Villanova at Penn State - 2025 Matchup Preview

Villanova Wildcats at Penn State Nittany Lions(#2)

Saturday, September 13th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -46.5 (57.5) (0) Open: -47.5
Penn State 52 - Villanova: 6

Wildcats (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 6 - 52 (6 - 52 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

PSU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Penn State -33 (SP+ PSU -28)
PSU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 25%

Nittany Lions (3 - 0) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (99 - 41)
Avg Score : 44 - 6 (44 - 6 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10.5 - 1.5 (#5)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
NOVA Players
PSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Villanova's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13	Villanova at Penn State	+46.5	57.5	L 6 - 52	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Villanova's Schedule

Penn State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Penn State vs Nevada	-45.5	58.5	W 46 - 11	U	N
Sat 9/6	Penn State vs Florida International	-42.0	53.5	W 34 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/13	Penn State vs Villanova	-46.5	57.5	W 52 - 6	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Penn State vs Oregon	-3
Sat 10/4	Penn State at UCLA	-34.5
Sat 10/11	Penn State vs Northwestern	-33
Sat 10/18	Penn State at Iowa	-14
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Penn State at Ohio State	+2
Sat 11/8	Penn State vs Indiana	-12
Sat 11/15	Penn State at Michigan State	-19.5
Sat 11/22	Penn State vs Nebraska	-15
Sat 11/29	Penn State at Rutgers	-18

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NOVA		0%	6	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	52	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PSU	#49 (.27)	52% (25)	44	55% (19)	3.74 (13)	194	49% (38)	244	4.63 (42)	#4 (-.13)	29% (6)	5.7	36% (42)	20% (2)	1.25 (5)	26.7	0.3	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NOVA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PSU	#11 (.32)	51% (4)		52% (9)	3.42 (10)	176	51% (4)	209	4.69 (9)	#9 (.05)	38% (21)		39% (27)	37% (25)	3.22 (18)	41.4	0.8	1.3

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NOVA Offense	1	6	6	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
PSU Defense	3	5.7	5.7	28.7%	1.25	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	36%	20%	20%	-.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NOVA Defense	1	52	52	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
PSU Offense	3	44	44	51.8%	4.63	0.3	24	438	194	244	5.5	48%	52%	55%	49%	9%	.27

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Villanova	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Penn State	3	29:19	24.3	39%	63%	3.7	26.7	0.3	2.3	7	2.7	1	38.2

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NOVA Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
PSU Defense	3	55% (103)	36% (42)	-	-	-	-	-.08 (29)	2.03 (12)	63% (43)	14% (28)	0.79 (33)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NOVA Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
PSU Offense	3	48% (83)	55% (19)	35	194	5.5	9 (17)	.36 (20)	3.74 (13)	86% (22)	4% (6)	1.02 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NOVA Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
PSU Defense	3	45% (36)	20% (2)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (12)	-.2 (7)	1.4 (41)	39% (15)	13% (7)	-.05 (14)	7% (55)	1.4 (13)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NOVA Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
PSU Offense	3	52% (52)	49% (38)	21.7	33	243.7	7.4	11.3	5 (54)	1 (23)	.19 (95)	1.1 (130)	23% (14)	32% (68)	.28 (84)	4% (53)	1.8 (101)

Villanova's Power Ratings
Villanova's Power Rating: #NR
Villanova's Offense Rating: #NR
Villanova's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Villanova's 2025 Expected Record: -
Villanova's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Villanova's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Villanova's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Villanova: Penn State: 32.895

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Villanova: Penn State: 28.3

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 32.895 #3
Penn State's Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Penn State's Defense Rating: -9.44 #4
2025 Talent Rating: 1078.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 53 #10
Penn State's 2025 Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5
Penn State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 28.3 #1
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0 #5
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Villanova Scoring
Offense: 6 PPG
Offense on Road: 6
Defense: 52 PPG
Defense on Road: 52

Villanova's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 44
Villanova 11

Total Points: 56

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 44 PPG
Offense at Home: 44
Defense: 5.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 5.7

Penn State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/13	Penn State	52	Villanova	6	Penn State	Penn State -46.5	Villanova	57.5	Over
2021	09/25	Penn State	38	Villanova	17	Penn State	Penn State -29.5	Villanova	53.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Penn State	2	0	2 Overs
Villanova	0	2	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 0	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 2	2 - 0	0 - 0	2 - 0

(#NR) Villanova Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Villanova Highlights
Villanova is Undefeated vs Spread

Villanova Deficiencies
Villanova has a really bad Offense
Villanova Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	PSU	NOVA
OverallOver	#5	—
OffenseOff	#31	—
DefenseDef	#2	—
Special TeamsST	#8	—
PassingPass	#59	—
RushingRush	#57	—
Run BlockRBLK	#5	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#16	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#57	—
TacklingTkl	#12	—
Run DefenseR Def	#7	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#8	—
Coverage DefCov	#8	—

Rematch from Week 3
Penn State -46.5 (57.5)
Penn State won vs Villanova this year (52-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: NOVA | PSU
Depth Chart: NOVA | PSU
Rosters: NOVA | PSU

(#3) Penn State Info
Power Rating: 32.895 #3
Offense Rating: 27.17 #11
Defense Rating: -9.44 #4
Overall SP+ Rating: 28.3 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0 #5
Defense SP+ Rating: 11.9 #3
Talent Rating: 1078.00 #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 53 #10
Expected Record: 10.5 - 1.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
Good Offense Success Rate of 52%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.63 PPO
Great Run Success 55%
Good Pass Success 49%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Great in Scoring Position 1.25 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Great Pass Def Success 20%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Penn State has won 2 straight
Penn State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (0 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Penn State Notes
(8/30) 3.8 ypc vs Nevada? Allar big w/ Hudson/Pena
(6/6) Def still solid, DL a top 10 unit via PFF
(5/23) CBs Harris & Washington a top duo in CFB
(5/11) OL one of CFB's most exp'd, top of contenders
(4/4) CB AJ Harris a top 10 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Dennis-Sutton/DT Durant top 10 via PFF
(3/18) QB Allar primed for breakout season.
(3/18) WR, are portals Ross/Hudson weapons?
(3/18) RB Allen/Singleton best duo in CFB?
(3/18) OL returns 4/5 starters, a top CFB unit.

Penn State Highlights
Penn State in Undefeated
Penn State is Undefeated at Home

Penn State offense is efficent (#25)
Penn State has a top Offensive Line (#13)
Penn State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#3)

Penn State has a really good defense (#6)
Penn State defense does not give up big plays (#8)
Penn State defense is really good in red zone (#5)
Penn State has a good pass defense (#2)
Penn State Defensive Line is very good (#12)
Penn State Front 7 is disruptive (#28)
Penn State has a great TO Margin (#11)
Penn State commits very few Penalties (#16)
Penn State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Penn State Deficiencies
Penn State offense is not Explosive (#114)

Villanova's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Pat McQuaide	25	43	58%	326	1	1	7.6
Tanner Maddocks	6	12	50%	69	1	1	5.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
David Avit	25	102	0	4.1	27
Isaiah Ragland	23	35	1	1.5	14
Pat McQuaide	5	34	1	6.8	28
Ja'briel Mace	5	23	0	4.6	12

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Luke Colella (Tr)	6	127	0	21.2	51
Lucas Kopecky	6	105	1	17.5	56
Braden Reed	2	41	0	20.5	33
Chris Colby	2	33	0	16.5	22

View Villanova's Full Roster

Villanova's DC

Top Def	Tack	PD
Shane Hartzell	9	0
Christian Sapp	6	0
Turner Inge	5	0
Kaleb Moody	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shane Hartzell	9	0	0	0	0
Omari Bursey	2	0	0	0	0
Garrett Rogan	1	0	0	0	0
Newton Essiem	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	PD
Anthony Hawkins	3	2
Jamie Tyson	1	2
Kaleb Moody	4	1

Penn State's OC Andy Kotelnicki

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drew Allar	57	88	65%	626	4	1	7.1
Ethan Grunkemeyer	8	11	73%	105	1	0	9.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaytron Allen	34	273	3	8.0	67
Nicholas Singleton	41	179	5	4.4	16
Trebor Pena (Tr)	5	46	0	9.2	13
Drew Allar	10	27	0	2.7	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trebor Pena (Tr)	13	166	1	12.8	30
Kyron Ware-Hudson	14	156	1	11.1	31
Luke Reynolds	13	142	0	10.9	22
Devonte Ross (Tr)	5	77	1	15.4	42

View Penn State's Full Roster

Penn State's DC Jim Knowles

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Amare Campbell (Tr)	22	3	1	1	0
Tony Rojas	18	5	2	2	0
King Mack (Tr)	13	0	0	0	1
Dominic DeLuca	9	2	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tony Rojas	18	5	2	2	0
Amare Campbell (Tr)	22	3	1	1	0
Dejuan Lane	9	2	1	0	0
Chaz Coleman	5	3	1	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dani Dennis-Sutton	9	5	1	4	2
Chaz Coleman	5	3	1	3	1
King Mack (Tr)	13	0	0	0	1