Rutgers at Penn State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Penn State Nittany Lions

Saturday, November 20th 2021 (12:00 PM EST)
Penn State -14 (44.5)
Penn State 28 - Rutgers: 0 (Big Ten)

Scarlet Knights (5 - 8) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Greg Schiano (6 - 6)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (19 - 34 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

RUTG 2nd straight Road Game
PSU 2nd straight Home Game
PSU is playing their 5th straight game
RUTG is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -11 (SP+ PSU -17)
Projected Score: RUTG: 21 - PSU: 33 (54)
PSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
RUTG Travel: 179 miles

Nittany Lions (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach James Franklin (63 - 28)
Avg Score : 31 - 21 (34 - 15 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
RUTG Players
PSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rutgers's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Rutgers vs Temple	-14.0	52.0	W 61 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Rutgers at Syracuse	-2.5	50.5	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Rutgers vs Delaware	-20.0	45.0	W 45 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Rutgers at Michigan	+20.0	50.0	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Rutgers vs Ohio State	+15.0	58.0	L 13 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/9	Rutgers vs Michigan State	+4.5	50.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/16	Rutgers at Northwestern	-2.5	45.0	L 7 - 21	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Rutgers at Illinois	-1.5	41.5	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Rutgers vs Wisconsin	+13.0	37.5	L 3 - 52	O	N
Sat 11/13	Rutgers at Indiana	+6.5	42.5	W 38 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Rutgers at Penn State	+14.0	44.5	L 0 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/27	Rutgers vs Maryland	-2.0	53.0	L 16 - 40	O	N
Fri 12/31	Rutgers vs Wake Forest	+17.0	63.0	L 10 - 38	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule

Penn State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Penn State at Wisconsin	+5.5	48.5	W 16 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Penn State vs Ball State	-23.0	58.0	W 44 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Penn State vs Auburn	-4.0	53.0	W 28 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Penn State vs Villanova	-29.5	53.0	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 10/2	Penn State vs Indiana	-12.0	54.5	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Penn State at Iowa	+2.5	41.0	L 20 - 23	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Penn State vs Illinois	-24.5	46.0	L 18 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/30	Penn State at Ohio State	+18.5	60.5	L 24 - 33	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Penn State at Maryland	-10.0	56.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Penn State vs Michigan	+2.5	48.0	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/20	Penn State vs Rutgers	-14.0	44.5	W 28 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Penn State at Michigan State	-3.5	51.5	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 1/1	Penn State vs Arkansas	+3.5	51.0	L 10 - 24	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG	.05	35%	28.7	35%	2.55	140	35%	199	3.35	.19	45%	31.8	46%	44%	3.92	59.7	1.4	2.2
PSU	.18	44%	31	42%	2.94	174	45%	255	3.47	.12	40%	20.5	40%	39%	3.54	37.2	1.9	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
PSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Offense	9	28.7	19.2	35.2%	3.35	1.4	19	339	140	199	3.7	50%	50%	35%	35%	19%	.05
PSU Defense	9	20.5	15.1	39.6%	3.54	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	40%	39%	17%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Defense	9	31.8	34	44.9%	3.92	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	46%	44%	17%	.19
PSU Offense	9	31	34	43.7%	3.47	1.9	25	430	174	255	3.9	53%	47%	42%	45%	14%	.18

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rutgers	9	27:57	19	34%	50%	7.3	59.7	1.4	2.2	7.9	2.2	3	30.2
Penn State	9	33:38	24.8	42%	50%	4.3	37.2	1.9	1	6.6	2.3	1	28.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense	9	50%	35%	38.1	140.1	3.7	13		2.55	75%	12%	1.07
PSU Defense	9	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.56	71%	12%	1.01

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense	9	57%	46%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.75	65%	13%	0.95
PSU Offense	9	53%	42%	44.7	174.3	3.9	15	.06	2.94	64%	9%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense	9	50%	35%	21.7	34.3	198.6	5.8	9.2	14	8	.1	1.5	36%	24%	.16	8%	2.1
PSU Defense	9	49%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.2	1.5	33%	26%	.21	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense	9	43%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.34	1.6	29%	35%	.44	4%	2
PSU Offense	9	47%	45%	20.4	34	255.3	7.5	12.5	17	9	.3	1.6	29%	41%	.36	5%	1.8

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: NR
Rutgers's Offense Rating: NR
Rutgers's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Rutgers's 2021 Expected Record: -
Rutgers's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.0 #88
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 #110
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #46

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: Penn State: 9.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: -3.0 Penn State: 14.3

Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 9.65 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3 #19
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #72
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.6 #6

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Rutgers's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Penn State 33
Rutgers 21

Projected Total Points: 54

Penn State Scoring
Offense: 31 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.1

Penn State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Rutgers	36	Penn State	40	Penn State -14.5	Rutgers	55.5	Over
2023	11/18	Penn State	27	Rutgers	6	Penn State -19.5	Penn State	39.5	Under
2022	11/19	Rutgers	10	Penn State	55	Penn State -18.5	Penn State	45.0	Over
2021	11/20	Penn State	28	Rutgers	0	Penn State -14	Penn State	44.5	Under
2020	12/05	Rutgers	7	Penn State	23	Penn State -13.0	Penn State	51.0	Under
2019	11/30	Penn State	27	Rutgers	6	Penn State -38.5	Rutgers	50.5	Under
2018	11/17	Rutgers	7	Penn State	20	Penn State -28.5	Rutgers	52.5	Under
2017	11/11	Penn State	35	Rutgers	6	Penn State -31.5	Rutgers	56.5	Under
2016	11/19	Rutgers	0	Penn State	39	Penn State -22.5	Penn State	55.0	Under
2015	09/19	Penn State	28	Rutgers	3	Penn State -7	Penn State	47.5	Under
2014	09/13	Rutgers	10	Penn State	13	Penn State -4	Rutgers	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Penn State	11	6	2 Overs
Rutgers	0	5	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 6	6 - 5	3 - 2	3 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 5	5 - 6	3 - 3	2 - 3

(#) RUTG at (#) PSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	RUTG	PSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#88	#19
Perf GradeGrade	#117	#71
OffenseOff	#117	#88
DefenseDef	#114	#57
Spec TeamsST	#27	#11
TalentTal	#64	#16
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Rutgers Injury Report

Penn State Injury Report

Rutgers on Offense


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	PSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#117	#57
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#110	#6
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Rutgers Run Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	PSU Def
Run GameRun	#51	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#126	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#63

Rutgers Pass Game


CategoryCat	RUTG Off	PSU Def
Pass GamePass	#131	#5
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#57	#79
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Penn State on Offense


CategoryCat	PSU Off	RUTG Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#88	#114
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#72	#46
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Penn State Run Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	#125	#89
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#67	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#77

Penn State Pass Game


CategoryCat	PSU Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	#85	#122
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#67	#101
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Beaver Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Penn State -14.0 (44.5)
Penn State won vs Rutgers this year (28-0)

Previous Matchups
Penn State beat Rutgers last year (40-36)
Penn State beat Rutgers in 2023 (27-6)

RUTG's OC Sean Gleeson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Robb Smith (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

PSU's OC Mike Yurcich (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC Anthony Poindexter / Brent Pry (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD