(#2)Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan State Spartans
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Spartan Stadium - East Lansing, MI (Big Ten)
Nittany Lions (3 - 0) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (99 - 41)
Avg Score : 44 - 6 (44 - 6 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 1.5 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach James Franklin (99 - 41)
Avg Score : 44 - 6 (44 - 6 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 1.5 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
MSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Penn State -19.5 (SP+ PSU -23.5)
Projected Score: PSU: 37 - MSU: 18 (55)
PSU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
PSU Travel: 366 miles
Our Line: Penn State -19.5 (SP+ PSU -23.5)
Projected Score: PSU: 37 - MSU: 18 (55)
PSU Win prob: 88% | Cover: 46%
PSU Travel: 366 miles
Spartans (3 - 0) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (35 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (35 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| Penn State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Penn State vs Nevada | -45.5 | 58.5 | W 46 - 11 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Penn State vs Florida International | -42.0 | 53.5 | W 34 - 0 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Penn State vs Villanova | -46.5 | 57.5 | W 52 - 6 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Penn State vs Oregon | -3 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Penn State at UCLA | -34.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Penn State vs Northwestern | -33 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Penn State at Iowa | -14 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Penn State at Ohio State | +2 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Penn State vs Indiana | -12 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Penn State at Michigan State | -19.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Penn State vs Nebraska | -15 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Penn State at Rutgers | -18 | |||||
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Michigan State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | Michigan State vs Western Michigan | -18.5 | 49.5 | W 23 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Michigan State vs Boston College | -3.5 | 45.5 | W 42 - 40 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Michigan State vs Youngstown State | -23.5 | 55.5 | W 41 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Michigan State at USC | +17.5 | 55.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Michigan State at Nebraska | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Michigan State vs UCLA | -17.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Michigan State at Indiana | +14.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Michigan State vs Michigan | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Michigan State at Minnesota | +7 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Michigan State vs Penn State | +19.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Michigan State at Iowa | +8 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Michigan State vs Maryland | -0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU | #49 (.27) | 52% (25) | 44 | 55% (19) | 3.74 (13) | 194 | 49% (38) | 244 | 4.63 (42) | #4 (-.13) | 29% (6) | 5.7 | 36% (42) | 20% (2) | 1.25 (5) | 26.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 |
| MSU | #119 (.07) | 41% (93) | 35.3 | 40% (96) | 2.54 (105) | 168 | 42% (77) | 219 | 4.22 (56) | #62 (.12) | 42% (80) | 23.3 | 34% (33) | 48% (113) | 1.89 (12) | 35 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU | #11 (.32) | 51% (4) | 52% (9) | 3.42 (10) | 176 | 51% (4) | 209 | 4.69 (9) | #9 (.05) | 38% (21) | 39% (27) | 37% (25) | 3.22 (18) | 41.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | ||
| MSU | #105 (.13) | 42% (86) | 45% (50) | 2.76 (109) | 118 | 38% (107) | 218 | 3.34 (116) | #85 (.19) | 42% (69) | 39% (25) | 45% (111) | 4.06 (98) | 63.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU Offense | 3 | 44 | 44 | 51.8% | 4.63 | 0.3 | 24 | 438 | 194 | 244 | 5.5 | 48% | 52% | 55% | 49% | 9% | .27 |
| MSU Defense | 3 | 23.3 | 23.3 | 41.7% | 1.89 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 39% | 58% | 34% | 48% | 21% | .12 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU Defense | 3 | 5.7 | 5.7 | 28.7% | 1.25 | 2.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 45% | 36% | 20% | 20% | -.13 |
| MSU Offense | 3 | 35.3 | 35.3 | 40.7% | 4.22 | 1.3 | 21 | 387 | 168 | 219 | 4.5 | 57% | 42% | 40% | 42% | 18% | .07 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State | 3 | 29:19 | 24.3 | 39% | 63% | 3.7 | 26.7 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 7 | 2.7 | 1 | 38.2 |
| Michigan State | 3 | 32:13 | 21.3 | 43% | 60% | 4.3 | 35 | 1.3 | 1 | 7.3 | 2 | 0 | 31.1 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU Offense | 3 | 48% (83) | 55% (19) | 35 | 194 | 5.5 | 9 (17) | .36 (20) | 3.74 (13) | 86% (22) | 4% (6) | 1.02 (51) |
| MSU Defense | 3 | 39% (6) | 34% (33) | - | - | - | - | -.19 (9) | 1.71 (5) | 100% (127) | 15% (17) | 0.57 (4) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU Defense | 3 | 55% (103) | 36% (42) | - | - | - | - | -.08 (29) | 2.03 (12) | 63% (43) | 14% (28) | 0.79 (33) |
| MSU Offense | 3 | 57% (31) | 40% (96) | 37.3 | 168 | 4.5 | 7 (38) | -.04 (117) | 2.54 (105) | 56% (118) | 16% (133) | 0.98 (64) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU Offense | 3 | 52% (52) | 49% (38) | 21.7 | 33 | 243.7 | 7.4 | 11.3 | 5 (54) | 1 (23) | .19 (95) | 1.1 (130) | 23% (14) | 32% (68) | .28 (84) | 4% (53) | 1.8 (101) |
| MSU Defense | 3 | 58% (119) | 48% (113) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .33 (106) | 1.3 (23) | 38% (23) | 24% (39) | .24 (63) | 6% (65) | 2.1 (94) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU Defense | 3 | 45% (36) | 20% (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 (12) | -.2 (7) | 1.4 (41) | 39% (15) | 13% (7) | -.05 (14) | 7% (55) | 1.4 (13) |
| MSU Offense | 3 | 42% (108) | 42% (77) | 19.3 | 27.3 | 218.7 | 8 | 11.3 | 6 (34) | 2 (60) | .22 (83) | 1.4 (100) | 28% (42) | 32% (63) | .35 (62) | 2% (4) | 1.9 (91) |
Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 32.49 #3
Penn State's Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Penn State's Defense Rating: -9.44 #4
2025 Talent Rating: 1078.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 53% #10
Penn State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Penn State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 28.3 #1
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0 #5
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Penn State's Power Rating: 32.49 #3
Penn State's Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Penn State's Defense Rating: -9.44 #4
2025 Talent Rating: 1078.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 53% #10
Penn State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Penn State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 28.3 #1
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0 #5
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 32.49 Michigan State: 11.015
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 28.3 Michigan State: 4.6
Penn State: 32.49 Michigan State: 11.015
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 28.3 Michigan State: 4.6
Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Michigan State's Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 44 PPG
Offense on Road: 44
Defense: 5.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 5.7
Penn State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 44 PPG
Offense on Road: 44
Defense: 5.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 5.7
Penn State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 37
Michigan State 18
Total Points: 55
Penn State 37
Michigan State 18
Total Points: 55
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11/24 | Michigan State | 0 | Penn State | 42 | Penn State | Penn State -20 | Penn State | 42.0 | Push |
| 2022 | 11/26 | Penn State | 35 | Michigan State | 16 | Penn State | Penn State -19 | Push | 54.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/27 | Michigan State | 30 | Penn State | 27 | Michigan State | Penn State -3.5 | Michigan State | 51.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 12/12 | Penn State | 39 | Michigan State | 24 | Penn State | Penn State -14.5 | Penn State | 45.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/26 | Michigan State | 7 | Penn State | 28 | Penn State | Penn State -5.5 | Penn State | 41.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/13 | Penn State | 17 | Michigan State | 21 | Michigan State | Penn State -13.5 | Michigan State | 53.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/04 | Michigan State | 27 | Penn State | 24 | Michigan State | Penn State -10 | Michigan State | 46.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/26 | Penn State | 45 | Michigan State | 12 | Penn State | Penn State -13.5 | Penn State | 53.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/28 | Michigan State | 55 | Penn State | 16 | Michigan State | Michigan State -11 | Michigan State | 43.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/29 | Penn State | 10 | Michigan State | 34 | Michigan State | Michigan State -11.5 | Michigan State | 0 | |
| 2010 | 11/27 | Penn State | 22 | Michigan State | 28 | Michigan State | ||||
| 2009 | 11/21 | Michigan State | 14 | Penn State | 42 | Penn State | ||||
| 2008 | 11/22 | Penn State | 49 | Michigan State | 18 | Penn State | ||||
| 2007 | 11/17 | Michigan State | 35 | Penn State | 31 | Michigan State | ||||
| 2006 | 11/18 | Penn State | 17 | Michigan State | 13 | Penn State | ||||
| 2005 | 11/19 | Michigan State | 22 | Penn State | 31 | Penn State | ||||
| 2004 | 11/20 | Penn State | 37 | Michigan State | 13 | Penn State | ||||
| 2003 | 11/22 | Michigan State | 41 | Penn State | 10 | Michigan State | ||||
| 2001 | 11/24 | Michigan State | 37 | Penn State | 42 | Penn State | ||||
| 2000 | 11/17 | Penn State | 42 | Michigan State | 23 | Penn State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State | 8 | 5 | 5 Overs |
| Penn State | 12 | 4 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 8 | 5 - 4 | 3 - 1 | 2 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 8 - 12 | 4 - 5 | 3 - 2 | 1 - 3 |
(#3) Penn State Info
Power Rating: 32.49 #3
Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Defense Rating: -9.44 #4
Overall SP+ Rating: 28.3 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3
Talent Rating: 1078.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 53% #10
Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 52%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.63 PPO
Great Run Success 55%
Good Pass Success 49%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Great in Scoring Position 1.25 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Great Pass Def Success 20%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Penn State has lost 6 straight
Penn State has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Penn State Notes
(8/30) 3.8 ypc vs Nevada? Allar big w/ Hudson/Pena
(6/6) Def still solid, DL a top 10 unit via PFF
(5/23) CBs Harris & Washington a top duo in CFB
(5/11) OL one of CFB's most exp'd, top of contenders
(4/4) CB AJ Harris a top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Dennis-Sutton/DT Durant top 10 via PFF
(3/18) QB Allar primed for breakout season.
(3/18) WR, are portals Ross/Hudson weapons?
(3/18) RB Allen/Singleton best duo in CFB?
(3/18) OL returns 4/5 starters, a top CFB unit.
Penn State Highlights
Penn State in Undefeated
Penn State offense is efficent (#25)
Penn State has a top Offensive Line (#13)
Penn State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#3)
Penn State has a really good defense (#6)
Penn State defense does not give up big plays (#8)
Penn State defense is really good in red zone (#5)
Penn State has a good pass defense (#2)
Penn State Defensive Line is very good (#12)
Penn State Front 7 is disruptive (#28)
Penn State has a great TO Margin (#11)
Penn State commits very few Penalties (#16)
Penn State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Penn State Deficiencies
Penn State offense is not Explosive (#114)
Power Rating: 32.49 #3
Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Defense Rating: -9.44 #4
Overall SP+ Rating: 28.3 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3
Talent Rating: 1078.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 53% #10
Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 52%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.63 PPO
Great Run Success 55%
Good Pass Success 49%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Great in Scoring Position 1.25 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Great Pass Def Success 20%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Penn State has lost 6 straight
Penn State has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Penn State Notes
(8/30) 3.8 ypc vs Nevada? Allar big w/ Hudson/Pena
(6/6) Def still solid, DL a top 10 unit via PFF
(5/23) CBs Harris & Washington a top duo in CFB
(5/11) OL one of CFB's most exp'd, top of contenders
(4/4) CB AJ Harris a top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Dennis-Sutton/DT Durant top 10 via PFF
(3/18) QB Allar primed for breakout season.
(3/18) WR, are portals Ross/Hudson weapons?
(3/18) RB Allen/Singleton best duo in CFB?
(3/18) OL returns 4/5 starters, a top CFB unit.
Penn State Highlights
Penn State in Undefeated
Penn State offense is efficent (#25)
Penn State has a top Offensive Line (#13)
Penn State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#3)
Penn State has a really good defense (#6)
Penn State defense does not give up big plays (#8)
Penn State defense is really good in red zone (#5)
Penn State has a good pass defense (#2)
Penn State Defensive Line is very good (#12)
Penn State Front 7 is disruptive (#28)
Penn State has a great TO Margin (#11)
Penn State commits very few Penalties (#16)
Penn State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)
Penn State Deficiencies
Penn State offense is not Explosive (#114)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSU | PSU |
| OverallOver | #25 | #5 |
| OffenseOff | #21 | #31 |
| DefenseDef | #36 | #2 |
| Special TeamsST | #83 | #8 |
| PassingPass | #88 | #59 |
| RushingRush | #56 | #57 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #14 | #5 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #67 | #16 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #8 | #57 |
| TacklingTkl | #48 | #12 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #9 | #7 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #48 | #8 |
| Coverage DefCov | #54 | #8 |
(#45) Michigan State Info
Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Michigan State has lost 6 straight
Michigan State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (0 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Michigan State Notes
(8/30) QB Chiles meh, Run Def great vs WMU
(8/29) RB Makhi Frazier really good, complete back
(8/16) TE Veiling out of fall camp? Expect week 1 go
(7/30) 12 starters gone, 41 newcomers (23 portals)
(7/30) OT C. Moore (Mon St) was FCS All American
(7/27) QB Chiles has real WR & TE weapons this year
(7/27) Can RB Tau-Tolliver (Sac St) fix this run game?
(7/15) OL 2/5 back, awful LY esp OTs. 4 portal adds
(5/27) DC Joe Rossi a good one, OC Lindgren avg
(5/21) OL looks pretty bad outside OG Gulbin (Wake)
Michigan State Highlights
Michigan State in Undefeated
Michigan State is Undefeated at Home
Michigan State defense is really good in red zone (#12)
Michigan State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#10)
Michigan State Defensive Line is very good (#5)
Michigan State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Michigan State commits very few Penalties (#30)
Michigan State Deficiencies
Michigan State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#127)
Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Michigan State has lost 6 straight
Michigan State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (0 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Michigan State Notes
(8/30) QB Chiles meh, Run Def great vs WMU
(8/29) RB Makhi Frazier really good, complete back
(8/16) TE Veiling out of fall camp? Expect week 1 go
(7/30) 12 starters gone, 41 newcomers (23 portals)
(7/30) OT C. Moore (Mon St) was FCS All American
(7/27) QB Chiles has real WR & TE weapons this year
(7/27) Can RB Tau-Tolliver (Sac St) fix this run game?
(7/15) OL 2/5 back, awful LY esp OTs. 4 portal adds
(5/27) DC Joe Rossi a good one, OC Lindgren avg
(5/21) OL looks pretty bad outside OG Gulbin (Wake)
Michigan State Highlights
Michigan State in Undefeated
Michigan State is Undefeated at Home
Michigan State defense is really good in red zone (#12)
Michigan State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#10)
Michigan State Defensive Line is very good (#5)
Michigan State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Michigan State commits very few Penalties (#30)
Michigan State Deficiencies
Michigan State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#127)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Allar | 57 | 88 | 65% | 626 | 4 | 1 | 7.1 |
| Ethan Grunkemeyer | 8 | 11 | 73% | 105 | 1 | 0 | 9.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaytron Allen | 34 | 273 | 3 | 8.0 | 67 |
| Nicholas Singleton | 41 | 179 | 5 | 4.4 | 16 |
| Trebor Pena (Tr) | 5 | 46 | 0 | 9.2 | 13 |
| Drew Allar | 10 | 27 | 0 | 2.7 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trebor Pena (Tr) | 13 | 166 | 1 | 12.8 | 30 |
| Kyron Ware-Hudson | 14 | 156 | 1 | 11.1 | 31 |
| Luke Reynolds | 13 | 142 | 0 | 10.9 | 22 |
| Devonte Ross (Tr) | 5 | 77 | 1 | 15.4 | 42 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amare Campbell (Tr) | 22 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Tony Rojas | 18 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| King Mack (Tr) | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Dominic DeLuca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Rojas | 18 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Amare Campbell (Tr) | 22 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Dejuan Lane | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Chaz Coleman | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani Dennis-Sutton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Chaz Coleman | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| King Mack (Tr) | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Chiles | 58 | 81 | 72% | 656 | 6 | 1 | 8.1 |
| Alessio Milivojevic | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhi Frazier | 43 | 206 | 2 | 4.8 | 28 |
| Aidan Chiles | 30 | 123 | 1 | 4.1 | 28 |
| Brandon Tullis | 18 | 112 | 2 | 6.2 | 14 |
| Elijah Tau-Tolliver (Tr) | 13 | 55 | 1 | 4.2 | 22 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Marsh | 16 | 194 | 3 | 12.1 | 41 |
| Omari Kelly (Tr) | 15 | 184 | 0 | 12.3 | 30 |
| Michael Masunas | 6 | 81 | 2 | 13.5 | 28 |
| Chrishon Mccray (Tr) | 5 | 80 | 0 | 16.0 | 28 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hall | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Wayne Matthews III | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ade Willie | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Malik Spencer | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hall | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Anelu Lafaele (Tr) | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Malik Spencer | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Thompson | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Pretzlaff | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Chance Rucker | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Malcolm Bell (Tr) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |