Villanova at Penn State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Villanova logo Villanova Wildcats at Penn State Nittany Lions(#2)Penn State logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Penn State -46.5 (57.5) (0)  Open: -47.5
Penn State 52 - Villanova: 6

 
Wildcats (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 6 - 52 (6 - 52 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PSU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Penn State -20  (SP+ PSU -16)
PSU Win prob: 100% | Cover: 25%
Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Terry Smith (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 6.4 (#74)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 3) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
 
Villanova's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Villanova at Penn State+46.557.5L 6 - 52OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Villanova's Schedule
Penn State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Penn State vs Nevada-45.558.5W 46 - 11UN
Sat 9/6 Penn State vs Florida International-42.053.5W 34 - 0UN
Sat 9/13 Penn State vs Villanova-46.557.5W 52 - 6ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Penn State vs Oregon-4.552.5L 24 - 30ON
Sat 10/4 Penn State at UCLA-24.548.5L 37 - 42ON
Sat 10/11 Penn State vs Northwestern-20.546.5L 21 - 22UN
Sat 10/18 Penn State at Iowa+3.541.5L 24 - 25OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Penn State at Ohio State+17.545.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 11/8 Penn State vs Indiana+13.550.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 11/15 Penn State at Michigan State-7.048.5W 28 - 10UY
Sat 11/22 Penn State vs Nebraska-7.545.5W 37 - 10OY
Sat 11/29 Penn State at Rutgers-14.555.5W 40 - 36ON
Sat 12/27 Penn State vs Clemson+2.547.5W 22 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NOVA0%60%000%000%520%0%0000
PSU#31 (.24)46% (26)3147% (26)3.15 (34)16445% (34)1684.32 (26)#50 (.12)41% (61)20.544% (94)38% (39)3.33 (40)34.60.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NOVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NOVA Offense1660%00000000%0%0%0%0%
PSU Defense1320.515.141.2%3.331 - - - - - 51%48%44%38%16%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NOVA Defense152520%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
PSU Offense13313446.5%4.320.8183311641684.955%43%47%45%14%.24

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Villanova10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Penn State1326:5718.142%63%3.834.60.815.72.1231.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NOVA Offense10%0%000000%0%0
PSU Defense1351% (85)44% (94) - - - - .11 (75)2.97 (85)69% (54)11% (35)0.93 (55)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NOVA Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
PSU Offense1355% (30)47% (26)33.4163.84.930 (26).22 (21)3.15 (34)76% (43)9% (49)1.01 (53)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NOVA Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
PSU Defense1348% (61)38% (39) - - - - - - 6 (55).18 (42)1.5 (27)30% (98)27% (32).23 (49)5% (101)1.9 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NOVA Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
PSU Offense1343% (109)45% (34)15.623.4167.67.210.714 (86)7 (60).28 (52)1.4 (110)26% (14)32% (51).37 (42)5% (25)2 (72)

Villanova's Power Ratings
Villanova's Power Rating: NR
Villanova's Offense Rating: NR
Villanova's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Villanova's 2025 Expected Record: -
Villanova's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Villanova's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Villanova's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Villanova:    Penn State: 20.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Villanova:    Penn State: 15.8




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 20.21  #18
Penn State's Offense Rating: 19.85  #19
Penn State's Defense Rating: 0.23  #30
2025 Talent Rating: 1078.00  #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 53  #10
Penn State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 6.4
Penn State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.8  #20
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.9  #21
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.8  #31

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Villanova Scoring
Offense: 6 PPG
Offense on Road: 6
Defense: 52 PPG
Defense on Road: 52

Villanova's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 38
Villanova 18

Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 40
Villanova 13

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 43
Villanova 12

Total Points: 55
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Penn State52Villanova6Penn State -46.5Villanova57.5Over
202109/25Penn State38Villanova17Penn State -29.5Villanova53.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State202 Overs
Villanova020 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 22 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#NR) NOVA at (#18) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNOVAPSU
Power RatePwrNR #18
SP+SP+NR #20
Perf GradeGradeNR #23
OffenseOffNR #35
DefenseDefNR #32
Spec TeamsSTNR #5
TalentTalNR #4
Blue ChipsBC%NR #10
Penn State Notes
(12/5) Hired ISU HC Matt Campbell, bailed out PSU & AD
(12/4) Still no coach, crootin a disaster. Program a mess.
(11/22) Still fighting, killed Nebraska. 5-6, could bowl
(11/9) Credit due, even with IU. Still fighting
(10/22) OC Kotelnicki says 2 QB's will be used forward
(10/19) QB Grunkemeyer doesn't look like he can play
(10/12) James Franklin fired. CFB HC market will be crazy
(10/12) Interim is AHC Terry Smith, was def ass.
(10/11) Lost to Northwestern, Allar out for the year. Woof
(10/4) Def torched, Run Off awful in horrific L @ UCLA
(10/4) Suddenly people calling for Franklin's job post UCLA
(10/1) LB Tony Rojas out indefinitely w/ 'significant injury'
Penn State Injury Report
Villanova on Offense
CategoryCat
NOVA OffPSU Def
Perf GradePerfNR #32
SuccessSucNR #61
ExplosiveExpNR #17
PPAPPANR #50
PowerPwrNR #30
SP+SP+NR #31
Pts POPPONR #40
HavocHavNR #62
Villanova Run Game
CategoryCat
NOVA OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNR #63
Run SuccessRSucNR #94
Run ExplRExpNR #55
PPAExpNR #75
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #85
Stuff RateStuffNR #80
TackleTak -  #53
Villanova Pass Game
CategoryCat
NOVA OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNR #39
Pass SuccessPSucNR #39
Pass ExplPExlNR #27
PPAExpNR #42
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #17
F7 HavocF7NR #35
DB HavocDBNR #101
Penn State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatPSU OffNOVA Def
Perf GradePerf #35NR
SuccessSuc #26NR
ExplosiveExp #100NR
PPAPPA #31NR
PowerPwr #19NR
SP+SP+ #21NR
Pts POPPO #26NR
HavocHav #38NR
Penn State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
PSU OffNOVA Def
Run GameRun #23NR
Run SuccessRSuc #26NR
Run ExplRExp #53NR
PPAExp #21NR
Run BlockR Blk #13 -
OL YdsOLY #34NR
Stuff RateStuff #31NR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatPSU OffNOVA Def
Pass GamePass #89NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #34NR
Pass ExplPExl #110NR
PPAExp #52NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #11NR
F7 HavocF7 #49NR
DB HavocDB #25NR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

NOVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 77° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Penn State -46.5 (57.5)
Penn State won vs Villanova this year (52-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NOVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Pat McQuaide23640059%30922447.7
Tanner Maddocks81553%78115.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'briel Mace129977127.682
Isaiah Ragland16875524.549
David Avit12568785.534
Eli Smith137615.815
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Luke Colella (Tr)771071813.951
Lucas Kopecky33551416.756
Braden Reed34518315.244
Chris Colby20357117.965

View Villanova's Full Roster

NOVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shane Hartzell235230
Christian Sapp200000
Richie Kimmel141100
Jason Hall132100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shane Hartzell235230
Capri Martin51110
Jason Hall132100
Omari Bursey123100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Anthony Hawkins111003
Newton Essiem60002
Jamie Tyson50002

PSU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ethan Grunkemeyer12317869%1341847.5
Drew Allar10315965%1100836.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaytron Allen2101303156.267
Nicholas Singleton123549134.559
Drew Allar3617214.827
Quinton Martin Jr.2010105.121
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trebor Pena (Tr)49552211.373
Devonte Ross (Tr)36501513.975
Kyron Ware-Hudson23288212.531
Luke Reynolds26259010.022

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amare Campbell (Tr)10310341
Zakee Wheatley742031
Dominic DeLuca667243
King Mack (Tr)581113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dani Dennis-Sutton4212883
Zane Durant255412
Amare Campbell (Tr)10310341
Dominic DeLuca667243
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daryus Dixson242106
Elliot Washington II180003
Dominic DeLuca667243