Iowa at Penn State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Iowa Hawkeyes at Penn State Nittany Lions(#2)

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -14 (38.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Penn State 31 - Iowa: 0 (Big Ten)

Hawkeyes (10 - 4) (6 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (189 - 115)
Avg Score : 15 - 15 (12 - 15 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 7.4 (#66)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

PSU is playing their 4th straight game
IOWA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Penn State -21.5 (SP+ PSU -18)
Projected Score: IOWA: 9 - PSU: 30 (39)
PSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
IOWA Travel: 713 miles, 1 hrs behind

Nittany Lions (10 - 3) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (81 - 36)
Avg Score : 36 - 14 (39 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.3 - 2.7 (#10)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
IOWA Players
PSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Iowa's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Iowa vs Utah State	-24.0	43.5	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/9	Iowa at Iowa State	-3.5	35.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Iowa vs Western Michigan	-28.5	43.5	W 41 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Iowa at Penn State	+14.0	38.5	L 0 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Iowa vs Michigan State	-10.0	36.5	W 26 - 16	O	N
Sat 10/7	Iowa vs Purdue	-2.5	38.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Iowa at Wisconsin	+8.0	33.5	W 15 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Iowa vs Minnesota	-3.0	30.5	L 10 - 12	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Iowa vs Northwestern	-4.5	30.5	W 10 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/11	Iowa vs Rutgers	+2.5	27.5	W 22 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Iowa vs Illinois	-2.5	33.5	W 15 - 13	U	N
Fri 11/24	Iowa at Nebraska	+3.0	25.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Iowa vs Michigan	+23.5	35.0	L 0 - 26	U	N
Mon 1/1	Iowa vs Tennessee	+4.5	37.0	L 0 - 35	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Penn State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Penn State vs West Virginia	-21.0	48.0	W 38 - 15	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Penn State vs Delaware	-44.0	55.0	W 63 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Penn State at Illinois	-14.0	47.5	W 30 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Penn State vs Iowa	-14.0	38.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Penn State at Northwestern	-27.0	48.0	W 41 - 13	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Penn State vs Massachusetts	-42.0	55.0	W 63 - 0	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Penn State at Ohio State	+4.0	47.0	L 12 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/28	Penn State vs Indiana	-31.0	45.0	W 33 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/4	Penn State at Maryland	-8.5	50.5	W 51 - 15	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Penn State vs Michigan	+4.0	44.5	L 15 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/18	Penn State vs Rutgers	-19.5	39.5	W 27 - 6	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Penn State vs Michigan State	-20.0	42.0	W 42 - 0	U	Y
Sat 12/30	Penn State vs Ole Miss	-5.5	53.0	L 25 - 38	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA	#133 (-.04)	33% (133)	15.4	33% (131)	2.47 (132)	109	34% (124)	114	2.86 (126)	#2 (-.01)	34% (5)	14.8	35% (11)	34% (6)	2.65 (4)	28	1.4	1.1
PSU	#40 (.25)	46% (25)	36.2	49% (17)	3.38 (14)	185	43% (53)	215	4.96 (5)	#8 (.04)	33% (3)	13.5	31% (3)	36% (10)	3.09 (15)	43.3	0.6	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IOWA	#100 (.14)	42% (72)		44% (63)	2.92 (89)	185	40% (94)	121	3.77 (84)	#30 (.11)	42% (72)		46% (97)	39% (51)	3.37 (27)	26.3	0.8	1.8
PSU	#11 (.32)	51% (4)		52% (9)	3.42 (10)	176	51% (4)	209	4.69 (9)	#9 (.05)	38% (21)		39% (27)	37% (25)	3.22 (18)	41.4	0.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Offense	14	15.4	12	32.9%	2.86	1.4	12	223	109	114	3.4	56%	43%	33%	34%	19%	-.04
PSU Defense	13	13.5	10.9	33.1%	3.09	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	31%	36%	23%	.04

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IOWA Defense	14	14.8	15	34.2%	2.65	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	35%	34%	16%	-.01
PSU Offense	13	36.2	38.6	46.3%	4.96	0.6	23	400	185	215	4.7	50%	49%	49%	43%	11%	.25

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Iowa	14	26:29	12.1	31%	50%	3.3	28	1.4	1.1	4.9	1.9	2	31.2
Penn State	13	32:30	22.5	41%	77%	5	43.3	0.6	1.8	7.8	3.8	3	33.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense	14	56% (23)	33% (131)	32.1	108.7	3.4	11 (123)	-.08 (133)	2.47 (132)	66% (113)	12% (105)	0.82 (129)
PSU Defense	13	49% (52)	31% (3)	-	-	-	-	-.04 (7)	2.23 (2)	76% (89)	18% (1)	0.96 (46)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense	14	45% (17)	35% (11)	-	-	-	-	-.05 (5)	2.8 (21)	71% (53)	9% (88)	0.72 (1)
PSU Offense	13	50% (65)	49% (17)	39.6	184.8	4.7	26 (30)	.19 (46)	3.38 (14)	73% (77)	7% (8)	0.85 (123)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense	14	43% (113)	34% (124)	11.5	23.1	114.4	5	9.9	9 (126)	9 (40)	.08 (125)	1.4 (124)	34% (99)	21% (131)	.05 (133)	7% (112)	1.7 (128)
PSU Defense	13	50% (77)	36% (10)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (37)	.2 (25)	1.7 (94)	39% (2)	26% (19)	.21 (21)	6% (86)	2.1 (74)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense	14	53% (113)	34% (6)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.08 (5)	1.4 (8)	37% (8)	25% (13)	.12 (3)	7% (36)	1.7 (4)
PSU Offense	13	49% (63)	43% (53)	18.9	31.7	215	6.8	11.4	30 (16)	2 (1)	.3 (62)	1.5 (115)	27% (9)	35% (23)	.38 (50)	4% (7)	1.7 (129)

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: -0.08 #61
Iowa's Offense Rating: 3.02 #133
Iowa's Defense Rating: -2.19 #3
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Iowa's 2023 Expected Record: 6.60 - 7.40
Iowa's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #127
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: -0.08 Penn State: 25.72

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 8.1 Penn State: 26.0

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 25.72 #5
Penn State's Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Penn State's Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 57 #13
Penn State's 2023 Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70
Penn State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 15.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 12
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 15

Iowa's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 30
Iowa 9

Total Points: 39

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 36.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.6
Defense: 13.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 10.9

Penn State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/23	Penn State	31	Iowa	0	Penn State	Penn State -14	Penn State	38.5	Under
2021	10/09	Iowa	23	Penn State	20	Iowa	Iowa -2.5	Iowa	41.0	Over
2020	11/21	Penn State	21	Iowa	41	Iowa	Iowa -1.0	Iowa	45.5	Over
2019	10/12	Iowa	12	Penn State	17	Penn State	Penn State -3.5	Penn State	43.5	Under
2018	10/27	Penn State	30	Iowa	24	Penn State	Penn State -5.5	Penn State	52.0	Over
2017	09/23	Iowa	19	Penn State	21	Penn State	Penn State -13	Iowa	53.0	Under
2016	11/05	Penn State	41	Iowa	14	Penn State	Penn State -6.5	Penn State	52.0	Over
2012	10/20	Iowa	14	Penn State	38	Penn State
2011	10/08	Penn State	13	Iowa	3	Penn State
2010	10/02	Iowa	24	Penn State	3	Iowa
2009	09/26	Penn State	10	Iowa	21	Iowa
2008	11/08	Iowa	24	Penn State	23	Iowa
2007	10/06	Penn State	27	Iowa	7	Penn State
2004	10/23	Penn State	4	Iowa	6	Iowa
2003	10/25	Iowa	26	Penn State	14	Iowa
2002	09/28	Penn State	35	Iowa	42	Iowa
2001	09/29	Iowa	24	Penn State	18	Iowa
2000	11/03	Penn State	23	Iowa	26	Iowa

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Penn State	8	4	4 Overs
Iowa	10	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 8	5 - 2	4 - 0	1 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 10	2 - 5	2 - 1	0 - 4

(#61) Iowa Info
Power Rating: -0.08 #61
Offense Rating: 3.02 #133
Defense Rating: -2.19 #3
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.0 #127
Defense SP+ Rating: 8.1 #2
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #38
Expected Record: 6.60 - 7.40

Iowa has won 3 straight
Iowa has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 1 (3 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Iowa Highlights
Iowa has a really good defense (#30)
Iowa defense does not give up big plays (#5)
Iowa defense is really good in red zone (#76)
Iowa has a good run defense (#31)
Iowa has a good pass defense (#40)
Iowa Defensive Line is very good (#74)
Iowa commits very few Penalties (#1)

Iowa Deficiencies
Iowa has a really bad Offense
Iowa Fumbles a Lot (#42)
Iowa Can Not Run the Ball (#24)
Iowa offense is really bad (#45)
Iowa offense is not Explosive (#130)
Iowa Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#1)
Iowa offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#35)
Iowa run game is really bad (#23)
Iowa pass game is really bad (#114)
Iowa offense is bad on 3rd Downs

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	PSU	IOWA
OverallOver	#5	#42
OffenseOff	#24	#115
DefenseDef	#4	#4
Special TeamsST	#8	#5
PassingPass	#27	#115
RushingRush	#19	#99
Run BlockRBLK	#13	#57
Pass BlockPBLK	#52	#83
Route RunningWR Rt	#68	#115
TacklingTkl	#31	#3
Run DefenseR Def	#4	#1
Pass Rush DefPRush	#1	#36
Coverage DefCov	#16	#2

Rematch from Week 4
Penn State -14.0 (38.5)
Penn State won vs Iowa this year (31-0)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Iowa in 2023 (31-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: IOWA | PSU
Depth Chart: IOWA | PSU
Rosters: IOWA | PSU

(#5) Penn State Info
Power Rating: 25.72 #5
Offense Rating: 21.10 #31
Defense Rating: -3.87 #2
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #4
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #26
Defense SP+ Rating: 9.5 #4
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 57 #13
Expected Record: 10.30 - 2.70

Penn State has won 3 straight
Penn State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Penn State Highlights
Penn State has Really Good Running Game (#38)
Penn State offense is efficent (#25)
Penn State has a top Offensive Line (#13)
Penn State offense is good in red zone (#42)
Penn State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#3)

Penn State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Penn State has a really good defense (#6)
Penn State defense is really good in red zone (#5)
Penn State has a good run defense (#42)
Penn State has a good pass defense (#2)
Penn State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#50)
Penn State Defensive Line is very good (#12)
Penn State Front 7 is disruptive (#28)
Penn State has a great TO Margin (#11)

Penn State Deficiencies
Penn State offense is not Explosive (#114)
Penn State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#8)

Iowa's OC Brian Ferentz

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Deacon Hill (Tr)	122	251	49%	1152	5	8	4.6
Cade McNamara (Tr)	46	90	51%	505	4	3	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Leshon Williams	170	821	1	4.8	82
Kaleb Johnson	117	463	3	4.0	67
Jaziun Patterson	58	206	2	3.6	59
Kamari Moulton	27	93	2	3.4	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Erick All (Tr)	21	299	3	14.2	34
Nico Ragaini	31	255	0	8.2	29
Kaleb Brown	22	215	1	9.8	31
Addison Ostrenga	31	192	2	6.2	19

View Iowa's Full Roster

Iowa's DC Phil Parker

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Higgins	171	5	2	3	3
Nick Jackson (Tr)	110	8	4	7	2
Sebastian Castro	67	8	0	1	8
Quinn Schulte	65	3	0	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joe Evans	46	14	9	10	5
Nick Jackson (Tr)	110	8	4	7	2
Yahya Black	50	5	4	2	4
Logan Lee	55	6	3	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jermari Harris	42	1	0	0	8
Sebastian Castro	67	8	0	1	8
Joe Evans	46	14	9	10	5

Penn State's OC Mike Yurcich

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drew Allar	233	388	60%	2631	25	2	6.8
Beau Pribula	11	21	52%	149	4	0	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaytron Allen	172	902	6	5.2	50
Nicholas Singleton	171	752	8	4.4	24
Beau Pribula	56	329	6	5.9	39
Drew Allar	74	210	4	2.8	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Keandre Lambert	53	673	4	12.7	72
Tyler Warren	34	422	7	12.4	75
Theo Johnson	34	341	7	10.0	34
Nicholas Singleton	26	308	2	11.8	53

View Penn State's Full Roster

Penn State's DC Manny Diaz

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevin Winston Jr.	60	3	0	0	5
Kobe King	59	6	2	1	0
Curtis Jacobs	50	9	3	5	0
Abdul Carter	49	6	5	5	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Adisa Isaac	37	16	8	4	0
Abdul Carter	49	6	5	5	5
John Dixon	26	6	5	0	3
Demeioun Robinson	15	8	4	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daequan Hardy	22	3	1	0	7
Kevin Winston Jr.	60	3	0	0	5
Abdul Carter	49	6	5	5	5