Iowa at Penn State Game Matchup
Iowa logo Iowa Hawkeyes at Penn State Nittany LionsPenn State logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -14 (38.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Penn State 31 - Iowa: 0  (Big Ten)

 
Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (189 - 115)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (21 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 7.4 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PSU is playing their 4th straight game
IOWA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Penn State -21.5   (SP+ PSU -18)
Projected Score: IOWA: 10 - PSU: 32 (48)
PSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
IOWA Travel: 713 miles, 1 hrs behind
Nittany Lions (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (81 - 36)
Avg Score : 33 - 17 (34 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Iowa's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Iowa vs Utah State-24.043.5W 24 - 14UN
Sat 9/9 Iowa at Iowa State-3.535.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 9/16 Iowa vs Western Michigan-28.543.5W 41 - 10OY
Sat 9/23 Iowa at Penn State+14.038.5L 0 - 31UN
Sat 9/30 Iowa vs Michigan State-10.036.5W 26 - 16ON
Sat 10/7 Iowa vs Purdue-2.538.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 10/14 Iowa at Wisconsin+8.033.5W 15 - 6UY
Sat 10/21 Iowa vs Minnesota-3.030.5L 10 - 12UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Iowa vs Northwestern-4.530.5W 10 - 7UN
Sat 11/11 Iowa vs Rutgers+2.527.5W 22 - 0UY
Sat 11/18 Iowa vs Illinois-2.533.5W 15 - 13UN
Fri 11/24 Iowa at Nebraska+3.025.5W 13 - 10UY
Sat 12/2 Iowa vs Michigan+23.535.0L 0 - 26UN
Mon 1/1 Iowa vs Tennessee+4.537.0L 0 - 35UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Penn State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Penn State vs West Virginia-21.048.0W 38 - 15OY
Sat 9/9 Penn State vs Delaware-44.055.0W 63 - 7OY
Sat 9/16 Penn State at Illinois-14.047.5W 30 - 13UY
Sat 9/23 Penn State vs Iowa-14.038.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 9/30 Penn State at Northwestern-27.048.0W 41 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Penn State vs Massachusetts-42.055.0W 63 - 0OY
Sat 10/21 Penn State at Ohio State+4.047.0L 12 - 20UN
Sat 10/28 Penn State vs Indiana-31.045.0W 33 - 24ON
Sat 11/4 Penn State at Maryland-8.550.5W 51 - 15OY
Sat 11/11 Penn State vs Michigan+4.044.5L 15 - 24UN
Sat 11/18 Penn State vs Rutgers-19.539.5W 27 - 6UY
Fri 11/24 Penn State vs Michigan State-20.042.0W 42 - 0UY
Sat 12/30 Penn State vs Ole Miss-5.553.0L 25 - 38ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA36%27.738%2.459535%1572.76-.0534%17.838%32%2.7532.31.32.2
PSU.2643%33.141%3.0318146%2534.61.0838%16.543%36%3.3948.31.12.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Offense1327.720.835.8%2.761.314252951572.949%51%38%35%18%
PSU Defense1316.51138.5%3.392.7 - - - - - 41%59%43%36%25%.08
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Defense1317.822.834.4%2.752.2 - - - - - 49%49%38%32%17%-.05
PSU Offense1333.133.543.4%4.611.1214341812534.851%49%41%46%13%.26

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa1328:1613.828%33%4.132.31.32.26.12.6431.9
Penn State1330:3321.238%70%5.348.31.12.77.83.2230.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense1349%38%32.594.92.912-.052.4563%13%0.84
PSU Defense1341%43% - - - - .132.6672%15%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense1349%38% - - - - -.022.5774%11%0.76
PSU Offense1351%41%37.6181.14.828.183.0375%8%1.17

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense1351%35%14.826.8156.75.810.677.061.536%22%.085%2
PSU Defense1359%36% - - - - - - 14.061.537%29%.2911%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense1349%32% - - - - - - 15-.011.434%22%-.026%1.6
PSU Offense1349%46%20.832.5252.57.812.2297.341.630%33%.425%2.1

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: -0.08 #61
Iowa's Offense Rating: 3.02 #133
Iowa's Defense Rating: -2.19 #3
2023 Talent Rating: 838.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Iowa's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 7.40
Iowa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #127
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: -0.08   Penn State: 25.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 8.1   Penn State: 26.0




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 25.72 #5
Penn State's Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Penn State's Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
2023 Talent Rating: 1046.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 57 #13
Penn State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Penn State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Iowa Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.8

Iowa's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 32
Iowa 10

Projected Total Points: 48
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 33.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 16.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 11

Penn State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Penn State31Iowa0Penn StatePenn State -14Penn State38.5Under
202110/09Iowa23Penn State20IowaIowa -2.5Iowa41.0Over
202011/21Penn State21Iowa41IowaIowa -1.0Iowa45.5Over
201910/12Iowa12Penn State17Penn StatePenn State -3.5Penn State43.5Under
201810/27Penn State30Iowa24Penn StatePenn State -5.5Penn State52.0Over
201709/23Iowa19Penn State21Penn StatePenn State -13Iowa53.0Under
201611/05Penn State41Iowa14Penn StatePenn State -6.5Penn State52.0Over
201210/20Iowa14Penn State38Penn State
201110/08Penn State13Iowa3Penn State
201010/02Iowa24Penn State3Iowa
200909/26Penn State10Iowa21Iowa
200811/08Iowa24Penn State23Iowa
200710/06Penn State27Iowa7Penn State
200410/23Penn State4Iowa6Iowa
200310/25Iowa26Penn State14Iowa
200209/28Penn State35Iowa42Iowa
200109/29Iowa24Penn State18Iowa
200011/03Penn State23Iowa26Iowa
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State844 Overs
Iowa1033 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 85 - 24 - 01 - 2
Road Teams8 - 102 - 52 - 10 - 4

(#61) Iowa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.08 #61
Offense Rating: 3.02 #133
Defense Rating: -2.19 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #127
Defense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #2
Talent Rating: 838.00 #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Expected Record: 6.60 - 7.40

Team Profile






,
,







Iowa     Ratings Matchup     Penn State
Power #61
#5
Off #133
#31
Def #3
#2
Talent #22
#11
SP+ #36
#4
SP+ Off #127
#26
SP+ Def #2
#4

Rematch from Week 4
Penn State -14.0 (38.5)
Penn State won vs Iowa this year (31-0)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Iowa in 2023 (31-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 54° - Wind: 12 mph
Rain: 0.016


Team Information
Injuries: IOWA | PSU
Depth Chart: IOWA | PSU
Rosters: IOWA | PSU
(#5) Penn State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 25.72 #5
Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4
Talent Rating: 1046.00 #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 57 #13
Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70

Team Profile






,
,









  
Iowa's OC Brian Ferentz
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaleb Johnson2401537216.475
Hayden Large2201.02
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Diante Vines36393210.940
Luke Lachey2823108.328
Kaleb Johnson2218828.572
Hayden Large31806.010

View Iowa's Full Roster
Iowa's DC Phil Parker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Higgins1243165
Nick Jackson (Tr)915357
Quinn Schulte620003
Sebastian Castro573011
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deontae Craig437361
Nick Jackson (Tr)915357
Jay Higgins1243165
Anterio Thompson342152
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Jackson (Tr)915357
Jermari Harris271007
Jay Higgins1243165

Penn State's OC Mike Yurcich
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Tyler Warren3650%35105.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
London Montgomery7135925.148
Tyler Warren2621848.448
Cristian Driver2904.55
Alex Bacchetta1-190-19.00
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tyler Warren1041233811.938
Keandre Lambert50981819.667
Dante Cephas (Tr)15184012.335
Malick Meiga7117016.746

View Penn State's Full Roster
Penn State's DC Manny Diaz
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaylen Reed957312
Kobe King878311
Abdul Carter62241294
Dvon Ellies314120
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Abdul Carter62241294
Amin Vanover215431
Jaylen Reed957312
Kobe King878311
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Abdul Carter62241294
Jaylen Reed957312
Tyler Elsdon230002