Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan State Spartans
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (3:30 PM EST)
Penn State -7 (48.5) (-258) Open: -7.5
Penn State 28 - Michigan State: 10 (Big Ten)
Nittany Lions (6 - 6) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Terry Smith (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (29 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#74)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 4) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
Coach Terry Smith (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 32 - 21 (29 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#74)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 4) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 0)
MSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Penn State -12.5 (SP+ PSU -19)
Projected Score: PSU: 31 - MSU: 19 (50)
PSU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
PSU Travel: 366 miles
Our Line: Penn State -12.5 (SP+ PSU -19)
Projected Score: PSU: 31 - MSU: 19 (50)
PSU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
PSU Travel: 366 miles
Spartans (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (25 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (25 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
| Penn State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Penn State vs Nevada | -45.5 | 58.5 | W 46 - 11 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Penn State vs Florida International | -42.0 | 53.5 | W 34 - 0 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Penn State vs Villanova | -46.5 | 57.5 | W 52 - 6 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Penn State vs Oregon | -4.5 | 52.5 | L 24 - 30 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | Penn State at UCLA | -24.5 | 48.5 | L 37 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/11 | Penn State vs Northwestern | -20.5 | 46.5 | L 21 - 22 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/18 | Penn State at Iowa | +3.5 | 41.5 | L 24 - 25 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Penn State at Ohio State | +17.5 | 45.5 | L 14 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/8 | Penn State vs Indiana | +13.5 | 50.5 | L 24 - 27 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/15 | Penn State at Michigan State | -7.0 | 48.5 | W 28 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/22 | Penn State vs Nebraska | -7.5 | 45.5 | W 37 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/29 | Penn State at Rutgers | -14.5 | 55.5 | W 40 - 36 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/27 | Penn State vs Clemson | +3.0 | 48.5 | ||||
Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 4, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
| Michigan State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | Michigan State vs Western Michigan | -18.5 | 49.5 | W 23 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Michigan State vs Boston College | -3.5 | 45.5 | W 42 - 40 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Michigan State vs Youngstown State | -23.5 | 55.5 | W 41 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Michigan State at USC | +18.5 | 55.5 | L 31 - 45 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Michigan State at Nebraska | +12.5 | 48.5 | L 27 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/11 | Michigan State vs UCLA | -7.0 | 51.5 | L 13 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/18 | Michigan State at Indiana | +26.5 | 49.5 | L 13 - 38 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | Michigan State vs Michigan | +13.5 | 47.5 | L 20 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/1 | Michigan State at Minnesota | +4.5 | 44.5 | L 20 - 23 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Michigan State vs Penn State | +7.0 | 48.5 | L 10 - 28 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Michigan State at Iowa | +17.5 | 43.0 | L 17 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/29 | Michigan State vs Maryland | -4.0 | 49.5 | W 38 - 28 | O | Y | |
Total: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
Overall Stats 2025
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU | #30 (.25) | 48% (20) | 31.8 | 48% (24) | 3.14 (33) | 178 | 47% (29) | 182 | 4.46 (24) | #55 (.13) | 42% (69) | 21.4 | 44% (93) | 40% (51) | 3.44 (48) | 37.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| MSU | #96 (.12) | 42% (79) | 24.6 | 42% (83) | 2.56 (127) | 123 | 42% (68) | 223 | 3.75 (65) | #103 (.21) | 45% (117) | 29.9 | 47% (122) | 44% (101) | 3.91 (94) | 44.9 | 1 | 0.8 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU | #11 (.32) | 51% (4) | 52% (9) | 3.42 (10) | 176 | 51% (4) | 209 | 4.69 (9) | #9 (.05) | 38% (21) | 39% (27) | 37% (25) | 3.22 (18) | 41.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | ||
| MSU | #105 (.13) | 42% (86) | 45% (50) | 2.76 (109) | 118 | 38% (107) | 218 | 3.34 (116) | #85 (.19) | 42% (69) | 39% (25) | 45% (111) | 4.06 (98) | 63.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU Offense | 12 | 31.8 | 28.6 | 47.6% | 4.46 | 0.8 | 20 | 359 | 178 | 182 | 4.9 | 56% | 42% | 48% | 47% | 13% | .25 |
| MSU Defense | 12 | 29.9 | 27.8 | 45.2% | 3.91 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 49% | 47% | 44% | 14% | .21 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU Defense | 12 | 21.4 | 30.2 | 41.8% | 3.44 | 1.1 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% | 46% | 44% | 40% | 15% | .13 |
| MSU Offense | 12 | 24.6 | 24.8 | 41.7% | 3.75 | 1 | 19 | 345 | 123 | 223 | 3.8 | 47% | 51% | 42% | 42% | 18% | .12 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State | 12 | 29:12 | 19.6 | 42% | 63% | 4.2 | 37.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 2 | 32.1 |
| Michigan State | 12 | 30:11 | 18.8 | 35% | 44% | 5.3 | 44.9 | 1 | 0.8 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 1 | 27.3 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU Offense | 12 | 56% (24) | 48% (24) | 36.2 | 177.5 | 4.9 | 30 (26) | .23 (20) | 3.14 (33) | 75% (54) | 9% (53) | 1.02 (52) |
| MSU Defense | 12 | 49% (53) | 47% (122) | - | - | - | - | .16 (100) | 2.87 (65) | 81% (126) | 9% (94) | 0.91 (47) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU Defense | 12 | 53% (109) | 44% (93) | - | - | - | - | .12 (76) | 2.95 (82) | 68% (44) | 11% (33) | 0.95 (67) |
| MSU Offense | 12 | 47% (92) | 42% (83) | 32.3 | 122.7 | 3.8 | 16 (60) | .06 (96) | 2.56 (127) | 65% (112) | 13% (132) | 0.95 (71) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU Offense | 12 | 42% (115) | 47% (29) | 16.9 | 25.3 | 181.6 | 7.2 | 10.7 | 14 (86) | 7 (60) | .29 (54) | 1.4 (125) | 25% (9) | 32% (45) | .34 (54) | 5% (22) | 1.9 (100) |
| MSU Defense | 12 | 49% (83) | 44% (101) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (100) | .32 (100) | 1.5 (35) | 29% (109) | 30% (76) | .33 (83) | 5% (113) | 2.1 (85) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSU Defense | 12 | 46% (33) | 40% (51) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (55) | .22 (58) | 1.4 (22) | 29% (105) | 28% (42) | .26 (57) | 5% (120) | 1.9 (26) |
| MSU Offense | 12 | 51% (51) | 42% (68) | 20 | 31.5 | 222.7 | 7.1 | 11.1 | 20 (50) | 6 (34) | .24 (76) | 1.4 (111) | 30% (55) | 30% (79) | .37 (44) | 5% (26) | 2.1 (50) |
Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 19.62 #18
Penn State's Offense Rating: 19.85 #19
Penn State's Defense Rating: 0.23 #30
2025 Talent Rating: 1078.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 53% #10
Penn State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
Penn State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8 #20
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #21
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #31
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Penn State's Power Rating: 19.62 #18
Penn State's Offense Rating: 19.85 #19
Penn State's Defense Rating: 0.23 #30
2025 Talent Rating: 1078.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 53% #10
Penn State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
Penn State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8 #20
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.9 #21
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #31
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Power Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 19.62 Michigan State: 5.155
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 15.8 Michigan State: -3.3
Penn State: 19.62 Michigan State: 5.155
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Penn State: 15.8 Michigan State: -3.3
Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 5.155 #46
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 14.17 #45
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 5.56 #50
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #84
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #74
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #85
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Michigan State's Power Rating: 5.155 #46
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 14.17 #45
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 5.56 #50
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.3 #84
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #74
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #85
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 21.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2
Penn State's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 28.6
Defense: 21.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2
Penn State's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 31
Michigan State 19
Total Points: 50
Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 27
Michigan State 23
Total Points: 50
Based on Entire Season
Penn State 30
Michigan State 25
Total Points: 55
Penn State 31
Michigan State 19
Total Points: 50
Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 27
Michigan State 23
Total Points: 50
Based on Entire Season
Penn State 30
Michigan State 25
Total Points: 55
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8
Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8
Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11/15 | Michigan State | 10 | Penn State | 28 | Penn State -7 | Penn State | 48.5 | Under |
| 2023 | 11/24 | Michigan State | 0 | Penn State | 42 | Penn State -20 | Penn State | 42.0 | Push |
| 2022 | 11/26 | Penn State | 35 | Michigan State | 16 | Penn State -19 | Push | 54.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/27 | Michigan State | 30 | Penn State | 27 | Penn State -3.5 | Michigan State | 51.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 12/12 | Penn State | 39 | Michigan State | 24 | Penn State -14.5 | Penn State | 45.5 | Over |
| 2019 | 10/26 | Michigan State | 7 | Penn State | 28 | Penn State -5.5 | Penn State | 41.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 10/13 | Penn State | 17 | Michigan State | 21 | Penn State -13.5 | Michigan State | 53.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/04 | Michigan State | 27 | Penn State | 24 | Penn State -10 | Michigan State | 46.0 | Over |
| 2016 | 11/26 | Penn State | 45 | Michigan State | 12 | Penn State -13.5 | Penn State | 53.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 11/28 | Michigan State | 55 | Penn State | 16 | Michigan State -11 | Michigan State | 43.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 11/29 | Penn State | 10 | Michigan State | 34 | Michigan State -11.5 | Michigan State | 0 | |
| 2010 | 11/27 | Penn State | 22 | Michigan State | 28 | ||||
| 2009 | 11/21 | Michigan State | 14 | Penn State | 42 | ||||
| 2008 | 11/22 | Penn State | 49 | Michigan State | 18 | ||||
| 2007 | 11/17 | Michigan State | 35 | Penn State | 31 | ||||
| 2006 | 11/18 | Penn State | 17 | Michigan State | 13 | ||||
| 2005 | 11/19 | Michigan State | 22 | Penn State | 31 | ||||
| 2004 | 11/20 | Penn State | 37 | Michigan State | 13 | ||||
| 2003 | 11/22 | Michigan State | 41 | Penn State | 10 | ||||
| 2001 | 11/24 | Michigan State | 37 | Penn State | 42 | ||||
| 2000 | 11/17 | Penn State | 42 | Michigan State | 23 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State | 8 | 5 | 5 Overs |
| Penn State | 13 | 5 | 4 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 12 - 9 | 5 - 5 | 3 - 1 | 2 - 4 |
| Road Teams | 9 - 12 | 5 - 5 | 4 - 2 | 1 - 3 |
| Overall StatsOvr | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | PSU | MSU |
| Power RatePwr | #18 | #46 |
| SP+SP+ | #20 | #84 |
| Perf GradeGrade | #23 | #94 |
| OffenseOff | #35 | #65 |
| DefenseDef | #32 | #107 |
| Spec TeamsST | #5 | #134 |
| TalentTal | #4 | #30 |
| Blue ChipsBC% | #10 | #33 |
(12/4) Still no coach, crootin a disaster. Program a mess.
(11/22) Still fighting, killed Nebraska. 5-6, could bowl
(11/9) Credit due, even with IU. Still fighting
(10/22) OC Kotelnicki says 2 QB's will be used forward
(10/19) QB Grunkemeyer doesn't look like he can play
(10/12) James Franklin fired. CFB HC market will be crazy
(10/12) Interim is AHC Terry Smith, was def ass.
(10/11) Lost to Northwestern, Allar out for the year. Woof
(10/4) Def torched, Run Off awful in horrific L @ UCLA
(10/4) Suddenly people calling for Franklin's job post UCLA
(10/1) LB Tony Rojas out indefinitely w/ 'significant injury'
(12/6) DC Joe Rossi will remain under HC Fitzgerald
(11/30) HC Smith has been fired after 2 years, 9-15
(11/22) Blew 17-7 lead vs Iowa. 4 str 3 & outs to lose
(11/2) Outplayed Minn, penalties costly, tough loss
(10/27) 3 backdoor covers, otherwise awful team
(10/12) Doesn't feel like HC Smith is working out for Sparty
(10/11) Def may be worst in B1G, dump trucked in conf play
(9/21) Injuries piling up at LB, thin situation
(9/14) Success #'s bad on both sides vs meh so far
(8/30) QB Chiles meh, Run Def great vs WMU
(8/29) RB Makhi Frazier really good, complete back
| Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42% | ||
|---|---|---|
| PSU Off | MSU Def | |
| Perf GradePerf | #35 | #107 |
| SuccessSuc | #20 | #117 |
| ExplosiveExp | #108 | #25 |
| PPAPPA | #30 | #103 |
| PowerPwr | #19 | #50 |
| SP+SP+ | #21 | #85 |
| Pts POPPO | #24 | #94 |
| HavocHav | #39 | #111 |
| Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42% | ||
|---|---|---|
| PSU Off | MSU Def | |
| Run GameRun | #23 | #100 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #24 | #122 |
| Run ExplRExp | #52 | #47 |
| PPAExp | #20 | #100 | Run BlockR Blk | #13 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #33 | #65 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #25 | #105 |
| TackleTak | - | #51 |
| Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42% | ||
|---|---|---|
| PSU Off | MSU Def | |
| Pass GamePass | #89 | #85 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #29 | #101 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #125 | #35 |
| PPAExp | #54 | #100 |
| Pass Rush/BlockP Blk | #11 | #104 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #53 | #94 |
| DB HavocDB | #22 | #113 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSU Off | PSU Def |
| Perf GradePerf | #65 | #32 |
| SuccessSuc | #79 | #69 |
| ExplosiveExp | #95 | #17 |
| PPAPPA | #96 | #55 |
| PowerPwr | #45 | #30 |
| SP+SP+ | #74 | #31 |
| Pts POPPO | #65 | #48 |
| HavocHav | #115 | #72 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| MSU Off | PSU Def | |
| Run GameRun | #62 | #63 |
| Run SuccessRSuc | #83 | #93 |
| Run ExplRExp | #71 | #67 |
| PPAExp | #96 | #76 | Run BlockR Blk | #33 | - |
| OL YdsOLY | #127 | #82 |
| Stuff RateStuff | #133 | #70 |
| TackleTak | - | #53 |
| Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47% | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSU Off | PSU Def |
| Pass GamePass | #91 | #39 |
| Pass SuccessPSuc | #68 | #51 |
| Pass ExplPExl | #111 | #22 |
| PPAExp | #76 | #58 |
| Pass Block/RushP Blk | #121 | #17 |
| F7 HavocF7 | #132 | #33 |
| DB HavocDB | #26 | #120 |
Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders
MSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders
Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Penn State 7.0 (48.5)
Penn State won at Michigan State this year (28-10)
Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Michigan State in 2023 (42-0)
Penn State beat Michigan State in 2022 (35-16)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Allar | 103 | 159 | 65% | 1100 | 8 | 3 | 6.9 |
| Ethan Grunkemeyer | 100 | 144 | 69% | 1079 | 6 | 4 | 7.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaytron Allen | 210 | 1303 | 15 | 6.2 | 67 |
| Nicholas Singleton | 123 | 549 | 13 | 4.5 | 59 |
| Drew Allar | 36 | 172 | 1 | 4.8 | 27 |
| Trebor Pena (Tr) | 11 | 69 | 0 | 6.3 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trebor Pena (Tr) | 44 | 452 | 1 | 10.3 | 43 |
| Devonte Ross (Tr) | 28 | 417 | 5 | 14.9 | 75 |
| Kyron Ware-Hudson | 23 | 288 | 2 | 12.5 | 31 |
| Luke Reynolds | 24 | 229 | 0 | 9.5 | 22 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amare Campbell (Tr) | 96 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Zakee Wheatley | 74 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| Dominic DeLuca | 63 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| King Mack (Tr) | 56 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani Dennis-Sutton | 38 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| Zane Durant | 25 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Amare Campbell (Tr) | 96 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Tony Rojas | 25 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Washington II | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Daryus Dixson | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Dominic DeLuca | 63 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Chiles | 128 | 203 | 63% | 1392 | 10 | 3 | 6.9 |
| Alessio Milivojevic | 111 | 173 | 64% | 1267 | 10 | 3 | 7.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhi Frazier | 116 | 520 | 2 | 4.5 | 49 |
| Elijah Tau-Tolliver (Tr) | 72 | 428 | 2 | 5.9 | 85 |
| Brandon Tullis | 68 | 297 | 4 | 4.4 | 35 |
| Aidan Chiles | 81 | 227 | 6 | 2.8 | 64 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Marsh | 59 | 662 | 6 | 11.2 | 48 |
| Omari Kelly (Tr) | 47 | 626 | 2 | 13.3 | 75 |
| Jack Velling | 36 | 359 | 3 | 10.0 | 28 |
| Chrishon Mccray (Tr) | 24 | 330 | 3 | 13.8 | 45 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hall | 88 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Wayne Matthews III | 73 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Malik Spencer | 52 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| Alex VanSumeren | 50 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hall | 88 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Jalen Thompson | 29 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| Quindarius Dunnigan | 25 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| Malik Spencer | 52 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Bell (Tr) | 49 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Malik Spencer | 52 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| Chance Rucker | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |