Villanova at Penn State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Villanova logo Villanova Wildcats at Penn State Nittany Lions(#2)Penn State logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -46.5 (57.5) (0)  Open: -47.5
Penn State 52 - Villanova: 6

 
Wildcats (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 6 - 52 (6 - 52 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PSU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Penn State -17.5  (SP+ PSU -15)
PSU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 25%
Nittany Lions (3 - 6) (2 - 7 - 0)
Coach Terry Smith (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 22 (34 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.5 - 6.5 (#91)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Villanova's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Villanova at Penn State+46.557.5L 6 - 52OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Villanova's Schedule
Penn State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Penn State vs Nevada-45.558.5W 46 - 11UN
Sat 9/6 Penn State vs Florida International-42.053.5W 34 - 0UN
Sat 9/13 Penn State vs Villanova-46.557.5W 52 - 6ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Penn State vs Oregon-4.552.5L 24 - 30ON
Sat 10/4 Penn State at UCLA-24.548.5L 37 - 42ON
Sat 10/11 Penn State vs Northwestern-20.546.5L 21 - 22UN
Sat 10/18 Penn State at Iowa+3.541.5L 24 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Penn State at Ohio State+17.545.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 11/8 Penn State vs Indiana+13.550.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 11/15 Penn State at Michigan State-9
Sat 11/22 Penn State vs Nebraska-7
Sat 11/29 Penn State at Rutgers-11

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NOVA0%60%000%000%520%0%0000
PSU#52 (.2)46% (32)30.748% (25)3.12 (34)13844% (56)1604.4 (33)#67 (.14)42% (78)22.344% (85)41% (65)3.74 (73)27.70.91.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NOVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NOVA Offense1660%00000000%0%0%0%0%
PSU Defense922.31642%3.741.1 - - - - - 56%43%44%41%15%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NOVA Defense152520%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
PSU Offense930.733.545.9%4.40.9172981381604.554%46%48%44%13%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Villanova10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Penn State925:0517.343%57%3.227.70.91.15.21.4233.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NOVA Offense10%0%000000%0%0
PSU Defense956% (124)44% (85) - - - - .15 (107)2.84 (84)76% (105)10% (57)0.93 (55)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NOVA Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
PSU Offense954% (43)48% (25)311384.519 (26).21 (23)3.12 (34)78% (31)8% (32)0.99 (56)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NOVA Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
PSU Defense943% (12)41% (65) - - - - - - 5 (55).23 (68)1.4 (15)30% (100)26% (28).17 (27)4% (121)1.6 (4)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NOVA Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
PSU Offense946% (93)44% (56)16.125.2160.36.4109 (86)6 (60).2 (89)1.3 (130)28% (20)32% (54).33 (67)5% (45)1.9 (103)

Villanova's Power Ratings
Villanova's Power Rating: NR
Villanova's Offense Rating: NR
Villanova's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Villanova's 2025 Expected Record: -
Villanova's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Villanova's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Villanova's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Villanova:    Penn State: 17.32

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Villanova:    Penn State: 15.0




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 17.32  #34
Penn State's Offense Rating: 16.50  #33
Penn State's Defense Rating: 1.86  #36
2025 Talent Rating: 1078.00  #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 53  #10
Penn State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.5 - 6.5
Penn State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.0  #22
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1  #29
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.5  #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Villanova Scoring
Offense: 6 PPG
Offense on Road: 6
Defense: 52 PPG
Defense on Road: 52

Villanova's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 37
Villanova 19

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 42
Villanova 13

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 42
Villanova 13

Total Points: 55
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 22.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 16

Penn State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Penn State52Villanova6Penn State -46.5Villanova57.5Over
202109/25Penn State38Villanova17Penn State -29.5Villanova53.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State202 Overs
Villanova020 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 22 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#NR) NOVA at (#34) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNOVAPSU
Power RatePwrNR #34
SP+SP+NR #22
Perf GradeGradeNR #34
OffenseOffNR #60
DefenseDefNR #30
Spec TeamsSTNR #3
TalentTalNR #4
Blue ChipsBC%NR #10
Penn State Notes
(10/22) OC Kotelnicki says 2 QB's will be used forward
(10/19) QB Grunkemeyer doesn't look like he can play
(10/12) James Franklin fired. CFB HC market will be crazy
(10/12) Interim is AHC Terry Smith, was def ass.
(10/11) Lost to Northwestern, Allar out for the year. Woof
(10/4) Def torched, Run Off awful in horrific L @ UCLA
(10/4) Suddenly people calling for Franklin's job post UCLA
(10/1) LB Tony Rojas out indefinitely w/ 'significant injury'
(9/30) OL push is an issue, Allar/WR did little vs Ducks. Yikes
(9/15) Off #'s good but cupcakes so far, Pass Off expl?
(8/30) 3.8 ypc vs Nevada? Allar big w/ Hudson/Pena
(6/6) Def still solid, DL a top 10 unit via PFF
Penn State Injury Report
Villanova on Offense
CategoryCat
NOVA OffPSU Def
Perf GradePerfNR #30
SuccessSucNR #78
ExplosiveExpNR #10
PPAPPANR #67
PowerPwrNR #36
SP+SP+NR #25
Pts POPPONR #73
HavocHavNR #96
Villanova Run Game
CategoryCat
NOVA OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNR #50
Run SuccessRSucNR #85
Run ExplRExpNR #55
PPAExpNR #107
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #84
Stuff RateStuffNR #67
TackleTak -  #19
Villanova Pass Game
CategoryCat
NOVA OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNR #33
Pass SuccessPSucNR #65
Pass ExplPExlNR #15
PPAExpNR #68
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #33
F7 HavocF7NR #57
DB HavocDBNR #121
Penn State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatPSU OffNOVA Def
Perf GradePerf #60NR
SuccessSuc #32NR
ExplosiveExp #124NR
PPAPPA #52NR
PowerPwr #33NR
SP+SP+ #29NR
Pts POPPO #33NR
HavocHav #33NR
Penn State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat
PSU OffNOVA Def
Run GameRun #48NR
Run SuccessRSuc #25NR
Run ExplRExp #56NR
PPAExp #23NR
Run BlockR Blk #32 -
OL YdsOLY #34NR
Stuff RateStuff #9NR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 54%
CategoryCatPSU OffNOVA Def
Pass GamePass #105NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #56NR
Pass ExplPExl #130NR
PPAExp #89NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #12NR
F7 HavocF7 #32NR
DB HavocDB #45NR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

NOVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 77° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Penn State -46.5 (57.5)
Penn State won vs Villanova this year (52-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NOVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Pat McQuaide14022861%18161228.0
Tanner Maddocks81553%78115.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
David Avit12368385.634
Ja'briel Mace4339879.382
Isaiah Ragland10233313.321
Tanner Maddocks107007.047
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Colella (Tr)50768515.451
Lucas Kopecky24361215.056
Braden Reed15198013.240
Chris Colby10181118.165

View Villanova's Full Roster

NOVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shane Hartzell90000
Christian Sapp60000
Turner Inge50000
Kaleb Moody40001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shane Hartzell90000
Zahmir Dawud20000
Garrett Rogan10000
Newton Essiem10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Hawkins30002
Jamie Tyson10002
Kaleb Moody40001

PSU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Allar10315965%1100836.9
Ethan Grunkemeyer649766%562245.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen138736105.367
Nicholas Singleton9236393.959
Drew Allar3617214.827
Trebor Pena (Tr)106706.716
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trebor Pena (Tr)32331110.343
Devonte Ross (Tr)23281312.267
Kyron Ware-Hudson21245211.731
Luke Reynolds2221809.922

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amare Campbell (Tr)678230
Zakee Wheatley611011
Dominic DeLuca435122
Audavion Collins352002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zane Durant234311
Amare Campbell (Tr)678230
Zuriah Fisher154231
Dani Dennis-Sutton297272
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
King Mack (Tr)340013
Zion Tracy192002
Dominic DeLuca435122