Ohio at Penn State - 2022 Matchup Preview
Ohio logo   Ohio Bobcats at Penn State Nittany Lions  Penn State logo
Saturday, September 10th 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Penn State -28 (55.0)
Penn State 46 - Ohio: 10

 
Bobcats (10 - 4) (9 - 4 - 1)
Coach Tim Albin (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 26 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -16  (SP+ PSU -27)
Projected Score: OHIO: 21 - PSU: 28 (49)
PSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
OHIO Travel: 247 miles
Nittany Lions (11 - 2) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach James Franklin (66 - 34)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Ohio vs Florida Atlantic+6.051.0W 41 - 38OY
Sat 9/10 Ohio at Penn State+28.055.0L 10 - 46ON
Sat 9/17 Ohio at Iowa State+20.048.0L 10 - 43ON
Sat 9/24 Ohio vs Fordham-16.573.5W 59 - 52ON
Sat 10/1 Ohio at Kent State+13.065.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 10/8 Ohio vs Akron-10.058.5W 55 - 34OY
Sat 10/15 Ohio at Western Michigan+2.061.5W 33 - 14UY
Sat 10/22 Ohio vs Northern Illinois+2.565.5W 24 - 17UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Ohio vs Buffalo+2.561.0W 45 - 24OY
Tue 11/8 Ohio at Miami (OH)-2.552.0W 37 - 21OY
Tue 11/15 Ohio at Ball State-3.557.5W 32 - 18UY
Tue 11/22 Ohio vs Bowling Green-5.552.5W 38 - 14UY
Sat 12/3 Ohio vs Toledo+3.554.5L 7 - 17UN
Fri 12/30 Ohio vs Wyoming-3.043.0W 30 - 27ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Penn State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Penn State at Purdue-3.553.5W 35 - 31OY
Sat 9/10 Penn State vs Ohio-28.055.0W 46 - 10OY
Sat 9/17 Penn State at Auburn-2.547.5W 41 - 12OY
Sat 9/24 Penn State vs Central Michigan-28.061.5W 33 - 14UN
Sat 10/1 Penn State vs Northwestern-25.550.0W 17 - 7UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Penn State at Michigan+7.049.0L 17 - 41ON
Sat 10/22 Penn State vs Minnesota-5.543.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 10/29 Penn State vs Ohio State+15.560.5L 31 - 44OY
Sat 11/5 Penn State at Indiana-13.550.0W 45 - 14OY
Sat 11/12 Penn State vs Maryland-10.556.5W 30 - 0UY
Sat 11/19 Penn State at Rutgers-18.545.0W 55 - 10OY
Sat 11/26 Penn State vs Michigan State-19.054.5W 35 - 16UN
Mon 1/2 Penn State vs Utah-1.555.5W 35 - 21OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO.2245%27.847%3.4918743%1843.85.2747%21.945%50%4.0158.61.30.8
PSU.1440%3139%2.6910840%2693.45.0639%20.542%36%2.4846.11.22.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense1227.82144.9%3.851.3203711871845.256%44%47%43%16%.22
PSU Defense1320.515.139%2.482.4 - - - - - 54%46%42%36%16%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense1221.925.847%4.010.8 - - - - - 51%49%45%50%12%.27
PSU Offense13313439.8%3.451.2203761082693.243%57%39%40%15%.14

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio1229:4620.236%65%6.258.61.30.84.61.3129
Penn State1327:5620.339%46%5.446.11.22.46.52327
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense1256%47%36.2187.35.220.283.4971%11%1.11
PSU Defense1354%42% - - - - .072.8979%10%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense1251%45% - - - - .23.3364%8%0.98
PSU Offense1343%39%33.6107.83.211.022.6961%11%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense1244%43%16.726.1184.17.111.1118.181.331%30%.315%1.9
PSU Defense1346%36% - - - - - - 14.041.433%25%.186%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense1249%50% - - - - - - 6.351.426%33%.394%1.9
PSU Offense1357%40%22.437.4268.57.2122510.241.635%31%.344%2.1

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6  #86
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #49
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.2  #106

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio:    Penn State: 13.7

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -4.6   Penn State: 22.4




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 13.7 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 22.4  #8
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.6  #28
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.9  #11

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Ohio's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 28
Ohio 21

Projected Total Points: 49
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/10Penn State46Ohio10Penn State -28Penn State55.0Over
201209/01Penn State14Ohio24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State111 Overs
Ohio100 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) OHIO at (#) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOHIOPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #86 #8
Perf GradeGrade #66 #34
OffenseOff #25 #53
DefenseDef #120 #34
Spec TeamsST #47 #15
TalentTal #119 #15
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ohio on Offense
CategoryCat
OHIO OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #25 #34
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #11
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio Run Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffPSU Def
Run GameRun #62 #100
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #60 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #105
Ohio Pass Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffPSU Def
Pass GamePass #12 #26
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #102 #6
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffOHIO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #53 #120
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #28 #106
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffOHIO Def
Run GameRun #82 #92
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #74 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #130
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePass #18 #124
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #63 #92
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'22 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Penn State -28.0 (55.0)
Penn State won vs Ohio this year (46-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
OHIO's OC Scott Isphording (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC Spence Nowinsky (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Manny Diaz (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD