Ball State at Penn State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Ball State Cardinals at Penn State Nittany Lions

Saturday, September 11th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -23 (58.0)
Penn State 44 - Ball State: 13

Cardinals (6 - 7) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mike Neu (23 - 36)
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (10 - 36 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -15.5 (SP+ PSU -26)
Projected Score: BALL: 15 - PSU: 32 (47)
PSU Win prob: 95% | Cover: 56%
BALL Travel: 399 miles

Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (63 - 28)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BALL Players
PSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ball State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/2	Ball State vs Western Illinois	-31.0	58.5	W 31 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/11	Ball State at Penn State	+23.0	58.0	L 13 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/18	Ball State at Wyoming	+6.5	53.5	L 12 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/25	Ball State vs Toledo	+4.5	56.5	L 12 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/2	Ball State vs Army	+10.5	46.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Ball State at Western Michigan	+13.0	57.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Ball State at Eastern Michigan	-1.5	54.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Ball State vs Miami (OH)	-3.5	53.0	L 17 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/2	Ball State at Akron	-20.0	58.0	W 31 - 25	U	N
Wed 11/10	Ball State at Northern Illinois	-3.0	59.5	L 29 - 30	U	N
Wed 11/17	Ball State vs Central Michigan	+2.5	57.0	L 17 - 37	U	N
Tue 11/23	Ball State vs Buffalo	-6.0	59.5	W 20 - 3	U	Y
Sat 12/25	Ball State vs Georgia State	+6.0	52.5	L 20 - 51	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Penn State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Penn State at Wisconsin	+5.5	48.5	W 16 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Penn State vs Ball State	-23.0	58.0	W 44 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Penn State vs Auburn	-4.0	53.0	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Penn State vs Villanova	-29.5	53.0	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 10/2	Penn State vs Indiana	-12.0	54.5	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Penn State at Iowa	+2.5	41.0	L 20 - 23	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Penn State vs Illinois	-24.5	46.0	L 18 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/30	Penn State at Ohio State	+18.5	60.5	L 24 - 33	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Penn State at Maryland	-10.0	56.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Penn State vs Michigan	+2.5	48.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/20	Penn State vs Rutgers	-14.0	44.5	W 28 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Penn State at Michigan State	-3.5	51.5	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 1/1	Penn State vs Arkansas	+3.5	51.0	L 10 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL	.21	47%	15.8	46%	3.16	178	49%	269	3.65	.14	46%	29.8	44%	48%	3.13	48.9	1.1	2.3
PSU	.18	44%	31	42%	2.94	174	45%	255	3.47	.12	40%	20.5	40%	39%	3.54	37.2	1.9	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BALL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Offense	8	15.8	9.7	47.2%	3.65	1.1	24	447	178	269	3.9	54%	46%	46%	49%	15%	.21
PSU Defense	9	20.5	15.1	39.6%	3.54	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	40%	39%	17%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BALL Defense	8	29.8	35.7	46.4%	3.13	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	44%	48%	19%	.14
PSU Offense	9	31	34	43.7%	3.47	1.9	25	430	174	255	3.9	53%	47%	42%	45%	14%	.18

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ball State	8	29:53	24.4	47%	54%	5.8	48.9	1.1	2.3	7	1.9	2	32.9
Penn State	9	33:38	24.8	42%	50%	4.3	37.2	1.9	1	6.6	2.3	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Offense	8	54%	46%	45.8	178	3.9	15	.12	3.16	66%	9%	0.91
PSU Defense	9	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.56	71%	12%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BALL Defense	8	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	.01	2.74	59%	12%	0.86
PSU Offense	9	53%	42%	44.7	174.3	3.9	15	.06	2.94	64%	9%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Offense	8	46%	49%	20.5	31.4	269.3	8.6	13.1	17	6	.32	1.5	27%	38%	.42	6%	2.1
PSU Defense	9	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.2	1.5	33%	26%	.21	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BALL Defense	8	55%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.26	1.4	27%	32%	.33	7%	1.9
PSU Offense	9	47%	45%	20.4	34	255.3	7.5	12.5	17	9	.3	1.6	29%	41%	.36	5%	1.8

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: NR
Ball State's Offense Rating: NR
Ball State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ball State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ball State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #108
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #106
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: Penn State: 9.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -11.2 Penn State: 14.3

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 9.65 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #19
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #72
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.7

Ball State's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 32
Ball State 15

Projected Total Points: 47

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/11	Penn State	44	Ball State	13	Penn State -23	Penn State	58.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Penn State	1	1	0 Overs
Ball State	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) BALL at (#) PSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BALL	PSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#108	#19
Perf GradeGrade	#108	#71
OffenseOff	#114	#88
DefenseDef	#83	#57
Spec TeamsST	#45	#11
TalentTal	#116	#16
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ball State Injury Report

Penn State Injury Report

Ball State on Offense


CategoryCat	BALL Off	PSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#114	#57
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#106	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ball State Run Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	#116	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#63

Ball State Pass Game


CategoryCat	BALL Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	#93	#5
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#91	#79
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Penn State on Offense


CategoryCat	PSU Off	BALL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#88	#83
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#72	#109
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Penn State Run Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	BALL Def
Run GameRun	#125	#83
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#67	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#25

Penn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	BALL Def
Pass GamePass	#85	#105
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#67	#21
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

BALL 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Penn State -23.0 (58.0)
Penn State won vs Ball State this year (44-13)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

BALL's OC Kevin Lynch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Tyler Stockton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Anthony Poindexter / Brent Pry (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD