: 13.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.9

Penn State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Penn State33Indiana24Penn StatePenn State -31Indiana45.0Over
202211/05Indiana14Penn State45Penn StatePenn State -13.5Penn State50.0Over
202110/02Penn State24Indiana0Penn StatePenn State -12Penn State54.5Under
202010/24Indiana36Penn State35IndianaPenn State -7Indiana62.0Over
201911/16Penn State34Indiana27Penn StatePenn State -15Indiana55.0Over
201810/20Indiana28Penn State33Penn StatePenn State -14Indiana56.5Over
201709/30Penn State45Indiana14Penn StatePenn State -19.5Penn State63.0Under
201611/12Indiana31Penn State45Penn StatePenn State -6.5Penn State60.0Over
201510/10Penn State29Indiana7Penn StatePenn State -8Penn State52.0Under
201411/08Indiana7Penn State13Penn StatePenn State -4Penn State0
201310/05Indiana44Penn State24IndianaPenn State -4Indiana0
201211/17Penn State45Indiana22Penn State
201110/01Indiana10Penn State16Penn State
201011/20Indiana24Penn State41Penn State
200911/14Penn State31Indiana20Penn State
200811/15Penn State34Indiana7Penn State
200710/20Indiana31Penn State36Penn State
200411/13Indiana18Penn State22Penn State
200311/15Penn State52Indiana7Penn State
200111/17Penn State28Indiana14Penn State
200010/27Indiana24Penn State27Penn State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State1966 Overs
Indiana253 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 96 - 53 - 23 - 3
Road Teams9 - 125 - 63 - 32 - 3

(#98) Indiana Info
Power Rating: -6.74 #98
Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #41
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10


Indiana has lost 3 straight
Indiana has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 5 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Indiana Highlights
Indiana does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#22)

Indiana defense does not give up big plays (#135)

Indiana Deficiencies
Indiana Can Not Run the Ball (#2)
Indiana offense is not Explosive (#124)
Indiana offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#36)
Indiana run game is really bad (#8)
Indiana has a bad defense (#7)
Indiana has a bad defensive line (#8)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatPSUIND
OverallOver#5#83
OffenseOff#24#82
DefenseDef#4#80
Special TeamsST#8#66
PassingPass#27#66
RushingRush#19#95
Run BlockRBLK#13#51
Pass BlockPBLK#52#88
Route RunningWR Rt#68#53
TacklingTkl#31#55
Run DefenseR Def#4#30
Pass Rush DefPRush#1#99
Coverage DefCov#16#97

Rematch from Week 9
Penn State -31.0 (45.0)
Penn State won vs Indiana this year (33-24)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Indiana in 2023 (33-24)
Penn State beat Indiana in 2022 (45-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: IND | PSU
Depth Chart: IND | PSU
Rosters: IND | PSU
(#5) Penn State Info
Power Rating: 25.72 #5
Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 57 #13
Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70


Penn State has lost 1 straight
Penn State has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Penn State Highlights
Penn State has Really Good Running Game (#38)
Penn State offense is efficent (#25)
Penn State has a top Offensive Line (#13)
Penn State offense is good in red zone (#42)
Penn State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#3)

Penn State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Penn State has a really good defense (#6)
Penn State defense is really good in red zone (#5)
Penn State has a good run defense (#42)
Penn State has a good pass defense (#2)
Penn State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#50)
Penn State Defensive Line is very good (#12)
Penn State Front 7 is disruptive (#28)
Penn State has a great TO Margin (#11)

Penn State Deficiencies
Penn State offense is not Explosive (#114)
Penn State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#8)


  
Indiana's OC Walt Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby13523657%15821556.7
Tayven Jackson (Tr)7812861%914257.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Trenten Howland7635424.719
Josh Henderson8133724.229
Brendan Sorsby11329142.625
Jaylin Lucas6727524.125
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Donaven McCulley48644613.469
Dequece Carter (Tr)27395314.690
Cam Camper17285116.841
E.J. Williams (Tr)23276012.027

View Indiana's Full Roster
Indiana's DC Matt Guerrieri
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aaron Casey10820713
Louis Moore841001
Jacob Mangum-Farrar (Tr)624034
Phillip Dunnam531006
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aaron Casey10820713
Lanell Carr (Tr)339522
Andre Carter (Tr)4911233
Myles Jackson252100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Phillip Dunnam531006
Jacob Mangum-Farrar (Tr)624034
Kobee Minor (Tr)290004

Penn State's OC Mike Yurcich
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Allar23338860%26312526.8
Beau Pribula112152%149407.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen17290265.250
Nicholas Singleton17175284.424
Beau Pribula5632965.939
Drew Allar7421042.824
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Keandre Lambert53673412.772
Tyler Warren34422712.475
Theo Johnson34341710.034
Nicholas Singleton26308211.853

View Penn State's Full Roster
Penn State's DC Manny Diaz
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kevin Winston Jr.603005
Kobe King596210
Curtis Jacobs509350
Abdul Carter496555
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Adisa Isaac3716840
Abdul Carter496555
John Dixon266503
Demeioun Robinson158451
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daequan Hardy223107
Kevin Winston Jr.603005
Abdul Carter496555